NOX

NOX Price Today & AI Analysis

NOXEthereumAnalysis as of Sep 3, 2026

Price

$0.001807

-19.62% 24h

Contract

Live
0x0a26c80be4e060e688d7c23addb92cbb5d2c9eca

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

981

Market cap

$1.44M

Liquidity

$69.39K

At a $10M market cap, $NOX would be $0.0126 (6.95x from today’s price)

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NOX: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-03 13:30 UTC

Holder addresses

896

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$62,576.00
How concentrated is NOX ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 896 addresses (2026-09-03 13:30 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling NOX?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is NOX liquidity falling?
As of 2026-09-03 13:30 UTC, reported liquidity was $62,576.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-03 13:30 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Sep 3, 2026, 01:30 PM UTC

Market Cap

$1.22M

24h Volume

$7.22K

Liquidity

$62.58K

FDV

—

Holders

896

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bullish

NOX is the utility token of the NONOS operating system, positioned as the economic layer for governance, micro-fee compute payments, and DePIN infrastructure access on Ethereum. The token is approximately 12 months old, carries a market cap of roughly $1.22M, and has staged a 30-day rally of +54.8% off its range low. However, it remains a micro-cap asset with thin liquidity ($62,576), a small holder base (896 wallets), and very low daily trading activity, all of which make it a high-risk, speculative position. The project's DePIN narrative is a genuine differentiator, but on-chain adoption metrics have not yet validated the thesis at scale.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 3, 2026, 01:30 PM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Dual-purpose utility design: NOX functions simultaneously as a governance token and a micro-fee payment rail for compute operations within the NONOS ecosystem
  • DePIN infrastructure positioning: the token is explicitly tied to node operator economics, a sector with growing institutional and developer interest
  • Full circulation with no supply overhang: circulating supply equals total supply (796M NOX), eliminating the risk of scheduled unlock-driven sell pressure

NOX AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bullish

NOX has staged a meaningful recovery from its 89-day low of $0.0007373, with the 30-day trend showing +54.8% appreciation and the price now sitting at 53% of its observed range. The 7-day gain of +1.9% is modest but confirms the uptrend has not reversed. Immediate resistance at $0.001542 is just 0.3% above the current price of $0.001537, making a near-term test of that level highly probable.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bullish

The 30-day trend of +54.8% represents a structurally significant move off the $0.0007373 floor, suggesting genuine demand accumulation rather than a brief spike. If NOX can clear and hold above the immediate resistance at $0.001542, the next meaningful target becomes the major resistance at $0.002253, which would represent a further ~47% gain from current levels. Daily volatility of 9.5% means the path will be choppy, but the multi-week trend remains constructive.

Bullish Factors

  • 30-day price appreciation of +54.8% from the $0.0007373 low demonstrates sustained buying pressure over a multi-week window, not a one-day spike
  • Buy pressure stands at 85.5% of 24-hour volume ($6,174 buys vs. $1,043 sells), indicating sellers are not yet dominating the order flow
  • Price at 53% of the 89-day range means NOX is not at a local top; there is meaningful headroom to the $0.002253 major resistance
  • Fully diluted valuation equals market cap ($1.22M), confirming no hidden vesting overhang from undisclosed supply

Bearish Factors

  • Total liquidity of only $62,576 means even modest sell orders can cause outsized price impact, amplifying downside risk disproportionately
  • The top 10 holders control 50.3% of supply and per-wallet classification is unavailable, leaving the dumpable-supply risk unquantifiable
  • With only 896 total holders and 12 unique buyers in the past 24 hours, the token lacks the broad adoption base needed to sustain a trend without continued insider or concentrated buying
  • Daily volatility of 9.5% (standard deviation of daily returns) means drawdowns of 15–20% within a week are statistically normal, posing significant short-term loss risk

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

NOX call history

Full track record →

Sep 3bullish
24h+5.4%
7d+77.4%
30d+99.2%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x0a26...9eca
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Liquidity trap: with only $62,576 in the pool, any coordinated sell from top holders (who control 50.3% of supply) would be catastrophic for price — the pool cannot absorb even a fraction of that supply without collapsing
  • Adoption stagnation: 896 holders after 12 months suggests the NONOS ecosystem has not achieved the developer or node operator traction needed to generate organic NOX demand; without real utility usage, the token's value proposition remains theoretical
  • Concentration without classification: the inability to classify the top 10 holders means investors cannot distinguish between locked protocol supply and freely tradeable whale positions, leaving a fundamental risk unknown

Trading Insight

bullish

The 24-hour trading session shows heavily skewed buy pressure at 85.5%, with $6,174 in buy volume against only $1,043 in sell volume across 19 total transactions. However, the absolute transaction counts are extremely low — 14 buys from 12 unique wallets — meaning this sentiment reading reflects the behavior of a handful of participants rather than broad market conviction.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bullish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bullish

The daily OHLC sequence tells a clear story: NOX bottomed near $0.000942–$0.000981 roughly two weeks ago and has since printed a series of higher closes, culminating in the current $0.001537. The 7-day gain of +1.9% understates the move because it captures only the tail end of a 30-day +54.8% rally. Both timeframes are in uptrend, though the 7-day deceleration warrants monitoring for a potential consolidation phase.

Momentum

Status

Neutral

After a sharp leg up from ~$0.000942 to a recent high of $0.002253 (the period high), the price has pulled back and is now consolidating around $0.001537 — approximately 32% below the range high. This mid-range positioning, combined with decelerating 7-day momentum (+1.9% vs. +54.8% over 30 days), suggests the initial impulse has matured and the token is in a digestion phase rather than being technically overbought or oversold.

Volume Analysis

Buy

85.5%

Sell

14.5%

Volume Trend

Stable

Daily trading volume is thin and episodic rather than trending. The 24-hour total of ~$7,217 is consistent with a micro-cap token that trades in bursts. The 4-hour spike in buy activity (9 transactions) likely accounts for the bulk of today's volume, and the quiet 1-hour window (0 buys) suggests that burst has subsided. Volume confirmation of the uptrend is weak.

Recent Price Action

The 14-session daily close sequence shows a base-building phase between $0.000942 and $0.000985, followed by a breakout candle to $0.001168, a continuation to $0.001508, a brief three-session consolidation between $0.001284 and $0.001426, and then a recovery close at $0.001537.

This pattern — base, breakout, consolidation, retest — is constructive and suggests the $0.001284–$0.001423 zone has acted as a support shelf. A hold above $0.001423 (immediate support) on any pullback would reinforce the bullish structure; a break below it would signal the consolidation is failing.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.001423

Major support

$0.0007373

Immediate resistance

$0.001542

Major resistance

$0.002253

The immediate support at $0.001423 corresponds to a recent daily close low within the consolidation range and is the first line of defense for bulls. Major support at $0.0007373 is the 89-day range low and represents a worst-case scenario floor. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.001542 is just 0.3% above the current price — a clean break here with volume would be a meaningful bullish signal. Major resistance at $0.002253 is the 89-day range high and the ultimate target for a full trend continuation.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

78/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily return volatility of 9.5% (standard deviation) implies that a one-standard-deviation weekly move could be approximately 25%, and two-standard-deviation drawdowns of 40%+ within a month are statistically plausible. The 89-day range spans from $0.0007373 to $0.002253 — a 206% spread — confirming that NOX is an extremely volatile asset.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $62,576 on a single Uniswap pool is shallow by any standard. A sell order of even $5,000–$10,000 would represent 8–16% of the pool and cause significant slippage. Exit liquidity for any position larger than a few hundred dollars is materially constrained, making this a high-impact liquidity risk.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    NOX's positioning as a utility token for compute payments and DePIN services places it in a regulatory gray zone in multiple jurisdictions. Tokens used for fee payments and governance may be classified as securities depending on the regulatory framework applied, and DePIN infrastructure projects face additional scrutiny around node operator compliance.

Key Risks

  • Liquidity trap: with only $62,576 in the pool, any coordinated sell from top holders (who control 50.3% of supply) would be catastrophic for price — the pool cannot absorb even a fraction of that supply without collapsing
  • Adoption stagnation: 896 holders after 12 months suggests the NONOS ecosystem has not achieved the developer or node operator traction needed to generate organic NOX demand; without real utility usage, the token's value proposition remains theoretical
  • Concentration without classification: the inability to classify the top 10 holders means investors cannot distinguish between locked protocol supply and freely tradeable whale positions, leaving a fundamental risk unknown

Mitigating Factors

  • Full circulation with no vesting overhang eliminates the scheduled unlock risk that has destroyed value in many comparable micro-cap tokens
  • The 30-day price trend of +54.8% demonstrates that at least some market participants are actively accumulating, providing a demand-side counterweight to the concentration risk

Investor Suitability

NOX is suitable only for high-risk-tolerant investors who understand micro-cap DePIN tokens, can afford to lose their entire position, and are sizing their allocation accordingly (i.e., a small speculative portion of a diversified portfolio). It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking liquidity, or anyone who cannot tolerate 50%+ drawdowns within a short timeframe.

NOX presents a speculative bet on the NONOS DePIN ecosystem gaining meaningful traction, backed by a clean tokenomics structure (no supply overhang) and a 30-day uptrend. The thesis is undermined by thin liquidity, a small holder base, and the inability to verify smart contract security or classify top holder risk — making this a high-conviction-required, small-allocation opportunity.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The NONOS operating system achieves developer and node operator adoption, driving organic demand for NOX as a compute micro-fee currency. Holder count grows from 896 toward several thousand, liquidity deepens as the project gains visibility, and the price tests and breaks the $0.002253 major resistance, potentially reaching new all-time highs.

  • Demonstrable growth in NONOS node operator count and compute transaction volume generating real NOX fee demand
  • Sustained price action above the $0.001542 immediate resistance attracting momentum traders and increasing liquidity provision

Base Case

NOX continues to trade in a volatile range between the $0.001423 immediate support and $0.002253 major resistance, with episodic buying bursts driven by a small group of participants. The project makes incremental ecosystem progress but does not achieve the scale needed to drive sustained price appreciation, resulting in a choppy, range-bound market over the next 90 days.

  • The NONOS project remains active and continues development without a major adverse event (exploit, team exit, or regulatory action)
  • Liquidity remains at current levels and no major holder exits, keeping the token in its current trading range

Bear Case

Medium probability

Adoption of the NONOS ecosystem stalls, organic NOX demand fails to materialize, and one or more top holders (controlling 50.3% of supply) begin distributing into the thin $62,576 liquidity pool. Price collapses toward the major support at $0.0007373 or below, and the holder base contracts further.

  • Failure to grow beyond 896 holders signals ecosystem stagnation and removes the demand-side support for the current price level
  • A large holder exit into the shallow liquidity pool would cause a cascade that the market cannot absorb, given the 50.3% top-10 concentration

Analysis Details

Generated

Sep 3, 2026, 01:30 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-03 13:30 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.00153687656174

Market Cap

$1.22M

24h Volume

$7.2K

Holders

896

Liquidity

$62,576.00

Data Sources

Unhosted DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)Daily OHLC price historyAggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • Holder growth history, size-tier distribution, and individual wallet classification data were unavailable for this chain, preventing trend analysis of holder adoption and dumpable-supply quantification
  • Whale transaction records and smart-money cohort data were unavailable, making it impossible to assess large-holder behavior or profitable-trader positioning
  • Contract security audit data is not available on this chain's data provider, leaving smart contract risk unassessed beyond token age as a proxy
  • Extremely low daily transaction counts (19 transactions in 24 hours) mean that short-term sentiment metrics are based on a statistically insignificant sample and should be interpreted with caution

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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