MELANICOIN

MELANIA COIN Price Today & AI Analysis

MELANICOIN
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 15, 2026

Z365KEtG6bLcs58K4DTcpcpTGNdn4N6QkxxadGnpump

$0.052393

+12.87%

FDV $2,391

LiveContract:Z365KEtG6bLcs58K4DTcpcpTGNdn4N6QkxxadGnpumpChain:SolanaHolders:152Market cap:$2,391

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Ask Unhosted AI about MELANICOIN

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 15, 12:17 PM
FDV

$2,933

Liquidity

$21,133

Holders

247

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

MELANICOIN (MELANICOIN) is an extremely new, micro-cap meme token on Solana launched via PumpSwap, with a fully diluted valuation of only ~$2,932 and total liquidity of $21.13K. The token experienced a catastrophic price collapse of ~97% in the past 24 hours, dropping from an open of ~$0.000178 to a current price of ~$0.00000293. The historical holder data shows the token sat dormant at 9 holders for the entire prior 30-day period, with 238 new holders acquired in the last hour alone — a pattern consistent with a pump-and-dump event. The token is unverified, the update authority is not renounced, and all on-chain signals point to extreme risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~97%, consistent with a completed pump-and-dump
Token was dormant at 9 holders for 30+ days before a sudden burst of 238 new holders in 1 hour
Extremely low FDV of ~$2,932 and shallow liquidity of $21.13K
Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM)
Sell pressure slightly dominates: 52.5% sell vs 47.5% buy volume; more unique sellers (852) than buyers (427)

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already collapsed ~97% from its 24h open. The current price of ~$0.00000293 is near the candle low of ~$0.00000179. With only $21.13K in liquidity, any further selling could push the price to near zero. There is no meaningful technical support below current levels given the depth of the collapse.

Target low$0.0000001
Target high$0.000010
Support: $0.00000179 (candle 1 low), $0.000001 (psychological)
Resistance: $0.000031 (candle 2 low / prior support), $0.000174 (candle 2 close), $0.000280 (candle 1 high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's dormancy for 30+ days prior to this event, the near-total price collapse, and the absence of any verified utility or project fundamentals, a sustained recovery is highly unlikely. The token is likely to trend toward zero unless a new speculative wave emerges.

Catalysts
  • Renewed meme/political narrative around the Melania Trump brand
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Coordinated re-pump by early holders (high risk to new buyers)

Bullish factors

  • High transaction count (8,936 buys in 24h) suggests some speculative interest remains
  • Buy volume ($274.98K) is substantial relative to FDV, indicating some demand
  • Political meme theme (Melania Trump) could attract renewed attention

Bearish factors

  • Price already down ~97% in 24h — most damage done, but further downside possible
  • More unique sellers (852) than buyers (427) — distribution heavily outweighs accumulation
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days prior — no organic community growth
  • Liquidity of only $21.13K means large slippage on any meaningful exit
  • FDV of ~$2,932 is near-zero, leaving little room for value recovery
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced authority increase rug risk
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly candles of OHLC data are available, the token has no verified fundamentals, holder data is anomalous (dormant then sudden spike), and the price has already collapsed ~97%. Predictions are based on pattern recognition of pump-and-dump dynamics rather than robust technical data.

MELANICOIN call history

Full track record →
Jul 15bearish
24h-41.0%
7d-45.0%
30d-46.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle 2 (11:00 UTC): O=$0.0000338, H=$0.000252, L=$0.0000313, C=$0.000175 — a strong bullish candle with a large upper wick, suggesting a pump with partial rejection. Candle 1 (12:00 UTC): O=$0.000178, H=$0.000281, L=$0.00000179, C=$0.00000294 — a catastrophic bearish engulfing/collapse candle. The open was near the prior close, briefly pushed to a new high ($0.000281), then collapsed to a low of $0.00000179, closing near the bottom. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candle pattern: a new high followed by a near-total wipeout in a single hour.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 48%Sell 53%

The token is in a severe short-term downtrend following a single-candle collapse of ~98.4% from open to close in the most recent hourly candle. The medium-term trend is also bearish given 30 days of dormancy followed by this event.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00000179 (Candle 1 low)
Major$0.000001 (psychological near-zero level)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000313 (Candle 2 low)
Major$0.000175–$0.000281 (Candle 1–2 high range)

The token has collapsed through all meaningful support levels. The only identifiable support is the candle 1 low of $0.00000179. Resistance is now the entire prior trading range from $0.0000313 to $0.000281, which would require a 10x–100x recovery to reach.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump candle pattern: Candle 2 shows a strong pump with upper wick rejection, Candle 1 shows a catastrophic dump from near the high to near zero
  • Bearish engulfing: Candle 1 body engulfs and destroys the entire Candle 2 gain
  • Volume declining on the dump (194K vs 394K) — suggests selling pressure may be exhausting but liquidity is too thin to matter
  • Long lower wick on Candle 1 suggests a brief capitulation low before a slight bounce to close at $0.00000294

Total holders247
24h Δ+238
7d Δ+238
30d Δ+238
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The sudden addition of 238 holders in the last hour (from a base of 9) perfectly correlates with the pump event visible in the OHLC data. New holders entered during the price spike and are now holding at a ~97% loss. This is a negative correlation: holder count spiked as price pumped, but price has since collapsed while holders remain trapped.

The historical holder data shows the token was completely dormant at exactly 9 holders for the entire 30-day period from June 15 to July 14, 2026. All 238 new holders (96% of the current 247 total) were acquired within the last hour, coinciding with the pump-and-dump event. This is a highly anomalous and deeply concerning pattern. The distribution data shows 0 whales, 0 sharks, 0 dolphins, 0 fish, and 0 octopus — and top 10/top 100 concentration is reported as 0%, which may indicate a data availability issue rather than genuine even distribution. No top holder data is available.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

No top holder data available

Data unavailable — top holders list is empty

0.00%

No top holder data is available for MELANICOIN. The reported top 10 and top 100 concentration of 0% is almost certainly a data artifact rather than genuine even distribution, given the token's micro-cap status and the fact that only 9 holders existed for 30+ days. The original 9 holders are likely highly concentrated and have probably distributed their holdings during the pump event. The absence of whale/shark/dolphin classifications in the distribution data further suggests data is incomplete. Treat concentration risk as HIGH despite the 0% reported figures.

Liquidity$21,130
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$274,980
Sell$303,910
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers427
Unique sellers852

Total liquidity is only $21.13K against a 24h trading volume of ~$578.89K ($274.98K buy + $303.91K sell), meaning the token turned over its liquidity pool roughly 27x in 24 hours — a hallmark of a pump-and-dump. The FDV of $2,932 is actually lower than the liquidity pool value, which is an extreme anomaly indicating the price has collapsed below any rational valuation floor. Slippage risk is very high: any trade of more than a few hundred dollars would move the price significantly. There are nearly twice as many unique sellers (852) as buyers (427), confirming net distribution. Net flow is outflow. The pair trades on PumpSwap (3yauv4n8VuHmy2GaawQH44SgPa4279XPQPfcHJhiM7u6).

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000
FDV$2,932.57

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

MELANICOIN has a total supply of 1 billion tokens. The FDV is only ~$2,932, reflecting the near-total price collapse. The update authority is held by TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111...) and is not labeled as renounced, meaning the token metadata can potentially be modified. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be definitively determined from the provided data, so both are marked 'unknown'. The contract is unverified and the token is described as mutable=false, which provides some limited protection against metadata changes, but the non-renounced update authority remains a concern. The token was launched via PumpFun (mint address ends in 'pump'), which is a common launchpad for speculative meme tokens with minimal vetting.

Volatility
high

Price collapsed ~97% in 24 hours and ~98.8% from the hourly high. Extreme volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $21.13K. Any trade above a few hundred dollars will cause severe slippage. The FDV ($2,932) is actually below the liquidity pool value, indicating near-zero market depth.

Concentration
high

Token was held by only 9 wallets for 30+ days before the pump. Top holder data is unavailable, but extreme concentration among early holders is almost certain. The 0% top-10 concentration figure is likely a data artifact.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the pump-and-dump pattern strongly implies early holders (the original 9) sniped the launch and distributed into the pump. New holders (238 acquired in 1 hour) are likely holding at severe losses.

Authority
high

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced. Contract is unverified. Mint and freeze authority status is unknown. Token launched via PumpFun with no audit.

Key risks

  • Near-total price collapse (~97%) already occurred — remaining holders are likely trapped at severe losses
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.13K) makes exit nearly impossible without further price impact
  • Token dormant for 30+ days at 9 holders — strong pump-and-dump signature
  • Non-renounced update authority allows potential metadata manipulation
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • FDV ($2,932) is below liquidity pool value — price is effectively near zero
  • 852 unique sellers vs 427 buyers — active distribution by holders

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, providing some protection against metadata changes
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity infrastructure
  • High transaction count (8,936 buys) suggests some residual speculative interest
  • The pump-and-dump may already be complete, limiting further downside from orchestrators
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The on-chain data presents a textbook pump-and-dump profile: 30+ days of dormancy, a sudden price spike, a ~97% collapse in under 2 hours, and 238 new holders trapped at a loss. Only the highest-risk-tolerance speculators with money they can afford to lose entirely should consider any interaction with this token, and even then the risk/reward is extremely unfavorable.

MELANICOIN presents no credible investment thesis. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump: extended dormancy, a sudden coordinated pump, a near-total price collapse, and trapped retail holders. The FDV of ~$2,932 and liquidity of $21.13K leave virtually no room for meaningful value recovery. The only speculative angle is a potential re-pump driven by renewed meme/political narrative, but this would primarily benefit any remaining early holders at the expense of new buyers.

Bull case (low)

Renewed speculative interest in Melania Trump-themed meme coins drives a second pump wave, temporarily recovering price to the $0.00003–$0.00017 range.

  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Political news cycle around Melania Trump brand
  • Coordinated social media campaign by remaining holders

Base case

Price stabilizes near current levels (~$0.000001–$0.000005) with minimal trading activity. The token persists as a near-zero value asset with occasional speculative micro-pumps but no sustained recovery.

  • Some residual speculative interest keeps minimal trading volume
  • Liquidity pool remains intact at current levels
  • No new coordinated pump event occurs
  • Early holders have largely completed their distribution

Bear case (high)

Price continues to decline toward zero as remaining holders exit and liquidity dries up. The token becomes effectively worthless with no trading activity.

  • Liquidity pool drains as LPs withdraw
  • No new buyers willing to enter after ~97% collapse
  • Early holders complete their distribution
  • Token fades into obscurity with no community or utility

GeneratedJul 15, 12:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-07-15T12:00–12:30 UTC. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, limiting technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata
  • PumpSwap trading analytics
  • OHLC candle data (hourly)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No top holder data available — whale map analysis is severely limited
  • No sniper data available — smart money analysis is based on behavioral inference only
  • Top 10/100 concentration reported as 0% — likely a data artifact, not genuine even distribution
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available metadata
  • Historical holder data shows only 9 holders for 30 days with no granularity on who those holders are
  • The token's extreme price collapse means most metrics are distorted by the pump-and-dump event

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. The token analyzed exhibits extreme risk characteristics consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme. Do not invest funds you cannot afford to lose entirely. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own due diligence before interacting with any on-chain token.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000

Key Risks

•Near-total price collapse (~97%) already occurred — remaining holders are likely trapped at severe losses
•Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.13K) makes exit nearly impossible without further price impact
•Token dormant for 30+ days at 9 holders — strong pump-and-dump signature
•Non-renounced update authority allows potential metadata manipulation

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for MELANICOIN. The token's behavior — 30 days of dormancy at 9 holders followed by a sudden spike to 247 holders and a ~97% price collapse in a single hour — is strongly consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump. Early holders (the original 9) likely accumulated at very low prices and distributed into the pump. Without sniper data, precise PnL figures cannot be computed.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

The original 9 holders who held the token for 30+ days of dormancy are likely the orchestrators of the pump event. They almost certainly sold into the spike, as the price has now collapsed ~97%. New buyers who entered during the pump are likely sitting on severe losses.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for MELANIA COIN (MELANICOIN)?

The token has already collapsed ~97% from its 24h open. The current price of ~$0.00000293 is near the candle low of ~$0.00000179. With only $21.13K in liquidity, any further selling could push the price to near zero. There is no meaningful technical support below current levels given the depth of the collapse. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000001 to $0.000010.

Is MELANICOIN a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The on-chain data presents a textbook pump-and-dump profile: 30+ days of dormancy, a sudden price spike, a ~97% collapse in under 2 hours, and 238 new holders trapped at a loss. Only the highest-risk-tolerance speculators with money they can afford to lose entirely should consider any interaction with this token, and even then the risk/reward is extremely unfavorable.

How are MELANICOIN holders trending?

MELANIA COIN currently has 247 holders and is growing (24h: 238, 7d: 238, 30d: 238). The historical holder data shows the token was completely dormant at exactly 9 holders for the entire 30-day period from June 15 to July 14, 2026. All 238 new holders (96% of the current 247 total) were acquired within the last hour, coinciding with the pump-and-dump event. This is a highly anomalous and deeply concerning pattern. The distribution data shows 0 whales, 0 sharks, 0 dolphins, 0 fish, and 0 octopus — and top 10/top 100 concentration is reported as 0%, which may indicate a data availability issue rather than genuine even distribution. No top holder data is available.

What does sniper activity look like for MELANICOIN?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding MELANICOIN?

Near-total price collapse (~97%) already occurred — remaining holders are likely trapped at severe losses • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.13K) makes exit nearly impossible without further price impact • Token dormant for 30+ days at 9 holders — strong pump-and-dump signature

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