Shumai

しゅうまい Price Today & AI Analysis

ShumaiSolanaAnalysis as of Aug 5, 2026

Price

$0.052142

FDV $2,064

Contract

Live
HTF5bCqb4XnZZXezVBY1fTrNMbcGemh5aDxN1A1opump

Chain

Solana

Holders

124

Market cap

$2,064

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Report snapshot

as of Aug 5, 10:17 AM UTC

FDV

$486,786

Liquidity

$66,915

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

しゅうまい (Shumai) is a Solana memecoin launched on PumpSwap (pair 3XuXMjzfCjtohN3tX4J9penbxAA6u8wQ5ZosK74G3fno) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens. The token has experienced an extraordinary 24h price surge of ~1,328%, moving from roughly $0.000031 to ~$0.000487, suggesting a very recent launch or viral pump event. FDV stands at ~$486K with total liquidity of only $66.92K — a shallow pool relative to trading volume. The contract is unverified and the update authority is a non-standard address (not renounced), introducing meaningful risk.

Key points

  • Explosive 24h price appreciation of ~1,328%, indicating a very early-stage pump
  • High transaction count (8,524 total trades in 24h) with more unique sellers (531) than buyers (328), a notable divergence
  • Extremely low liquidity ($66.92K) relative to 24h volume (~$370K), creating high slippage risk
  • Mint and freeze authority status unclear — update authority is not the burn address
  • No sniper data available, limiting early-buyer risk assessment

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 1–24 hours

neutral

After a ~1,328% surge in 24h, the token is showing early signs of consolidation. The most recent hourly candle (10:00 UTC) opened at $0.000284 and closed at $0.000490, a strong bullish close, but the prior candle (09:00 UTC) showed the explosive move from $0.000031. The 5m change of +18.86% suggests continued short-term momentum, but with more unique sellers (531) than buyers (328) in 24h, distribution pressure is real. Support is near the 10:00 candle open (~$0.000284) and resistance at the 10:00 candle high (~$0.000504).

Target low

$0.000271

Target high

$0.000504

Support

$0.000284 (10:00 candle open), $0.000271 (10:00 candle low), $0.000028 (09:00 candle low — catastrophic flush level)

Resistance

$0.000504 (10:00 candle high / all-time high), $0.000490 (current close)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Tokens that pump 1,300%+ in a single day on shallow liquidity ($66.92K) and unverified contracts historically face significant mean-reversion. Without sustained organic demand, new utility, or community growth, the medium-term outlook is bearish. A retracement to pre-pump levels ($0.000028–$0.000031) is plausible if buying pressure fades.

Catalysts

  • Sustained social media momentum (Twitter/website presence noted)
  • New exchange listings or liquidity additions
  • Broader Solana memecoin market sentiment
  • Whale accumulation or distribution decisions

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h buy volume ($190.04K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($180.11K), indicating marginal net buying pressure
  • 5m price change of +18.86% suggests immediate momentum continuation
  • High transaction count (8,524 trades) shows active market participation
  • Social presence (Twitter + website) suggests some community infrastructure
  • Token is marked as non-spam by the data provider

Bearish factors

  • Unique sellers (531) significantly outnumber unique buyers (328) — more wallets are selling than buying
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($66.92K) cannot absorb large sell orders without severe price impact
  • Unverified contract and non-renounced update authority introduce rug/manipulation risk
  • 1,328% single-day pump is historically associated with rapid mean-reversion in memecoins
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior and profit-taking risk cannot be assessed
  • FDV of ~$486K on $66.92K liquidity implies a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~13.7%, very thin

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, providing minimal price history. The token appears to be in its first hours of trading. No sniper data, no holder data, and an unverified contract further limit analytical confidence. The 24h % change figure of 1,328% is based on a very low base price, making percentage moves highly volatile and unreliable as signals.

Shumai call history

Full track record →

Aug 5neutral
24h—
7d—
30d-99.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
HTF5bC...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 1,328% 24h pump with high mean-reversion probability
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($66.92K) creating severe slippage and exit risk
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • More unique sellers (531) than buyers (328) despite positive net volume — potential distribution

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidenceLow risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Early buyer behavior, sniper concentration, and profit-taking risk cannot be assessed from on-chain sniper analytics. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token is too new for the analytics provider to have indexed snipers, or that no bots sniped the launch. Investors should treat early-buyer risk as unknown rather than low.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration
0.00%
PnL state
Unknown
Sell-through rate
Unknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available — sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer data available. The token launched very recently (within the last 2 hours based on OHLC data), and early buyer positions cannot be evaluated.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (09:00 UTC): O=$0.000031, H=$0.000293, L=$0.000028, C=$0.000283 — a massive bullish candle with a ~9x range from low to close, representing the initial pump. Candle [1] (10:00 UTC): O=$0.000284, H=$0.000504, L=$0.000271, C=$0.000490 — a continuation bullish candle that opened near the prior close and pushed to new highs, closing near the top of its range. This is a two-candle parabolic launch pattern with no prior base to reference.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

The short-term trend is clearly bullish based on the two available candles, both of which are strongly green with higher highs and higher lows. However, with only 2 candles of history, medium-term trend is indeterminate — classified as sideways due to insufficient data. The parabolic nature of the move warrants caution.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000284 (10:00 candle open / 09:00 candle close)

Major support

$0.000028 (09:00 candle low — pre-pump base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000504 (10:00 candle high — all-time high)

Major resistance

$0.000504 (only ATH available; no prior resistance structure)

Support structure is thin. The only meaningful support is the 10:00 open at $0.000284, which coincides with the prior candle's close. Below that, there is a large gap to the pre-pump base near $0.000028–$0.000031. Resistance is the current ATH at $0.000504. A break above $0.000504 with volume would be bullish; a break below $0.000271 (10:00 low) would signal reversal.

Notable patterns

  • Two consecutive bullish candles with higher highs and higher lows — short-term uptrend
  • Parabolic launch pattern: 09:00 candle is a massive bullish engulfing from near-zero base
  • Volume declining on second candle (continuation) — potential exhaustion signal
  • 10:00 candle closes near its high (~97% of range) — strong bullish close but overbought
  • Large lower wick on 09:00 candle ($0.000028 low vs $0.000031 open) suggests initial sell pressure absorbed

Liquidity

Liquidity

$66,920

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $66.92K against a 24h trading volume of ~$370K — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~5.5x. This means the pool is being turned over multiple times per day, creating extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position size. Net flow is marginally positive (buy volume $190K vs. sell volume $180K), but the buyer/seller wallet count divergence is concerning: 531 unique sellers vs. only 328 unique buyers suggests that while buy volume is slightly higher in dollar terms, more individual wallets are choosing to sell. This pattern is consistent with a small number of large buyers absorbing sales from a larger number of smaller sellers — a potential distribution dynamic. The PumpSwap pair (3XuXMjzfCjtohN3tX4J9penbxAA6u8wQ5ZosK74G3fno) is the sole liquidity venue identified.

Flow (24h)

Buy volume

$190,040

Sell volume

$180,110

Net flow

Inflow

Unique buyers

328

Unique sellers

531

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$486,786.23

Mint authority

Active

Freeze authority

Active

Total supply is 1,000,000,000 tokens — a standard memecoin supply. FDV is ~$486,786 at current price ($0.000487). The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT the burn address (111...1) and has not been explicitly renounced in the metadata. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which is a positive signal indicating the token's metadata cannot be changed, but mint and freeze authority status are not explicitly confirmed as renounced in the provided data. The contract is unverified. Rug risk from authorities is rated 'medium' — the immutable metadata reduces one attack vector, but unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status and an unverified contract leave meaningful uncertainty. No description was provided by the creator.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token has surged ~1,328% in 24 hours from a near-zero base price ($0.000028 to $0.000490). This level of volatility is extreme and characteristic of highly speculative memecoin launches. A retracement of 80–95% from peak is historically common for such moves.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $66.92K. A sell order of even $5,000–$10,000 would cause significant price impact. The shallow pool means exits for any meaningful position will be costly and may trigger cascading sells.

  • Concentrationhigh

    Holder distribution data is unavailable, but newly launched PumpSwap tokens typically have highly concentrated ownership among early buyers. With 531 unique sellers vs. 328 unique buyers in 24h, distribution dynamics are unclear but potentially concerning.

  • Sniper Dumplow

    No sniper data is available, so sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. Rated 'low' per analytical guidelines when data is absent — this does NOT mean the risk is actually low, only that it is unquantifiable from available data.

  • Authoritymedium

    Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) has not been renounced. Token is marked immutable (Mutable: false), which is positive. Mint and freeze authority status are unconfirmed. Contract is unverified. Overall authority risk is medium.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — 1,328% 24h pump with high mean-reversion probability
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($66.92K) creating severe slippage and exit risk
  • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority
  • More unique sellers (531) than buyers (328) despite positive net volume — potential distribution
  • No holder or sniper data available — key risk vectors are unquantifiable
  • Token is less than 2 hours old based on OHLC data — extreme early-stage risk
  • No project description provided — zero fundamental information from creator
  • Volume declining sharply between candles ($258K → $90K) suggesting fading momentum

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (Mutable: false), reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Marked as non-spam by data provider
  • Social presence exists (Twitter + website) suggesting some community effort
  • 24h buy volume ($190K) marginally exceeds sell volume ($180K) — slight net inflow
  • High transaction count (8,524 trades) indicates genuine market activity, not wash trading from a single wallet

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with memecoin dynamics, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unverified contract, and missing fundamental data places this in the highest risk category.

しゅうまい (Shumai) is a high-risk, early-stage Solana memecoin that has experienced a parabolic 1,328% price surge within its first ~2 hours of trading. The investment case is purely speculative — there is no verified contract, no project description, and no fundamental utility described. The bull case relies entirely on continued memecoin momentum and community growth; the bear case (historically more probable for such launches) is rapid mean-reversion to near-zero. This is a momentum trade, not an investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Shumai captures viral memecoin attention on Solana, attracts a growing community around its Japanese food theme, liquidity deepens significantly, and the token sustains or extends its pump to a $1M–$5M FDV range.

  • Viral social media spread on Twitter driving new buyer inflows
  • Liquidity additions from market makers or the team deepening the pool
  • Broader Solana memecoin market in a risk-on phase
  • Unique cultural/thematic appeal of Japanese food branding attracting niche community
  • Continued momentum from the initial pump attracting FOMO buyers

Base Case

The token consolidates in the $0.000200–$0.000400 range for 24–72 hours as early buyers take partial profits and new buyers provide support. FDV stabilizes around $200K–$400K. Without a catalyst, the token gradually loses volume and fades into low-liquidity obscurity over 1–2 weeks.

  • Some early buyers hold positions hoping for further upside
  • Social media activity maintains a baseline level of awareness
  • No major rug event or authority exploit occurs
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral to slightly positive
  • Liquidity does not drop below $20K (which would make the token effectively untradeable)

Bear Case

High probability

The initial pump exhausts buying pressure within hours. Early buyers and the team begin distributing into remaining demand. Liquidity is insufficient to absorb sells, price collapses 80–99% back toward pre-pump levels ($0.000028–$0.000050). Token becomes illiquid and abandoned.

  • Historically, 90%+ of PumpSwap memecoin launches retrace sharply after initial pump
  • 531 unique sellers already outnumber 328 unique buyers in 24h
  • Volume declining sharply (65% drop between the two available candles)
  • Shallow liquidity ($66.92K) cannot support sustained price levels at current FDV
  • No fundamental value proposition or verified contract to anchor long-term holders
  • Unrenounced update authority creates ongoing rug risk

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 5, 10:17 AM UTC

Data freshness

Data reflects the most recent available snapshot as of 2026-08-05T10:00 UTC. Only 2 hourly candles available — token appears to be less than 2 hours old.

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: HTF5bCqb4XnZZXezVBY1fTrNMbcGemh5aDxN1A1opump)
  • PumpSwap pair data (3XuXMjzfCjtohN3tX4J9penbxAA6u8wQ5ZosK74G3fno)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles: 09:00–10:00 UTC, 2026-08-05)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buys/sells, unique wallets)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • No holder distribution data available (endpoint retired)
  • No sniper/early buyer data available
  • Unverified contract — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed in metadata
  • No project description or whitepaper — zero fundamental analysis possible
  • 24h percentage change figures show 0% for 5m/1h/6h/24h in analytics despite 1,328% in price section — data inconsistency noted, price section figures used as primary reference
  • FDV figures show slight discrepancy between metadata ($486,786) and analytics ($458,750) — likely due to price snapshot timing differences

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. All data is sourced from on-chain analytics and may contain inaccuracies. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for しゅうまい (Shumai)?

After a ~1,328% surge in 24h, the token is showing early signs of consolidation. The most recent hourly candle (10:00 UTC) opened at $0.000284 and closed at $0.000490, a strong bullish close, but the prior candle (09:00 UTC) showed the explosive move from $0.000031. The 5m change of +18.86% suggests continued short-term momentum, but with more unique sellers (531) than buyers (328) in 24h, distribution pressure is real. Support is near the 10:00 candle open (~$0.000284) and resistance at the 10:00 candle high (~$0.000504). Short-term outlook is neutral (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000271 to $0.000504.

Is Shumai a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, those unfamiliar with memecoin dynamics, or anyone investing more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unverified contract, and missing fundamental data places this in the highest risk category.

What does sniper activity look like for Shumai?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding Shumai?

Extreme price volatility — 1,328% 24h pump with high mean-reversion probability • Critically shallow liquidity ($66.92K) creating severe slippage and exit risk • Unverified contract with non-renounced update authority

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