MRNA

Moderna - Backpack Securities Price Today & AI Analysis

MRNASolanaAnalysis as of Oct 5, 2026

Price

$205.23

+6.30% 24h

Contract

Live
MRNAzXzhNcaEXJPibHEn8cd4vyekCDiivTyEwswLUCT

Chain

Solana

Holders

3,603

Market cap

$161,911

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Moderna - Backpack Securities: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-05 19:15 UTC

Holder addresses

3,603

Top 10 supply share

14.19%

Reported liquidity

$97,688.00
How concentrated is Moderna - Backpack Securities ownership?
As of 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.19% of supply. It reports 3,603 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Moderna - Backpack Securities?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $294,830.00 in buys and $328,890.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Moderna - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +102.06%, from $62,613.04 (2026-10-04 20:00 UTC) to $126,513.17 (2026-10-05 19:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-04 20:00 UTC$62,613.04
2026-10-04 21:00 UTC$62,160.35
2026-10-04 22:00 UTC$61,420.37
2026-10-04 23:00 UTC$60,861.35
2026-10-05 00:00 UTC$73,823.61
2026-10-05 01:00 UTC$69,017.36
2026-10-05 02:00 UTC$69,362.79
2026-10-05 03:00 UTC$68,883.04
2026-10-05 04:00 UTC$68,736.21
2026-10-05 05:00 UTC$69,170.94
2026-10-05 06:00 UTC$69,917.85
2026-10-05 07:00 UTC$71,451.95
2026-10-05 08:00 UTC$76,145.41
2026-10-05 09:00 UTC$76,073.30
2026-10-05 10:00 UTC$76,085.24
2026-10-05 11:00 UTC$76,402.39
2026-10-05 12:00 UTC$76,159.32
2026-10-05 13:00 UTC$80,245.97
2026-10-05 14:00 UTC$69,414.48
2026-10-05 15:00 UTC$62,937.00
2026-10-05 16:00 UTC$65,204.48
2026-10-05 17:00 UTC$64,761.99
2026-10-05 18:00 UTC$140,672.15
2026-10-05 19:00 UTC$126,513.17

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 5, 07:15 PM UTC

FDV

$161,911

Liquidity

$97,688.00

Holders

3,603

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Neutral

MRNA (Moderna - Backpack Securities) is a tokenized-equity-style asset trading at about $205.23 on a Raydium CLMM pool, with $97.69K liquidity and a $161.91K FDV (788.93 tokens). 24h change is +6.30%, with roughly balanced but slightly sell-leaning volume. Authority, sniper and holder-history data are unavailable.

Key points

  • Very small supply (788.93 tokens) at a high unit price
  • Liquidity of $97.69K against $623.7K 24h volume, which is high turnover
  • Top-10 holders own 14.19% across 3,603 holder addresses
  • A single hourly candle at 18:00 carried about $1.16M volume, far above the others, and is unusual
  • Mint/freeze authority status unknown

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-72 hours

neutral

Price rebounded from about $189.4 to $205.2 late in the session after a spike candle. It now sits near the top of the 24h range, with slightly sell-heavy flow (52.7%) and slightly negative 5m/1h changes. Consolidation or a pullback toward the $190-198 area is plausible.

Target low

$190

Target high

$210

Support

$198, $191, $189.4

Resistance

$205.9, $208.7

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Only 24 hourly candles are available, so a medium-term view has low evidential support. The outcome depends on liquidity and on how the price tracks the underlying asset, which this data does not show.

Catalysts

  • Changes in pool liquidity
  • Movement in the referenced underlying asset (not in the data)
  • Issuer or platform announcements (not in the data)

Bullish factors

  • +6.3% over 24h
  • Higher closes in the last 6 candles
  • 3,603 holder addresses
  • Top-10 share of 14.19% is moderate

Bearish factors

  • Sell volume $328.89K exceeds buy volume $294.83K
  • Thin liquidity of $97.69K
  • Price is stalling just under $205.9-208.7 resistance
  • Mint/freeze authority unknown
  • Volume was concentrated in one candle

Confidence: low. Only 24 hours of candles, no authority data, no sniper data, and no holder history.

MRNA call history

Full track record →

Oct 5neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
MRNAzX...LUCT
Total Supply
788.929941

Key Risks

  • Unknown mint/freeze authority
  • Thin liquidity
  • Possible price divergence from any referenced underlying asset; the backing is unverified
  • Volume spike from a single candle

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Price opened the window at about $191.9 and spiked to $205.9 within 2 hours. It then fell sharply at 00:00 (high 201.1, low 190.2) and ranged at $189-193 for roughly 14 hours on low volume. It broke out from 15:00 to 18:00 to reach $208.66, and the last candle closed at $205.23.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The last 5 hours trend up. Over the full window price is roughly flat to modestly up, within a $189-209 range.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Neutral

Volume trend

Stable

Buy

47%

Sell

53%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$198

Major support

$189.4

Immediate resistance

$208.66

Major resistance

$208.66 (window high); no higher data available

Support levels come from the late-session consolidation and the overnight range lows of about $189.4. Resistance is the window high.

Notable patterns

  • Range consolidation at $189-193 for about 14 hours
  • Breakout on a volume spike at 18:00
  • Sharp drop candle at 00:00 (-5.1%)
  • Higher highs and higher lows in the last 6 candles

Liquidity

Liquidity

$97,688.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity of $97.69K is about 60% of the $161.91K FDV, and 24h volume of about $623.7K is roughly 6.4x liquidity. There were 3,667 buys against 3,772 sells. Net flow is about -$34K, slightly sell-leaning. Large trades could move the price substantially, as the single candle with $1.16M volume suggests.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

788.929941

FDV

$161.91K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Hourly moves of 5% or more occurred, along with a 24h range of about $189-209.

  • Liquidityhigh

    $97.69K liquidity with turnover of about 6x makes slippage likely.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 hold 14.19%. Top-100 data and wallet labels are missing, so this is only a partial view.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint/freeze authority
  • Thin liquidity
  • Possible price divergence from any referenced underlying asset; the backing is unverified
  • Volume spike from a single candle
  • Unverified contract and spam status

Mitigating factors

  • 3,603 holder addresses
  • Top-10 share of 14.19%
  • Active two-sided trading with 1,728 buyers and 1,822 sellers
  • Social links present (twitter, website), though unverified

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant users who have independently verified the token's authorities and backing. This is not financial advice.

A small-cap, thinly traded tokenized asset with modest holder distribution and key safety checks missing. The risk is high and the evidence is limited.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Medium probability

The price holds above $198 and breaks $208.7 on rising liquidity.

  • Breakout momentum
  • Broad holder base
  • Liquidity growth

Base Case

Choppy consolidation between about $190 and $208.

  • Liquidity stays near $98K
  • No major single trades
  • Balanced flow continues

Bear Case

Medium probability

The price retraces to the $189-191 range or lower on sell pressure and thin liquidity.

  • Sell volume exceeds buy volume
  • Shallow pool
  • Unknown authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 5, 07:15 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-05 19:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Hourly OHLC candles (24)
  • Trading analytics
  • Holder aggregates (current snapshot)

Limitations

  • No authority data
  • No sniper data
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Only 24 hourly candles
  • Backing of the tokenized asset not verified

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Moderna - Backpack Securities ownership?

As of 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.19% of supply. It reports 3,603 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Moderna - Backpack Securities?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-05 19:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $294,830.00 in buys and $328,890.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Moderna - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +102.06%, from $62,613.04 (2026-10-04 20:00 UTC) to $126,513.17 (2026-10-05 19:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Moderna - Backpack Securities (MRNA)?

Price rebounded from about $189.4 to $205.2 late in the session after a spike candle. It now sits near the top of the 24h range, with slightly sell-heavy flow (52.7%) and slightly negative 5m/1h changes. Consolidation or a pullback toward the $190-198 area is plausible. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-72 hours), with a target range of $190 to $210.

Is MRNA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 68/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant users who have independently verified the token's authorities and backing. This is not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding MRNA?

Unknown mint/freeze authority • Thin liquidity • Possible price divergence from any referenced underlying asset; the backing is unverified

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