RBLX

Roblox - Backpack Securities Price Today & AI Analysis

RBLXSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 16, 2026

Price

$43.91

-16.63% 24h

Contract

Live
RBLXDGRD64AtRamHMFVcjqne3Ar7NLWtFtYNtsrf1cE

Chain

Holders

5,159

Market cap

$162,062

At a $1M market cap, $RBLX would be $270.92 (6.17x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is RBLX a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 28

Issuer token

No scam signals. As a tokenized stock, its issuer can freeze, pause and move tokens.

Can you sell?

YesThe issuer can pause or freeze transfers, as stock tokens allow
  • The liquidity could not be measured.

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about RBLX

3 free answers a day

More tokens on Solana

Roblox - Backpack Securities: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-16 16:20 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$25,247.00
How concentrated is Roblox - Backpack Securities ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Roblox - Backpack Securities?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Roblox - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?
As of 2026-09-16 16:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $25,247.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-16 16:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Sep 16, 04:20 PM UTC

FDV

$152,400

Liquidity

$25,247.00

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

Ask Wick about this chart

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

RBLX ("Roblox - Backpack Securities") is a very small-cap Solana token trading at $48.67, down ~2.92% over the last 24h. It has a tiny total supply of 3,131.15 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of just $152.4K, with only $25.25K in on-chain liquidity on a single Orca pair. The 24h OHLC data shows a sharp breakdown around 13:00-15:00 UTC where price dropped from ~$50.35 to ~$48.55 on a huge volume spike ($21K, then $454K, then $138.8K in consecutive hours vs. typical hourly volumes under $10K), suggesting a large liquidation, whale exit, or concentrated sell event. No holder or sniper data is available for this token, which significantly limits distribution and smart-money analysis.

Key points

  • Extremely low total supply (3,131.15 tokens) with high unit price (~$48.67), unusual token design likely mimicking a synthetic/tokenized equity ('Backpack Securities' branding referencing Roblox stock)
  • Very thin liquidity ($25.25K) relative to FDV ($152.4K), creating high slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade
  • Anomalous volume spike (~454K and ~139K in two consecutive hours) coinciding with a ~4% price drop, far exceeding normal hourly volume of $100-$20K seen in prior candles
  • No holder distribution or sniper data available, creating a significant blind spot in the analysis
  • Sell pressure (52.8%) slightly exceeds buy pressure (47.2%) over 24h, consistent with the observed price decline

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24-48 hours

bearish

Price has been in a steady grind down over the past 24h, punctuated by a sharp breakdown around hour 21 (13:00 UTC) where price fell from ~$50.35 to ~$48.55 on abnormally large volume. Since then price has partially recovered to a local high of $49.59 (candle 23) before fading back to $48.62. This looks like a distribution event followed by a weak bounce, suggesting further downside risk unless buy volume reasserts itself.

Target low

$46.50

Target high

$50.00

Support

$48.50 (recent close/consolidation zone), $48.55 (post-drop low)

Resistance

$49.59 (recent intraday high), $50.35-$50.61 (pre-breakdown range)

Medium term · 7-14 days

neutral

With only 24 hourly candles available, medium-term trend cannot be reliably established. The token's extremely low liquidity ($25.25K) and small float mean price can be swung sharply by even modest capital flows, making medium-term directional calls speculative without more historical data, holder behavior, or sniper/whale activity visibility.

Catalysts

  • Any large holder liquidation given thin liquidity could trigger outsized moves
  • Renewed buy volume returning above the 47.2% recent buy-pressure level could stabilize price
  • Absence of holder/sniper transparency means unexpected large sells (or buys) cannot be anticipated

Bullish factors

  • Price bounced from $48.55 low to $49.59 intrahour before fading, showing some buy-side absorption
  • 24h buy volume ($115.90K) is close to sell volume ($129.91K), not a lopsided rout
  • 981 unique buyers vs 1,173 sellers shows meaningful two-sided participation

Bearish factors

  • 24h price down 2.92% with sell volume exceeding buy volume (52.8% vs 47.2%)
  • Sharp breakdown candle with 454K and 139K volume spikes far above baseline, suggesting a large distributive event
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($25.25K) versus $152.4K FDV creates fragile price support
  • No holder or sniper transparency to confirm whether large wallets are accumulating or dumping

Confidence: low. Only 24 hourly candles are available, holder and sniper data are entirely absent, and liquidity is extremely thin ($25.25K), all of which severely limit the reliability of any price projection. The one large volume/price event dominates the dataset and could be a one-off rather than a trend signal.

RBLX call history

Full track record →

Sep 16bearish
24h-2.3%
7d+1.1%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
RBLXDG...f1cE
Total Supply
3,131.147892 RBLX

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($25.25K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and potential difficulty exiting positions
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status - cannot confirm the token is protected against supply inflation or freezing
  • No holder or whale distribution data available, preventing verification of concentration risk
  • Abnormal volume spike (454K in one hour, ~18x the pool's total liquidity) coincided with a price breakdown, suggesting possible large-holder liquidation or manipulation

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the most recent 24 hourly candles, price drifted slowly down from ~$50.57 to ~$50.35 through candles 1-20 with low volume (mostly under $10K/hr, several under $1K), indicating quiet consolidation. Candle 21 (13:00 UTC) shows a sharp breakdown: open $50.35, low $48.55, close $48.56 on $21.07K volume - a large bearish candle breaking the multi-hour range. This was followed by candle 23 with an enormous $454.44K volume spike where price rallied intrahour to a high of $49.59 before closing at $48.97, and candle 24 with $138.83K volume where price faded back down to $48.62. The pattern resembles a breakdown followed by a high-volume relief spike (possible short-covering or opportunistic buying) that ultimately failed to reclaim prior levels.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term price action shows a clear downtrend/breakdown from the $50.35-$50.61 consolidation zone to the current $48.62-$48.97 range. Medium-term (across the full 24h window) the range is bounded between roughly $48.55 and $50.66, which given the limited data could still be characterized as a broad sideways range prior to the recent breakdown attempt.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

47%

Sell

53%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$48.50-$48.55

Major support

$46.50 (estimated, no historical low data below current range)

Immediate resistance

$49.59

Major resistance

$50.35-$50.66

Immediate support sits at the post-breakdown low of $48.55 (candle 21) which has held on the subsequent retest in candle 24 ($48.61 close). Immediate resistance is the local bounce high of $49.59 (candle 23). The prior consolidation range of $50.35-$50.66 (candles 1-20) now stands as major resistance that would need to be reclaimed to invalidate the breakdown. No data exists below $48.55 in the provided window, so major support below current price is an estimate.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish breakdown candle (candle 21) breaking a multi-hour tight consolidation range on elevated volume
  • Abnormal volume spike (candle 23, $454.44K) with a long upper wick suggesting a rejection near $49.59 after an intrahour rally
  • Failed retest/fade pattern in candle 24 as price could not hold gains from candle 23 and closed near the low of its range
  • Overall pattern resembles distribution: quiet accumulation/consolidation followed by a sharp markdown and a failed recovery attempt

Liquidity

Liquidity

$25,247.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $25.25K against a fully diluted valuation of $152.4K represents a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of roughly 16.6%, which is thin and implies significant slippage risk for trades of even modest size. 24h volumes ($115.90K buy / $129.91K sell) are large relative to the liquidity pool itself (over 4x total liquidity turned over in sells alone), reinforcing that this token trades with high volatility and that large orders could move price substantially. Net flow is a mild outflow (sell volume exceeding buy volume by ~$14K, or 52.8% vs 47.2%), consistent with the 24h price decline. Buyer/seller counts (981 buyers vs 1,173 sellers) show broader participation on the sell side, though the gap is not extreme.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

3,131.147892 RBLX

FDV

$152.40K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of -2.92% with an intrahour swing between $48.55 and $50.66 (roughly a 4% range) and a sudden breakdown candle followed by a volatile bounce indicates high short-term volatility.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $25.25K in total liquidity against $152.4K FDV and 24h volumes exceeding $245K combined (buy+sell) means the pool is thin relative to trading activity, creating high slippage and exit-liquidity risk.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($25.25K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and potential difficulty exiting positions
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status - cannot confirm the token is protected against supply inflation or freezing
  • No holder or whale distribution data available, preventing verification of concentration risk
  • Abnormal volume spike (454K in one hour, ~18x the pool's total liquidity) coincided with a price breakdown, suggesting possible large-holder liquidation or manipulation
  • No sniper data available to assess early-buyer dumping risk
  • Token branding references 'Roblox' and 'Backpack Securities' with unverified contract status, raising concern about brand association and legitimacy given no official confirmation

Mitigating factors

  • Buy volume (47.2%) remains close to sell volume (52.8%), showing the market is not in total one-sided capitulation
  • 981 unique buyers in 24h shows some ongoing demand despite the price decline
  • Price found a bounce at $48.55 and briefly reclaimed $49.59, suggesting some support exists at current levels

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who understand and accept very high volatility, thin liquidity, and significant informational gaps (no holder, authority, or sniper data). It is not appropriate for conservative investors or anyone seeking transparency into token distribution and contract safety before taking a position.

RBLX is a micro-cap, thinly-liquid Solana token with a tiny total supply and an FDV of just $152.4K, currently in a short-term downtrend after a sharp breakdown on abnormally high volume. The investment case hinges almost entirely on speculative short-term trading given the near-total absence of holder, authority, and sniper transparency data, which prevents any fundamental conviction.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Price stabilizes above the $48.50-$48.55 support zone, buy pressure re-accelerates above the recent 47.2% share, and the token reclaims the $50.35+ pre-breakdown range as new buyers absorb the recent large seller.

  • Sustained buy volume exceeding sell volume over multiple sessions
  • No repeat of large abnormal sell-volume spikes
  • Renewed unique buyer growth beyond the 981 seen in the last 24h

Base Case

Price continues to consolidate in a wide, volatile range roughly between $47-$50 as the market digests the recent breakdown, with no strong directional conviction absent new information on holders or fundamentals.

  • No dramatic change in the current buy/sell volume balance (47.2%/52.8%)
  • Liquidity remains thin, so price continues to be sensitive to individual large trades
  • No new holder, authority, or sniper data becomes available to shift market sentiment decisively

Bear Case

Medium probability

The large volume/price breakdown event was the start of sustained distribution by a major holder; thin liquidity ($25.25K) amplifies further downside as sellers continue to outnumber buyers (1,173 vs 981 in the last 24h), pushing price toward or below the $46.50 estimated support.

  • Continued sell-side dominance (52.8% sell pressure) extending beyond 24h
  • Further large-volume sell events given the demonstrated capacity for $450K+ single-hour volume against a $25.25K liquidity pool
  • Lack of transparency on holder concentration or authority renouncement discouraging new buyer confidence

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 16, 04:20 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-16 16:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain price feed (USD)
  • 24h hourly OHLC candle data (Orca pool pair 9uSc8XrFbKJBcFpcsNXaWJ4vu6YYDUVf8cQTsJJ8u5Wd)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Token metadata (mint, supply, FDV)

Limitations

  • No holder data available - holderTrends and whaleMap sections are placeholders with no real underlying data
  • No sniper wallet data available - smart money signals could not be computed
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and update authority status are all unknown, preventing a confirmed tokenomics risk assessment
  • Only 24 hourly candles provided, limiting medium/long-term technical analysis
  • Total liquidity figure ($25.25K) is a snapshot and may fluctuate significantly given observed abnormal volume spikes
  • Verified contract status, social/community metrics, and spam classification are all unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, partially incomplete on-chain data and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Cryptocurrency investments, especially in micro-cap and thinly-liquid tokens like this one, carry a high risk of substantial or total loss. Conduct your own independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Roblox - Backpack Securities (RBLX) a scam?

No scam signals. As a tokenized stock, its issuer can freeze, pause and move tokens. The liquidity could not be measured. Checked Oct 28, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell Roblox - Backpack Securities (RBLX)?

Nothing in the token blocks a sell today, but as a tokenized stock its issuer can freeze, pause or move tokens. Checked Oct 28, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is Roblox - Backpack Securities ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Roblox - Backpack Securities?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Roblox - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?

As of 2026-09-16 16:20 UTC, reported liquidity was $25,247.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Roblox - Backpack Securities (RBLX)?

Price has been in a steady grind down over the past 24h, punctuated by a sharp breakdown around hour 21 (13:00 UTC) where price fell from ~$50.35 to ~$48.55 on abnormally large volume. Since then price has partially recovered to a local high of $49.59 (candle 23) before fading back to $48.62. This looks like a distribution event followed by a weak bounce, suggesting further downside risk unless buy volume reasserts itself. Short-term outlook is bearish (24-48 hours), with a target range of $46.50 to $50.00.

Is RBLX a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 82/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who understand and accept very high volatility, thin liquidity, and significant informational gaps (no holder, authority, or sniper data). It is not appropriate for conservative investors or anyone seeking transparency into token distribution and contract safety before taking a position.

What are the key risks of holding RBLX?

Extremely thin liquidity ($25.25K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and potential difficulty exiting positions • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status - cannot confirm the token is protected against supply inflation or freezing • No holder or whale distribution data available, preventing verification of concentration risk

New reports on Solana

All new tokens →

← Back to all predictions

Questions about RBLX?