WINNING

WINNING Price Prediction 2026

WINNING
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 5, 2026

JAxMg5ErnK6ji37TnUh89yA2mouDkFVpiKGaEi1mpump

$0.056930

+2.38%

FDV $6,924

LiveContract:JAxMg5ErnK6ji37TnUh89yA2mouDkFVpiKGaEi1mpumpChain:SolanaHolders:666Market cap:$6,924

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Report snapshotas of May 5, 01:45 PM
FDV

$23,692

Liquidity

$14,373

Holders

988

Snipers

33

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

WINNING (JAxMg5ErnK6ji37TnUh89yA2mouDkFVpiKGaEi1mpump) is a Solana meme/pump token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$23.7K and a current price of $0.0000237. The token experienced a sharp pump on May 4 (candle [22] saw a 6x volume spike to $6,169) followed by a sustained multi-hour selloff of ~19% over 24h. Sell pressure dominates at 85.3% of 24h volume. Holder count surged from 302 to 1,803 on May 2 but has since collapsed back to 988, reflecting a classic pump-and-dump dynamic. Liquidity is extremely thin at $14.37K, and the top 10 holders control 57.38% of supply.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme sell pressure: 85.3% of 24h volume is sells, with 336 sell transactions vs. 96 buys
Holder count collapsed from 1,803 peak (May 2) to 988 currently, a ~45% drop in 3 days
Top 10 holders control 57.38% of supply; top 100 control 90.99%
20 snipers identified, nearly all in significant profit (most >100% realized PnL), indicating heavy early-buyer selling pressure
Ultra-thin liquidity of $14.37K creates extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, printing lower highs and lower lows across the last 24 candles. The current price of $0.0000237 is near the 24h low. With 85.3% sell pressure, 336 sells vs. 96 buys, and holders declining at -0.91%/hour, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the recent low around $0.0000237; a break below opens a move toward $0.0000220.

Target low$0.0000220
Target high$0.0000270
Support: $0.0000237 (current 24h low / close), $0.0000228 (candle [24] low), $0.0000220 (candle [23] low)
Resistance: $0.0000254 (candle [1] open / candle [2] area), $0.0000266 (candle [3] close area), $0.0000297 (candle [5–6] range)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

The token's holder base has been in freefall since the May 2 peak of 1,803 holders. With no described utility, no social links, no verified contract, and snipers having already extracted hundreds to thousands of percent in profits, the medium-term outlook is structurally bearish. A recovery would require a new catalyst or coordinated buying, neither of which is evident in the data.

Catalysts
  • Any new social media or influencer promotion could trigger a short-term bounce
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally could lift all boats temporarily
  • If large holders (top 10) begin accumulating rather than distributing, sentiment could shift
  • Extremely low FDV ($23.7K) means a small amount of capital could move price significantly — double-edged sword

Bullish factors

  • Extremely low FDV of ~$23.7K means very little capital needed for a significant price move
  • 7-day holder growth of +686 (+69%) shows the token attracted significant interest recently
  • Some snipers still hold positions (unknown balances), suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain liquidity

Bearish factors

  • 85.3% sell pressure in 24h ($12.49K sells vs. $2.16K buys)
  • Holder count down -106 (-11%) in 24h and -9 (-0.91%) in just the last hour
  • Top 10 holders control 57.38% — extreme concentration risk
  • All 20 snipers are in profit (most 100–659% realized PnL), creating persistent sell overhang
  • No utility, no social links, no verified contract, no description
  • Liquidity of only $14.37K — any sell of meaningful size will crater the price
  • Price down -19% in 24h with accelerating decline (-18.2% in 6h)
Confidence: medium. The directional bias (bearish) is supported by multiple converging signals: dominant sell pressure (85.3%), declining holder count (-11% in 24h, -0.91%/hr), lower highs/lows on OHLC, and snipers already in massive profit with incentive to continue selling. Confidence is 'medium' rather than 'high' because the ultra-low FDV means a single whale or influencer could cause a violent short-term reversal.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series reveals a clear pump-and-dump structure. Candle [22] (May 4, 16:00 UTC) was the inflection point: price surged from a low of $0.0000241 to a high of $0.0000311 on massive volume of $6,169 — the highest volume candle in the series. Candles [21] and [20] continued the pump to an intraday high of $0.0000418 (candle [21] high). From candle [19] onward, the token has printed a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows, with each candle closing below the prior open. The most recent candle [1] closed at $0.0000237, matching the session low — a bearish close with no wick recovery.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 15%Sell 85%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token peaked around $0.0000418 (candle [21] high on May 4, 17:00 UTC) and has made consistent lower highs and lower lows across 20+ consecutive candles. The current close at $0.0000237 is near the absolute bottom of the observed range.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000237 (current close / 24h low, candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000228–$0.0000230 (candle [24] low zone)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000254 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)
Major$0.0000297–$0.0000315 (candles [5–9] range, prior consolidation zone)

The $0.0000237 level is critical — it is both the current close and the 24h low. A sustained break below this level would open a move toward the $0.0000228 zone (candle [24] low). On the upside, $0.0000254 is the first resistance (candle [1] open), followed by the $0.0000297–$0.0000315 band where the token consolidated for several hours before the final leg down.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump structure: single high-volume candle [22] at $6,169 followed by sustained lower highs/lows
  • Bearish close: candle [1] closed exactly at its low ($0.0000237) with no recovery wick
  • Volume climax at candle [22] followed by volume exhaustion — classic distribution pattern
  • Candle [21] showed a long upper wick (O: $0.0000329, H: $0.0000418, C: $0.0000390) — shooting star / bearish reversal signal at the top
  • Consecutive lower highs across candles [19] through [1] — 13 candles of uninterrupted downtrend
  • Candle [10] showed a bullish recovery (O: $0.0000254, C: $0.0000295) but failed to hold, with subsequent candles resuming the downtrend

Total holders988
24h Δ-11
7d Δ+69
30d Δ+69
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder count and price are highly correlated in this token. The surge from 302 to 1,803 holders (May 2) coincided with the price pump. The subsequent collapse from 1,803 to 988 holders (-45% in 3 days) mirrors the price decline of ~43% from the $0.0000418 peak. The -11% holder drop in 24h and -0.91%/hr in the last hour suggest the decline is accelerating.

The holder history reveals a dormant token: from April 5 to May 1, holders were flat at exactly 302 for 27 consecutive days — suggesting the token was inactive or in a pre-launch holding pattern. On May 2, holders exploded from 302 to 1,803 (+1,501, +83%) in a single day, coinciding with the pump event. By May 3, holders dropped -591 (-49%) to 1,212, and by May 4 another -173 (-17%) to 1,039. Current holders stand at 988, down -106 (-11%) in the last 24h and -9 in the last hour. The 7d and 30d growth figures of +69% are misleading — they reflect the pump spike rather than organic growth. The trend is sharply declining and accelerating.

Top 10 hold57.38%
Top 100 hold90.99%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

14oc5fwdnTu4R2HUKLDNMux12jNEH183Fpn9veNLjJoa

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in metadata)

29.93%

HsrGkyHJWDkf59pVF9MaEDfYLrAXG1ijMM3cYUDhJU1t

Individual whale / early holder

3.86%

BjJXGAgSzgHjKtuwLGbawtcAtsEES6LQKDEfjpt7ctyu

Individual whale / early holder

3.75%

AbpUJ5D14MfVxfw2pbA9T8dnoD6GkBn1ST8FPgqfPFrd

Individual whale / early holder

3.73%

9ag4FULifhdDzwWvgknNYinC9WHPyJ96Ad52iPa63JRt

Individual whale / early holder

3.53%

The largest single holder (29.93%, address 14oc5fwdnTu4R2HUKLDNMux12jNEH183Fpn9veNLjJoa) matches the PumpSwap trading pair address listed in the metadata — this is the DEX liquidity pool, not a whale. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders each control 2.28–3.86% of supply, totaling ~27.45% of supply among 9 wallets. These are likely individual whales or early buyers. The top 100 holders control 90.99% of supply, leaving only ~9% distributed among the remaining 888+ holders. Distribution health is very concentrated. Given the dominant sell pressure and declining holder count, the overall sentiment among large holders appears to be distributing.

Liquidity$14,370
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$2,160
Sell$12,490
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers59
Unique sellers239

Liquidity is critically thin at $14.37K on a single PumpSwap pool (pair 14oc5fwdnTu4R2HUKLDNMux12jNEH183Fpn9veNLjJoa). The FDV of $24.19K barely exceeds the liquidity pool value, meaning the entire market cap is essentially backed by the LP. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $12.49K in sells vs. $2.16K in buys — an 85.3%/14.7% split. There were 239 unique sellers vs. only 59 unique buyers in 24h, a 4:1 ratio. Total 24h transactions: 432 (336 sells + 96 buys). Market health is poor — the token is in active distribution with no signs of buy-side support emerging.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,929,340.70
FDV$23,691.66

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.93M tokens (effectively 1 billion). The FDV is $23,691.66 at the current price of $0.0000237. The metadata lists update authority as 'unknown' and the contract as unverified, so mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data. The token is marked as 'mutable: false' which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but without explicit authority renouncement data, rug risk from authorities remains unknown. The token has no description, no social links, and no verified contract — all red flags for a potential pump-and-dump or abandoned project. The '.pump' suffix in the mint address confirms this was launched via Pump.fun infrastructure.

Volatility
high

Price dropped ~43% from the $0.0000418 peak to current $0.0000237 in under 20 hours. The 24h change is -19.1% and the 6h change is -18.2%, indicating accelerating volatility to the downside.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $14.37K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order above ~$500 will cause severe slippage. The LP itself is the largest 'holder' at 29.93% of supply.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders (excluding LP) control ~27.45% of circulating supply; top 100 control 90.99%. Nine individual wallets each hold 2.28–3.86%, creating significant dump risk if any coordinate or exit.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified, 19/20 in profit. Aggregate realized profits from top snipers alone (~$25K+) already exceed the current FDV of $23.7K. Unknown remaining balances represent a persistent sell overhang.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown due to missing metadata. The token is 'mutable: false' which is a mild positive, but without confirmed authority renouncement, the risk cannot be fully dismissed.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (85.3% of 24h volume) with no signs of reversal
  • Holder count in freefall: -45% from peak in 3 days, -11% in last 24h
  • Ultra-thin liquidity ($14.37K) makes exit difficult for any position above ~$200
  • Snipers have extracted profits exceeding current FDV — persistent sell overhang
  • No utility, no social links, no verified contract, no description — no fundamental value drivers
  • Token was dormant for 27 days (302 holders flat Apr 5–May 1) before the pump — suggests coordinated launch
  • Top 100 holders control 90.99% of supply — extreme concentration

Mitigating factors

  • Token is listed on PumpSwap with an accessible trading pair
  • Mutable: false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Extremely low FDV ($23.7K) means a small capital injection could cause a significant price move
  • 7d holder growth of +69% shows the token can attract attention quickly
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump mechanics. Position sizing should be minimal (speculative allocation only).

WINNING is a Pump.fun-launched Solana meme token that has completed a classic pump-and-dump cycle. The token pumped sharply on May 4 (peak ~$0.0000418), attracted 1,803 holders at its peak, and is now in active distribution with price down ~43% from peak, holders declining at -11%/day, and 85.3% sell pressure. Snipers have already extracted profits exceeding the current FDV. The investment thesis is overwhelmingly bearish for new entrants.

Bull case (low)

A social media catalyst (influencer promotion, viral meme) triggers a new wave of retail FOMO, driving a short-term price recovery toward the $0.0000297–$0.0000315 resistance zone. Given the ultra-low FDV of $23.7K, even $5K–$10K of coordinated buying could double the price.

  • Viral social media promotion or influencer shilling
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Coordinated whale accumulation at current lows
  • Ultra-low FDV amplifies impact of any new capital inflow

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000200–$0.0000250 range as the most motivated sellers exit and a small residual holder base remains. The token trades with very low volume and liquidity, effectively becoming a zombie token with occasional small pumps and dumps. FDV settles around $15K–$20K.

  • Sell pressure moderates as weak hands exit over the next 48–72 hours
  • A small core of holders (100–300) remain and provide minimal buy support
  • No new catalyst emerges to drive significant price movement in either direction
  • Liquidity pool remains intact and is not withdrawn by the LP provider

Bear case (high)

Continued holder exodus and sell pressure drives price below the $0.0000220 support zone. With liquidity at only $14.37K and snipers still holding unknown balances, a cascade of sells could push price down 50–80% from current levels toward $0.0000050–$0.0000120, effectively rendering the token worthless.

  • Persistent 85.3% sell pressure with no buy-side catalyst
  • Holder count declining at -11%/day — if trend continues, token becomes illiquid
  • Sniper sell overhang: 19/20 snipers in profit with incentive to continue selling
  • No utility, no community, no social presence to attract new buyers
  • Thin liquidity means small sells have outsized price impact

GeneratedMay 5, 01:45 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-05T13:00:00Z (most recent OHLC candle). Holder metrics and trading analytics are current to within 1 hour of analysis.
Model confidence
medium

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading pair data (pair 14oc5fwdnTu4R2HUKLDNMux12jNEH183Fpn9veNLjJoa)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles, USD-denominated)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (total holders, acquisition method, whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus breakdown)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • 30-day daily historical holder count series
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers, realized PnL data)

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot fully assess rug risk from token authorities
  • Sniper wallet balances are unknown — cannot calculate precise sniper concentration percentage or remaining sell overhang
  • Total sniped USD amount is unknown — cannot calculate exact sniper entry prices or remaining exposure
  • No social media or off-chain data available — cannot assess community sentiment or marketing activity
  • No verified contract — cannot audit token code for hidden functions
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days with 27 days of flat activity — limited baseline for trend analysis
  • FDV of $23.7K is extremely small, making all percentage-based metrics highly sensitive to single transactions

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in WINNING and receives no compensation related to this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,929,340.70

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure (85.3% of 24h volume) with no signs of reversal
Holder count in freefall: -45% from peak in 3 days, -11% in last 24h
Ultra-thin liquidity ($14.37K) makes exit difficult for any position above ~$200
Snipers have extracted profits exceeding current FDV — persistent sell overhang

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, 19 out of 20 show positive realized PnL, with the majority achieving 100–659% returns. Only one sniper (LhLcjgTLQPk8ydVVBFMGuVKcJjYzyywuQqiAKP1jkZU) is at a loss (-27.3%). The aggregate realized profits from snipers are substantial relative to the token's $23.7K FDV — top snipers alone have extracted $6,733 + $5,962 + $5,066 + $4,346 + $3,179 = ~$25K+ in realized profits, exceeding the current FDV. This confirms that smart money has largely exited and the token is in a distribution/dump phase. Current holders are predominantly retail latecomers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.50%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified; individual balances unknown but sell-through is high — top sellers include wallet 1aDerPKk87xJHCAqTY5bGxF5Xet2MG476y4Zmq2WJ8Y ($6,733 sold, +443.7% PnL), 3XSYLa8VqkTV4RxKGG92nQb3gPziFFFEVLCYkEaEtZ5k ($5,962 sold, +396.2%), and kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf ($5,066 sold, +539.6%)

Strongly negative for remaining holders — early buyers (snipers) have already realized massive profits and are largely exited. The sell-through rate is high across nearly all sniper wallets. Remaining sniper positions (unknown balances) represent a persistent overhang.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for WINNING (WINNING)?

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, printing lower highs and lower lows across the last 24 candles. The current price of $0.0000237 is near the 24h low. With 85.3% sell pressure, 336 sells vs. 96 buys, and holders declining at -0.91%/hour, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the recent low around $0.0000237; a break below opens a move toward $0.0000220. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.0000220 to $0.0000270.

Is WINNING a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump mechanics. Position sizing should be minimal (speculative allocation only).

How are WINNING holders trending?

WINNING currently has 988 holders and is declining (24h: -11, 7d: 69, 30d: 69). The holder history reveals a dormant token: from April 5 to May 1, holders were flat at exactly 302 for 27 consecutive days — suggesting the token was inactive or in a pre-launch holding pattern. On May 2, holders exploded from 302 to 1,803 (+1,501, +83%) in a single day, coinciding with the pump event. By May 3, holders dropped -591 (-49%) to 1,212, and by May 4 another -173 (-17%) to 1,039. Current holders stand at 988, down -106 (-11%) in the last 24h and -9 in the last hour. The 7d and 30d growth figures of +69% are misleading — they reflect the pump spike rather than organic growth. The trend is sharply declining and accelerating.

What does sniper activity look like for WINNING?

Snipers hold roughly 2.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding WINNING?

Extreme sell pressure (85.3% of 24h volume) with no signs of reversal • Holder count in freefall: -45% from peak in 3 days, -11% in last 24h • Ultra-thin liquidity ($14.37K) makes exit difficult for any position above ~$200

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