crvFRAX

Curve.fi FRAX/USDC Price Today & AI Analysis

crvFRAXEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 22, 2026

Price

$1.03

+1.55% 24h

Contract

Live
0x3175df0976dfa876431c2e9ee6bc45b65d3473cc

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

159

Market cap

$1.97M

Liquidity

$1.10M

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Curve.fi FRAX/USDC: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-22 16:32 UTC

Holder addresses

159

Top 10 supply share

61.55%

Reported liquidity

$1,101,449.00
How concentrated is Curve.fi FRAX/USDC ownership?
As of 2026-09-22 16:32 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 61.55% of supply. It reports 159 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Curve.fi FRAX/USDC?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-22 16:32 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $6,456.00 in buys and $3,540.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Curve.fi FRAX/USDC liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +10.04%, from $907,615.69 (2026-09-21 17:00 UTC) to $998,745.20 (2026-09-22 16:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-22 16:32 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-21 17:00 UTC$907,615.69
2026-09-21 18:00 UTC$921,554.06
2026-09-21 19:00 UTC$908,516.79
2026-09-21 20:00 UTC$915,835.25
2026-09-21 21:00 UTC$928,293.48
2026-09-21 22:00 UTC$928,346.64
2026-09-21 23:00 UTC$922,508.52
2026-09-22 00:00 UTC$922,342.60
2026-09-22 01:00 UTC$921,969.91
2026-09-22 02:00 UTC$912,857.87
2026-09-22 03:00 UTC$928,352.10
2026-09-22 04:00 UTC$907,984.46
2026-09-22 05:00 UTC$924,505.20
2026-09-22 06:00 UTC$922,316.56
2026-09-22 07:00 UTC$930,967.11
2026-09-22 08:00 UTC$925,046.87
2026-09-22 09:00 UTC$927,735.82
2026-09-22 10:00 UTC$958,603.89
2026-09-22 11:00 UTC$958,916.46
2026-09-22 12:00 UTC$953,283.65
2026-09-22 13:00 UTC$953,230.56
2026-09-22 14:00 UTC$1,009,978.10
2026-09-22 15:00 UTC$980,331.42
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC$998,745.20

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 22, 2026, 04:32 PM UTC

Market Cap

$1.97M

24h Volume

$10.00K

Liquidity

$1.10M

FDV

—

Holders

159

24h

Loading trading activity…

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Medium

Sentiment

Neutral

crvFRAX is the Curve.fi liquidity-provider token for the FRAX/USDC stablecoin pool on Ethereum, roughly 51 months (4.3 years) old. It trades at $1.0272 against a $1.97M market cap and $1.10M in pool liquidity, exhibiting the low volatility (1.2% daily stdev) typical of a stablecoin LP receipt token. Trading activity is minimal (single-digit transaction counts over 24h), and its value is mechanically tied to the FRAX/USDC peg rather than to speculative demand. A notable data point is a 91-day range low of $0.8457, indicating a past de-peg stress event from which price has since recovered.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 22, 2026, 04:32 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Represents pooled FRAX/USDC liquidity on Curve rather than a standalone speculative asset
  • Price is mechanically anchored near $1.00 by the underlying stablecoin pair, producing structurally low volatility
  • Very low trading volume and holder count (159) relative to its ~$2M valuation

Curve.fi FRAX/USDC AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Neutral

Price has moved just +0.1% over the past 7 days and is trading in a tight band, currently at $1.0272 versus recent daily closes clustered between roughly $0.99 and $1.04. This is genuinely balanced, range-bound behavior rather than a clear directional move, consistent with a stablecoin-pegged LP token near equilibrium.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

Over 30 and 90 days the token has posted consistent, if modest, gains of +1.4% and +1.6% respectively, and price now sits at 83% of its 91-day range ($0.8457-$1.06). This tilts the medium-term bias toward a continued grind up toward the $1.06 major resistance, absent a repeat of the volatility event that produced the $0.8457 range low.

Bullish Factors

  • 24h buy volume ($6,456) exceeds sell volume ($3,540), a 64.6%/35.4% buy-sell split
  • 30d (+1.4%) and 90d (+1.6%) trends are both positive, with price sitting near the top of its 91-day range
  • Liquidity of $1.10M against a $1.97M market cap (~56% liquidity/mcap ratio) is comparatively deep for a token this size

Bearish Factors

  • The 91-day range low of $0.8457 (about 18% below current price) shows the pool experienced a sharp de-peg event within the recent past
  • Transaction counts are minimal and skewing toward sells in the shortest windows (0 buys/2 sells in the last hour; 1 buy/3 sells in the last 4h)
  • Top 10 holders control 61.5% of the 2.098M supply across just 159 total holders, with no visibility into whether these are protocol contracts or individual wallets

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

crvFRAX call history

Full track record →

Sep 22neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x3175...73cc
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Historical de-peg exposure: the 91-day range shows a low of $0.8457, roughly 18% below the current price, indicating the underlying pool experienced real instability within recent months
  • Thin trading activity: only 9 total transactions in 24h and single-digit counts in shorter windows mean prices and sentiment metrics can be swung by very small trades
  • Concentrated but unclassified holder base: 61.5% of supply sits with the top 10 of only 159 holders, with no data available to confirm whether these are protocol contracts or individually-controlled wallets
  • No available contract-security or holder-growth history, limiting the ability to detect emerging risks

Trading Insight

neutral

The 24h buy/sell split favors buyers (64.6% vs 35.4%), but total volume of under $10,000 across only 9 transactions is too small to draw a strong conclusion. The most recent 1-4 hour windows have actually skewed toward sells, suggesting the mild 24h buy tilt may already be fading.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Neutral

Medium-Term (30d)

Neutral

Price has moved just +0.1% over 7 days and +1.4%/+1.6% over 30/90 days, with recent daily closes clustered tightly between roughly $0.99 and $1.04. This is consistent with a stablecoin-pegged LP token oscillating near its intended value rather than showing a strong directional trend.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

Daily volatility of 1.2% and a lack of any sharp recent moves indicate muted momentum; there is no evidence of overbought or oversold conditions typical of speculative assets.

Volume Analysis

Buy

64.6%

Sell

35.4%

Volume Trend

Stable

24h volume (~$10,000) is minimal, and transaction counts remain consistently low across the 1h, 4h, and 24h windows (0-5 buys, 2-4 sells), indicating steady but very light trading interest rather than any notable surge or decline.

Recent Price Action

Recent daily closes have oscillated in a tight band, roughly $0.99-$1.04, with the current price ($1.0272) sitting near the upper end of the broader 91-day range that saw a low of $0.8457.

The $0.8457 low earlier in the 91-day window suggests a notable de-peg or stress event occurred, from which the pool has since recovered toward its $1.00-$1.06 equilibrium band; the current tight clustering suggests that recovery has stabilized.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$1.01

Major support

$0.8457

Immediate resistance

$1.03

Major resistance

$1.06

These OHLC-derived levels frame a narrow trading band: a break below the $1.01 immediate support would signal renewed peg stress, while sustained trade above the $1.03 immediate resistance would target the $1.06 major resistance at the top of the 91-day range.

AI overall risk

Medium

Risk Score

45/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityLow

    Daily volatility is just 1.2%, and 7d/30d/90d changes are all under 2%, typical of a stablecoin-backed LP token; however, the 91-day range low of $0.8457 shows the pool is not immune to sharp de-peg events.

  • LiquidityMedium

    Total liquidity of $1.10M against a $1.97M market cap is a healthy ratio, but absolute 24h trading volume (~$10,000) is very low, meaning larger trades could still face slippage despite the pool's overall depth.

  • ConcentrationHigh

    Top 10 holders control 61.5% of the 2.098M supply across only 159 total holders; without wallet-level classification it cannot be confirmed whether this reflects protocol/pool contracts or individual wallets, so the raw figure is treated as an elevated risk pending further data.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryLow

    As a liquidity-pool receipt token for two USD-pegged stablecoins (FRAX and USDC), regulatory exposure is primarily inherited from the underlying stablecoins rather than from crvFRAX itself.

Key Risks

  • Historical de-peg exposure: the 91-day range shows a low of $0.8457, roughly 18% below the current price, indicating the underlying pool experienced real instability within recent months
  • Thin trading activity: only 9 total transactions in 24h and single-digit counts in shorter windows mean prices and sentiment metrics can be swung by very small trades
  • Concentrated but unclassified holder base: 61.5% of supply sits with the top 10 of only 159 holders, with no data available to confirm whether these are protocol contracts or individually-controlled wallets
  • No available contract-security or holder-growth history, limiting the ability to detect emerging risks

Mitigating Factors

  • The token has operated for roughly 51 months (4.3 years) on a major, well-established DEX (Curve) without apparent catastrophic failure
  • Liquidity of $1.10M relative to a $1.97M market cap (~56%) is comparatively deep, reducing the risk of a liquidity-driven collapse under normal conditions

Investor Suitability

This token is more relevant to liquidity providers and stablecoin-pool participants seeking fee income from the FRAX/USDC Curve pool than to directional speculators; it is unsuitable for those seeking high-volatility trading opportunities given its near-$1 mechanical pricing.

crvFRAX's value is fundamentally tied to the health of the FRAX/USDC Curve pool rather than independent speculative demand, so any thesis on this token is really a thesis on stablecoin peg stability and Curve pool activity. Recent price action (flat 7d, modestly positive 30d/90d) and a position near the top of the 91-day range suggest stability, but the historical dip to $0.8457 is a reminder that de-peg tail risk exists.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

Stablecoin markets remain calm, FRAX and USDC hold their pegs, and the pool continues generating fee income while price grinds toward the $1.06 major resistance at the top of its range.

  • Continued peg stability of FRAX and USDC
  • Sustained or growing liquidity depth supporting low-slippage trading

Base Case

Price continues to trade in a tight band close to $1.00-$1.04, consistent with normal Curve stablecoin-pool behavior, with negligible directional movement absent an external stablecoin shock.

  • No major de-peg event affecting FRAX or USDC
  • Trading volume remains low and does not signal a shift in underlying pool dynamics

Bear Case

Low probability

A repeat of the stress event that drove price to $0.8457 within the past 91 days — whether from FRAX or USDC peg pressure — causes another sharp drawdown, compounded by thin trading volume that amplifies price moves.

  • Renewed stablecoin de-peg event affecting FRAX or USDC
  • A large withdrawal by a top-10 holder given the 61.5% concentration and unknown wallet identities

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 22, 2026, 04:32 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-22 16:32 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$1.0272214954

Market Cap

$1.97M

24h Volume

$10.0K

Holders

159

Liquidity

$1,101,449.00

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder-growth history, whale-transaction records, and contract-security data were unavailable for this analysis
  • Individual wallet identities behind the top-10 holder concentration could not be determined
  • Extremely low 24h transaction counts (9 total) limit the statistical reliability of short-term sentiment metrics

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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