Catecoin Price Today & AI Analysis

CATESolanaAnalysis as of Aug 4, 2026

$0.0488

+4.25% 24h

Contract

Live

Ai66LHZG9MCzg1WKdawwqduVAXpNDUuV8M3uyq5ppump

Chain

Solana

Holders

143,628

Market cap

$47,098,020

At a $100M market cap, $CATE would be $0.1037 (2.12x from today’s price)

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Catecoin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-04 21:42 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$754,436.14

How concentrated is Catecoin ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Catecoin?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Catecoin liquidity falling?: As of 2026-08-04 21:42 UTC, reported liquidity was $754,436.14. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-04 21:42 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Aug 4, 09:42 PM UTC

FDV

$14,548,562

Liquidity

$754,436.14

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Catecoin (CATE) is a Solana-based meme/cat token launched on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.01509 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$14.55M. The token has experienced a severe 24-hour price decline of approximately -57.8%, driven by overwhelming sell pressure (79.8% of volume). Total liquidity stands at $754K against a $14.55M FDV, indicating a thin market. No verified contract, no mint/freeze authority data, and no holder data are available, elevating risk materially.

Key points

Extreme 24h sell pressure: 79.8% of volume is sells ($15.94M sell vs $4.03M buy)
Severe price collapse: -57.8% in 24h from a peak near $0.0467 to current $0.01509
Thin liquidity relative to FDV: $754K liquidity vs $14.55M FDV (~5.2% ratio)
High transaction count (153,290 total trades) indicating active but heavily bearish participation
No verified contract, no authority data, no holder distribution data available

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price has collapsed from a 24h high of ~$0.0467 to $0.01509, a drop of ~67.7% from peak. The most recent candle (21:00 UTC) closed at $0.01509 with a low of $0.01341, suggesting the immediate floor is being tested. With 79.8% sell pressure and sellers outnumbering buyers 11,298 to 3,448, the short-term bias remains firmly bearish. A brief relief bounce is possible given the 5m reading of +0.99%, but structural selling dominates.

Target low

$0.0100

Target high

$0.0175

Support: $0.01341 (24h candle low, candle [1]), $0.01000 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.01713 (candle [1] open), $0.02107 (candle [2] high), $0.02507 (candle [6] close)

Medium term · 3–14 days

bearish

Unless a significant catalyst emerges (community event, exchange listing, viral social media), the token faces continued downward pressure. The FDV of $14.55M is difficult to sustain with only $754K in liquidity and no verified fundamentals. Recovery would require a reversal in holder sentiment and meaningful buy-side volume.

Catalysts

Viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
Exchange listing announcement
Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
Liquidity injection from new market participants

Bullish factors

5-minute price change of +0.99% suggests a very short-term micro-bounce
High total trade count (153K+) shows active market participation
Social links (Telegram, Twitter, website) indicate some community infrastructure
FDV of $14.55M is relatively modest for a Solana meme token, leaving upside room if sentiment reverses

Bearish factors

24h price decline of -57.8% — severe capitulation signal
79.8% of 24h volume is sell-side ($15.94M sells vs $4.03M buys)
Sellers outnumber buyers 3.3:1 (11,298 sellers vs 3,448 buyers)
Consistent lower highs and lower lows across all 24 hourly candles
Thin liquidity ($754K) relative to FDV ($14.55M) — high slippage risk
No verified contract, no authority renouncement confirmed
No holder distribution data to assess structural support

Confidence: medium. Confidence is medium because OHLC and volume data are clear and consistent, but the absence of holder data, sniper data, and on-chain authority information limits the ability to assess structural support or insider activity.

CATE call history

Full track record →

Aug 4bearish@ $0.0151

24h+10.9%

7d+18.2%

30d+161.6%

Jul 26bearish@ $0.000223

24h+2518.9%

7d+9159.2%

30d+32254.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: Ai66LH...pump
Total Supply: 964,174,433.19 CATE

Key Risks

Catastrophic 24h price decline of -57.8% with no confirmed reversal signal
79.8% sell pressure — active distribution by holders into thin liquidity
Liquidity ($754K) is only 5.2% of FDV ($14.55M) — severe slippage risk
Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply manipulation

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series shows a clear and sustained downtrend. The session opened near $0.0391 (candle [24], 22:00 UTC Aug 3) and reached a peak of $0.04677 at 23:00 UTC (candle [23]). From that high, price has made consistent lower highs and lower lows across every subsequent candle. The final candle [1] (21:00 UTC Aug 4) closed at $0.01509 with a low of $0.01341 — a 71.3% decline from the session high. Candle [6] (16:00 UTC) shows an extreme wick to the downside ($0.00647 low) suggesting a flash crash or liquidity grab event, before recovering to close at $0.02473. The most recent candle is a large bearish candle with a long lower wick, indicating selling exhaustion may be approaching but has not confirmed reversal.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The 24-hour candle series shows uninterrupted lower highs from $0.04677 down to $0.01509, with no bullish reversal pattern confirmed. The 1h change of -23.8% and 6h change of -46.3% confirm accelerating downside momentum.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

20%

Sell

80%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.01341 (candle [1] low, most recent session low)

Major support

$0.00647 (candle [6] wick low — extreme flash crash level)

Immediate resistance

$0.01713 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area)

Major resistance

$0.02107 (candle [2] high) and $0.02707 (candle [6] high)

The immediate support at $0.01341 is the most recent tested low. A break below this opens a path toward $0.01000 psychological support. The $0.00647 wick low from candle [6] represents an extreme downside scenario. On the upside, $0.01713 is the first meaningful resistance, with $0.02107 and $0.02707 as progressively stronger barriers.

Notable patterns

Sustained lower highs and lower lows across all 24 hourly candles — confirmed downtrend
Extreme downside wick in candle [6] ($0.00647 low vs $0.02473 close) — possible liquidity grab or flash crash
Large bearish engulfing candles in candles [5], [8], [20] — strong selling momentum
Long lower wick on candle [1] (close $0.01509, low $0.01341) — potential short-term exhaustion signal
High-volume distribution candles at session open (candles [23], [24]) suggesting early sellers were active at the top

Liquidity

$754,436.14

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is severely stressed. Total liquidity of $754K against a $14.55M FDV represents a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 5.2%, which is very thin. Any large sell order will cause significant slippage. The 24h net flow is heavily negative: $15.94M in sell volume vs $4.03M in buy volume — a 3.95:1 sell-to-buy ratio. Unique sellers (11,298) outnumber unique buyers (3,448) by 3.27:1. The pair trades on PumpSwap (HMzvsEEmtzHhvZNw9uwbaG85HCTmFnkbhzUx16cy7ca3), which is a lower-tier venue with less institutional liquidity. The combination of shallow liquidity, extreme sell pressure, and a high seller-to-buyer ratio indicates a market in active distribution/capitulation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

964,174,433.19 CATE

FDV

$14,548,561.65

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Price dropped -57.8% in 24 hours, from a session high of $0.04677 to $0.01509. The 6h change is -46.3% and the 1h change is -23.8%. Extreme intraday volatility with a flash crash wick to $0.00647 in candle [6]. This is among the highest volatility profiles possible for a token.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity of $754K against a $14.55M FDV is a 5.2% ratio — very thin. Large trades will face severe slippage. The PumpSwap venue provides less depth than major DEXes. Exit liquidity for large holders is severely limited.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Catastrophic 24h price decline of -57.8% with no confirmed reversal signal
79.8% sell pressure — active distribution by holders into thin liquidity
Liquidity ($754K) is only 5.2% of FDV ($14.55M) — severe slippage risk
Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential for supply manipulation
No verified contract — smart contract risk unquantified
No holder distribution data — concentration risk unverifiable
PumpSwap venue — lower liquidity and less institutional participation
Flash crash wick to $0.00647 suggests potential for extreme downside moves

Mitigating factors

Mutable=false suggests metadata cannot be altered post-deployment
Social links (Telegram, Twitter, website) indicate some community presence
High total trade count (153K+ trades) shows genuine market activity, not a ghost token
5-minute price uptick (+0.99%) suggests very short-term selling exhaustion possible
FDV of $14.55M is relatively modest, limiting absolute downside vs higher-cap tokens

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the risks of meme tokens on low-liquidity DEXes. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. The current data profile — severe price collapse, extreme sell pressure, unknown authorities, no holder data — places this firmly in the speculative/high-risk category.

Catecoin (CATE) is a high-risk Solana meme token currently in active capitulation. The 24h data shows a -57.8% price collapse driven by 3.95:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio and 3.27:1 seller-to-buyer count ratio. Thin liquidity ($754K vs $14.55M FDV), unknown contract authorities, and absent holder data make this a very high risk asset. Any investment thesis must be grounded in speculation on sentiment reversal, not fundamentals.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Community-driven recovery: A viral social media campaign, influencer promotion, or broader Solana meme-coin market rally triggers a sentiment reversal. Oversold conditions attract dip buyers, short-term traders cover positions, and volume shifts to buy-dominant. Price recovers toward $0.025–$0.035 range (prior support zone).

Oversold technical conditions after -57.8% decline may attract contrarian buyers
Active community channels (Telegram, Twitter, website) could mobilize holders
Broader Solana ecosystem rally lifting all meme tokens
Low FDV ($14.55M) means relatively small capital needed to move price significantly

Base Case

Stabilization at depressed levels: Selling pressure gradually exhausts as weak hands exit. Price finds a floor in the $0.010–$0.015 range with low volume. Token trades sideways with occasional volatility spikes but no sustained recovery without a new catalyst.

Remaining holders are longer-term believers who do not sell at current prices
No new negative catalysts (rug, exploit, authority action) emerge
Broader Solana market remains neutral to slightly positive
Liquidity remains at current levels (~$754K) without significant withdrawal

Bear Case

High probability

Continued capitulation: Selling pressure persists as remaining holders exit. Price breaks below $0.01341 support and tests $0.01000 or lower. Liquidity dries up further, making exits increasingly costly. Token enters a prolonged low-price, low-volume state.

No confirmed reversal signal in price action — lower highs and lower lows persist
79.8% sell pressure with 11,298 sellers still active
Thin liquidity amplifies downside moves
Unknown authorities and unverified contract reduce institutional confidence
No fundamental value proposition beyond meme/community speculation

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 4, 09:42 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-04 21:42 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

On-chain token metadata (Mint: Ai66LHZG9MCzg1WKdawwqduVAXpNDUuV8M3uyq5ppump)
PumpSwap pair data (HMzvsEEmtzHhvZNw9uwbaG85HCTmFnkbhzUx16cy7ca3)
24-hour OHLC hourly candles (24 candles, Aug 3–4 2026)
Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price changes)
Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

Holder distribution data is unavailable — concentration and whale analysis cannot be performed
Sniper/early buyer data is unavailable — smart money signals are inferred from aggregate volume only
Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be fully assessed
Contract is not verified — smart contract risk is unquantified
Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot confirm immutability of token program
No description or whitepaper provided — fundamental analysis is not possible
PumpSwap is a newer venue with less historical data than established DEXes
Flash crash wick in candle [6] may reflect a data anomaly or genuine liquidity event — cause unconfirmed

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens on low-liquidity DEXes, carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price action does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Catecoin ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Catecoin?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Catecoin liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-04 21:42 UTC, reported liquidity was $754,436.14. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Catecoin (CATE)?

Is CATE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand the risks of meme tokens on low-liquidity DEXes. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire investment. The current data profile — severe price collapse, extreme sell pressure, unknown authorities, no holder data — places this firmly in the speculative/high-risk category.

What are the key risks of holding CATE?

Catastrophic 24h price decline of -57.8% with no confirmed reversal signal • 79.8% sell pressure — active distribution by holders into thin liquidity • Liquidity ($754K) is only 5.2% of FDV ($14.55M) — severe slippage risk