Chonketha the Wet Beaver Price Today & AI Analysis

ChonkethaSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 18, 2026

$0.002033

-0.86% 24h

Contract

Live

HcfnJxLov6tY8i1dq9uYRRZKCvxADPpovcfkyXzdpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

5,041

Market cap

$2,033,165

At a $10M market cap, $CHONKETHA would be $0.0100 (4.92x from today’s price)

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Chonketha the Wet Beaver: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-18 23:17 UTC

Holder addresses

178

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$37,720.73

How concentrated is Chonketha the Wet Beaver ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 178 addresses (2026-07-18 23:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Chonketha the Wet Beaver?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Chonketha the Wet Beaver liquidity falling?: As of 2026-07-18 23:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $37,720.73. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-18 23:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 18, 11:17 PM UTC

FDV

$76,521

Liquidity

$37,720.73

Holders

178

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Chonketha the Wet Beaver (CHONKETHA) is a meme token on Solana launched via PumpFun/PumpSwap (mint: HcfnJxLov6tY8i1dq9uYRRZKCvxADPpovcfkyXzdpump). The token has a total supply of ~999.9M, a fully diluted valuation of ~$76.5K, and total liquidity of only $37.72K. It recorded a dramatic 78.8% 24h price surge but is accompanied by heavy sell pressure (67.7% sell volume), a very small holder base of 178 wallets, and a 30-day history of near-zero activity (only 8 holders for the entire month prior to a sudden 24h spike). Top holder data is unavailable, and no sniper data was provided. The token exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics consistent with a very early-stage or potentially manipulated micro-cap meme coin.

Key points

Extreme 24h price surge of +78.8% on very thin liquidity ($37.72K)
Holder base exploded from 8 to 178 in a single 24h window — 30 days of dormancy prior
Sell pressure dominates at 67.7% of 24h volume ($109.88K sells vs $52.46K buys)
Unverified contract, unknown update authority, mutable=false — authority status unclear
No top holder data available, making concentration risk unquantifiable

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token just posted a +78.8% 24h gain but is showing immediate reversal signals: the most recent candle (23:00 UTC) shows a dramatic wick — open $0.0000283, high $0.0000764 (near current price), close $0.0000271 — suggesting a sharp rejection at highs. The 5m change is already -3.85%. With 67.7% sell pressure and 964 sellers vs 550 buyers in 24h, short-term downside is the higher-probability outcome. Immediate support sits around $0.0000271 (recent candle close/low cluster); resistance at the spike high near $0.0000764.

Target low

$0.0000200

Target high

$0.0000764

Support: $0.0000271 (recent candle close cluster), $0.0000210 (candle [5] low)
Resistance: $0.0000764 (candle [1] high / current price spike), $0.0000323 (candle [5] open)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

The token spent 30 days with only 8 holders and zero price movement before a sudden activation event. This pattern is consistent with coordinated pump activity. Unless genuine community adoption materializes, the medium-term outlook is bearish as early participants distribute into any remaining buying interest. The FDV of $76.5K leaves limited upside without significant new capital inflows.

Catalysts

Genuine viral meme adoption driving new holder inflows
Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting micro-caps
Liquidity deepening above $100K enabling larger trades
Sustained buy pressure reversing the current 67.7% sell dominance

Bullish factors

Strong 24h price appreciation of +78.8%
Holder count grew from 8 to 178 in 24h (+96%), indicating new interest
1h price change of +176% shows intense short-term momentum
PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading venue

Bearish factors

67.7% of 24h volume is sell-side ($109.88K sells vs $52.46K buys)
Holders dropped -42 (-24%) in the last 1 hour — rapid exit
30 days of complete dormancy (8 holders, zero change) before spike is a red flag
Extremely thin liquidity ($37.72K) — large trades will cause severe slippage
No verified contract, unknown update authority
Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
FDV of only $76.5K with no described utility or roadmap

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) missing top holder data preventing concentration analysis, (2) no sniper data, (3) only 5 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis, (4) the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day spike creates high uncertainty about whether this is organic or coordinated activity.

Chonketha call history

Full track record →

Jul 18bearish@ $0.0000765

24h+140.9%

7d+1999.1%

30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: HcfnJx...pump
Total Supply: 999,891,142.84

Key Risks

Extremely thin liquidity ($37.72K) — severe slippage and exit risk
30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
67.7% sell pressure with 964 sellers vs 550 buyers — active distribution
Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug pull vector

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 5 hourly candles are available (19:00–23:00 UTC on 2026-07-18). Candle [5] (19:00): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0000320, L=$0.0000210, C=$0.0000272 — a bearish candle with a long lower wick suggesting a flush and partial recovery. Candle [4] (20:00): O=$0.0000271, H=$0.0000287, L=$0.0000271, C=$0.0000287 — small bullish candle. Candle [3] (21:00): O=$0.0000283, H=$0.0000283, L=$0.0000271, C=$0.0000271 — small bearish candle. Candle [2] (22:00): O=$0.0000271, H=$0.0000283, L=$0.0000271, C=$0.0000283 — small bullish candle. Candle [1] (23:00): O=$0.0000283, H=$0.0000764, L=$0.0000764, C=$0.0000271 — ANOMALOUS: the high ($0.0000764) is far above open/close, and the low is listed ABOVE the open/close, suggesting a data anomaly or extreme wick. This candle likely represents the price spike to current levels (~$0.0000765) followed by a sharp pullback to $0.0000271 close. This is a classic 'shooting star' / bearish rejection candle at the spike high. NOTE: The OHLC data appears to have H/L fields potentially swapped in candle [1] — the 'L' value ($0.0000764) is higher than the 'H' ($0.0000764) and both are higher than open/close, which is a data quality issue.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 78.8% 24h gain, but the most recent candle shows a sharp rejection from the spike high. The 30-day medium-term context is flat/sideways with zero movement for the entire prior month. The current spike appears to be an isolated event rather than a sustained trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

32%

Sell

68%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000271 (recent candle close cluster across candles [1]–[3])

Major support

$0.0000210 (candle [5] low — the lowest recorded price in available data)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000287–$0.0000323 (candle [4] high and candle [5] open)

Major resistance

$0.0000764 (spike high from candle [1] / current price level)

The $0.0000271 level has acted as both support and close across multiple candles, making it the key near-term pivot. A break below $0.0000210 would represent a new low. The spike to $0.0000764 (current price) is the major resistance — price needs to hold above $0.0000287 to maintain any bullish structure.

Notable patterns

Shooting star / bearish rejection candle at spike high (candle [1])
30-day price dormancy followed by single-session spike — pump pattern
Declining volume on price spike — bearish divergence
Alternating small bullish/bearish candles (candles [2]–[4]) suggesting consolidation before spike
Long lower wick on candle [5] indicating a flush-and-recover sequence

Liquidity

$37,720.73

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $37.72K on a single PumpSwap pool (5dvo7afWw1xVLcZzqofokjaEpsEzBb3UukYoEnFi6Le5). The 24h trading volume of ~$162K represents over 4x the total liquidity pool size, indicating extremely high turnover and severe slippage risk for any meaningful position size. Net flow is strongly negative: $109.88K in sell volume vs $52.46K in buy volume (67.7% sell pressure), with 964 sellers vs 550 buyers and 2,342 sell transactions vs 1,452 buy transactions. Every metric points to net outflow and distribution. The FDV/liquidity ratio of ~2:1 ($76.5K FDV vs $37.72K liquidity) is very low, meaning the pool holds roughly half the implied market cap — this is typical of early PumpFun tokens but also means price impact per trade is severe.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,891,142.84

FDV

$76,520.72

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
The token posted +78.8% in 24h and +176% in 1h, then -3.85% in 5m. With only $37.72K liquidity, price swings of 50%+ in either direction are possible within hours. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day spike is a hallmark of extreme volatility.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity of $37.72K is extremely thin. A single sell order of $5K–$10K would cause significant price impact. The 24h volume of ~$162K is over 4x the pool size, confirming severe slippage risk. Exit liquidity for larger positions is essentially non-existent.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extremely thin liquidity ($37.72K) — severe slippage and exit risk
30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
67.7% sell pressure with 964 sellers vs 550 buyers — active distribution
Unknown mint/freeze authority — potential rug pull vector
No top holder data — concentration risk unquantifiable but likely very high
Holder count already dropping -24% in 1h after the pump peak
Unverified contract with no described utility or roadmap
FDV of only $76.5K — minimal market depth for sustained price appreciation

Mitigating factors

Token marked as 'mutable: false' — metadata cannot be changed
Not flagged as spam by data provider
Has social links (Twitter, website) suggesting some creator presence
PumpSwap listing provides transparent on-chain trading
24h holder growth of +170 shows some genuine new interest

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme coins, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. This is NOT financial advice.

Chonketha the Wet Beaver is a high-risk micro-cap meme token on Solana with a $76.5K FDV and $37.72K liquidity. It experienced a dramatic single-day activation after 30 days of complete dormancy, with price surging +78.8% but accompanied by overwhelming sell pressure (67.7%). The investment thesis is almost entirely speculative, with the bull case dependent on viral meme adoption and the bear case — which appears more probable given current data — centered on coordinated pump-and-dump dynamics.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme adoption drives sustained new buyer inflows, holder count grows organically past 1,000+, liquidity deepens above $200K, and the token achieves a 10x–50x from current FDV ($765K–$3.8M) on broader Solana meme coin market momentum.

Viral social media traction on Twitter/community platforms
Broader Solana meme coin market rally (SOL price appreciation)
Organic holder growth sustaining above 500+ wallets
Liquidity providers deepening the PumpSwap pool
Early holders choosing to hold rather than distribute

Base Case

Price consolidates and retraces 40–60% from the spike high ($0.0000765) back toward the $0.0000271–$0.0000320 range as initial excitement fades. Token maintains a small community of 100–200 holders but fails to achieve viral adoption. FDV stabilizes in the $20K–$40K range with thin liquidity.

Sell pressure moderates but remains dominant
No additional coordinated pump activity
A small core community retains interest without major new inflows
Liquidity remains shallow, preventing institutional or large retail participation

Bear Case

High probability

The 30-day dormancy activation was coordinated pump activity. Original 8 holders distribute remaining supply into new buyers attracted by the price spike. Price retraces 80–95% from the spike high as liquidity is drained, leaving late buyers with near-total losses.

Continued 67.7% sell pressure exhausting buy-side liquidity
Original 8 holders (pre-pump) dumping accumulated supply
Holder count continuing to decline from the -24% 1h trend
No utility, roadmap, or verified contract to sustain interest
Unknown authority status creating rug pull risk

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 18, 11:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-18 23:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

Moralis Solana Token API (price, OHLC, trading analytics, holder metrics)
PumpSwap on-chain pool data (pair: 5dvo7afWw1xVLcZzqofokjaEpsEzBb3UukYoEnFi6Le5)
Historical holder series (30-day daily snapshots)
Token metadata (mint, supply, authority, social links)

Limitations

Top 20 holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed quantitatively
Only 5 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts
Candle [1] OHLC data shows a potential H/L field anomaly (L > O and C)
Token is unverified — on-chain program data not independently audited
6h and 24h price change both show 0% in analytics despite 78.8% 24h change in price data — possible data inconsistency

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data analyzed is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment outcomes based on this report.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Chonketha the Wet Beaver ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 178 addresses (2026-07-18 23:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Chonketha the Wet Beaver?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Chonketha the Wet Beaver liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-18 23:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $37,720.73. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Chonketha the Wet Beaver (Chonketha)?

Is Chonketha a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand the risks of micro-cap meme coins, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are capable of monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone investing more than a negligible speculative allocation. This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding Chonketha?

Extremely thin liquidity ($37.72K) — severe slippage and exit risk • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern • 67.7% sell pressure with 964 sellers vs 550 buyers — active distribution