FRAG

frags.fun Game Price Today & AI Analysis

FRAG
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 15, 2026

J4Y92jy5Lr9ho1aV41bhguytnzBbsPhZJahmaVszpump

$0.056517

+11.89%

FDV $6,494

LiveContract:J4Y92jy5Lr9ho1aV41bhguytnzBbsPhZJahmaVszpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,766Market cap:$6,494

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Ask Unhosted AI about FRAG

Report snapshotas of Jun 15, 03:17 AM
FDV

$153,610

Liquidity

$44,563

Holders

633

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

FRAG (frags.fun Game) is an extremely new PumpSwap token (mint: J4Y92jy5Lr9ho1aV41bhguytnzBbsPhZJahmaVszpump) that launched within the last 24 hours, flagged as possible spam by the data provider. The token has experienced a massive 294% price spike in 24h but exhibits catastrophic concentration risk — the top holder alone controls 98.15% of supply, and the top 10 holders collectively hold 100% of supply. Sell pressure is overwhelming (78.3% of 24h volume), liquidity is razor-thin at $44.56K, and the token is unverified. This profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump or rug-pull setup.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Top single holder controls 98.15% of total supply — extreme concentration
Token flagged as possible spam by data provider
294% 24h price spike with 78.3% sell pressure — classic pump-and-dump pattern
Holder base grew from 10 to 633 in a single day (all within 24h)
Total liquidity only $44.56K against $153.6K FDV — very shallow market
Update authority listed as unknown; mutable=false provides limited reassurance

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is showing extreme sell pressure (78.3% of volume) and the dominant holder (98.15% of supply) has not yet exited. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) closed at $0.0000288, far below its open of $0.0000935, indicating a sharp intra-hour dump. With shallow liquidity and overwhelming sell-side dominance, further downside is the base expectation.

Target low$0.000010
Target high$0.000210
Support: $0.0000255 (candle [2] low), $0.0000100 (psychological floor / near-zero)
Resistance: $0.0000949 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open), $0.000210 (candle [1] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the extreme supply concentration, spam flag, unverified contract, and lack of any meaningful holder base prior to launch day, the medium-term outlook is deeply bearish. If the dominant wallet (98.15%) sells even a fraction of its holdings, the token price will collapse. There is no evidence of organic community growth or utility traction.

Catalysts
  • Exit of the 98.15% dominant holder would cause near-total price collapse
  • Continued sell pressure from the 759 sellers vs 286 buyers ratio
  • Possible delisting or liquidity removal from PumpSwap
  • No product/utility validation to sustain price

Bullish factors

  • 294% 24h price gain shows speculative momentum exists
  • 5m price change of +5.3% suggests very short-term buying interest
  • 677 buy transactions in 24h indicates some retail participation

Bearish factors

  • 78.3% of 24h volume is sell-side ($140.58K sells vs $39.04K buys)
  • Single holder controls 98.15% of supply — extreme rug risk
  • Token flagged as possible spam
  • Unverified contract
  • Liquidity only $44.56K — any large sell will crater price
  • Candle [1] closed at $0.0000288 vs open of $0.0000935 — massive intra-hour dump
  • 759 unique sellers vs only 286 unique buyers in 24h
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing minimal price history. The token is less than 24 hours old. Extreme concentration and spam flag make price behavior highly unpredictable and manipulation-prone. Confidence in any directional call is therefore low.

FRAG call history

Full track record →
Jun 15bearish
24h+605.1%
7d+443.3%
30d-95.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (02:00 UTC): O=$0.0000288, H=$0.000153, L=$0.0000255, C=$0.0000949 — a strong bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting a bounce from lows. Candle [1] (03:00 UTC): O=$0.0000935, H=$0.000210, L=$0.0000935, C=$0.0000288 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern: price spiked to an all-time high of $0.000210 then collapsed back to $0.0000288, closing near the open of the prior candle. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candle pattern — a shooting star / bearish engulfing at the top.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 22%Sell 78%

The most recent candle is sharply bearish, closing at $0.0000288 after reaching a high of $0.000210 — an 86% intra-candle collapse. With only 2 candles available, the short-term trend is clearly down from the spike high. Medium-term trend is also bearish given the token's age and sell-side dominance.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000255 (candle [2] low)
Major$0.0000100 (near-zero psychological floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000949 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)
Major$0.000210 (candle [1] all-time high)

The all-time high of $0.000210 (candle [1] high) is the major resistance. Immediate resistance sits around $0.0000949 where the prior candle opened. Support is thin given shallow liquidity; the candle [2] low of $0.0000255 is the only identifiable floor, with near-zero as the ultimate support.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [1]: spiked to $0.000210 ATH then collapsed to $0.0000288 close — classic pump-and-dump candle
  • Long lower wick on candle [2] suggesting a brief bounce from lows before the next leg up (which was then fully reversed)
  • Declining volume on the dump phase (candle [1] $61K vs candle [2] $109K)
  • No higher highs pattern established — single spike followed by collapse

Total holders633
24h Δ+98
7d Δ+98
30d Δ+98
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count exploded from 10 to 633 (a +623 holder increase, +98% growth) entirely within the last 24 hours, coinciding with the 294% price spike. This suggests the price pump attracted retail buyers, not organic community growth. Prior to this event, the holder count was flat at 10 for the entire 30-day historical period.

For the entire 30-day historical period (May 16 – June 14, 2026), the holder count was completely flat at 10 holders with zero net change daily. Then, within a single 24-hour window (June 15), holders surged from 10 to 633 (+623 holders, +98% growth). This is not organic growth — it is a sudden retail influx driven by the price pump. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure because all growth occurred in one day. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump attracting FOMO buyers.

Top 10 hold100.00%
Top 100 hold100.00%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

H8MsQcgseWPUgZRE1iJcm2jH5sLS6MJ5K7xyUGVpVJyM

Project treasury / team / potential rug wallet — holds 98.15% of total supply (981,483,445 tokens). This is an extreme red flag.

98.15%

5Q56answLVnoDHVo4DzvdJ1AfU8f9ycBggjVS2QEvGQK

Individual whale — second largest holder at 1.74% (17,376,518 tokens)

1.74%

GjFPEFQmyKxAUhwekRNzQyjLPr6fwQMAmmJtA9Xceu9E

Individual whale — third largest holder at 0.11% (1,124,309 tokens)

0.11%

8psNvWTrdNTiVRNzAgsou9kETXNJm2SXZyaKuJraVRtf

Small holder / fish — negligible balance (12,819 tokens)

0.00%

F5htzV9pbFTcVdN7XaqohCmVxVZ5s877xNgL3AtEt4hF

Dust holder — 802 tokens

0.00%

Supply concentration is catastrophic. The top holder alone controls 98.15% of the entire supply (981,483,445 out of ~999,997,786 tokens). The top 10 and top 100 holders collectively hold 100% of supply. Only 7 wallets appear in the holder list with any meaningful balance. The dominant wallet has not yet visibly dumped its full position, but the overwhelming sell pressure (78.3% of volume) suggests distribution is actively underway. This is one of the most concentrated token distributions possible and represents an existential rug risk.

Liquidity$44,560
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$39,040
Sell$140,580
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers286
Unique sellers759

Liquidity is critically shallow at $44.56K on PumpSwap (pair: jpqfphDxnEjSAguhGCeTZ74PU5A5ef1FBoV5u3an16b). The FDV of $153.6K is 3.4x the available liquidity, meaning any moderate sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $140.58K in sells vs $39.04K in buys — a 3.6:1 sell-to-buy ratio. There are 759 unique sellers vs only 286 unique buyers, confirming broad distribution pressure. The market is in a clear outflow state. With the dominant wallet holding 98.15% of supply and liquidity this thin, a single large sell transaction could drain the pool entirely.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,997,786
FDV$153,609.75

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of ~999,997,786 FRAG with an FDV of $153,609.75 at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified (verified=false). The token is flagged as possible spam. While mutable=false provides some reassurance that metadata cannot be changed, the unknown authority status means mint and freeze authority cannot be confirmed as renounced. The token was launched on PumpSwap (a Pump.fun derivative), which typically uses a bonding curve model. The extreme supply concentration (98.15% in one wallet) is the dominant tokenomics risk, far outweighing any authority considerations.

Volatility
high

294% 24h price spike followed by an 86% intra-candle collapse from the high. Extreme volatility with only 2 hourly candles of price history available.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $44.56K on PumpSwap. Any significant sell order will cause catastrophic slippage. The pool can be drained by the dominant 98.15% holder in a single transaction.

Concentration
high

Top holder controls 98.15% of supply (981,483,445 tokens). Top 10 holders control 100% of supply. This is the most extreme concentration possible — effectively a single-entity controlled token.

SniperDump
low

No sniper data is available. Sniper-specific dump risk cannot be assessed. However, the dominant wallet's 98.15% holding represents a far larger dump risk than any sniper activity.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'; contract is unverified; token is flagged as possible spam. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. Mutable=false provides limited reassurance.

Key risks

  • Single wallet holds 98.15% of supply — catastrophic rug pull risk
  • Token flagged as possible spam by data provider
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Liquidity of only $44.56K — extreme slippage and drain risk
  • 78.3% sell pressure in 24h — active distribution underway
  • Token was dormant for 30 days (10 holders) then pumped — coordinated manipulation pattern
  • No product/utility validation; description is unverifiable marketing text
  • 759 sellers vs 286 buyers — 2.65:1 seller-to-buyer ratio

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false means token metadata cannot be altered post-launch
  • Token is on PumpSwap which has some baseline infrastructure
  • Some retail buying interest exists (677 buy transactions, 286 unique buyers)
  • 5m price showing +5.3% suggesting very short-term momentum
Suitable for: This token is NOT suitable for any investor seeking capital preservation. It may only be considered by experienced, high-risk speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. The extreme supply concentration, spam flag, unverified contract, and overwhelming sell pressure make this one of the highest-risk tokens possible. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bull case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Base case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Bear case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

GeneratedJun 15, 03:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-06-15T03:00 UTC. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, severely limiting technical analysis depth.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price candles (2 candles available)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Trading volume and buyer/seller analytics

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No sniper data available — smart money signals are inferred from aggregate trading data only
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority cannot be confirmed
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all metrics are based on extremely limited history
  • Holder labels (e.g. 'project treasury') are analyst classifications, not verified on-chain labels
  • Token flagged as possible spam — data integrity cannot be fully guaranteed
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched tokens with extreme concentration and spam flags, carry very high risk of total loss. Never invest more than you can afford to lose. The analyst has no position in FRAG and receives no compensation from the token's creators.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,997,786

Key Risks

Single wallet holds 98.15% of supply — catastrophic rug pull risk
Token flagged as possible spam by data provider
Unverified contract with unknown authority status
Liquidity of only $44.56K — extreme slippage and drain risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for FRAG. Smart money signals must be inferred from other on-chain data. The dominant wallet (H8MsQcgseWPUgZRE1iJcm2jH5sLS6MJ5K7xyUGVpVJyM) holds 98.15% of supply and has not yet visibly exited based on current balance data — but this represents an enormous overhang. The 759 unique sellers vs 286 unique buyers in 24h, combined with $140.58K in sell volume vs $39.04K in buy volume, suggests early participants are aggressively distributing to retail buyers.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no data for this token.

Bearish — overwhelming sell-side dominance (78.3% sell volume, 759 sellers vs 286 buyers) indicates early holders are distributing. The dominant wallet's 98.15% holding represents a massive potential sell overhang.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for frags.fun Game (FRAG)?

The token is showing extreme sell pressure (78.3% of volume) and the dominant holder (98.15% of supply) has not yet exited. The most recent hourly candle (candle [1]) closed at $0.0000288, far below its open of $0.0000935, indicating a sharp intra-hour dump. With shallow liquidity and overwhelming sell-side dominance, further downside is the base expectation. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000010 to $0.000210.

Is FRAG a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.5/100. This token is NOT suitable for any investor seeking capital preservation. It may only be considered by experienced, high-risk speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. The extreme supply concentration, spam flag, unverified contract, and overwhelming sell pressure make this one of the highest-risk tokens possible. This analysis is informational only and does not constitute financial advice.

How are FRAG holders trending?

frags.fun Game currently has 633 holders and is growing (24h: 98, 7d: 98, 30d: 98). For the entire 30-day historical period (May 16 – June 14, 2026), the holder count was completely flat at 10 holders with zero net change daily. Then, within a single 24-hour window (June 15), holders surged from 10 to 633 (+623 holders, +98% growth). This is not organic growth — it is a sudden retail influx driven by the price pump. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical to the 24h figure because all growth occurred in one day. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump attracting FOMO buyers.

What does sniper activity look like for FRAG?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding FRAG?

Single wallet holds 98.15% of supply — catastrophic rug pull risk • Token flagged as possible spam by data provider • Unverified contract with unknown authority status

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