OBLYRA

Oblyra Price Today & AI Analysis

OBLYRASolanaAnalysis as of May 4, 2026

Price

$0.051300

FDV $1,299

Contract

Live
HqvHRVLwcH4kp82p5YNKpZvBRvHxrJgAkKcvnjmgpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

15

Market cap

$1,299

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Oblyra: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-04 06:47 UTC

Holder addresses

47

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Oblyra ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 47 addresses (2026-05-04 06:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Oblyra?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Oblyra liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-04 06:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 4, 06:47 AM UTC

FDV

$4,658

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

47

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

OBLYRA (HqvHRVLwcH4kp82p5YNKpZvBRvHxrJgAkKcvnjmgpump) is an extremely early-stage Solana memecoin/utility token launched on PumpSwap, purportedly powering a 'next-generation web metaverse.' The token has a fully diluted valuation of ~$4,658, only 47 holders, and has shed ~37.5% of its value in the past 24 hours. On-chain data reveals extreme supply concentration (top 10 wallets hold 98.43%), near-zero liquidity ($0 reported), overwhelming sell pressure (69.5%), and a holder base that collapsed from 116 to 52 in a single day. The project is in a very nascent and high-risk state.

Key points

  • Extremely micro-cap with FDV of ~$4,658 — any meaningful capital inflow could produce outsized moves
  • PumpSwap-launched token with a metaverse/creator-economy narrative attached
  • Top holder (ED4PXKcCCbXMZB1TMecebFVJsMUdL4uTFnzRyLQXDjDR) is the liquidity pool address holding 57.31% of supply
  • Token is only ~2 days old with active trading history beginning May 2, 2026
  • 20 snipers active in first 1000 blocks; majority are at a realized loss

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

Price has dropped from a recent high near $0.00000657 to the current $0.00000466, a decline of ~29% from the 24h high. Sell pressure dominates at 69.5% of volume. With only 12 unique buyers vs. 60 unique sellers in the past 24h, and reported liquidity at $0, the path of least resistance is further downside. A brief consolidation or dead-cat bounce is possible given the oversold conditions, but structural selling pressure remains dominant.

Target low

$0.0000030

Target high

$0.0000057

Support

$0.00000465 (current price / recent low), $0.00000436 (extrapolated -6% from current), $0.00000274 (50% drawdown from 24h high)

Resistance

$0.00000506 (candle [4] low / recent breakdown level), $0.00000563 (candle [20] close), $0.00000657 (candle [6] high / 24h peak)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without a significant influx of new holders, liquidity provision, and a credible product update, OBLYRA is likely to continue drifting lower. The holder base collapsed 100% in 24h per the metrics (from 95 to 47 net), and the token has been dormant for over a month prior to its May 2 launch spike. Sustained recovery requires community building and real utility delivery.

Catalysts

  • Listing on a higher-tier DEX aggregator or CEX
  • Verifiable metaverse product demo or launch announcement
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new holder acquisition
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting micro-caps

Bullish factors

  • Micro-cap FDV of ~$4,658 means even small capital inflows can produce large percentage gains
  • Metaverse/creator-economy narrative has broad market appeal if executed
  • Social links (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggest some community infrastructure exists
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing certain manipulation vectors

Bearish factors

  • Price down -37.5% in 24h with 69.5% sell pressure
  • Top 10 wallets hold 98.43% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Holder count collapsed from 116 to 47 in ~24 hours
  • Reported total liquidity of $0 — effectively illiquid
  • 20 snipers active at launch, majority at realized losses, creating overhang
  • Unverified contract, unknown update authority
  • Token was dormant (1 holder) for the entire month of April 2026 before launch

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's extremely short trading history (< 3 days), near-zero liquidity, tiny holder base of 47, and absence of verified contract or audited tokenomics. Price action is highly susceptible to single-wallet manipulation given the 98.43% top-10 concentration.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
HqvHRV...pump
Total Supply
999,891,068.957462

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: single non-LP wallet holds 29.73% of supply
  • Near-zero liquidity makes the token effectively untradeable at scale
  • Holder base collapsed 59% in 24 hours (116 → 47)
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 20 available hourly candles span from 2026-05-03T07:00Z to 2026-05-04T05:00Z. The session opened at ~$0.00000668 (candle [20]) and has trended sharply lower to $0.00000466 (candle [1]), representing a ~30% decline over ~22 hours. Candle [20] is a large bearish candle (O: 0.00000668, C: 0.00000544, range ~19%) with high volume ($411.55), signaling the initial distribution phase. Candle [16] shows a bullish recovery attempt (O: 0.00000575, H: 0.00000650, C: 0.00000640) with strong volume ($267.69), forming a bull engulfing-like structure. Candles [13]–[15] show a lower-high pattern (peak ~0.00000661 vs prior ~0.00000668), confirming a downtrend. Candles [3]–[4] show accelerating sell-off with candle [4] dropping from O: 0.00000645 to C: 0.00000506 on $371 volume — a large bearish engulfing. Candle [2] and [1] show doji-like single-price prints suggesting very thin liquidity and minimal activity.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The token is in a clear short-term and medium-term downtrend. Lower highs are visible: 0.00000668 → 0.00000661 → 0.00000655 → 0.00000506 → 0.00000472 → 0.00000466. The brief recovery in candles [16]–[13] failed to reclaim the opening high, confirming bearish structure.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

31%

Sell

70%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00000466 (current price, recent multi-hour low)

Major support

$0.00000274 (50% drawdown from 24h high of $0.00000657)

Immediate resistance

$0.00000506 (candle [4] close / breakdown level)

Major resistance

$0.00000657 (candle [6] high, 24h peak)

The $0.00000466 level is the current floor but has minimal buy-side support given near-zero liquidity. A reclaim of $0.00000506 would be the first bullish signal. The $0.00000657 level represents the 24h high and major overhead resistance. Given the thin order book, price can gap through levels rapidly in either direction.

Notable patterns

  • Large bearish opening candle [20]: O:0.00000668 → C:0.00000544, high volume ($411.55) — distribution signal
  • Bull engulfing attempt at candle [16]: recovered from low of 0.00000564 to close 0.00000640 — temporary demand
  • Lower-high sequence: 0.00000668 → 0.00000661 → 0.00000655 — confirmed downtrend structure
  • Large bearish engulfing candle [4]: O:0.00000645 → C:0.00000506 on $371 volume — breakdown acceleration
  • Doji/single-price candles [1], [2], [7], [9], [10] — extremely thin liquidity, price discovery absent

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,891,068.957462

FDV

$4,658.07

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -37.5% in 24 hours. The token is 2 days old with a micro-cap FDV of $4,658. Single trades of a few hundred dollars move the price significantly. Hourly candles show swings of 10–20% within individual periods.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: single non-LP wallet holds 29.73% of supply
  • Near-zero liquidity makes the token effectively untradeable at scale
  • Holder base collapsed 59% in 24 hours (116 → 47)
  • Unverified contract with unknown authority status
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before launch — suspicious pre-launch behavior
  • No verifiable on-chain utility or product delivery
  • Micro-cap FDV of $4,658 subject to extreme manipulation

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is mutable=false, preventing metadata manipulation
  • PumpSwap LP holds 57.31% of supply, providing some baseline liquidity structure
  • Social presence exists (Telegram, Twitter, website, Moralis)
  • Most snipers have already sold, reducing near-term sniper dump overhang
  • Token is not flagged as possible spam by the data provider

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, risk-averse portfolios, or any position size above micro-speculative amounts. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk micro-cap launch with potential rug or abandonment risk.

OBLYRA is a micro-cap PumpSwap token with a metaverse narrative, launched May 2, 2026. It is currently in a sharp downtrend with extreme concentration risk, near-zero liquidity, and a rapidly declining holder base. The investment case is purely speculative — any thesis depends entirely on the team's ability to deliver a product and rebuild community momentum. The risk/reward is asymmetric in both directions: catastrophic loss is the most probable outcome, but the micro-cap size means a narrative-driven rally could produce outsized gains for early survivors.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

The Oblyra team delivers a credible metaverse product demo or beta launch, attracting influencer attention and driving a new wave of holder acquisition. The token re-rates from its current $4,658 FDV toward $50,000–$500,000 as the narrative gains traction on Solana social channels.

  • Verifiable product delivery (metaverse demo, creator tools)
  • KOL or influencer promotion on Twitter/Telegram
  • Broader Solana memecoin/narrative season lifting micro-caps
  • Whale wallet (FdGWKtiGQFyGg4mo19sXtVJ8WY2KryxktaGibz4hddvE, 29.73%) accumulating rather than distributing

Base Case

OBLYRA continues to trade at micro-cap levels with minimal activity, slowly losing value as remaining holders exit and no new buyers enter. Price drifts toward $0.000002–$0.000003 over the next 2–4 weeks without a catalyst. The token survives but remains illiquid and largely forgotten.

  • No major product announcement or influencer promotion
  • The 29.73% whale wallet holds but does not actively accumulate
  • Broader market conditions remain neutral for Solana micro-caps
  • Liquidity pool remains intact on PumpSwap

Bear Case

High probability

The project is abandoned or the team dumps remaining holdings. The 29.73% whale wallet sells into any remaining liquidity, price approaches zero, and the token joins the graveyard of failed PumpFun launches. Liquidity is fully withdrawn.

  • Continued holder exodus with no new buyer catalyst
  • Large wallet (29.73%) executing a coordinated exit
  • Liquidity withdrawal from the PumpSwap pool
  • No product delivery or community engagement
  • Token dormancy pattern (1 holder for 30 days) repeating

Analysis details

Generated

May 4, 06:47 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-04 06:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap OHLC price data (hourly)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Moralis token API data

Limitations

  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data artifact; actual liquidity depth unconfirmed
  • Sniper sniped amounts and balances are largely 'unknown,' limiting precise sniper concentration calculation
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Token has only ~2 days of trading history, making technical analysis statistically unreliable
  • No verified contract or audit available
  • Holder change of -100% in 24h may reflect data methodology (e.g., snapshot timing) rather than literal 100% turnover
  • FDV shown as $0.00 in trading analytics section conflicts with $4,658.07 in metadata — metadata figure used as primary reference

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. OBLYRA is an extremely high-risk micro-cap token. The analyst has no position in this token. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Investing in micro-cap tokens on Solana carries the risk of total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Oblyra ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 47 addresses (2026-05-04 06:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Oblyra?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Oblyra liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Oblyra (OBLYRA)?

Price has dropped from a recent high near $0.00000657 to the current $0.00000466, a decline of ~29% from the 24h high. Sell pressure dominates at 69.5% of volume. With only 12 unique buyers vs. 60 unique sellers in the past 24h, and reported liquidity at $0, the path of least resistance is further downside. A brief consolidation or dead-cat bounce is possible given the oversold conditions, but structural selling pressure remains dominant. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0000030 to $0.0000057.

Is OBLYRA a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Not suitable for retail investors, risk-averse portfolios, or any position size above micro-speculative amounts. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk micro-cap launch with potential rug or abandonment risk.

What are the key risks of holding OBLYRA?

Extreme supply concentration: single non-LP wallet holds 29.73% of supply • Near-zero liquidity makes the token effectively untradeable at scale • Holder base collapsed 59% in 24 hours (116 → 47)

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