smol

smol Price Today & AI Analysis

smolSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 14, 2026

Price

$0.000132

+201.12% 24h

Contract

Live
HzPRXMeo6JLQj7dKH79fNnpApNzY8VBQ8g4Ne9Cwpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

439

Market cap

$126,633

At a $1M market cap, $SMOL would be $0.001042 (7.90x from today’s price)

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smol: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-14 21:15 UTC

Holder addresses

439

Top 10 supply share

8.68%

Reported liquidity

$16,473.00
How concentrated is smol ownership?
As of 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 8.68% of supply. It reports 439 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling smol?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $383,993.00 in buys and $370,582.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is smol liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +17.33%, from $14,076.89 (2026-10-14 20:00 UTC) to $16,516.75 (2026-10-14 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-14 20:00 UTC$14,076.89
2026-10-14 21:00 UTC$16,516.75

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

Report snapshot

as of Oct 14, 09:16 PM UTC

FDV

$126,633

Liquidity

$16,473.00

Holders

439

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

smol is a pump.fun-launched token trading on PumpSwap at about $0.000132 with an FDV of roughly $126.6K. Price is up about 201% in 24h, and nearly all of that happened in the last two hourly candles. Liquidity is only $16.47K, and 24h volume is about $755K, so the token is thinly supported and very volatile.

Key points

  • 24h volume of about $754.6K is roughly 45x the $16.47K liquidity
  • 201% gain in 1h, essentially the whole 24h move
  • Top-10 holders own 8.68% of supply across 439 holder addresses
  • Mint/freeze authority and sniper data are unavailable

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-72 hours

neutral

After a parabolic move, mean reversion and sharp swings are likely. The direction is unclear and the downside is large relative to the thin liquidity.

Target low

$0.00006

Target high

$0.00016

Support

$0.0000994, $0.0000618

Resistance

$0.000111, $0.000139

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Too little history exists for a medium-term view. Tokens like this often retrace after spikes unless volume and liquidity keep growing.

Catalysts

  • Growth in liquidity
  • Sustained buyer count
  • Social attention

Bullish factors

  • Buy pressure of 50.9% with 7,930 buys vs 3,330 sells
  • 1,607 buyers vs 1,329 sellers
  • Top-10 share of 8.68% is low
  • Last candle closed near its high at $0.0001326

Bearish factors

  • 201% spike invites profit-taking
  • Liquidity of only $16.47K
  • Very short price history
  • Authority status unknown
  • Last candle had a wick down to $0.0000618

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly candles are available, there is no sniper or authority data, and liquidity is thin.

smol call history

Full track record →

Oct 14neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
HzPRXM...pump
Total Supply
959,687,146.91

Key Risks

  • Extreme volatility after a parabolic spike
  • Thin liquidity and high slippage
  • Unknown authorities
  • No sniper or holder history

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Two hourly candles. At 20:00 price rose from 0.00000504 to a close of 0.0000995 (high 0.000112), about a 20x move in one hour. At 21:00 it opened at 0.0000995, ranged 0.0000618 to 0.000139 and closed at 0.0001326, a bullish continuation with a large range.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is sharply up, with higher highs and higher lows across the two candles. Two candles are not enough to establish a medium-term trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000994

Major support

$0.0000618

Immediate resistance

$0.000139

Major resistance

$0.000150+ (no historical level; price discovery)

Levels come only from two candles and are weak.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic vertical advance
  • Higher highs and higher lows
  • Long lower wick in the second candle, showing dip buying
  • Falling volume on the second candle

Liquidity

Liquidity

$16,473.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Net buy flow is about $13.4K (50.9% buys). Liquidity of $16.47K is about 13% of FDV, and volume is about 45x liquidity. Trades of any size will move the price significantly, and exits could be difficult. Buyers outnumber sellers (1,607 vs 1,329), and there were 7,930 buys vs 3,330 sells.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

959,687,146.91

FDV

$126.63K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price rose 201% in 1h, with a candle range of 0.0000618 to 0.000139.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Liquidity of $16.47K supports $755K of daily volume.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Top-10 share is 8.68%, but there is no wallet classification or top-100 data, so overall concentration is unverified.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme volatility after a parabolic spike
  • Thin liquidity and high slippage
  • Unknown authorities
  • No sniper or holder history
  • Very little price history

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 share of 8.68%
  • Balanced buy/sell flow with more buyers than sellers
  • Active trading with 7,930 buys

Suitable for

Only for investors who can afford to lose their entire stake. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors. This is not financial advice.

This is a speculative, momentum-driven micro-cap. The evidence is too thin to support a conviction thesis.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Momentum and liquidity grow, and price holds above $0.0001 while attracting new buyers.

  • Sustained buyer growth
  • Liquidity additions
  • Social traction

Base Case

High volatility with a partial retracement and choppy trading.

  • Volume cools from the spike
  • Liquidity stays thin
  • No major catalyst

Bear Case

High probability

The spike fully retraces as early buyers take profit into thin liquidity.

  • Profit-taking after a 201% move
  • Shallow liquidity
  • Falling volume

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 14, 09:16 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-14 21:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata
  • Price data (PumpSwap pair)
  • Hourly OHLC (2 candles)
  • Trading analytics
  • Holder aggregates (Codex snapshot)

Limitations

  • Only 2 candles
  • No sniper data
  • No mint/freeze authority data
  • No holder history or wallet classification
  • Update authority unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is smol ownership?

As of 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 8.68% of supply. It reports 439 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling smol?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-14 21:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $383,993.00 in buys and $370,582.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is smol liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +17.33%, from $14,076.89 (2026-10-14 20:00 UTC) to $16,516.75 (2026-10-14 21:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for smol (smol)?

After a parabolic move, mean reversion and sharp swings are likely. The direction is unclear and the downside is large relative to the thin liquidity. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-72 hours), with a target range of $0.00006 to $0.00016.

Is smol a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. Only for investors who can afford to lose their entire stake. It is not suitable for risk-averse investors. This is not financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding smol?

Extreme volatility after a parabolic spike • Thin liquidity and high slippage • Unknown authorities

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