THUMB

Thumb Price Today & AI Analysis

THUMBSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 29, 2026

Price

$0.000103

+105.55% 24h

Contract

Live
thummB4jC8Sp36HbZsvdw2czXQDcQ3VBTMwDdLJEbuC

Chain

Solana

Holders

903

Market cap

$101,261

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Thumb: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-29 15:15 UTC

Holder addresses

903

Top 10 supply share

35.88%

Reported liquidity

$15,741.00
How concentrated is Thumb ownership?
As of 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 35.88% of supply. It reports 903 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Thumb?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $581,659.00 in buys and $571,221.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Thumb liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +372.11%, from $3,416.41 (2026-09-29 12:00 UTC) to $16,129.32 (2026-09-29 15:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-29 12:00 UTC$3,416.41
2026-09-29 13:00 UTC$11,388.93
2026-09-29 14:00 UTC$18,409.88
2026-09-29 15:00 UTC$16,129.32

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Sep 29, 03:16 PM UTC

FDV

$101,261

Liquidity

$15,741.00

Holders

903

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

THUMB is a very new PumpSwap token (about $101K FDV, $15.74K liquidity) that has just gone through an extreme price spike. Hourly candles on 2026-09-29 show the price rising from about $0.0000038 to a $0.000285 intrahour high, then falling back to about $0.000103. Trading activity is high relative to liquidity. Data on authorities, snipers and holder history is missing.

Key points

  • 24h volume of about $1.15M against only $15.74K liquidity
  • Hourly range of about 75x from low to high within four candles
  • Top-10 holders own 35.88% across 903 holder addresses
  • Mint/freeze authority and sniper data unavailable

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-72h

neutral

After a parabolic spike and a -23.7% 5m move, the price is likely to stay very volatile. Direction is not reliably predictable, and further sharp swings either way are plausible.

Target low

$0.00004

Target high

$0.00016

Support

$0.000102, $0.000037

Resistance

$0.000135, $0.000160, $0.000285

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

With only a few hours of candle history and thin liquidity, no medium-term view can be supported. Tokens like this often retrace after spikes, but the data doesn't show that outcome.

Catalysts

  • Growth in liquidity
  • Sustained organic volume
  • Social and community activity

Bullish factors

  • 24h change +105.5% and 1h +35.2%
  • Buy pressure slightly higher at 50.5%
  • 3,663 buyers vs 3,203 sellers
  • Social links present

Bearish factors

  • Liquidity of only $15.74K
  • Price down 23.7% in 5 minutes
  • Long upper wicks on candles 2 and 3 show rejection
  • Volume falling to $47K in the latest candle
  • Authority status unknown

Confidence: low. Only 4 hourly candles, a hyper-volatile price and no sniper or authority data.

THUMB call history

Full track record →

Sep 29neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
thummB...EbuC
Total Supply
985,725,212.33

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity
  • Parabolic spike with a reversal
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • Unknown sniper exposure

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Four hourly candles. Candle 1 is a rise from 0.0000038 to 0.0000096. Candle 2 is a huge expansion (high 0.000285, close 0.0000523) on $1.02M volume. Candle 3 closes higher at 0.000135 but has a long upper wick (high 0.000153). Candle 4 is a red candle closing at 0.000103 on much lower volume.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Very strong uptrend over the 4 candles, but the latest candle has turned down from the highs. Medium-term trend can't be established from this little history.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000102

Major support

$0.000037

Immediate resistance

$0.000135

Major resistance

$0.000285

Support comes from the latest candle low (0.000102) and the candle 3 low (0.0000372). Resistance comes from the candle 3 close/open (0.000135), the candle 3 and 4 highs (0.000153 to 0.000161), and the candle 2 spike high (0.000285).

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic expansion
  • Long upper wicks on candles 2 and 3 (rejection)
  • Bearish reversal candle after the spike
  • Falling volume after the peak

Liquidity

Liquidity

$15,741.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is very thin at $15.74K, about 15% of FDV. 24h volume of about $1.15M is roughly 73x liquidity, so slippage and price impact are likely large. Flow is balanced: 11,676 buys vs 8,548 sells, and 3,663 buyers vs 3,203 sellers.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

985,725,212.33

FDV

$101.26K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The price moved about 75x from low to high within hours, +105.5% in 24h and -23.7% in 5m.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $15.74K liquidity against about $1.15M 24h volume.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 hold 35.88%, which is meaningful. Top-100 data and wallet classification are missing.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity
  • Parabolic spike with a reversal
  • Unknown mint/freeze authorities
  • Unknown sniper exposure
  • 35.88% top-10 concentration
  • Unverified contract and spam status

Mitigating factors

  • Balanced buy/sell flow
  • 903 holder addresses
  • Social links listed

Suitable for

Only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss. Not suitable for conservative investors.

A speculative, freshly launched micro-cap with a large spike, thin liquidity and major data gaps. The risk/reward is dominated by volatility and unknowns.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum and community interest keep volume up, liquidity grows and price holds above about $0.0001.

  • Rising liquidity
  • Sustained buyer count
  • Social traction

Base Case

Choppy, highly volatile trading with a downward bias as the hype cools.

  • Volume keeps decaying
  • Liquidity stays thin
  • No major new catalysts

Bear Case

High probability

The post-spike retracement continues as early buyers take profits into thin liquidity, and price falls toward $0.00004 or lower.

  • Rejection wicks
  • Falling volume
  • Shallow liquidity
  • Unknown authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 29, 03:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-29 15:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • PumpSwap pair price
  • Hourly OHLC (4 candles)
  • 24h trading analytics
  • Holder aggregates (current snapshot)

Limitations

  • Only 4 hourly candles
  • No sniper data
  • No mint/freeze authority data
  • No holder history or wallet labels
  • Top-100 concentration unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Thumb ownership?

As of 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 35.88% of supply. It reports 903 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Thumb?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-29 15:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $581,659.00 in buys and $571,221.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Thumb liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +372.11%, from $3,416.41 (2026-09-29 12:00 UTC) to $16,129.32 (2026-09-29 15:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Thumb (THUMB)?

After a parabolic spike and a -23.7% 5m move, the price is likely to stay very volatile. Direction is not reliably predictable, and further sharp swings either way are plausible. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-72h), with a target range of $0.00004 to $0.00016.

Is THUMB a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. Only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford a total loss. Not suitable for conservative investors.

What are the key risks of holding THUMB?

Extremely thin liquidity • Parabolic spike with a reversal • Unknown mint/freeze authorities

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