MELANICOIN

MELANIA COIN Price Today & AI Analysis

MELANICOINSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 15, 2026

Price

$0.052384

Contract

Live
Z365KEtG6bLcs58K4DTcpcpTGNdn4N6QkxxadGnpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

135

Market cap

$2,382

At a $1M market cap, $MELANICOIN would be $0.001001 (420x from today’s price)

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MELANIA COIN: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-15 12:17 UTC

Holder addresses

247

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$21,133.31
How concentrated is MELANIA COIN ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 247 addresses (2026-07-15 12:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling MELANIA COIN?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is MELANIA COIN liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-15 12:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $21,133.31. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-15 12:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 15, 12:17 PM UTC

FDV

$2,933

Liquidity

$21,133.31

Holders

247

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

MELANICOIN (MELANICOIN) is an extremely new, micro-cap meme token on Solana launched via PumpSwap, with a fully diluted valuation of only ~$2,932 and total liquidity of $21.13K. The token experienced a catastrophic price collapse of ~97% in the past 24 hours, dropping from an open of ~$0.000178 to a current price of ~$0.00000293. The historical holder data shows the token sat dormant at 9 holders for the entire prior 30-day period, with 238 new holders acquired in the last hour alone — a pattern consistent with a pump-and-dump event. The token is unverified, the update authority is not renounced, and all on-chain signals point to extreme risk.

Key points

  • Catastrophic 24h price decline of ~97%, consistent with a completed pump-and-dump
  • Token was dormant at 9 holders for 30+ days before a sudden burst of 238 new holders in 1 hour
  • Extremely low FDV of ~$2,932 and shallow liquidity of $21.13K
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM)
  • Sell pressure slightly dominates: 52.5% sell vs 47.5% buy volume; more unique sellers (852) than buyers (427)

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already collapsed ~97% from its 24h open. The current price of ~$0.00000293 is near the candle low of ~$0.00000179. With only $21.13K in liquidity, any further selling could push the price to near zero. There is no meaningful technical support below current levels given the depth of the collapse.

Target low

$0.0000001

Target high

$0.000010

Support

$0.00000179 (candle 1 low), $0.000001 (psychological)

Resistance

$0.000031 (candle 2 low / prior support), $0.000174 (candle 2 close), $0.000280 (candle 1 high)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Given the token's dormancy for 30+ days prior to this event, the near-total price collapse, and the absence of any verified utility or project fundamentals, a sustained recovery is highly unlikely. The token is likely to trend toward zero unless a new speculative wave emerges.

Catalysts

  • Renewed meme/political narrative around the Melania Trump brand
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Coordinated re-pump by early holders (high risk to new buyers)

Bullish factors

  • High transaction count (8,936 buys in 24h) suggests some speculative interest remains
  • Buy volume ($274.98K) is substantial relative to FDV, indicating some demand
  • Political meme theme (Melania Trump) could attract renewed attention

Bearish factors

  • Price already down ~97% in 24h — most damage done, but further downside possible
  • More unique sellers (852) than buyers (427) — distribution heavily outweighs accumulation
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days prior — no organic community growth
  • Liquidity of only $21.13K means large slippage on any meaningful exit
  • FDV of ~$2,932 is near-zero, leaving little room for value recovery
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced authority increase rug risk

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly candles of OHLC data are available, the token has no verified fundamentals, holder data is anomalous (dormant then sudden spike), and the price has already collapsed ~97%. Predictions are based on pattern recognition of pump-and-dump dynamics rather than robust technical data.

MELANICOIN call history

Full track record →

Jul 15bearish
24h-41.0%
7d-45.0%
30d-46.9%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Z365KE...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Near-total price collapse (~97%) already occurred — remaining holders are likely trapped at severe losses
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.13K) makes exit nearly impossible without further price impact
  • Token dormant for 30+ days at 9 holders — strong pump-and-dump signature
  • Non-renounced update authority allows potential metadata manipulation

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle 2 (11:00 UTC): O=$0.0000338, H=$0.000252, L=$0.0000313, C=$0.000175 — a strong bullish candle with a large upper wick, suggesting a pump with partial rejection. Candle 1 (12:00 UTC): O=$0.000178, H=$0.000281, L=$0.00000179, C=$0.00000294 — a catastrophic bearish engulfing/collapse candle. The open was near the prior close, briefly pushed to a new high ($0.000281), then collapsed to a low of $0.00000179, closing near the bottom. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candle pattern: a new high followed by a near-total wipeout in a single hour.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The token is in a severe short-term downtrend following a single-candle collapse of ~98.4% from open to close in the most recent hourly candle. The medium-term trend is also bearish given 30 days of dormancy followed by this event.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

48%

Sell

53%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00000179 (Candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.000001 (psychological near-zero level)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000313 (Candle 2 low)

Major resistance

$0.000175–$0.000281 (Candle 1–2 high range)

The token has collapsed through all meaningful support levels. The only identifiable support is the candle 1 low of $0.00000179. Resistance is now the entire prior trading range from $0.0000313 to $0.000281, which would require a 10x–100x recovery to reach.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump candle pattern: Candle 2 shows a strong pump with upper wick rejection, Candle 1 shows a catastrophic dump from near the high to near zero
  • Bearish engulfing: Candle 1 body engulfs and destroys the entire Candle 2 gain
  • Volume declining on the dump (194K vs 394K) — suggests selling pressure may be exhausting but liquidity is too thin to matter
  • Long lower wick on Candle 1 suggests a brief capitulation low before a slight bounce to close at $0.00000294

Liquidity

Liquidity

$21,133.31

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity is only $21.13K against a 24h trading volume of ~$578.89K ($274.98K buy + $303.91K sell), meaning the token turned over its liquidity pool roughly 27x in 24 hours — a hallmark of a pump-and-dump. The FDV of $2,932 is actually lower than the liquidity pool value, which is an extreme anomaly indicating the price has collapsed below any rational valuation floor. Slippage risk is very high: any trade of more than a few hundred dollars would move the price significantly. There are nearly twice as many unique sellers (852) as buyers (427), confirming net distribution. Net flow is outflow. The pair trades on PumpSwap (3yauv4n8VuHmy2GaawQH44SgPa4279XPQPfcHJhiM7u6).

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$2,932.57

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price collapsed ~97% in 24 hours and ~98.8% from the hourly high. Extreme volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $21.13K. Any trade above a few hundred dollars will cause severe slippage. The FDV ($2,932) is actually below the liquidity pool value, indicating near-zero market depth.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Near-total price collapse (~97%) already occurred — remaining holders are likely trapped at severe losses
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.13K) makes exit nearly impossible without further price impact
  • Token dormant for 30+ days at 9 holders — strong pump-and-dump signature
  • Non-renounced update authority allows potential metadata manipulation
  • Unverified contract with no audit trail
  • FDV ($2,932) is below liquidity pool value — price is effectively near zero
  • 852 unique sellers vs 427 buyers — active distribution by holders

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked mutable=false, providing some protection against metadata changes
  • PumpSwap listing provides some baseline liquidity infrastructure
  • High transaction count (8,936 buys) suggests some residual speculative interest
  • The pump-and-dump may already be complete, limiting further downside from orchestrators

Suitable for

This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The on-chain data presents a textbook pump-and-dump profile: 30+ days of dormancy, a sudden price spike, a ~97% collapse in under 2 hours, and 238 new holders trapped at a loss. Only the highest-risk-tolerance speculators with money they can afford to lose entirely should consider any interaction with this token, and even then the risk/reward is extremely unfavorable.

MELANICOIN presents no credible investment thesis. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a completed pump-and-dump: extended dormancy, a sudden coordinated pump, a near-total price collapse, and trapped retail holders. The FDV of ~$2,932 and liquidity of $21.13K leave virtually no room for meaningful value recovery. The only speculative angle is a potential re-pump driven by renewed meme/political narrative, but this would primarily benefit any remaining early holders at the expense of new buyers.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Renewed speculative interest in Melania Trump-themed meme coins drives a second pump wave, temporarily recovering price to the $0.00003–$0.00017 range.

  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Political news cycle around Melania Trump brand
  • Coordinated social media campaign by remaining holders

Base Case

Price stabilizes near current levels (~$0.000001–$0.000005) with minimal trading activity. The token persists as a near-zero value asset with occasional speculative micro-pumps but no sustained recovery.

  • Some residual speculative interest keeps minimal trading volume
  • Liquidity pool remains intact at current levels
  • No new coordinated pump event occurs
  • Early holders have largely completed their distribution

Bear Case

High probability

Price continues to decline toward zero as remaining holders exit and liquidity dries up. The token becomes effectively worthless with no trading activity.

  • Liquidity pool drains as LPs withdraw
  • No new buyers willing to enter after ~97% collapse
  • Early holders complete their distribution
  • Token fades into obscurity with no community or utility

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 15, 12:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-15 12:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata
  • PumpSwap trading analytics
  • OHLC candle data (hourly)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No top holder data available — whale map analysis is severely limited
  • No sniper data available — smart money analysis is based on behavioral inference only
  • Top 10/100 concentration reported as 0% — likely a data artifact, not genuine even distribution
  • Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available metadata
  • Historical holder data shows only 9 holders for 30 days with no granularity on who those holders are
  • The token's extreme price collapse means most metrics are distorted by the pump-and-dump event

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. The token analyzed exhibits extreme risk characteristics consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme. Do not invest funds you cannot afford to lose entirely. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own due diligence before interacting with any on-chain token.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is MELANIA COIN ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 247 addresses (2026-07-15 12:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling MELANIA COIN?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is MELANIA COIN liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-15 12:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $21,133.31. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for MELANIA COIN (MELANICOIN)?

The token has already collapsed ~97% from its 24h open. The current price of ~$0.00000293 is near the candle low of ~$0.00000179. With only $21.13K in liquidity, any further selling could push the price to near zero. There is no meaningful technical support below current levels given the depth of the collapse. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000001 to $0.000010.

Is MELANICOIN a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for any investor. The on-chain data presents a textbook pump-and-dump profile: 30+ days of dormancy, a sudden price spike, a ~97% collapse in under 2 hours, and 238 new holders trapped at a loss. Only the highest-risk-tolerance speculators with money they can afford to lose entirely should consider any interaction with this token, and even then the risk/reward is extremely unfavorable.

What are the key risks of holding MELANICOIN?

Near-total price collapse (~97%) already occurred — remaining holders are likely trapped at severe losses • Extremely shallow liquidity ($21.13K) makes exit nearly impossible without further price impact • Token dormant for 30+ days at 9 holders — strong pump-and-dump signature

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