TOKE

Tokemak Price Today & AI Analysis

TOKE
Ethereum·AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 3, 2026

$0.0479

-0.97%24h
LiveContract:0x2e9d63788249371f1dfc918a52f8d799f4a38c94Chain:EthereumHolders:6.4KMarket cap:$4.79MLiquidity:$206.63K

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Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Movement since reportreport from Sep 3, 2026, 03:47 AM UTC
Market Cap

$4.79M

24h Volume

$13.78K

Liquidity

$206.63K

FDV

—

Holders

6.4K

24HLoading trading activity…

Holder Insights

Live

Total holders

—

AI Executive Summary

Tokemak (TOKE) is a deprecated Ethereum-based utility token, now approximately 60.9 months old, that previously powered the Tokemak liquidity-direction protocol before migrating to the AUTO token at a 1:1 ratio. With a market cap of roughly $4.79 million, 100 million tokens fully in circulation, and only $206,630 in DEX liquidity on SushiSwap, TOKE is effectively a legacy asset with no active protocol utility. Despite this, the token has staged a notable price recovery — up 40.3% over 30 days — though this occurs against a backdrop of near-zero trading activity and extreme concentration risk. Investors should treat TOKE as a high-risk, low-liquidity legacy token rather than an active protocol asset.

Figures cited above are from the market snapshot taken when this analysis ran — Sep 3, 2026, 03:47 AM UTC. Live values may differ; the key facts at the top of the page are current.

Risk: very_high
Sentiment: neutral
Fully deprecated protocol token with a completed 1:1 migration to AUTO, meaning any remaining TOKE holders are either legacy non-migrators or speculative traders
Extreme supply concentration with the top 10 holders controlling 85.5% of a fully circulating 100 million token supply, with no per-wallet data available to assess dump risk
Paradoxical 30-day price surge of +40.3% despite near-zero utility and minimal trading activity, suggesting speculative or migration-arbitrage driven price action

Tokemak AI Price Analysis

Low Confidence
Short-Term24h-7d
Bullish

TOKE is trading at $0.04793, sitting at 90% of its 90-day range ($0.02906–$0.05012), with a 7-day gain of +4.3% confirming near-term upward momentum. The recent daily close sequence shows a recovery from $0.04360 to $0.04793, with the price consolidating just above immediate support at $0.04782. The tight spread between immediate support ($0.04782) and immediate resistance ($0.04813) signals a coiling pattern that, given the prevailing uptrend, favors a breakout attempt toward the major resistance at $0.05012.

Medium-Term30d-90d
Bullish

The 30-day gain of +40.3% and 90-day gain of +23.8% establish a clear multi-window uptrend that is not a short-term fluke. Price has recovered from the 90-day low of $0.02906 and is now pressing against the top of the range, suggesting sustained buying interest over the medium term. However, the TOKE-to-AUTO migration narrative introduces structural uncertainty: if the protocol has fully migrated, demand for TOKE itself may be limited to legacy holders and arbitrageurs rather than new protocol participants.

Bullish Factors
  • +Strong multi-window price recovery: +4.3% over 7 days, +40.3% over 30 days, and +23.8% over 90 days, with price at 90% of the 90-day range — a sustained trend, not a single-day spike
  • +Buy pressure dominates at 58.5% of 24-hour volume ($8,055 buys vs. $5,722 sells), indicating net inflow despite the low transaction count
  • +Daily close sequence shows a consistent staircase pattern from $0.04360 to $0.04793 over the observed window, with no sharp reversal candles
Bearish Factors
  • -TOKE is a deprecated utility token — the protocol has fully migrated to AUTO at a 1:1 ratio, meaning TOKE has no ongoing protocol utility and demand is structurally capped
  • -Extremely thin on-chain activity: only 12 transactions from 10 unique participants in 24 hours, and zero transactions in the last hour, indicating near-zero organic demand
  • -Top 10 holders control 85.5% of supply; with per-wallet data unavailable, the concentration risk from potential large-holder exits cannot be assessed or dismissed

Disclaimer: This AI-generated prediction is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research.

TOKE call history

Full track record →
Sep 3bullish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

ChainEthereum
Contract0x2e9d...8c94
Total Supply—
Decimals—

Key Risks

•Structural demand collapse: TOKE has no active protocol utility following the 1:1 migration to AUTO. Any price appreciation is speculative and not supported by protocol revenue, staking demand, or governance utility — making sustained upside fundamentally unsupported.
•Liquidity trap: With only $206,630 in DEX liquidity and 85.5% of supply in the top 10 holders, a coordinated or even uncoordinated exit by large holders could cause a rapid price collapse with no meaningful buy-side depth to absorb it.
•Unknown concentration composition: The inability to inspect per-wallet holder data means the 85.5% top-10 concentration cannot be contextualized. If these are individual wallets rather than protocol contracts, the dumpable supply risk is critical rather than merely high.

Trading Insight

neutral

Trading sentiment is marginally positive by volume — 58.5% buy pressure — but the absolute activity level is so low (12 transactions in 24 hours, zero in the last hour) that this ratio carries little statistical weight. The market is effectively illiquid on a day-to-day basis, with price movements driven by a handful of participants rather than broad market consensus.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Trend Analysis

Short-Term (7d):
Bullish
Medium-Term (30d):
Bullish

Both short-term (+4.3% over 7 days) and medium-term (+40.3% over 30 days, +23.8% over 90 days) trends are bullish, with price at 90% of the 90-day range. The daily close sequence from $0.04360 to $0.04793 shows a consistent series of higher closes with only minor pullbacks, confirming the uptrend structure. Daily volatility of 3.4% (standard deviation of daily returns) is moderate, suggesting the trend is progressing without extreme intraday swings.

Momentum

Status:
Overbought

With price at 90% of the 90-day range and a 30-day gain of +40.3%, TOKE is approaching overbought territory relative to its own recent history. The price is pressing against the major resistance at $0.05012 — the 90-day high — and a failure to break through this level cleanly could trigger a mean-reversion pullback toward the $0.04782 immediate support or deeper toward the $0.02906 major support.

Volume Analysis

Buy 58.5%Sell 41.5%

Volume Trend: Decreasing

The 4-hour window shows zero buy transactions and only one sell, while the 1-hour window shows no activity at all. This declining intraday volume against a backdrop of a multi-week price uptrend is a classic divergence signal — price has risen but participation is fading, which can precede a reversal or extended consolidation.

Recent Price Action

The 14 most recent daily closes show a recovery from $0.04360, a push to a local high near $0.04872, a brief consolidation around $0.04726–$0.04813, and a current close at $0.04793. This is a high-base consolidation pattern just below the 90-day high of $0.05012.

High-base consolidation near a multi-month resistance level typically resolves either as a breakout (if buying pressure returns) or a distribution top (if volume continues to fade). Given the deprecated token status and declining intraday activity, the distribution scenario carries meaningful weight.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.04782
Major$0.02906
Resistance
Immediate$0.04813
Major$0.05012

The immediate support ($0.04782) and immediate resistance ($0.04813) are separated by only $0.00031 — a 0.6% range — indicating the price is in an extremely tight compression zone derived from recent OHLC swing highs and lows. A decisive close above $0.04813 opens the path to the major resistance at $0.05012 (the 90-day high). A break below $0.04782 would expose the token to a potentially sharp move toward the major support at $0.02906, which is 39% below current price and represents the 90-day low — illustrating the asymmetric downside risk in a low-liquidity deprecated token.

Overall Risk:
Very High
82/100

Risk Breakdown

Volatility
High

Daily return volatility of 3.4% (standard deviation) compounds to significant weekly and monthly swings. The 90-day range spans $0.02906 to $0.05012 — a 72% spread — and the token is currently at the top of that range. In a low-liquidity environment, even small sell orders can cause disproportionate price drops.

Liquidity
High

Total DEX liquidity of $206,630 on SushiSwap is extremely shallow for a $4.79M market cap token (liquidity-to-market-cap ratio of ~4.3%). Any position exceeding a few thousand dollars will face material slippage, and a large holder exit could drain the pool significantly. Only 12 transactions occurred in the past 24 hours, confirming near-zero market depth in practice.

Concentration
High

The top 10 holders control 85.5% of the fully circulating 100 million token supply. Per-wallet data is unavailable, so it cannot be determined whether these are protocol contracts, exchange wallets, or individual investors. Given the deprecated token status and thin liquidity, even a partial exit by a single top holder could be severely destabilizing.

Smart Contract
Medium

No contract security data is available from this chain's data provider, so this is an uninformed default rather than an assessment. The token's 60.9-month age without a known exploit provides some comfort, but the absence of a verifiable audit or security score means this risk cannot be properly quantified.

Regulatory
Medium

As a DeFi utility token on Ethereum, TOKE faces the same regulatory uncertainty as the broader DeFi sector. The migration to AUTO and the protocol's evolution into Auto Finance may attract regulatory scrutiny depending on how the new protocol is classified. No specific regulatory actions are known.

Key Risks

  • •Structural demand collapse: TOKE has no active protocol utility following the 1:1 migration to AUTO. Any price appreciation is speculative and not supported by protocol revenue, staking demand, or governance utility — making sustained upside fundamentally unsupported.
  • •Liquidity trap: With only $206,630 in DEX liquidity and 85.5% of supply in the top 10 holders, a coordinated or even uncoordinated exit by large holders could cause a rapid price collapse with no meaningful buy-side depth to absorb it.
  • •Unknown concentration composition: The inability to inspect per-wallet holder data means the 85.5% top-10 concentration cannot be contextualized. If these are individual wallets rather than protocol contracts, the dumpable supply risk is critical rather than merely high.

Mitigating Factors

  • •The token's 60.9-month history without a known rug-pull or exploit suggests the contract has been stable across multiple market cycles, reducing (but not eliminating) smart contract risk.
  • •The 1:1 migration ratio to AUTO provides a theoretical floor for TOKE's value relative to AUTO, as rational holders would migrate rather than sell below AUTO's price — though this assumes the migration window remains open.

Investor Suitability

TOKE is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced DeFi investors who understand deprecated token dynamics and have a specific thesis (e.g., migration arbitrage or speculative momentum trading). It is not appropriate for long-term investors, risk-averse participants, or anyone without a clear exit strategy given the thin liquidity and structural lack of utility.

TOKE presents a speculative, high-risk opportunity driven entirely by momentum and migration-arbitrage dynamics rather than fundamental protocol value. The 30-day price surge of +40.3% is technically impressive but structurally unsupported by utility, and the deprecated token status means the bull case is time-limited and fragile.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case
Low

TOKE breaks above the major resistance at $0.05012 on renewed speculative interest or migration-related buying, potentially reaching new multi-month highs. Broader DeFi market tailwinds and attention on the Auto Finance ecosystem could temporarily drive legacy TOKE demand as traders speculate on the AUTO migration narrative.

  • +Technical breakout above $0.05012 triggering momentum-driven buying in a thin liquidity environment
  • +Renewed attention on the Auto Finance / Tokemak ecosystem driving speculative demand for legacy TOKE positions
Base Case

TOKE consolidates in the $0.04400–$0.05012 range as the small remaining holder base neither aggressively buys nor sells. Price drifts sideways to slightly lower as the deprecated token gradually loses relevance, with occasional speculative spikes driven by low-volume order flow.

  • •Large holders do not aggressively exit their positions in the near term, maintaining the current price floor
  • •No major catalyst (positive or negative) emerges from the Auto Finance ecosystem to dramatically shift sentiment toward legacy TOKE
Bear Case
High

The 30-day rally exhausts itself at the 90-day high resistance ($0.05012), and the absence of protocol utility combined with fading trading activity leads to a gradual or sharp reversion toward the major support at $0.02906 — a potential 39% drawdown from current levels. A large holder exit in the thin liquidity environment could accelerate this decline.

  • -Structural absence of protocol utility post-migration to AUTO removes any fundamental demand floor
  • -Extreme concentration (85.5% top-10) combined with $206,630 liquidity creates conditions for a rapid price collapse if large holders decide to exit

Analysis Details

GeneratedSep 3, 2026, 03:47 AM UTC
Data FreshnessReal-time on-chain data
Model Confidence
Low

Data Snapshot

Price$0.0479340578804
Market Cap$4.79M
24h Volume$13.8K
Holders6,428
Liquidity$206.6K

Data Sources

Codex DEX market data (price, volume, liquidity)
Daily OHLC price history
Aggregate holder count and top-10 concentration

Limitations

  • •Holder growth history, size-tier distribution, and individual whale transaction data were unavailable for this analysis, preventing assessment of holder trend direction or dumpable supply composition
  • •Contract security data (audit status, contract verification, vulnerability scoring) is not available from this chain's data provider, leaving smart contract risk as an uninformed default
  • •Whale transaction records and smart-money cohort data were unavailable, meaning large-holder behavior and profitable-trader positioning cannot be assessed
  • •The token's deprecated status means historical price and volume patterns may have limited predictive value, as the token's market dynamics are driven by legacy holder behavior rather than active protocol participation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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