Belmar

Luke Belmar Price Today & AI Analysis

BelmarSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 30, 2026

Price

$0.051924

Contract

Live
abyRjqo79UqM7kW8ouJax8mZQMpLHkh3mk7XFH5pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

44

Market cap

$1,919

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Luke Belmar: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-30 07:18 UTC

Holder addresses

144

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$35,137.82
How concentrated is Luke Belmar ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 144 addresses (2026-06-30 07:18 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Luke Belmar?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Luke Belmar liquidity falling?
As of 2026-06-30 07:18 UTC, reported liquidity was $35,137.82. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-30 07:18 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 30, 07:18 AM UTC

FDV

$109,011

Liquidity

$35,137.82

Holders

144

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Belmar (BELMAR) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana trading at $0.000109, with a fully diluted valuation of ~$109K and only $35.14K in total liquidity. The token has experienced a catastrophic -58.19% price drop in 24 hours, driven by overwhelming sell pressure (83% of volume). Holder data is highly anomalous: the historical series shows a flat 15 holders for 30 days, yet the current snapshot reports 144 holders with +129 added in the last hour — a discrepancy that strongly suggests data inconsistency or wash activity. Top holder data is entirely unavailable, making concentration analysis impossible. No sniper data is available. The token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a high-risk, low-liquidity meme token in active decline.

Key points

  • Extreme sell pressure: 83% of 24h volume is sells ($130.68K sell vs $26.69K buy)
  • Anomalous holder data: 30-day historical series shows flat 15 holders, then +129 jump in 1 hour
  • Critically shallow liquidity: only $35.14K total liquidity against $109K FDV
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price has collapsed -58.19% in 24h from ~$0.000261 to $0.000109. The most recent hourly candle (07:00 UTC) opened at $0.000235 and closed at $0.000109 — a massive bearish candle with a long upper wick, confirming aggressive selling. With 83% sell pressure, 1,749 sells vs 386 buys, and only $35.14K liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. The 5-minute change of -18.34% confirms selling is ongoing.

Target low

$0.000050

Target high

$0.000150

Support

$0.000106 (recent hourly low), $0.000050 (psychological / near-zero floor)

Resistance

$0.000150 (current area), $0.000235 (prior hourly open), $0.000240 (recent hourly high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the token's micro-cap status ($109K FDV), near-zero liquidity, no verified contract, unknown update authority, and the complete absence of fundamental catalysts or community growth (30 days of flat holder count at 15), sustained recovery is unlikely without a significant external catalyst. The token appears to be in terminal decline.

Catalysts

  • Any viral social media attention (Twitter/X) could trigger a short-lived pump
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally could lift all boats temporarily
  • Absence of positive catalysts makes recovery structurally unlikely

Bullish factors

  • Price is near recent lows (~$0.000106), creating a potential short-term bounce zone
  • 128 unique buyers in 24h suggests some residual demand
  • Mutable=false reduces one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 83% sell pressure ($130.68K sells vs $26.69K buys)
  • -58.19% price drop in 24h with no sign of stabilization
  • 5-minute price change of -18.34% shows selling is accelerating
  • Only $35.14K liquidity — any meaningful sell order will crater price
  • No verified contract, no top holder transparency
  • 30 days of stagnant holder growth (flat at 15) prior to suspicious +129 spike
  • FDV of $109K with no clear use case or community

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) top holder data is entirely missing; (3) holder metrics are internally inconsistent (30-day flat at 15 vs current 144); (4) no sniper data. The directional bias (bearish) is high-confidence, but specific price targets carry wide uncertainty.

Belmar call history

Full track record →

Jun 30bearish
24h-98.6%
7d-98.6%
30d-98.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
abyRjq...pump
Total Supply
999,999,992.13

Key Risks

  • Active price collapse: -58.19% in 24h with no sign of stabilization
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($35.14K) — exit liquidity is severely limited
  • Unknown token authority status — potential rug vector
  • No top holder transparency — concentration risk unquantifiable

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (06:00 UTC): O=$0.0000311, H=$0.000235, L=$0.0000311, C=$0.000235 — a strong bullish candle with a massive range, suggesting an initial pump from near-zero. Candle [1] (07:00 UTC): O=$0.000235, H=$0.000240, L=$0.000106, C=$0.000109 — a large bearish engulfing candle that nearly fully reversed the prior candle's gains. The close near the low of the range with a tiny upper wick at $0.000240 indicates sellers dominated the entire hour. This two-candle sequence (pump then immediate dump) is a classic 'pump and dump' pattern.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both available candles and the 24h price action (-58.19%) confirm a strong short-term downtrend. The medium-term trend is also bearish given 30 days of holder stagnation and no price history suggesting prior accumulation.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

17%

Sell

83%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000106 (hourly low of candle [1])

Major support

$0.000031 (candle [2] open/low — near-launch price)

Immediate resistance

$0.000150 (mid-range of recent candle [1])

Major resistance

$0.000240 (candle [1] high — recent peak)

The $0.000106 level is the most recent hourly low and acts as immediate support. A break below this opens the path to the $0.000031 launch price. Resistance sits at $0.000150 (mid-candle) and $0.000240 (the recent high). Given the bearish engulfing pattern, resistance levels are likely to hold.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump two-candle sequence: strong bullish candle followed by near-full bearish reversal
  • Bearish engulfing: candle [1] opens at candle [2]'s close and closes near candle [2]'s open
  • High upper wick on candle [1] at $0.000240 indicating strong rejection at highs
  • Volume climax on pump candle ($136K) followed by volume dry-up on dump ($15.7K)

Liquidity

Liquidity

$35,137.82

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $35.14K against a $109K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~32%. This means any moderately sized sell order will cause severe price impact. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $130.68K in sells vs $26.69K in buys, representing a net outflow of ~$104K. The sell-to-buy ratio of 4.9:1 by volume and 4.5:1 by unique participants (781 sellers vs 128 buyers) confirms the market is in active distribution. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair 431NKkNNCszHkYJ3Q1Yi1KgsHRQKoVoKpiRpP7mNB9Tg), which is a permissionless AMM with no circuit breakers. Slippage risk is high — a $1,000 sell order against $35K liquidity would likely move price by 3–5% or more. Market health is poor across all metrics.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,992.13

FDV

$109,011.24

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    -58.19% price drop in 24 hours. 5-minute change of -18.34%. Two-candle pump-and-dump pattern. Extreme price volatility typical of micro-cap meme tokens with shallow liquidity.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $35.14K total liquidity. Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~32%. High slippage risk on any meaningful position. A $5K sell could move price by 10%+ given current depth.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Active price collapse: -58.19% in 24h with no sign of stabilization
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($35.14K) — exit liquidity is severely limited
  • Unknown token authority status — potential rug vector
  • No top holder transparency — concentration risk unquantifiable
  • Anomalous holder data suggesting possible wash activity or data manipulation
  • 30 days of dormancy followed by sudden pump-and-dump is a classic exit scam pattern
  • Unverified contract with no description or whitepaper
  • 83% sell pressure with 4.5:1 seller-to-buyer ratio

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority (though unconfirmed here)
  • Token has social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggesting some public presence
  • 128 unique buyers in 24h shows residual demand exists

Suitable for

This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced traders with very high risk tolerance who are willing to accept near-total loss of capital. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of portfolio). The current data profile — pump-and-dump pattern, 83% sell pressure, unknown authorities, missing holder data, and shallow liquidity — makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

Belmar (BELMAR) is a PumpFun meme token that appears to have executed a classic pump-and-dump cycle. The token sat dormant for 30+ days with 15 holders, then experienced a sudden price spike to $0.000240 followed by an immediate -58% collapse. With 83% sell pressure, $35K liquidity, unknown authorities, and no fundamental value proposition, the risk-reward is extremely unfavorable for new entrants.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Short-term speculative bounce driven by social media virality or broader Solana meme coin market momentum. If the token gains traction on Twitter/X (it has social links), a second pump wave could temporarily push price back toward $0.000200–$0.000240.

  • Viral social media attention on Twitter/X
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • New whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Community building around the Luke Belmar brand

Base Case

Price stabilizes in the $0.000050–$0.000110 range as panic selling exhausts itself, but fails to recover meaningfully. The token trades at low volume with occasional speculative pumps, gradually losing value over weeks as holders exit.

  • Selling pressure moderates as most motivated sellers have already exited
  • A small speculative community forms around the token
  • No rug pull event occurs (authorities not exercised maliciously)
  • Broader market conditions remain neutral for Solana meme coins

Bear Case

High probability

Continued price collapse toward near-zero as remaining holders exit into the thin $35K liquidity pool. The token becomes illiquid and effectively worthless, with no recovery catalyst.

  • Ongoing 83% sell pressure with no sign of reversal
  • Critically shallow liquidity accelerating price impact on sells
  • No fundamental value, use case, or verified team
  • 30-day dormancy pattern suggests no organic community
  • Unknown authority status leaves rug risk open

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 30, 07:18 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-30 07:18 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain metadata (mint: abyRjqo79UqM7kW8ouJax8mZQMpLHkh3mk7XFH5pump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (431NKkNNCszHkYJ3Q1Yi1KgsHRQKoVoKpiRpP7mNB9Tg)
  • Hourly OHLC candles (2 candles available)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and 30-day historical holder series
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top holder data entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper data unavailable — smart money signals are inferred from trading analytics only
  • Holder metrics are internally inconsistent (30-day flat at 15 vs current 144 with +129 in 1h)
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • Supply concentration shows 0% for top10 and top100 — likely a data artifact
  • No historical price data beyond 2 candles — medium-term trend analysis is limited

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party APIs which may contain errors, lags, or inconsistencies. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decision. Past price action does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Luke Belmar ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 144 addresses (2026-06-30 07:18 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Luke Belmar?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Luke Belmar liquidity falling?

As of 2026-06-30 07:18 UTC, reported liquidity was $35,137.82. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Luke Belmar (Belmar)?

Price has collapsed -58.19% in 24h from ~$0.000261 to $0.000109. The most recent hourly candle (07:00 UTC) opened at $0.000235 and closed at $0.000109 — a massive bearish candle with a long upper wick, confirming aggressive selling. With 83% sell pressure, 1,749 sells vs 386 buys, and only $35.14K liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. The 5-minute change of -18.34% confirms selling is ongoing. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000050 to $0.000150.

Is Belmar a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is NOT suitable for any risk-averse investor. It may only be considered by highly experienced traders with very high risk tolerance who are willing to accept near-total loss of capital. Position sizing should be minimal (well under 1% of portfolio). The current data profile — pump-and-dump pattern, 83% sell pressure, unknown authorities, missing holder data, and shallow liquidity — makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

What are the key risks of holding Belmar?

Active price collapse: -58.19% in 24h with no sign of stabilization • Critically shallow liquidity ($35.14K) — exit liquidity is severely limited • Unknown token authority status — potential rug vector

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