FIRST

First of the month Price Prediction 2026

FIRST
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 2, 2026

sKGw125HJs8vLQcfLF1UJ6ApSS2zVjFz3CqXamspump

$0.051471

FDV $1,471

LiveContract:sKGw125HJs8vLQcfLF1UJ6ApSS2zVjFz3CqXamspumpChain:SolanaHolders:51Market cap:$1,471

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Report snapshotas of May 2, 03:47 AM
FDV

$21,948

Liquidity

$0

Holders

136

Snipers

19

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

FIRST (First of the month) is a meme-themed Solana token launched on PumpSwap with mint address sKGw125HJs8vLQcfLF1UJ6ApSS2zVjFz3CqXamspump. The token has a fully diluted valuation of ~$21,948 and is currently trading at $0.0000219, down ~29.6% in 24 hours. The token experienced a sharp spike and rapid dump on May 1st, consistent with a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Holder count exploded from 27 to 147 in a single day (+82%), but sell pressure is overwhelming at 79.8% of 24h volume. Liquidity is reported as $0.00, making this an extremely high-risk, illiquid micro-cap token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Meme/cultural theme tied to 'first of the month' — purely speculative narrative
Launched on PumpSwap with a very small FDV (~$21,948)
Massive single-day holder surge (+120 holders, +82%) coinciding with a price spike and subsequent -29.6% crash
Top holder (DTk3ggeyPo7VzHhxrCTE2p9tRQKUESQuHqkfi4PGvYtg) holds 26.17% — likely the PumpSwap liquidity pool address
19 snipers identified in first 1000 blocks, majority in profit, indicating early buyers have been selling into retail

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

Price is in a clear downtrend following the May 1st spike from ~$0.0000362 to a high of ~$0.0000584 and subsequent collapse to current ~$0.0000219. Sell pressure dominates at 79.8% of 24h volume. With $0 reported liquidity and 597 sellers vs 207 buyers, further downside is the path of least resistance. The most recent candle (candle [1]) shows flat price action at $0.0000219 with near-zero volume ($2.91), suggesting price discovery has stalled at lows.

Target low$0.0000150
Target high$0.0000270
Support: $0.0000219 (current price / recent low), $0.0000177 (estimated 20% below current, next psychological level)
Resistance: $0.0000254 (candle [3] close / candle [2] low), $0.0000273 (candle [4] high / candle [8] high), $0.0000434 (candle [10] close / candle [9] low)

Medium term

bearish
1–4 weeks

The token sat dormant at 27 holders for the entire month of April before a single-day pump event. Without sustained community development, utility, or new catalysts, the token is likely to continue declining or become illiquid. The meme narrative ('first of the month') is time-bound and may not recur with the same intensity.

Catalysts
  • Next 'first of the month' (June 1) could trigger a speculative narrative revival
  • Listing on a DEX aggregator or broader discovery could bring new buyers
  • Whale accumulation by a large holder could stabilize price

Bullish factors

  • Holder count grew +120 in a single day, showing rapid community discovery
  • Some snipers still holding (e.g., sniper [3] holds $734 balance), suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • Meme narrative ('first of the month') could recur monthly
  • Token is not flagged as spam

Bearish factors

  • Price down -29.6% in 24h with 79.8% sell pressure
  • Reported liquidity is $0.00 — extreme slippage risk for any meaningful trade
  • Top 10 holders control 38.73%, top 100 control 99.95% — extreme concentration
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before the pump, suggesting manufactured activity
  • Majority of snipers are in profit and have been selling into the market
  • No verified contract, no social links, no utility described
  • Update authority is unknown; mutable status is false but authority details unclear
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely small market cap (~$21,948 FDV), near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported), very short trading history (token was dormant for ~30 days then spiked), and the meme-driven nature of price action which is inherently unpredictable. OHLC data covers only ~14 hours of meaningful trading.

Deep Analysis

The 13 available hourly candles (May 1 13:00 UTC through May 2 03:00 UTC) tell a clear pump-and-dump story. Candle [13] (13:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000362 and closed at $0.0000584 on massive volume ($56,790) — a strong bullish engulfing/launch candle. Candle [12] (14:00 UTC) opened and hit a high of $0.0000571 but closed sharply lower at $0.0000362 on $49,374 volume — a bearish shooting star/gravestone doji signaling the top. Candle [11] (15:00 UTC) shows an anomalous low of $0.0001183 (likely a data artifact or thin-book wick) with close at $0.0000571. Candles [10]–[9] show continued selling from $0.0000571 down to $0.0000269. Candles [8]–[5] show a brief consolidation/dead-cat bounce between $0.0000239–$0.0000273. Candles [4]–[1] show continued drift lower to $0.0000219 with rapidly declining volume ($730 → $164 → $2.91), indicating exhaustion and near-zero interest.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 20%Sell 80%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token made a single sharp high on May 1 and has been making lower highs and lower lows since. Volume is collapsing, confirming the downtrend has no buying support.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000219 (current price, recent multi-hour low)
Major$0.0000177 (estimated ~20% below current, no prior price history to anchor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000254 (candle [3] open / candle [2] low area)
Major$0.0000273 (candle [4] high, candle [8] high — repeated rejection zone)

The $0.0000219–$0.0000225 zone has acted as a floor over the last several candles. The $0.0000254–$0.0000273 band represents the first meaningful resistance cluster where multiple candles found highs and lows. A recovery above $0.0000273 would be needed to suggest any bullish reversal. The all-time high area of $0.0000584 is very distant resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: explosive launch candle followed by immediate distribution
  • Bearish shooting star / gravestone doji at candle [12] — classic top reversal signal
  • Volume exhaustion: 99.99% volume collapse from peak to most recent candle
  • Dead-cat bounce: brief consolidation at $0.0000239–$0.0000273 (candles [5]–[8]) before resuming downtrend
  • Lower highs and lower lows across candles [9] through [1]
  • Possible data artifact: candle [11] low of $0.0001183 is above the open/close, suggesting a thin-book wick or data error

Total holders136
24h Δ+80
7d Δ+80
30d Δ+80
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is inversely correlated with price in this case — the +120 holder surge on May 1 coincided with the pump peak and subsequent -29.6% price decline. New holders appear to have bought into the pump and are now underwater. The 1h change of -1 holder (-0.74%) suggests some early holders are already exiting.

The historical holder data shows the token was completely stagnant at 27 holders for the entire month of April (April 2–30, zero net change every day). On May 1, holders exploded by +120 (+82%) to 147, then the current snapshot shows 136 — meaning 11 holders have already exited since the May 1 peak. The growth is entirely concentrated in a single day and is directly tied to the pump event rather than organic community building. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (all +109/+80%), confirming the token had zero holder growth for the prior 29 days. This is a red flag indicating the holder surge is pump-driven, not organic.

Top 10 hold38.73%
Top 100 hold99.95%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

DTk3ggeyPo7VzHhxrCTE2p9tRQKUESQuHqkfi4PGvYtg

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

26.17%

8v4YAkNQaryXDSyrLKJ65TiPcqzp7Ztrws1NTdr9mQ4J

Individual whale / possible team wallet (round balance of 34,600,000 tokens)

3.46%

3kQqERQ7ddMusmRgYyDzHfx5iCsQzZYyFK4obsCq8yeS

Individual whale

1.24%

3XnCpK3VT8WJrcyqEK4WkmdcbBNPVPJx2RL5Rop8Jbmo

Individual whale (one of ~16 wallets holding ~11.25M tokens each — possible airdrop or structured distribution)

1.13%

HzXjvkur46W9wmpDpdyeVLicucJZThzHTmVD3JgBAfT1

Individual whale (one of ~16 wallets holding ~11.25M tokens each — possible airdrop or structured distribution)

1.13%

The top holder (26.17%, address DTk3ggeyPo7VzHhxrCTE2p9tRQKUESQuHqkfi4PGvYtg) matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data, indicating this is the liquidity pool holding. Excluding the LP, the next largest holder controls 3.46% with a suspiciously round balance of 34,600,000 tokens. Holders [4] through [20] each hold almost exactly 11,250,000 tokens (~1.12–1.13% each) — 17 wallets with nearly identical balances is a major red flag suggesting a structured pre-distribution, airdrop, or sybil attack. Top 10 holders control 38.73% of supply; top 100 control 99.95%, leaving only 0.05% of supply outside the top 100 — extreme concentration. Overall sentiment is distributing given the dominant sell pressure and sniper exits.

Liquidity$0.00 (as reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$28,170
Sell$111,470
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers207
Unique sellers597

Liquidity is reported as $0.00, which is an extreme red flag — any trade of meaningful size will face catastrophic slippage. The 24h trading data shows 597 sellers vs 207 buyers (nearly 3:1 ratio), with sell volume ($111,470) dwarfing buy volume ($28,170) at a 79.8%/20.2% split. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). Despite 631 unique wallets trading in 24h, the market is clearly in distribution mode. The PumpSwap pair (DTk3ggeyPo7VzHhxrCTE2p9tRQKUESQuHqkfi4PGvYtg) holds 26.17% of supply as the LP, but the $0 liquidity reading suggests the pool may be nearly drained or the data reflects a reporting issue. Volume has collapsed from $56,790/hour at peak to $2.91 in the most recent hour, indicating the market is effectively dead.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,999,997.68
FDV$21,947.68

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,999,997.68), a standard round supply for PumpFun/PumpSwap launches. The FDV is extremely small at ~$21,948, placing this firmly in micro-cap territory. The metadata lists update authority as 'unknown' and mutable as 'false'. Since mutable is false, the token metadata cannot be changed, which is a mild positive. However, mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the data — they cannot be confirmed as renounced. The token was launched via PumpSwap (sKGw...pump suffix confirms PumpFun origin), where mint authority is typically burned at launch, but this cannot be verified from the provided data alone. No social links, no verified contract, and no utility description are present. The token description ('It's the first of the month!') is purely meme-driven with no stated utility or roadmap.

Volatility
high

Price dropped ~62% from the May 1 peak of ~$0.0000584 to current $0.0000219 within ~14 hours. 24h change is -29.6%. Hourly candles show extreme volatility with volume swings from $56,790 to $2.91.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is reported as $0.00. Any trade beyond a few dollars will face extreme slippage. The market is effectively illiquid at current levels.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 38.73% of supply; top 100 control 99.95%. Seventeen wallets hold nearly identical balances of ~11.25M tokens each, suggesting structured pre-distribution. A single large holder exit could devastate the price.

SniperDump
high

19 snipers identified; 14 of 19 are in profit (PnL ranging from +15.9% to +269.4%). The largest sniper sold $9,867 at +143% profit. High sell-through rate confirms snipers are actively distributing into retail demand. Residual sniper holdings (e.g., $734 balance for sniper [3]) represent ongoing dump risk.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown' and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from provided data. Mutable is false (metadata cannot be changed), which is a mild positive. PumpFun-origin tokens typically have mint authority burned, but this is unverified here.

Key risks

  • Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exit extremely difficult
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 79.8% of 24h volume is sells, 597 sellers vs 207 buyers
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before a single-day pump — suggests coordinated/manufactured activity
  • 17 wallets with nearly identical ~11.25M token balances — possible sybil/structured dump setup
  • Snipers predominantly in profit and actively selling into retail
  • No verified contract, no social links, no utility, no team transparency
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$21,948) with extreme concentration (top 100 = 99.95% of supply)
  • Price already down 62% from peak with no signs of reversal

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (mutable: false), preventing metadata rug
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap origin typically includes mint authority burn at launch
  • Not flagged as spam by data provider
  • Some snipers still holding (e.g., $734 balance), suggesting not all smart money has fully exited
  • Holder count grew significantly (+120 in one day), showing some community discovery
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap meme token dynamics on Solana. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of any portfolio).

FIRST is a micro-cap meme token on Solana that experienced a classic pump-and-dump on May 1, 2026. The token was dormant for 30 days, then spiked ~61% before collapsing ~62% from peak. Smart money (snipers) is predominantly in profit and distributing. Liquidity is near-zero, concentration is extreme, and sell pressure dominates. The only speculative thesis rests on the recurring 'first of the month' meme narrative.

Bull case (low)

Monthly meme revival: The 'first of the month' narrative recurs on June 1, attracting new speculative buyers. A coordinated social media push drives volume and price recovery toward previous highs (~$0.0000584). Liquidity is added to the pool, reducing slippage and enabling larger trades.

  • Recurring monthly meme catalyst (June 1)
  • Social media/influencer discovery
  • New liquidity provision to PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum

Base case

Slow bleed to irrelevance: Price continues drifting lower from $0.0000219 toward $0.0000100–$0.0000150 over the next 2–4 weeks as remaining holders gradually exit. Volume remains near-zero. The token survives but becomes effectively untradeable with no meaningful price discovery.

  • No new catalysts emerge before June 1
  • Remaining holders gradually exit without a coordinated dump
  • Liquidity pool remains minimally funded
  • No new exchange listings or social media discovery

Bear case (high)

Complete collapse: Remaining snipers and whales exit their positions, draining the last of the liquidity. Price falls to near-zero as the token becomes untradeable. The 'first of the month' narrative fails to attract new buyers in subsequent months.

  • $0.00 reported liquidity makes exit impossible for larger holders
  • 17 structured whale wallets (~11.25M each) begin selling
  • Sniper [3] exits remaining $734 position
  • No community, no utility, no social presence to sustain interest
  • Token returns to 27-holder dormancy as in April 2026

GeneratedMay 2, 03:47 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-02T03:00 UTC. Most recent OHLC candle is [1] at 03:00 UTC with $2.91 volume.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • PumpSwap price feed (USD and WSOL)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (13 candles, May 1–2 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, acquisition method)
  • Historical daily holder counts (30-day series)
  • Sniper analysis (19 snipers, first 1000 blocks, realized PnL)

Limitations

  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data reporting issue or reflect a genuinely drained pool; cannot distinguish without direct pool inspection
  • Sniper 'sniped' amounts and most 'balance' fields are listed as 'unknown', limiting precise sniper concentration calculation (estimated ~1.9% based on available balance data)
  • Only 13 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; no daily or weekly chart data
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are not explicitly confirmed — cannot definitively assess rug risk from authorities
  • Token has only ~14 hours of meaningful trading history, making all trend analysis highly preliminary
  • Candle [11] shows an anomalous low of $0.0001183 (above open/close) which may be a data artifact
  • No social links or team information available for qualitative assessment
  • Historical holder data shows only daily granularity; intraday holder dynamics during the pump are not visible

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens on Solana carries extreme risk of total loss. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,999,997.68

Key Risks

Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exit extremely difficult
Overwhelming sell pressure: 79.8% of 24h volume is sells, 597 sellers vs 207 buyers
Token was dormant for 30 days before a single-day pump — suggests coordinated/manufactured activity
17 wallets with nearly identical ~11.25M token balances — possible sybil/structured dump setup

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of 19 identified snipers, 14 show positive realized PnL percentages, with gains ranging from +15.9% to +269.4%. Only 3 snipers show negative PnL (-9.2%, -11.3%, -12.9%). The largest sniper by exit value (AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51) sold $9,867 at +143% profit. Total sniper sell-through is high — most have already exited or are in the process of exiting. Sniper [3] still holds $734 in balance, representing residual smart money exposure. The overwhelming profitability of snipers confirms they bought at launch prices far below the pump peak and have been systematically distributing to retail buyers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration1.90%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper [15] (AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51) sold $9,867 at +143% PnL — the largest single sniper exit. Sniper [3] (5BdPuPo5gRmsAowazb3iMvgv1YMJ77C3VdWRhAWr6uA5) sold $1,030 at +248% PnL and still holds $734. Sniper [9] (2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY) sold $1,226 at +96.6% PnL.

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and have been actively selling. The high sell-through rate and positive PnL across 14 of 19 snipers indicates smart money has largely exited or is exiting, leaving retail holders at a disadvantage. Only 2 snipers have a $0 balance (fully exited), but most others show sold amounts with unknown remaining balances.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for First of the month (FIRST)?

Price is in a clear downtrend following the May 1st spike from ~$0.0000362 to a high of ~$0.0000584 and subsequent collapse to current ~$0.0000219. Sell pressure dominates at 79.8% of 24h volume. With $0 reported liquidity and 597 sellers vs 207 buyers, further downside is the path of least resistance. The most recent candle (candle [1]) shows flat price action at $0.0000219 with near-zero volume ($2.91), suggesting price discovery has stalled at lows. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.0000150 to $0.0000270.

Is FIRST a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap meme token dynamics on Solana. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of any portfolio).

How are FIRST holders trending?

First of the month currently has 136 holders and is growing (24h: 80, 7d: 80, 30d: 80). The historical holder data shows the token was completely stagnant at 27 holders for the entire month of April (April 2–30, zero net change every day). On May 1, holders exploded by +120 (+82%) to 147, then the current snapshot shows 136 — meaning 11 holders have already exited since the May 1 peak. The growth is entirely concentrated in a single day and is directly tied to the pump event rather than organic community building. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure (all +109/+80%), confirming the token had zero holder growth for the prior 29 days. This is a red flag indicating the holder surge is pump-driven, not organic.

What does sniper activity look like for FIRST?

Snipers hold roughly 1.90% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding FIRST?

Near-zero liquidity ($0.00 reported) makes exit extremely difficult • Overwhelming sell pressure: 79.8% of 24h volume is sells, 597 sellers vs 207 buyers • Token was dormant for 30 days before a single-day pump — suggests coordinated/manufactured activity

Track FIRST