NOVA

SUPERNOVA Price Today & AI Analysis

NOVAEthereumAnalysis as of Jun 9, 2026

Price

$0.001223

+7.90% 24h

Contract

Live
0x00da8466b296e382e5da2bf20962d0cb87200c78

Chain

Ethereum

Holders

1.8K

Market cap

$175.07K

Liquidity

$75.77K

At a $1M market cap, $NOVA would be $0.006984 (5.71x from today’s price)

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SUPERNOVA: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-09 00:15 UTC

Holder addresses

1,689

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$15,277.88
How concentrated is SUPERNOVA ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,689 addresses (2026-06-09 00:15 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling SUPERNOVA?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is SUPERNOVA liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-09 00:15 UTC, reported liquidity was $15,277.88. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-09 00:15 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Movement since report

report from Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM UTC

Market Cap

$86.57K

24h Volume

$755.61

Liquidity

$15.28K

FDV

—

Holders

1,689

24h

Loading trading activity…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very high

Sentiment

Bearish

SUPERNOVA (NOVA) is a micro-cap Ethereum-based DEX protocol combining concentrated-liquidity, constant-product, and stablecoin AMMs with a ve(3,3) tokenomics model, currently trading at $0.001170 with a market cap of approximately $86,567. The token is in a severe downtrend, having lost over 51% of its value in 30 days and sitting at the absolute bottom of its 79-day price range. Liquidity is critically thin at $15,278, trading activity is minimal (18 transactions in 24 hours), and the smart contract remains unverified — all of which compound the risk profile significantly. While the protocol concept has merit in the competitive DEX landscape, there is currently no on-chain evidence of meaningful adoption or user activity to support a price recovery thesis.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Key points

  • Multi-AMM architecture supporting concentrated-liquidity, constant-product, and stablecoin pools within a single protocol
  • ve(3,3) tokenomics with weekly epoch voting, veNFT minting, and a permanent burn mechanism for Supermassive veNFTs with non-decaying voting power
  • Protocol/contract addresses hold ~88% of top-10 supply, meaning dumpable supply is only ~4% — structurally limiting large-holder sell pressure

SUPERNOVA AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence

Short-Term · 24h-7d

Bearish

NOVA has declined 26.6% over the past 7 days and is sitting at the very bottom of its 79-day range ($0.001126–$0.03177), with the current price of $0.001170 representing essentially 0% of that range. The recent daily close sequence ($0.001732 → $0.001170) shows a persistent, uninterrupted downtrend with no sign of reversal. Immediate support at $0.001152 is thin, and a breach would expose the major support at $0.001126.

Medium-Term · 30d-90d

Bearish

The 30-day decline of 51.4% reflects a deeply entrenched downtrend that has erased more than half of NOVA's value in a single month. With only $15,278 in total liquidity, even modest sell pressure can produce outsized price drops, making a sustained recovery structurally difficult. A reversal would require meaningful new protocol adoption, increased trading volume, and a demonstrable uptick in holder growth — none of which are currently evidenced in the data.

Bullish Factors

  • Holder base grew net +77 over the past 31 days (1,612 → 1,689), indicating some ongoing organic interest despite the price decline
  • Dumpable supply is only 4.0% — the vast majority of top-holder concentration (88%+) is locked in protocol/contract addresses that cannot be sold into the market, limiting structural sell pressure from large holders
  • Buy pressure slightly exceeds sell pressure at 52.3% vs 47.7% over the past 24 hours, and buy volume ($395) marginally outpaced sell volume ($360)

Bearish Factors

  • Price has fallen 51.4% over 30 days and 26.6% over 7 days, sitting at 0% of its 79-day range — the token is at multi-month lows with no technical base established
  • Total liquidity of only $15,278 means the token is highly illiquid; a single mid-sized sell order could gap price through both support levels
  • The contract is unverified (security score 55/100), creating significant smart contract risk and limiting institutional or informed-retail participation
  • Transaction activity is extremely low — only 18 trades from 15 unique participants in 24 hours — indicating near-zero market interest and making price discovery unreliable

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

Token Info

Chain
Ethereum
Contract
0x00da...0c78
Total Supply
—
Decimals
—

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with a 55/100 security score — the protocol's code cannot be independently audited, and any hidden vulnerability could result in total loss of funds
  • Critically thin liquidity ($15,278) means the token is effectively untradeable at any meaningful size, and a single motivated seller could collapse the price through both support levels
  • No social media presence or verifiable team information — the complete absence of public communication channels makes it impossible to assess project legitimacy, development activity, or team accountability

Trading Insight

bearish

Despite a marginal buy-volume edge (52.3% buy pressure), the overall trading sentiment is bearish given the persistent multi-week price decline, extremely low transaction counts, and the fact that sell transactions (12) outnumbered buy transactions (6) by 2:1 in the past 24 hours. The token is effectively illiquid, with activity concentrated among a handful of wallets.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d)

Bearish

Medium-Term (30d)

Bearish

The 14-day daily close sequence tells an unambiguous story: $0.001732 → $0.001723 → $0.001697 → $0.001627 → $0.001737 → $0.001666 → $0.001595 → $0.001476 → $0.001441 → $0.001348 → $0.001229 → $0.001144 → $0.001159 → $0.001170. Every rally attempt has been short-lived and immediately reversed. The 7-day loss of 26.6% and 30-day loss of 51.4% confirm both short- and medium-term downtrends are firmly intact. The only marginal positive is that the last two closes ($0.001159, $0.001170) show a fractional uptick from the $0.001144 low, but this is insufficient to call a reversal.

Momentum

Status

Oversold

With price sitting at 0% of its 79-day range ($0.001126–$0.03177) and having declined over 50% in 30 days, momentum indicators would be deeply oversold by any standard measure. However, oversold conditions in illiquid micro-caps can persist indefinitely without a catalyst — oversold does not mean imminent reversal in this context.

Volume Analysis

Buy

52.3%

Sell

47.7%

Volume Trend

Decreasing

24-hour volume of ~$755 across 18 transactions is critically low. The 4-hour window shows only 2 transactions and the 1-hour window shows zero, indicating volume is not just low but episodic and declining intraday. This level of volume cannot sustain price discovery and makes technical analysis less reliable.

Recent Price Action

Sustained lower-highs and lower-lows over 14 consecutive daily closes, with a brief two-day micro-bounce from $0.001144 to $0.001170 — insufficient to break the downtrend structure. Price is compressing near the absolute bottom of the 79-day range.

Bottom compression near multi-month lows in a downtrend typically signals either capitulation (potential base formation) or continuation toward new lows. Given the absence of volume expansion or holder accumulation signals, continuation risk is elevated.

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.001152

Major support

$0.001126

Immediate resistance

$0.001179

Major resistance

$0.03177

These levels are derived from real OHLC swing highs and lows over the 79-day data window. Immediate support at $0.001152 is extremely close to the current price ($0.001170), offering minimal buffer — a single moderate sell transaction could breach it given the thin liquidity. Major support at $0.001126 represents the 79-day absolute low; a close below this level would be a significant bearish signal with no historical support beneath it. On the upside, immediate resistance at $0.001179 is also very close, meaning the price is trapped in a $0.000053 range between immediate support and resistance. The major resistance at $0.03177 — the 79-day high — is 27x the current price and represents a distant, aspirational recovery target.

AI overall risk

Very high

Risk Score

85/100

Risk Breakdown

  • VolatilityHigh

    Daily volatility of 6.8% (standard deviation of daily returns) is high in absolute terms. Combined with a 51.4% 30-day decline and a price sitting at the bottom of a 79-day range, the token exhibits extreme downside volatility. The illiquid order book means individual trades can cause disproportionate price swings.

  • LiquidityHigh

    Total liquidity of $15,278 is critically insufficient. Any position larger than a few hundred dollars faces severe slippage on entry and exit. In a stress scenario, the liquidity pool could be drained entirely, making exit impossible at any reasonable price.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Smart ContractNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

  • RegulatoryMedium

    As a DEX governance token on Ethereum, NOVA faces the same regulatory uncertainty as all DeFi tokens — potential classification as a security, DEX regulatory scrutiny, and evolving global crypto regulations. No specific regulatory actions are known, but the sector-wide risk applies.

Key Risks

  • Unverified smart contract with a 55/100 security score — the protocol's code cannot be independently audited, and any hidden vulnerability could result in total loss of funds
  • Critically thin liquidity ($15,278) means the token is effectively untradeable at any meaningful size, and a single motivated seller could collapse the price through both support levels
  • No social media presence or verifiable team information — the complete absence of public communication channels makes it impossible to assess project legitimacy, development activity, or team accountability

Mitigating Factors

  • Dumpable supply of only ~4% significantly limits the risk of a coordinated large-holder dump, as the vast majority of concentrated supply is locked in protocol contracts
  • Fully circulating supply (no future unlock events) eliminates inflation risk from vesting schedules or team token unlocks

Investor Suitability

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi participants who have conducted independent due diligence on the protocol's smart contracts and team, can afford to lose their entire investment, and are investing only a small speculative allocation. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors, those unfamiliar with DeFi mechanics, or anyone investing capital they cannot afford to lose entirely.

NOVA is a high-risk, early-stage DEX protocol token in a severe downtrend with critically thin liquidity and an unverified contract. The investment thesis hinges entirely on whether the Supernova protocol can bootstrap meaningful TVL and trading volume — a challenge that has defeated the majority of ve(3,3) protocol entrants. The structural tokenomics (low dumpable supply, burn mechanism) are sound, but execution risk is extreme.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Supernova successfully bootstraps liquidity through its gauge voting and veNFT incentive system, attracting $1M+ in TVL and generating meaningful protocol fees. The burn-to-Supermassive-veNFT mechanism reduces circulating supply, and the protocol gains recognition in the Ethereum DeFi ecosystem. Price recovers toward the $0.003–$0.005 range as market cap grows to reflect actual protocol utility.

  • Successful TVL bootstrapping through gauge incentives attracting liquidity providers
  • Contract verification and security audit publication restoring investor confidence

Base Case

NOVA trades in a narrow range near current lows ($0.001126–$0.001300) for the near term, with sporadic low-volume activity from a small group of existing holders. The protocol remains operational but niche, with insufficient adoption to drive meaningful price appreciation. Gradual holder attrition continues as early participants exit.

  • No major protocol development announcements or partnerships in the near term
  • Liquidity remains at current critically thin levels without significant new capital inflows

Bear Case

High probability

The protocol fails to attract meaningful liquidity or users, trading activity continues to decline toward zero, and the remaining liquid holders gradually exit. The unverified contract deters institutional and informed retail participation. Price continues declining toward the $0.001126 major support and eventually below, with the token becoming effectively illiquid and abandoned.

  • Continued failure to attract TVL in a competitive DEX market dominated by established ve(3,3) protocols
  • Unverified contract and absent social presence preventing trust-building with potential users and liquidity providers

Analysis Details

Generated

Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-09 00:15 UTC

Model Confidence

Low

Data Snapshot

Price

$0.001170442812458710

Market Cap

$86.6K

24h Volume

$755.614

Holders

1,689

Liquidity

$15,277.88

Data Sources

On-chain transaction data (Ethereum mainnet)Holder distribution analytics (31-day daily timeseries)Daily OHLC price history (79-day window)Real on-chain swap data for recent notable tradesSmart contract security assessment (automated analysis)Top holder classification (protocol/contract vs individual wallet)

Limitations

  • Smart-money (top profitable trader cohort) data is unavailable, preventing assessment of informed capital positioning or realized PnL
  • Unverified smart contract prevents full security analysis — hidden contract functions or vulnerabilities cannot be ruled out
  • Extremely low trading volume (18 transactions, ~$755 in 24 hours) makes technical analysis less reliable as price levels reflect thin order books rather than genuine market consensus
  • No social media or team information available, preventing qualitative assessment of project legitimacy or development activity

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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