Chonketha the Wet Beaver Price Today & AI Analysis

Only 5 hourly candles are available (19:00–23:00 UTC on 2026-07-18). Candle [5] (19:00): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000210, C=$0.0000272 — a bearish candle with a long lower wick suggesting a flush and partial recovery. Candle [4] (20:00): O=$0.0000271, H=$0.0000287, L=$0.0000271, C=$0.0000287 — small bullish candle. Candle [3] (21:00): O=$0.0000283, H=$0.0000283, L=$0.0000271, C=$0.0000271 — small bearish candle. Candle [2] (22:00): O=$0.0000271, H=$0.0000283, L=$0.0000271, C=$0.0000283 — small bullish candle. Candle [1] (23:00): O=$0.0000283, H=$0.0000764, L=$0.0000764, C=$0.0000271 — ANOMALOUS: the high ($0.0000764) is far above open/close, and the low is listed ABOVE the open/close, suggesting a data anomaly or extreme wick. This candle likely represents the price spike to current levels (~$0.0000765) followed by a sharp pullback to $0.0000271 close. This is a classic 'shooting star' / bearish rejection candle at the spike high. NOTE: The OHLC data appears to have H/L fields potentially swapped in candle [1] — the 'L' value ($0.0000764) is higher than the 'H' ($0.0000764) and both are higher than open/close, which is a data quality issue.

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 78.8% 24h gain, but the most recent candle shows a sharp rejection from the spike high. The 30-day medium-term context is flat/sideways with zero movement for the entire prior month. The current spike appears to be an isolated event rather than a sustained trend.

Key Price Levels

The $0.0000271 level has acted as both support and close across multiple candles, making it the key near-term pivot. A break below $0.0000210 would represent a new low. The spike to $0.0000764 (current price) is the major resistance — price needs to hold above $0.0000287 to maintain any bullish structure.

Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' in the 24h window (from 8 to 178), but this is almost certainly event-driven by the price pump rather than organic adoption. The 30-day historical series shows exactly 8 holders every single day from June 18 to July 17 — zero organic growth for a full month. The sudden +170 holder spike in 24h followed immediately by a -42 holder drop in 1h is a classic pump-and-dump holder pattern. Distribution data shows 155 holders acquired via swap and 23 via transfer, with zero airdrops. The supply concentration data (top10=0%, top100=0%) is anomalous and likely a data reporting issue rather than a genuine reflection of distribution.

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the API returned no results for the top 20 holders. The supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) are almost certainly data artifacts rather than genuine figures, as a 0% concentration across top holders is mathematically impossible with 178 holders and a finite supply. This is a significant data gap that prevents proper whale analysis. Given the token's micro-cap status ($76.5K FDV), thin liquidity ($37.72K), and PumpFun origin, it is highly probable that a small number of wallets hold a dominant share of supply. The distributionHealth is flagged as 'very_concentrated' as a precautionary assessment given the data gap and token profile. Investors should treat concentration risk as HIGH until verifiable holder data is available.

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $37.72K on a single PumpSwap pool (5dvo7afWw1xVLcZzqofokjaEpsEzBb3UukYoEnFi6Le5). The 24h trading volume of ~$162K represents over 4x the total liquidity pool size, indicating extremely high turnover and severe slippage risk for any meaningful position size. Net flow is strongly negative: $109.88K in sell volume vs $52.46K in buy volume (67.7% sell pressure), with 964 sellers vs 550 buyers and 2,342 sell transactions vs 1,452 buy transactions. Every metric points to net outflow and distribution. The FDV/liquidity ratio of ~2:1 ($76.5K FDV vs $37.72K liquidity) is very low, meaning the pool holds roughly half the implied market cap — this is typical of early PumpFun tokens but also means price impact per trade is severe.

The token has a total supply of ~999.89M tokens (standard PumpFun 1B supply with minor burns). The FDV is $76,520.72 at the current price of $0.0000765. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified — this prevents definitive assessment of mint and freeze authority status. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed, but this does not confirm mint/freeze authority renouncement. No description, whitepaper, or utility is provided. The token has no verified contract, is not marked as spam, and has social links (Twitter, website, Moralis). Given the unknown authority status and unverified contract, rug risk from authorities is classified as 'unknown' — investors should verify on-chain authority accounts directly before committing capital.

Chonketha the Wet Beaver is a high-risk micro-cap meme token on Solana with a $76.5K FDV and $37.72K liquidity. It experienced a dramatic single-day activation after 30 days of complete dormancy, with price surging +78.8% but accompanied by overwhelming sell pressure (67.7%). The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative, with the bull case dependent on viral meme adoption and the bear case — which appears more probable given current data — centered on coordinated pump-and-dump dynamics.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment outcomes based on this report.