FOFAR

FOFAR Price Today & AI Analysis

FOFAR
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 3, 2026

Ha5Z2DfRv6Ar2nAeBLCGWHqzwXKL3of4DqKwzzwpump

$0.058160

+2.46%

FDV $8,158

LiveContract:Ha5Z2DfRv6Ar2nAeBLCGWHqzwXKL3of4DqKwzzwpumpChain:SolanaHolders:2,087Market cap:$8,158

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Ask Unhosted AI about FOFAR

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 3, 07:17 PM
FDV

$1,126,874

Liquidity

$100,713

Holders

3,291

Snipers

41

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

FOFAR (Ha5Z2DfRv6Ar2nAeBLCGWHqzwXKL3of4DqKwzzwpump) is a Solana-based meme token themed as 'the last member of the boys club.' Launched on PumpSwap, it has seen explosive holder growth since April 28, 2026, rising from 755 to 3,291 holders in roughly 5 days. However, the token is currently experiencing severe sell pressure — 85.9% of 24h volume is sells ($506K vs $83K buys) — and the price has dropped ~38% in 24 hours. Liquidity is moderate at ~$100.7K. The token carries very high risk characteristics typical of a meme launch: concentrated early sniper activity, heavy distribution phase, and no confirmed authority renouncement.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive holder growth: +2,536 holders in 7 days (77%), all concentrated in the last 5 days
Severe sell-side dominance: 85.9% sell pressure with 11,174 sells vs 1,255 buys in 24h
20 identified snipers with majority in profit, indicating early buyers are actively distributing
Relatively distributed top-10 holder concentration at 13.93% — no single dominant whale outside the LP
Verified contract with social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) and mutable=false metadata

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–48 hours

Price has collapsed ~38% in 24 hours from a high near $0.00201 to the current $0.001127. The 1h candle shows a further -12.1% drop and the 5m shows -3.9%, indicating continued aggressive selling. With 85.9% sell pressure and snipers actively distributing, further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support is around $0.000985 (candle [1] low) and $0.000957 (candle [2] low). A bounce is possible if sell pressure exhausts, but the trend remains firmly bearish.

Target low$0.000850
Target high$0.001350
Support: $0.000985 (candle [1] low), $0.000957 (candle [2] low), $0.000850 (estimated capitulation zone)
Resistance: $0.001350 (candle [1] close / recent pivot), $0.001520 (candle [3] close), $0.001780 (candle [4] close / candle [3] open)

Medium term

neutral
1–4 weeks

Medium-term outlook depends entirely on whether the community can sustain holder growth and attract new buyers after the current distribution phase ends. If snipers fully exit and a new accumulation phase begins, a recovery toward $0.0015–$0.0018 is possible. However, meme tokens with this sell profile frequently fail to recover meaningfully. Continued holder growth (currently +6.3% in 24h despite price drop) is a mild positive signal.

Catalysts
  • Sniper sell pressure exhaustion enabling price stabilization
  • Continued holder growth sustaining demand
  • Community-driven social media momentum (Telegram/Twitter)
  • Broader Solana meme season tailwinds

Bullish factors

  • Holder count growing +6.3% in 24h even during a -38% price drop, suggesting new buyers are entering
  • Top-10 concentration at only 13.93% — relatively distributed supply
  • Verified contract and active social channels reduce outright scam risk
  • Some snipers still holding (e.g., sniper [5] holds $28,713, sniper [15] holds $31,597) suggesting not all early buyers have exited
  • FDV of only ~$1.13M leaves room for speculative upside if sentiment shifts

Bearish factors

  • 85.9% sell pressure in 24h ($506K sells vs $83K buys) — overwhelmingly bearish
  • Price down -37.5% in 24h, -36.5% in 6h, -12.1% in 1h — accelerating decline
  • Majority of snipers are in profit and actively selling (many with 100–288% realized PnL)
  • Liquidity of only $100.7K creates high slippage risk and potential for rapid price collapse
  • Token is only ~5 days old with no proven track record or utility
  • Update authority status unknown — cannot confirm full renouncement
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme sell pressure, unknown sniper supply amounts, meme token unpredictability, and the very short trading history (token appears to have launched around April 28–29, 2026). Price action is highly volatile and driven by sentiment rather than fundamentals.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series (hourly) reveals a clear distribution pattern. Candles [24]–[17] (20:00–03:00 UTC) show a gradual uptrend from ~$0.00171 to a peak high of ~$0.00204 (candle [17] H: $0.002039, candle [16] H: $0.002010, candle [18] H: $0.002011). This was followed by a topping formation with multiple candles printing lower highs. Candle [8] (12:00 UTC) marked the session high at $0.001937. From candle [7] onward, a sharp downtrend emerged: candle [2] (18:00 UTC) saw a massive sell-off with a wide-range bearish candle (O: $0.001491, L: $0.000957, C: $0.000979, V: $84,198 — the highest volume candle in the series). Candle [1] (19:00 UTC) shows a partial recovery attempt (C: $0.001129) but remains well below the session open. The overall pattern is a 'blow-off top' followed by aggressive distribution.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 14%Sell 86%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token peaked near $0.00204 in the early hours of May 3 and has since declined ~45% to current levels. Lower highs and lower lows are established across the last 8+ candles. The medium-term trend (since launch ~April 28) showed a rapid pump followed by the current dump phase.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000957 (candle [2] low — recent session low)
Major$0.000850 (estimated — below all recent candle lows, potential capitulation target)
Resistance
Immediate$0.001272 (candle [1] high)
Major$0.001520–$0.001780 (candles [3]–[4] range, prior consolidation zone)

The most critical support is the candle [2] low at $0.000957, which represents the recent session low during the high-volume sell-off. A break below this level could accelerate selling toward $0.00085 or lower. On the upside, the $0.001272–$0.001350 zone (candle [1] high and recent close) is immediate resistance, with stronger resistance at $0.001520–$0.001780 where the token consolidated before the final pump.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top: rapid price spike to $0.002039 followed by sharp reversal — classic meme pump-and-dump pattern
  • High-volume bearish engulfing at candle [2] (18:00 UTC): highest volume candle with wide range and bearish close, signaling capitulation/distribution
  • Lower highs sequence: candles [8]→[7]→[6]→[5]→[4]→[3]→[2] each printing lower highs, confirming downtrend
  • Partial recovery candle [1]: small bullish recovery after extreme sell candle — potential dead-cat bounce setup
  • Doji-like consolidation in candles [10]–[12] (08:00–10:00 UTC) before the final leg down

Total holders3,291
24h Δ+6.3
7d Δ+77
30d Δ+77
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Holder growth and price are currently inversely correlated — holders grew +6.3% in the last 24 hours while price dropped -37.5%. This suggests new buyers are entering at lower prices (accumulating during the dip) while existing holders sell. The explosive growth from 755 to 3,291 holders occurred entirely between April 28–May 3, coinciding with the token's launch and initial pump. The 1h metric shows -70 holders (-2.1%), indicating some capitulation in the most recent hour as price continues to fall.

The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: the token had exactly 755 holders from April 3 through April 27 (25 consecutive days of zero change), suggesting either a dormant pre-launch phase or data artifact. The real launch appears to have occurred around April 28–29, when holders surged from 755 to 1,892 (+1,137, +60%) in a single day. Growth continued rapidly: +632 on April 30, +145 on May 1, +546 on May 2. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical at +2,536 (+77%), confirming all growth occurred within the last 7 days. Growth rate appears to be decelerating (daily additions: 1,137 → 632 → 145 → 546 → 76 estimated for May 3), though the 24h figure of +207 net is still positive. The -70 holders in the last hour is a warning sign of accelerating exits.

Top 10 hold13.93%
Top 100 hold65.02%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

DjR81DfUo2VEHb7cRBwGtXXidPg3BsSQFRfqwhYfhQLS

DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data

4.28%

B9gMzJFsp2Z4kSJZTrSLijUAi2LuGUtZvQrw37eJfNj6

Individual whale — round balance of 13,400,000 tokens suggests a deliberate purchase or allocation

1.34%

7mwt3pZEpGrRbzqv9Zcm2624QGKbubPoEUHuwDVJBV2G

Individual whale — significant holder acquired via swap

1.20%

8894jY6vinC8J6jnKq2AnYm53GYM2KZJPx2V8Df4smox

Individual whale — top-tier holder

1.05%

47bWis5dNajtPMDmCsM9LH4A87yus7BdBcXqonfpQKHU

Individual whale — near-identical balance to holder [4] suggests coordinated buying or airdrop

1.05%

The top-10 holders control 13.93% of supply, and the top-100 control 65.02% — a moderately concentrated distribution. The largest single holder (4.28%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool itself, which is expected and healthy. The remaining top holders each control 0.85%–1.34%, with suspiciously similar balances (holders [4]–[12] all hold between 9.7M–10.5M tokens, roughly 0.97%–1.05% each). This clustering of near-equal balances across 8+ wallets could indicate coordinated buying, a structured airdrop, or bot activity. The top-100 concentration at 65.02% is high and represents significant sell-side overhang. Overall sentiment is distributing given the current price action and sell volume dominance.

Liquidity$100,710
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$82,820
Sell$506,310
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers549
Unique sellers2,015

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of ~$100.7K is shallow relative to the 24h sell volume of $506.3K — meaning the pool has been significantly stressed. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 2,015 unique sellers vs 549 unique buyers, and 11,174 sell transactions vs 1,255 buy transactions. Net capital flow is strongly negative (outflow). The sell-to-buy volume ratio of ~6:1 ($506K vs $83K) indicates the market is in active distribution. Slippage risk is high — with only $100.7K in liquidity, any large sell order will move the price significantly. The pair trades on PumpSwap (DjR81DfUo2VEHb7cRBwGtXXidPg3BsSQFRfqwhYfhQLS), which is a newer DEX with less infrastructure than Raydium or Orca, adding additional liquidity risk.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,998,150.25
FDV$1,126,874

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~1 billion tokens (999,998,150.25), a standard meme token supply. The FDV at current price is ~$1.13M, which is low and leaves speculative upside potential if sentiment recovers. The metadata shows 'mutable: false' which is a positive signal — it means the token metadata cannot be changed. However, the update authority is listed as 'unknown,' preventing confirmation of whether mint and freeze authorities have been renounced. The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically handles authority renouncement automatically upon bonding curve graduation. If this token graduated from PumpFun to PumpSwap, mint authority is likely renounced, but this cannot be confirmed from the provided data. The 'possible spam: false' and 'verified contract: true' flags are mild positive indicators. Investors should independently verify authority status on-chain.

Volatility
high

Price dropped -37.5% in 24 hours and -36.5% in 6 hours. The token is only ~5 days old with extreme price swings. Hourly candles show 10–20% moves regularly.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $100.7K against $506K in 24h sell volume. Large orders will cause severe slippage. The shallow pool on PumpSwap provides limited exit liquidity for larger holders.

Concentration
medium

Top-10 holders control 13.93% (excluding LP), and top-100 control 65.02%. The clustering of 8+ wallets with near-identical balances (~1% each) raises concerns about coordinated holdings. However, no single wallet dominates outside the LP.

SniperDump
high

20 identified snipers, majority in profit (up to +288.8% realized PnL). High-profit snipers have already sold $36K–$47K each. Remaining sniper balances ($28,713 + $31,597 + $6,498 + $5,453) represent continued overhang. The current -38% price drop is consistent with active sniper distribution.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown.' Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The 'mutable: false' flag and PumpFun launch mechanism suggest authorities may be renounced, but this is unconfirmed. Investors should verify on-chain before committing capital.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (85.9% of volume) with no sign of reversal in the near term
  • Shallow liquidity ($100.7K) creating high slippage and exit risk
  • Active sniper distribution — most of 20 snipers are in profit and selling
  • Unknown authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protection
  • Token is only ~5 days old with no proven community or utility
  • Top-100 holders control 65% of supply — significant sell overhang
  • Meme token with no fundamental value driver beyond community sentiment
  • 1h holder count dropped -70 (-2.1%) suggesting accelerating exits

Mitigating factors

  • Verified contract and 'possible spam: false' classification
  • Mutable: false metadata prevents post-launch metadata manipulation
  • Relatively distributed top-10 (13.93%) with LP as largest holder
  • Active social presence (Telegram, Twitter, website) suggests organized community
  • Holder count still growing +6.3% in 24h despite price decline — new buyers entering
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically auto-renounces mint authority upon graduation
  • FDV of only ~$1.13M — low market cap leaves room for speculative recovery
Suitable for: Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone investing more than a small speculative allocation. This is a meme token in active distribution phase with very high probability of further losses in the near term.

FOFAR is a high-risk meme token in active distribution phase. The bull case relies on community momentum and new buyer influx overwhelming sniper sell pressure; the bear case (currently playing out) is continued distribution leading to price collapse. The base case is a period of high volatility with eventual stabilization at a lower price level if the community survives the current sell-off.

Bull case (low)

Community momentum drives sustained holder growth beyond 5,000+ holders, sniper selling exhausts, and a new accumulation phase begins. Price recovers to $0.0015–$0.0020 range (33%–77% from current levels) as the 'boys club' meme narrative gains traction on social media.

  • Sniper sell pressure exhaustion within 24–48 hours
  • Viral social media moment driving new buyer influx
  • Continued holder growth sustaining demand floor
  • Broader Solana meme season providing market tailwinds
  • Low FDV ($1.13M) attracting speculative capital

Base case

Sell pressure gradually exhausts over 2–5 days as snipers fully exit. Price stabilizes in the $0.0007–$0.0010 range (11%–38% below current). Holder count continues growing slowly. Token survives but trades at a fraction of its peak, with occasional pump-and-dump cycles driven by social media activity.

  • Sniper distribution completes within 48–72 hours
  • Community retains 2,500+ holders providing a demand base
  • Liquidity pool remains intact above $50K
  • No major negative events (rug pull, authority exploit)
  • Broader Solana market remains stable

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues unabated as remaining profitable snipers and early holders exit. Liquidity drains further, slippage increases, and the token enters a death spiral. Price falls below $0.0005 (>55% further decline) and holder count begins declining as community loses confidence.

  • Continued 85.9% sell pressure with no demand catalyst
  • Remaining sniper balances ($72K+) creating persistent sell overhang
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying downward price moves
  • Loss of community confidence as price declines accelerate
  • No utility or fundamental value to anchor price

GeneratedMay 3, 07:17 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 19:00–19:30 UTC on May 3, 2026. Holder data current as of the same timestamp. Historical holder data covers April 3 – May 2, 2026 (daily snapshots).
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Moralis/verified contract data)
  • PumpSwap OHLC price data (hourly, 24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Liquidity and market depth data

Limitations

  • Sniper supply amounts (USD sniped) are unknown — concentration percentage is estimated from known balances only
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
  • Token is only ~5 days old — insufficient price history for robust technical analysis
  • Historical holder data shows 25 days of zero change (April 3–27) which may reflect data gaps rather than actual holder stasis
  • No on-chain program audit data available
  • PumpSwap is a newer DEX with less publicly available liquidity depth data than established DEXes
  • Realized PnL percentages for snipers are provided but entry prices and exact supply sniped are unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Past performance and on-chain metrics do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,998,150.25

Key Risks

•Extreme sell pressure (85.9% of volume) with no sign of reversal in the near term
•Shallow liquidity ($100.7K) creating high slippage and exit risk
•Active sniper distribution — most of 20 snipers are in profit and selling
•Unknown authority status — cannot confirm rug-pull protection

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, the majority are in profit with realized PnL percentages ranging from 59.5% to 288.8%. High-profit snipers (e.g., sniper [17] at +288.8%, sniper [16] at +284.6%, sniper [7] at +225.6%) have sold large dollar amounts ($46,793, $37,259, $36,664 respectively), indicating aggressive distribution. Only 4 snipers show negative realized PnL (-53.1%, -27.9%, -15.1%, -5.1%), suggesting most early buyers entered at very low prices and are profitably exiting. Several snipers still hold balances (sniper [5]: $28,713; sniper [15]: $31,597; sniper [19]: $6,498; sniper [20]: $5,453), representing continued overhang risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.10%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

20 identified snipers; exact supply sniped is unknown, but estimated ~2.1% of total supply based on known balances ($28,713 + $31,597 + $6,498 + $5,453 at current price ≈ ~63K USD / ~$1.13M FDV). Most snipers have already sold significant portions.

Predominantly bearish — early buyers (snipers) are actively distributing with high realized profits. The sell-through rate is high, with most snipers having converted the majority of their positions to USD. Remaining holders with balances represent ongoing sell pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for FOFAR (FOFAR)?

Price has collapsed ~38% in 24 hours from a high near $0.00201 to the current $0.001127. The 1h candle shows a further -12.1% drop and the 5m shows -3.9%, indicating continued aggressive selling. With 85.9% sell pressure and snipers actively distributing, further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support is around $0.000985 (candle [1] low) and $0.000957 (candle [2] low). A bounce is possible if sell pressure exhausts, but the trend remains firmly bearish. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000850 to $0.001350.

Is FOFAR a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.7/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable returns, or anyone investing more than a small speculative allocation. This is a meme token in active distribution phase with very high probability of further losses in the near term.

How are FOFAR holders trending?

FOFAR currently has 3,291 holders and is growing (24h: 6.3, 7d: 77, 30d: 77). The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: the token had exactly 755 holders from April 3 through April 27 (25 consecutive days of zero change), suggesting either a dormant pre-launch phase or data artifact. The real launch appears to have occurred around April 28–29, when holders surged from 755 to 1,892 (+1,137, +60%) in a single day. Growth continued rapidly: +632 on April 30, +145 on May 1, +546 on May 2. The 7d and 30d growth figures are identical at +2,536 (+77%), confirming all growth occurred within the last 7 days. Growth rate appears to be decelerating (daily additions: 1,137 → 632 → 145 → 546 → 76 estimated for May 3), though the 24h figure of +207 net is still positive. The -70 holders in the last hour is a warning sign of accelerating exits.

What does sniper activity look like for FOFAR?

Snipers hold roughly 2.10% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding FOFAR?

Extreme sell pressure (85.9% of volume) with no sign of reversal in the near term • Shallow liquidity ($100.7K) creating high slippage and exit risk • Active sniper distribution — most of 20 snipers are in profit and selling

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