BIRB

Moonbirds Price Today & AI Analysis

BIRBSolanaAnalysis as of May 29, 2026

Price

$0.0601

-0.18% 24h

Contract

Live
G7vQWurMkMMm2dU3iZpXYFTHT9Biio4F4gZCrwFpKNwG

Chain

Solana

Holders

15,707

Market cap

$60,133,904

At a $500M market cap, $BIRB would be $0.5000 (8.31x from today’s price)

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Moonbirds: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-29 06:17 UTC

Holder addresses

15,824

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$1,881,740.00
How concentrated is Moonbirds ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 15,824 addresses (2026-05-29 06:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Moonbirds?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Moonbirds liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-29 06:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,881,740.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-29 06:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of May 29, 06:17 AM UTC

FDV

$101,399,172

Liquidity

$1,881,740.00

Holders

15,824

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Moonbirds (BIRB) is a Solana-based token with a circulating supply of ~1B tokens, currently priced at ~$0.1014 USD with a fully diluted valuation of ~$101.4M. The token trades on Raydium with $1.88M in liquidity. While the project has verified contract status and social presence (Twitter, website), it exhibits extreme supply concentration — the top 10 holders control 93.48% of supply — and a persistent, accelerating holder decline over the past 30 days. No snipers were detected at launch, which is a mild positive. The mutable metadata and non-renounced update authority introduce meaningful rug risk.

Key points

  • No sniper activity detected in the first 1,000 blocks — clean launch
  • Verified contract with social links (Twitter, website, Moralis)
  • $1.88M liquidity on Raydium providing moderate depth for a ~$101M FDV token
  • Balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (50.1% buy vs 49.9% sell) indicating equilibrium
  • Persistent and accelerating holder decline: -311 holders (-2.00%) over 30 days

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

BIRB has been in a short-term downtrend over the past 24 hours, falling from a high of ~$0.1093 (candle 22) to the current ~$0.1014. The price has made a series of lower highs and lower lows in recent candles. Immediate support sits near $0.0999 (candle 1 low) and resistance near $0.1052 (candle 7 high). The 6h price change of -3.76% confirms near-term selling pressure.

Target low

$0.0950

Target high

$0.1055

Support

$0.0999, $0.0988, $0.0950

Resistance

$0.1052, $0.1068, $0.1093

Medium term · 2–4 weeks

bearish

The persistent 30-day holder decline (-311 holders, -2.00%) with no signs of reversal, combined with extreme supply concentration in the top 10 (93.48%), creates structural selling pressure. Unless a catalyst emerges to attract new holders, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The FDV of $101M appears elevated relative to the token's fundamentals and declining community engagement.

Catalysts

  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Broader Solana ecosystem bull run lifting all tokens
  • Project utility announcement or product launch
  • Whale accumulation reversing the holder decline trend

Bullish factors

  • No sniper activity — no early dumpers with large positions
  • Balanced buy/sell pressure (50.1% buy) suggesting market equilibrium
  • Verified contract with active social presence
  • $1.88M liquidity provides reasonable depth for current market cap
  • 24h buy count (4,111) exceeds sell count (3,836)

Bearish factors

  • Top 10 holders control 93.48% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Persistent 30-day holder decline: -311 holders (-2.00%)
  • Holder decline is accelerating in recent days (-23 in last 24h vs smaller daily drops earlier)
  • Update authority not renounced (AwRwpCB1rTTbs1LCFm2NgmvDWwk2SPuPLsV7mCVQuQ9f) and metadata is mutable
  • 6h price change of -3.76% signals near-term momentum is negative
  • FDV of ~$101M appears stretched given declining holder base and no described utility

Confidence: medium. Confidence is medium because the 24-hour OHLC data provides a clear short-term picture of declining price action, and the 30-day holder trend is unambiguously negative. However, the balanced buy/sell pressure (50.1%/49.9%) and clean launch (no snipers) introduce uncertainty. The absence of sniper data and limited on-chain fundamentals (no description, mutable metadata) reduce conviction.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
G7vQWu...KNwG
Total Supply
999,999,733.70

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 93.48% — coordinated dump would be devastating
  • Update authority not renounced and holds 16.33% of supply — single entity controls both metadata and large token position
  • Mutable metadata allows token name/symbol/URI changes without community consent
  • Persistent holder decline: -311 holders (-2.00%) over 30 days with no reversal signal

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (2026-05-28T07:00Z to 2026-05-29T06:00Z), BIRB printed a high of $0.10934 (candle 22, 09:00 UTC May 28) and a low of $0.09931 (candle 2, 05:00 UTC May 29). The session opened around $0.10484 and closed at $0.10140, representing an overall decline. The most notable feature is a sharp spike to $0.10934 in candle 22 followed by immediate rejection and a steady grind lower, forming a classic 'spike and fade' pattern. Candles 7–14 show a tight consolidation range (~$0.1046–$0.1052) before a breakdown in candle 5–6. The most recent candle (1) shows a partial recovery attempt with a close of $0.10140 after touching $0.09988.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is clearly bearish: the price has made lower highs from the $0.10934 spike (candle 22) down to the current $0.10140. The medium-term (across all 24 candles) is broadly sideways, oscillating in a $0.0993–$0.1093 range, but with a downward bias in the latter half of the session.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0999

Major support

$0.0950

Immediate resistance

$0.1052

Major resistance

$0.1093

Immediate support at $0.0999 corresponds to the low of candle 2 ($0.09931) and candle 1 low ($0.09988). Major support at $0.0950 is a psychological level below the 24h range. Immediate resistance at $0.1052 aligns with the consolidation highs in candles 7–8 ($0.10558, $0.10495). Major resistance at $0.1093 is the session high from candle 22.

Notable patterns

  • Spike-and-fade: Sharp rally to $0.10934 in candle 22 immediately reversed — bearish rejection of highs
  • Lower highs sequence: Candles 7 → 5 → 2 → 1 show progressively lower highs ($0.10558 → $0.10405 → $0.10220 → $0.10195)
  • Consolidation breakdown: Tight range in candles 11–14 (~$0.1043–$0.1052) broke down in candle 5–6
  • Partial doji in candle 12 (open $0.10503, high $0.10503, low $0.10413, close $0.10415) — indecision at resistance
  • High-volume breakdown: Candle 2 had the highest volume ($126,857) and was a bearish engulfing-style candle closing near lows

Liquidity

Liquidity

$1,881,740.00

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

BIRB has $1.88M in liquidity on Raydium, which represents approximately 1.86% of its $101M FDV — a relatively thin ratio that increases slippage risk for larger trades. The 24h trading volume of ~$720K (buy: $361.48K, sell: $359.40K) is well-balanced at 50.1%/49.9%, suggesting neither strong accumulation nor distribution pressure in aggregate. However, a notable asymmetry exists in participant count: 165 unique buyers vs 252 unique sellers, meaning sellers are more numerous but buying in larger average sizes ($2,191/buyer vs $1,426/seller). This could indicate a small number of larger buyers absorbing sell pressure from many smaller sellers — a pattern sometimes seen in distribution phases. The 24h buy count (4,111) exceeding sell count (3,836) is mildly bullish for order flow. With $1.88M liquidity, a $50K market order would likely incur 2–3% slippage, making this unsuitable for institutional-sized positions.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,733.70

FDV

$101,399,171.77

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilitymedium

    Price has traded in a $0.0993–$0.1093 range over 24 hours (~9.1% range), which is moderate volatility for a Solana memecoin. The spike-and-fade pattern in candle 22 shows potential for sharp moves. 24h price change of -1.1% is not extreme, but the 6h change of -3.76% shows intraday volatility.

  • Liquiditymedium

    $1.88M liquidity against $101M FDV is a 1.86% liquidity ratio. Moderate for a Solana token but insufficient for large positions. Estimated 2–3% slippage on $50K orders. Liquidity is concentrated in a single Raydium pool.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 93.48% — coordinated dump would be devastating
  • Update authority not renounced and holds 16.33% of supply — single entity controls both metadata and large token position
  • Mutable metadata allows token name/symbol/URI changes without community consent
  • Persistent holder decline: -311 holders (-2.00%) over 30 days with no reversal signal
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply inflation or asset freezing
  • FDV of $101M appears elevated relative to fundamentals (no described utility, declining community)
  • 252 unique sellers vs 165 unique buyers in 24h — more participants are exiting than entering
  • Large airdrop-acquired holder base (8,963 of ~15,824) likely has low conviction

Mitigating factors

  • Zero sniper activity at launch — clean, organic token distribution
  • Verified contract, not flagged as spam
  • Active social presence (Twitter, website, Moralis)
  • Balanced 24h buy/sell volume ($361K vs $359K) — no panic selling
  • 24h buy transactions (4,111) exceed sell transactions (3,836)
  • $1.88M liquidity provides reasonable depth for current trading volumes
  • Price has held above $0.099 support despite persistent selling pressure

Suitable for

BIRB is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who understand the extreme concentration risk and authority risks involved. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a very small speculative position. Position sizing should account for the possibility of a near-total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

BIRB presents a high-risk, speculative profile. The token has a clean launch (no snipers), verified contract, and balanced short-term trading activity — but these positives are overwhelmed by extreme supply concentration (top 10 = 93.48%), a non-renounced update authority that also holds 16.33% of supply, mutable metadata, and a persistent 30-day holder decline. The $101M FDV appears disconnected from fundamentals given the absence of described utility and declining community engagement.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the Moonbirds project announces meaningful utility, a product launch, or a major partnership, combined with a broader Solana ecosystem bull run, BIRB could attract new holders and reverse the declining trend. The clean launch and balanced trading suggest the token could rally 2–3x from current levels if sentiment shifts.

  • Major product/utility announcement reversing holder decline
  • Broader Solana memecoin season lifting all tokens
  • Whale accumulation from the top holders signaling confidence
  • New exchange listing increasing accessibility and visibility
  • Reversal of the 30-day holder decline trend

Base Case

BIRB continues to trade sideways in the $0.08–$0.11 range with gradual holder attrition. The balanced buy/sell pressure maintains price stability in the near term, but the lack of catalysts and declining holder base prevent meaningful appreciation. The token slowly loses relevance over 3–6 months.

  • Top insider wallets continue holding without major distribution
  • No significant new utility or catalyst is announced
  • Broader market conditions remain neutral
  • Liquidity remains at current $1.88M level
  • Holder decline continues at current pace of ~10/day

Bear Case

Medium probability

The persistent holder decline accelerates, one or more of the top 7 insider wallets (holding ~84% of supply) begins distributing, and the price collapses toward $0.01–$0.03. The mutable metadata and non-renounced authority could facilitate a rug pull scenario.

  • Insider wallet distribution from top 7 holders (84% of supply)
  • Continued holder decline eroding market confidence
  • Authority exploiting mutable metadata or mint authority
  • Broader crypto market downturn reducing risk appetite
  • Airdrop recipients (8,963 holders) continuing to exit

Analysis details

Generated

May 29, 06:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-29 06:17 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, authority, supply, decimals)
  • Raydium DEX price feed and OHLC candle data (hourly, 24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, historical 30-day series)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Token social metadata (Twitter, website, Moralis links)

Limitations

  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided in metadata — marked as unknown
  • No sniper data available (0 snipers) — smart money signals section has limited analytical depth
  • Holder historical data is daily granularity only — intraday holder movements not visible
  • Top holder wallet classifications are inferred from balance patterns and cross-referencing with known addresses (e.g., LP pool) — not definitively verified
  • No on-chain transaction history for individual whale wallets provided — cannot confirm accumulation/distribution behavior
  • Token description is 'none' — no whitepaper or utility information available for fundamental analysis
  • FDV calculation assumes all ~1B tokens are in circulation; actual circulating supply may differ if tokens are locked

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry substantial risk of loss. The extreme supply concentration and authority risks identified in this report make BIRB a highly speculative asset. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Moonbirds ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 15,824 addresses (2026-05-29 06:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Moonbirds?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Moonbirds liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-29 06:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $1,881,740.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Moonbirds (BIRB)?

BIRB has been in a short-term downtrend over the past 24 hours, falling from a high of ~$0.1093 (candle 22) to the current ~$0.1014. The price has made a series of lower highs and lower lows in recent candles. Immediate support sits near $0.0999 (candle 1 low) and resistance near $0.1052 (candle 7 high). The 6h price change of -3.76% confirms near-term selling pressure. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0950 to $0.1055.

Is BIRB a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 8.5/100. BIRB is suitable ONLY for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who understand the extreme concentration risk and authority risks involved. It is NOT suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a very small speculative position. Position sizing should account for the possibility of a near-total loss. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding BIRB?

Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 93.48% — coordinated dump would be devastating • Update authority not renounced and holds 16.33% of supply — single entity controls both metadata and large token position • Mutable metadata allows token name/symbol/URI changes without community consent

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