MISTAKE

Make No Mistakes Price Today & AI Analysis

MISTAKESolanaAnalysis as of Sep 23, 2026

Price

$0.002661

+155.48% 24h · FDV $2,562,919

Contract

Live
HKZDfZnkHZxd9agRDNPyDv4iT6LmAurJnpRtj9wpump

Chain

Holders

3,016

Market cap

$2,562,919

More tokens on Solana

Make No Mistakes: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-23 14:16 UTC

Holder addresses

3,016

Top 10 supply share

6.12%

Reported liquidity

$80,110.00
How concentrated is Make No Mistakes ownership?
As of 2026-09-23 14:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 6.12% of supply. It reports 3,016 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Make No Mistakes?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 14:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $410,310.00 in buys and $376,296.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Make No Mistakes liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +47.93%, from $54,152.68 (2026-09-22 15:00 UTC) to $80,109.76 (2026-09-23 14:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-23 14:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-22 15:00 UTC$54,152.68
2026-09-22 16:00 UTC$55,350.46
2026-09-22 17:00 UTC$55,192.39
2026-09-22 18:00 UTC$55,142.23
2026-09-22 19:00 UTC$55,575.63
2026-09-22 20:00 UTC$54,517.69
2026-09-22 21:00 UTC$55,045.86
2026-09-22 22:00 UTC$54,930.55
2026-09-22 23:00 UTC$55,451.72
2026-09-23 00:00 UTC$54,608.16
2026-09-23 01:00 UTC$55,191.75
2026-09-23 02:00 UTC$55,889.27
2026-09-23 03:00 UTC$54,106.74
2026-09-23 04:00 UTC$55,427.64
2026-09-23 05:00 UTC$56,384.10
2026-09-23 06:00 UTC$55,361.84
2026-09-23 07:00 UTC$57,786.35
2026-09-23 08:00 UTC$57,957.19
2026-09-23 09:00 UTC$62,503.73
2026-09-23 10:00 UTC$66,198.92
2026-09-23 11:00 UTC$67,510.67
2026-09-23 12:00 UTC$71,347.68
2026-09-23 13:00 UTC$83,383.66
2026-09-23 14:00 UTC$80,109.76

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 23, 02:17 PM UTC

FDV

$2,562,919

Liquidity

$80,110.00

Holders

3,016

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

MISTAKE is a newly-surged Solana token trading on PumpSwap that saw its price rocket +155.5% in 24 hours (from ~$0.00095 to $0.00266, with an intraday high of $0.00325), driven by a volume spike from a baseline of ~$2-3K/hour to over $280K in a single hour. Despite the dramatic price action, the token has only $80.11K in total liquidity against a $2.56M fully diluted valuation, and several critical risk inputs - mint/freeze authority status, sniper/early-buyer data, and holder history - are unavailable, making this a high-uncertainty, high-risk speculative asset.

Key points

  • Extreme 24h price appreciation (+155.5%) with a >30x volume spike, indicating a sudden speculative breakout
  • Severely thin liquidity ($80.11K) relative to FDV ($2.56M), creating outsized slippage and volatility risk
  • Top-10 holder concentration is relatively low at 6.12% of supply, though this is based on a partial snapshot only
  • Complete absence of sniper/early-buyer data and holder history, and unverified mint/freeze authority status, leaving major risk dimensions unassessed
  • Signs of short-term exhaustion (upper-wick rejection at $0.00325, -9.2% 5-minute decline) following the parabolic move

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 1-24 hours

neutral

After a parabolic +155% 24h rally, the most recent candle shows a rejection from a $0.00325 intraday high down to a $0.00266 close, and the 5-minute change is -9.2%, suggesting near-term consolidation or pullback risk. Direction over the next few hours is uncertain and highly dependent on whether buy volume can be sustained.

Target low

$0.00190

Target high

$0.00300

Support

$0.00260 (immediate), $0.00186-$0.00208 (candle 21-22 range), $0.00120-$0.00133 (major pre-breakout base)

Resistance

$0.00300 (candle 23 high), $0.00325 (candle 24 high, current peak)

Medium term · 3-7 days

bearish

Given the extremely thin liquidity ($80.11K) relative to the new elevated valuation, and the classic pattern of consolidation-then-parabolic-spike often followed by mean reversion in low-cap Solana tokens, a retracement toward or below the pre-breakout consolidation zone ($0.00120-$0.00133) is a plausible medium-term outcome unless fresh sustained demand emerges.

Catalysts

  • Sustained social/community-driven volume could extend the rally further
  • A liquidity injection or listing catalyst could support higher prices
  • Conversely, absence of new buyers combined with existing/undetected large holders selling into thin liquidity could trigger a fast unwind
  • Any confirmation (positive or negative) of mint/freeze authority status could materially shift risk perception

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($410.31K) exceeds sell volume ($376.30K), a modest net inflow
  • Broad participation with 1,857 unique buyers in 24h
  • Massive volume expansion (30x-100x baseline) indicates strong speculative interest/attention
  • Top-10 holder concentration relatively low at 6.12% based on available snapshot

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($80.11K) versus $2.56M FDV creates high slippage and instability
  • Signs of exhaustion: upper wick rejection at $0.00325 high, close well below high, -9.2% 5m decline
  • Near-equal unique sellers (1,903) vs buyers (1,857) during the rally suggests active distribution
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority leaves open tail risk of supply dilution or account restrictions
  • No sniper data to rule out concentrated early-holder dump risk
  • Parabolic moves in low-liquidity tokens frequently mean-revert sharply

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because key risk inputs (mint/freeze authority status, sniper/early-buyer data, holder history, top-100 concentration) are unavailable, and the token's price action is a fresh, extreme, thinly-liquidity-backed parabolic move that historically exhibits unpredictable and often violent reversals. The available OHLC/volume data is sufficient for short-term technical observations but insufficient for high-confidence directional forecasting.

MISTAKE call history

Full track record →

Sep 23neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
HKZDfZ...pump
Total Supply
963,005,103.17 MISTAKE

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($80.11K) relative to FDV ($2.56M) and 24h volume (~$786K combined), creating high slippage and price manipulation potential
  • Parabolic +155% 24h price move with signs of exhaustion (upper wick rejection, -9.2% 5m pullback) increases risk of a sharp reversal/correction
  • Mint/freeze authority status unverified - cannot confirm supply cannot be inflated or accounts frozen
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from initial holders

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Over the most recent 24 hourly candles, price began near $0.00095 and closed at $0.00266, a roughly 180% move within the window. The first ~16 candles (15:00-06:00) traded in a tight range between roughly $0.00119 and $0.00133 with modest volume (2,100-3,600 USD per candle), showing consolidation. Starting at candle [17] (07:00 UTC) volume expanded sharply (7,228 USD) with a breakout above $0.00130, followed by a dramatic volume and price surge through candles [19]-[24], where volume spiked to $140K, $76K, $60K, $65K, $281K and $98K respectively, and price rocketed from ~$0.00139 to an intraday high of $0.00325 before closing at $0.00266.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Short-term (last few hours) and medium-term (24h window) trends are both strongly upward, driven by a parabolic move in the final 8 candles. The move shows classic low-liquidity breakout characteristics: long consolidation followed by a sharp vertical expansion in both price and volume.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

52%

Sell

48%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00260 (candle 24 low)

Major support

$0.00120-$0.00130 (pre-breakout consolidation range, candles 1-16)

Immediate resistance

$0.00325 (candle 24 high, most recent intraday peak)

Major resistance

$0.00300 (round-number level near candle 23 high of $0.00300)

The pre-breakout consolidation zone between roughly $0.00119 and $0.00133 (candles 1-16) represents the major support/base-building range that could act as a fallback level if the rally fully unwinds. Immediate support sits at the current candle's low of ~$0.00260. On the upside, the candle [24] high of $0.00325 is the immediate resistance/ceiling reached so far, with $0.00300 acting as a psychological/technical level tested in candle 23.

Notable patterns

  • Extended consolidation/basing pattern across candles 1-16 with tight range and low volume
  • Volume breakout starting candle 17 preceding a parabolic price expansion
  • Vertical/parabolic price move in candles 19-24 with volume spikes over 30-100x baseline
  • Upper wick rejection in candle 24 (high $0.00325 vs close $0.00266), suggesting short-term exhaustion or profit-taking
  • 5-minute price change of -9.2% amid overall 24h strength indicates a sharp pullback in progress

Liquidity

Liquidity

$80,110.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $80.11K is very thin relative to a fully diluted valuation of $2.56M and 24h trading volume exceeding $786K combined (buy+sell). This mismatch between liquidity depth and trading volume implies high slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade and raises the possibility of sharp price swings on relatively small order flow - consistent with the extreme intraday volatility seen in the OHLC data. Buy volume ($410.31K, 52.2%) modestly exceeds sell volume ($376.30K, 47.8%), indicating a slight net inflow bias over the 24h window, though the number of unique sellers (1,903) slightly exceeds unique buyers (1,857), suggesting broad-based participation on both sides rather than one-sided accumulation. Given the shallow liquidity pool on PumpSwap, this token is highly susceptible to price impact from both large buys and sells.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

963,005,103.17 MISTAKE

FDV

$2.56M

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    24h price change of +155.5% and intraday swings from $0.00095 to $0.00325 (a ~240% range) demonstrate extreme volatility. The final hours show a parabolic move followed by a sharp pullback (5m change -9.2%), typical of highly speculative, thinly-traded tokens.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $80.11K against a $2.56M FDV and daily trading volume near $786K combined creates a severe liquidity-to-volume/valuation mismatch, resulting in high slippage risk for meaningful trade sizes and vulnerability to sharp price dislocations.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Only the top-10 holder concentration (6.12% of supply) is available; top-100 concentration and any wallet classification/history data are missing. This partial visibility means true concentration risk (e.g., presence of large undisclosed wallets beyond top 10, or clustered smaller wallets) cannot be fully evaluated and should be treated as unknown rather than low, despite the seemingly modest top-10 figure.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($80.11K) relative to FDV ($2.56M) and 24h volume (~$786K combined), creating high slippage and price manipulation potential
  • Parabolic +155% 24h price move with signs of exhaustion (upper wick rejection, -9.2% 5m pullback) increases risk of a sharp reversal/correction
  • Mint/freeze authority status unverified - cannot confirm supply cannot be inflated or accounts frozen
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from initial holders
  • Holder history, wallet classification, and top-100 concentration data unavailable, limiting visibility into true supply distribution
  • High number of unique sellers (1,903) nearly matching buyers (1,857) during the rally could indicate meaningful profit-taking already underway

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 holder concentration is relatively low at 6.12% of supply (based on available snapshot), though this does not account for holders 11-100 or wallet clustering
  • Buy volume (52.2%) modestly exceeds sell volume (47.8%) over the past 24h, indicating net positive demand during the observed window
  • Reasonably broad participation with over 1,800 unique buyers and sellers in 24h, suggesting the move is not confined to a single wallet or tiny cluster

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the potential for total capital loss. The combination of shallow liquidity, extreme volatility, an unverified authority structure, and multiple critical data gaps (sniper activity, holder history, top-100 concentration) makes this unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors, and position sizing should reflect the very high risk profile.

MISTAKE (HKZDfZnkHZxd9agRDNPyDv4iT6LmAurJnpRtj9wpump) is a low-liquidity, high-volatility Solana token on PumpSwap that just experienced a parabolic +155% 24h price surge accompanied by a >30x spike in trading volume. The move shows signs of both strong speculative demand and early exhaustion (upper wick rejection, 5m pullback). Critical data gaps - unverified mint/freeze authorities, no sniper data, and no holder history - mean this must be treated as a speculative, high-risk instrument rather than a fundamentally analyzable investment.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued momentum and volume expansion attract further speculative interest, pushing price toward new highs above the recent $0.00325 peak, supported by broad buyer participation (1,857 unique buyers in 24h) and net positive buy pressure (52.2%).

  • Sustained or renewed volume expansion similar to the candle 19-23 breakout
  • Continued net inflow (buy volume > sell volume) if demand persists
  • Social media / community momentum given active Twitter and website presence
  • Broad-based buyer participation reducing single-wallet dump risk somewhat

Base Case

Price remains highly volatile with elevated but decaying volume as the initial pump cools off, likely retracing a meaningful portion of the 24h gain while remaining above the original pre-breakout base, before consolidating at a new, higher-volatility range.

  • Trading volume gradually normalizes from the extreme spike seen in candles 19-23
  • Some profit-taking occurs given the magnitude of the recent gain, but broad buyer interest provides partial support
  • Liquidity remains thin, keeping the token prone to continued sharp swings in either direction
  • No major authority-related negative event (e.g., mint expansion) occurs during the observed period, though this cannot be verified

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic move reverses sharply as early buyers and any undetected snipers take profits into thin liquidity, causing a fast retracement back toward the pre-breakout consolidation range of $0.00120-$0.00133 or lower.

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($80.11K) cannot absorb large sell orders without severe price impact
  • Signs of exhaustion already visible: upper wick rejection at $0.00325 and -9.2% 5m pullback
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of adverse token mechanics
  • Near-even split between unique buyers (1,857) and sellers (1,903) suggests distribution may already be occurring
  • No sniper data means potential large early holders could dump undetected

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 23, 02:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-23 14:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • Price and 24h/1h/5m percent change data
  • 24 hourly OHLC candles from PumpSwap pair
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity, FDV)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count, top-10 concentration)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No sniper/early-buyer wallet data was available, preventing assessment of sniper concentration, PnL state, or dump risk
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was available, preventing any holder trend or accumulation/distribution analysis
  • Top-100 holder concentration and wallet classifications were not provided, limiting whale/concentration analysis to a single top-10 metric
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and update authority renouncement status were not verifiable from the provided data
  • Liquidity and volume figures are point-in-time/24h aggregates and may not reflect intra-day liquidity fluctuations
  • Token metadata fields such as verified contract status, spam flag, and mutability were all marked unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited on-chain and market data provided at a single point in time and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency tokens, especially low-liquidity and recently-launched tokens like this one, carry substantial risk including total loss of capital. Several key risk indicators (authority status, sniper activity, holder history) could not be verified from the data provided. Conduct independent due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Make No Mistakes ownership?

As of 2026-09-23 14:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 6.12% of supply. It reports 3,016 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Make No Mistakes?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-23 14:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $410,310.00 in buys and $376,296.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Make No Mistakes liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +47.93%, from $54,152.68 (2026-09-22 15:00 UTC) to $80,109.76 (2026-09-23 14:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Make No Mistakes (MISTAKE)?

After a parabolic +155% 24h rally, the most recent candle shows a rejection from a $0.00325 intraday high down to a $0.00266 close, and the 5-minute change is -9.2%, suggesting near-term consolidation or pullback risk. Direction over the next few hours is uncertain and highly dependent on whether buy volume can be sustained. Short-term outlook is neutral (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.00190 to $0.00300.

Is MISTAKE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the potential for total capital loss. The combination of shallow liquidity, extreme volatility, an unverified authority structure, and multiple critical data gaps (sniper activity, holder history, top-100 concentration) makes this unsuitable for conservative or risk-averse investors, and position sizing should reflect the very high risk profile.

What are the key risks of holding MISTAKE?

Extremely thin liquidity ($80.11K) relative to FDV ($2.56M) and 24h volume (~$786K combined), creating high slippage and price manipulation potential • Parabolic +155% 24h price move with signs of exhaustion (upper wick rejection, -9.2% 5m pullback) increases risk of a sharp reversal/correction • Mint/freeze authority status unverified - cannot confirm supply cannot be inflated or accounts frozen

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