WINNING

WINNING Price Today & AI Analysis

WINNINGSolanaAnalysis as of May 5, 2026

Price

$0.042306

-1.89% 24h · FDV $23,040

Contract

Live
JAxMg5ErnK6ji37TnUh89yA2mouDkFVpiKGaEi1mpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

761

Market cap

$23,040

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WINNING: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-05 13:45 UTC

Holder addresses

988

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$14,372.77
How concentrated is WINNING ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 988 addresses (2026-05-05 13:45 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling WINNING?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is WINNING liquidity falling?
As of 2026-05-05 13:45 UTC, reported liquidity was $14,372.77. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-05 13:45 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 5, 01:45 PM UTC

FDV

$23,692

Liquidity

$14,372.77

Holders

988

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

WINNING (JAxMg5ErnK6ji37TnUh89yA2mouDkFVpiKGaEi1mpump) is a Solana meme/pump token launched on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$23.7K and a current price of $0.0000237. The token experienced a sharp pump on May 4 (candle [22] saw a 6x volume spike to $6,169) followed by a sustained multi-hour selloff of ~19% over 24h. Sell pressure dominates at 85.3% of 24h volume. Holder count surged from 302 to 1,803 on May 2 but has since collapsed back to 988, reflecting a classic pump-and-dump dynamic. Liquidity is extremely thin at $14.37K, and the top 10 holders control 57.38% of supply.

Key points

  • Extreme sell pressure: 85.3% of 24h volume is sells, with 336 sell transactions vs. 96 buys
  • Holder count collapsed from 1,803 peak (May 2) to 988 currently, a ~45% drop in 3 days
  • Top 10 holders control 57.38% of supply; top 100 control 90.99%
  • 20 snipers identified, nearly all in significant profit (most >100% realized PnL), indicating heavy early-buyer selling pressure
  • Ultra-thin liquidity of $14.37K creates extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–48 hours

bearish

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, printing lower highs and lower lows across the last 24 candles. The current price of $0.0000237 is near the 24h low. With 85.3% sell pressure, 336 sells vs. 96 buys, and holders declining at -0.91%/hour, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the recent low around $0.0000237; a break below opens a move toward $0.0000220.

Target low

$0.0000220

Target high

$0.0000270

Support

$0.0000237 (current 24h low / close), $0.0000228 (candle [24] low), $0.0000220 (candle [23] low)

Resistance

$0.0000254 (candle [1] open / candle [2] area), $0.0000266 (candle [3] close area), $0.0000297 (candle [5–6] range)

Medium term · 3–14 days

bearish

The token's holder base has been in freefall since the May 2 peak of 1,803 holders. With no described utility, no social links, no verified contract, and snipers having already extracted hundreds to thousands of percent in profits, the medium-term outlook is structurally bearish. A recovery would require a new catalyst or coordinated buying, neither of which is evident in the data.

Catalysts

  • Any new social media or influencer promotion could trigger a short-term bounce
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally could lift all boats temporarily
  • If large holders (top 10) begin accumulating rather than distributing, sentiment could shift
  • Extremely low FDV ($23.7K) means a small amount of capital could move price significantly — double-edged sword

Bullish factors

  • Extremely low FDV of ~$23.7K means very little capital needed for a significant price move
  • 7-day holder growth of +686 (+69%) shows the token attracted significant interest recently
  • Some snipers still hold positions (unknown balances), suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain liquidity

Bearish factors

  • 85.3% sell pressure in 24h ($12.49K sells vs. $2.16K buys)
  • Holder count down -106 (-11%) in 24h and -9 (-0.91%) in just the last hour
  • Top 10 holders control 57.38% — extreme concentration risk
  • All 20 snipers are in profit (most 100–659% realized PnL), creating persistent sell overhang
  • No utility, no social links, no verified contract, no description
  • Liquidity of only $14.37K — any sell of meaningful size will crater the price
  • Price down -19% in 24h with accelerating decline (-18.2% in 6h)

Confidence: medium. The directional bias (bearish) is supported by multiple converging signals: dominant sell pressure (85.3%), declining holder count (-11% in 24h, -0.91%/hr), lower highs/lows on OHLC, and snipers already in massive profit with incentive to continue selling. Confidence is 'medium' rather than 'high' because the ultra-low FDV means a single whale or influencer could cause a violent short-term reversal.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
JAxMg5...pump
Total Supply
999,929,340.70

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (85.3% of 24h volume) with no signs of reversal
  • Holder count in freefall: -45% from peak in 3 days, -11% in last 24h
  • Ultra-thin liquidity ($14.37K) makes exit difficult for any position above ~$200
  • Snipers have extracted profits exceeding current FDV — persistent sell overhang

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series reveals a clear pump-and-dump structure. Candle [22] (May 4, 16:00 UTC) was the inflection point: price surged from a low of $0.0000241 to a high of $0.0000311 on massive volume of $6,169 — the highest volume candle in the series. Candles [21] and [20] continued the pump to an intraday high of $0.0000418 (candle [21] high). From candle [19] onward, the token has printed a consistent series of lower highs and lower lows, with each candle closing below the prior open. The most recent candle [1] closed at $0.0000237, matching the session low — a bearish close with no wick recovery.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token peaked around $0.0000418 (candle [21] high on May 4, 17:00 UTC) and has made consistent lower highs and lower lows across 20+ consecutive candles. The current close at $0.0000237 is near the absolute bottom of the observed range.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

15%

Sell

85%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000237 (current close / 24h low, candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000228–$0.0000230 (candle [24] low zone)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000254 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)

Major resistance

$0.0000297–$0.0000315 (candles [5–9] range, prior consolidation zone)

The $0.0000237 level is critical — it is both the current close and the 24h low. A sustained break below this level would open a move toward the $0.0000228 zone (candle [24] low). On the upside, $0.0000254 is the first resistance (candle [1] open), followed by the $0.0000297–$0.0000315 band where the token consolidated for several hours before the final leg down.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump structure: single high-volume candle [22] at $6,169 followed by sustained lower highs/lows
  • Bearish close: candle [1] closed exactly at its low ($0.0000237) with no recovery wick
  • Volume climax at candle [22] followed by volume exhaustion — classic distribution pattern
  • Candle [21] showed a long upper wick (O: $0.0000329, H: $0.0000418, C: $0.0000390) — shooting star / bearish reversal signal at the top
  • Consecutive lower highs across candles [19] through [1] — 13 candles of uninterrupted downtrend
  • Candle [10] showed a bullish recovery (O: $0.0000254, C: $0.0000295) but failed to hold, with subsequent candles resuming the downtrend

Liquidity

Liquidity

$14,372.77

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically thin at $14.37K on a single PumpSwap pool (pair 14oc5fwdnTu4R2HUKLDNMux12jNEH183Fpn9veNLjJoa). The FDV of $24.19K barely exceeds the liquidity pool value, meaning the entire market cap is essentially backed by the LP. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $12.49K in sells vs. $2.16K in buys — an 85.3%/14.7% split. There were 239 unique sellers vs. only 59 unique buyers in 24h, a 4:1 ratio. Total 24h transactions: 432 (336 sells + 96 buys). Market health is poor — the token is in active distribution with no signs of buy-side support emerging.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,929,340.70

FDV

$23,691.66

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped ~43% from the $0.0000418 peak to current $0.0000237 in under 20 hours. The 24h change is -19.1% and the 6h change is -18.2%, indicating accelerating volatility to the downside.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $14.37K on a single PumpSwap pool. Any sell order above ~$500 will cause severe slippage. The LP itself is the largest 'holder' at 29.93% of supply.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (85.3% of 24h volume) with no signs of reversal
  • Holder count in freefall: -45% from peak in 3 days, -11% in last 24h
  • Ultra-thin liquidity ($14.37K) makes exit difficult for any position above ~$200
  • Snipers have extracted profits exceeding current FDV — persistent sell overhang
  • No utility, no social links, no verified contract, no description — no fundamental value drivers
  • Token was dormant for 27 days (302 holders flat Apr 5–May 1) before the pump — suggests coordinated launch
  • Top 100 holders control 90.99% of supply — extreme concentration

Mitigating factors

  • Token is listed on PumpSwap with an accessible trading pair
  • Mutable: false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Extremely low FDV ($23.7K) means a small capital injection could cause a significant price move
  • 7d holder growth of +69% shows the token can attract attention quickly

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump mechanics. Position sizing should be minimal (speculative allocation only).

WINNING is a Pump.fun-launched Solana meme token that has completed a classic pump-and-dump cycle. The token pumped sharply on May 4 (peak ~$0.0000418), attracted 1,803 holders at its peak, and is now in active distribution with price down ~43% from peak, holders declining at -11%/day, and 85.3% sell pressure. Snipers have already extracted profits exceeding the current FDV. The investment thesis is overwhelmingly bearish for new entrants.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A social media catalyst (influencer promotion, viral meme) triggers a new wave of retail FOMO, driving a short-term price recovery toward the $0.0000297–$0.0000315 resistance zone. Given the ultra-low FDV of $23.7K, even $5K–$10K of coordinated buying could double the price.

  • Viral social media promotion or influencer shilling
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Coordinated whale accumulation at current lows
  • Ultra-low FDV amplifies impact of any new capital inflow

Base Case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000200–$0.0000250 range as the most motivated sellers exit and a small residual holder base remains. The token trades with very low volume and liquidity, effectively becoming a zombie token with occasional small pumps and dumps. FDV settles around $15K–$20K.

  • Sell pressure moderates as weak hands exit over the next 48–72 hours
  • A small core of holders (100–300) remain and provide minimal buy support
  • No new catalyst emerges to drive significant price movement in either direction
  • Liquidity pool remains intact and is not withdrawn by the LP provider

Bear Case

High probability

Continued holder exodus and sell pressure drives price below the $0.0000220 support zone. With liquidity at only $14.37K and snipers still holding unknown balances, a cascade of sells could push price down 50–80% from current levels toward $0.0000050–$0.0000120, effectively rendering the token worthless.

  • Persistent 85.3% sell pressure with no buy-side catalyst
  • Holder count declining at -11%/day — if trend continues, token becomes illiquid
  • Sniper sell overhang: 19/20 snipers in profit with incentive to continue selling
  • No utility, no community, no social presence to attract new buyers
  • Thin liquidity means small sells have outsized price impact

Analysis details

Generated

May 5, 01:45 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-05 13:45 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, decimals, supply, mutability)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading pair data (pair 14oc5fwdnTu4R2HUKLDNMux12jNEH183Fpn9veNLjJoa)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles, USD-denominated)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (total holders, acquisition method, whale/shark/dolphin/fish/octopus breakdown)
  • Top 20 holder addresses and balances
  • 30-day daily historical holder count series
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers, realized PnL data)

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot fully assess rug risk from token authorities
  • Sniper wallet balances are unknown — cannot calculate precise sniper concentration percentage or remaining sell overhang
  • Total sniped USD amount is unknown — cannot calculate exact sniper entry prices or remaining exposure
  • No social media or off-chain data available — cannot assess community sentiment or marketing activity
  • No verified contract — cannot audit token code for hidden functions
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days with 27 days of flat activity — limited baseline for trend analysis
  • FDV of $23.7K is extremely small, making all percentage-based metrics highly sensitive to single transactions

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in WINNING and receives no compensation related to this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is WINNING ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 988 addresses (2026-05-05 13:45 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling WINNING?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is WINNING liquidity falling?

As of 2026-05-05 13:45 UTC, reported liquidity was $14,372.77. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for WINNING (WINNING)?

Price is in a clear short-term downtrend, printing lower highs and lower lows across the last 24 candles. The current price of $0.0000237 is near the 24h low. With 85.3% sell pressure, 336 sells vs. 96 buys, and holders declining at -0.91%/hour, further downside is the path of least resistance. Immediate support is the recent low around $0.0000237; a break below opens a move toward $0.0000220. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.0000220 to $0.0000270.

Is WINNING a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics and are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana pump-and-dump mechanics. Position sizing should be minimal (speculative allocation only).

What are the key risks of holding WINNING?

Extreme sell pressure (85.3% of 24h volume) with no signs of reversal • Holder count in freefall: -45% from peak in 3 days, -11% in last 24h • Ultra-thin liquidity ($14.37K) makes exit difficult for any position above ~$200

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