Clarus the

Clarus the Dogcow Price Prediction 2026

Clarus the
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 11, 2026

HGGp4n2h5urx7BVxHQVp3wiyVXvgMrssCyaw3BDvpump

$0.051765

FDV $1,764

LiveContract:HGGp4n2h5urx7BVxHQVp3wiyVXvgMrssCyaw3BDvpumpChain:SolanaHolders:104Market cap:$1,764

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Report snapshotas of May 11, 07:18 PM
FDV

$285,827

Liquidity

$0

Holders

775

Snipers

20

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Clarus the Dogcow (symbol: 'Clarus the') is a meme/novelty token on Solana launched on the PumpSwap DEX, themed around Apple's classic Dogcow mascot and tied to a WWDC26 Messages sticker narrative. With a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$285,827, this is an ultra-micro-cap token. It experienced a dramatic 150.58% price surge in 24 hours but exhibits extreme sell pressure (93.8% sell volume), near-zero reported liquidity, and a holder base that exploded from 12 to 775 in under 24 hours — classic pump-and-dump dynamics.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Themed around Apple's iconic Dogcow mascot tied to WWDC26 narrative, providing a cultural/meme catalyst
Explosive 24h holder growth from 12 to 775 (+98%), indicating viral attention
Extremely concentrated sell pressure: 93.8% of 24h volume is sells ($392.33K vs $26.01K buys)
Top holder (DEX liquidity pool) holds 7.90%; remaining top holders are tightly clustered at ~0.44–0.51%, suggesting possible coordinated wallets
Token is mutable=false but update authority is NOT renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM)

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already pumped +150.58% in 24h and is showing extreme sell pressure (93.8% sell volume, 4,569 sells vs 299 buys). The OHLC data shows a high of $0.000225 in candle [1] with a close well below at $0.0000959, indicating a sharp rejection. Current price of $0.000286 is significantly above recent candle closes, suggesting the price feed may reflect a spike. Short-term outlook is strongly bearish as profit-takers dominate.

Target low$0.000050
Target high$0.000300
Support: $0.000064 (recent candle open/low), $0.000049 (candle [2] low)
Resistance: $0.000125 (candle [3] high), $0.000225 (candle [1] high/spike)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Without sustained buying interest, utility, or a genuine WWDC26 catalyst materializing, the token is likely to retrace sharply. The holder base grew almost entirely in one day, and the sell-through rate among snipers is high. Meme tokens of this nature typically fade within days unless a major viral event sustains attention.

Catalysts
  • Apple WWDC26 announcement featuring Dogcow/Clarus sticker could reignite interest
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Listing on a mid-tier CEX (unlikely at this market cap)
  • Community-driven viral social media campaign

Bullish factors

  • 150.58% price surge in 24h demonstrates strong initial momentum
  • Holder count grew from 12 to 775 in under 24h — viral adoption signal
  • Apple WWDC26 Dogcow narrative provides a timely cultural hook
  • Sniper PnL mostly positive, suggesting early buyers are in profit and may hold
  • 5m price change of +19.4% and 1h change of +95.2% show very recent buying momentum

Bearish factors

  • 93.8% sell pressure ($392.33K sells vs $26.01K buys) — overwhelmingly bearish flow
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 raises serious concerns about exit liquidity
  • Token was dormant at 12 holders for 30 days before sudden activation — suspicious launch pattern
  • Update authority not renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM)
  • Unverified contract, no on-chain utility
  • OHLC candle [1] shows a wick high of $0.000225 with close at $0.0000959 — sharp rejection pattern
  • 4,569 sell transactions vs 299 buy transactions in 24h — 15:1 sell-to-buy ratio
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available, (2) reported total liquidity of $0.00 is contradictory to trading volumes, suggesting data inconsistency, (3) extreme volatility makes price targets unreliable, and (4) the token is less than 24 hours old in terms of active trading.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (17:00–19:00 UTC on 2026-05-11). Candle [3] (17:00): O=$0.0000643, H=$0.000125, L=$0.0000643, C=$0.0000973 — bullish candle with upper wick, price closed above open. Candle [2] (18:00): O=$0.0000959, H=$0.0000959, L=$0.0000490, C=$0.0000643 — bearish candle, price fell sharply, lower wick suggests some support at $0.0000490. Candle [1] (19:00): O=$0.0000643, H=$0.000225, L=$0.000225, C=$0.0000959 — NOTE: Low > High in raw data which appears to be a data anomaly (L and H may be swapped); treating H=$0.000225 as the spike high and C=$0.0000959 as the close. This candle shows a massive upper wick rejection from $0.000225 back to $0.0000959, a classic 'shooting star' or bearish wick pattern indicating strong selling at the high.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 6%Sell 94%

Short-term trend is bearish following the shooting star rejection at $0.000225. The medium-term is effectively sideways/unknown given the token was dormant for 30 days and only activated in the last few hours. The current price of $0.000286 (per price feed) is above all three candle closes, suggesting a post-candle spike that may not be sustained.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000064 (recent candle open, tested multiple times)
Major$0.000049 (candle [2] low — lowest recorded price)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000125 (candle [3] high)
Major$0.000225 (candle [1] spike high — strong rejection zone)

The $0.000049 level represents the lowest recorded price and acts as major support. The $0.000064 level has been tested as both open and low across multiple candles, making it a key pivot. Resistance at $0.000125 and $0.000225 are defined by candle highs with strong rejection wicks. Current price of $0.000286 is above all candle-derived resistance levels, suggesting either a post-data spike or data inconsistency.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish wick rejection at $0.000225 in candle [1] — strong bearish signal
  • Bearish engulfing structure in candle [2] (opened at high, closed near low)
  • Volume climax in candle [2] followed by sharp decline — potential exhaustion pattern
  • Price dormant for 30 days at 12 holders then sudden activation — coordinated launch pattern
  • 15:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio over 24h — distribution phase indicator

Total holders775
24h Δ+98
7d Δ+98
30d Δ+98
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The explosive holder growth from 12 to 775 (+763 holders, +98%) occurred simultaneously with the 150.58% price pump, indicating a strong positive correlation between price action and holder acquisition. However, this correlation is typical of pump events where retail FOMO drives both metrics simultaneously rather than organic adoption.

Holder growth is dramatic but highly suspicious. The token sat at exactly 12 holders for the entire 30-day historical period (April 11 – May 10, 2026) with zero net change daily. Then in a single day (May 11), holders exploded to 775 — a +6,358% increase. The 1-hour change alone was +167 holders (+22%). All 775 holders acquired via swap (0 transfers, 0 airdrops), consistent with a coordinated pump launch. The distribution shows 241 whales, 229 sharks, 234 dolphins, 40 fish, and 17 octopus — an unusually high proportion of large holders for a token this new, suggesting many buyers entered with significant capital during the pump. Growth acceleration is extreme but likely unsustainable given the sell pressure dynamics.

Top 10 hold12.16%
Top 100 hold47.19%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

8gagBg8jpLgkTeFW37dmgWK87vAYarHKLKvWyMcBjDe7

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address in metadata)

7.90%

9DPQguohrSf6gysGeoomiYYtAsNFTAYbM3aYDxh9WUaL

Individual whale / early buyer

0.51%

8xNTFLMoiHTVCSKG7KcHMgETFsU1joxBGVyQeeKES7Tz

Individual whale / possible coordinated wallet

0.48%

HkGd2e8zmZXoHcHev2C2VoXP7UeQYXy4rr56GewX5g7n

Individual whale / possible coordinated wallet

0.48%

CLBBU3fNMqnrNokfngeA2CXUgS4U862HE98ubY8byRmy

Individual whale / possible coordinated wallet

0.47%

The top 10 holders control 12.16% of supply and the top 100 control 47.19%. The largest single holder (7.90%) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool address (8gagBg8jpLgkTeFW37dmgWK87vAYarHKLKvWyMcBjDe7), which matches the pair address in metadata. Excluding the LP, the remaining top holders are remarkably uniform in size — holders 2 through 20 all hold between 0.44% and 0.51% of supply (4.38M–5.09M tokens each). This near-identical distribution across 19 wallets is highly suspicious and may indicate coordinated wallet splitting by insiders or a bot-driven distribution strategy. The overall sentiment is distributing, consistent with the 93.8% sell pressure observed in trading analytics.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported — likely a data error or liquidity has been removed)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$26,010
Sell$392,330
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers97
Unique sellers933

Market health is critically poor. The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is alarming — either liquidity has been pulled, the data feed is delayed, or the pool is effectively empty. Despite this, $418K+ in 24h volume was recorded, which is contradictory and may reflect stale data or a liquidity event mid-session. The buy/sell ratio is extreme: 93.8% sell pressure with 933 unique sellers vs 97 unique buyers (9.6:1 ratio) and 4,569 sell transactions vs 299 buy transactions (15.3:1 ratio). Net flow is strongly outflow. The token trades on PumpSwap (pair 8gagBg8jpLgkTeFW37dmgWK87vAYarHKLKvWyMcBjDe7) which is a permissionless AMM — liquidity can be removed at any time. Slippage risk is high given shallow/zero reported liquidity. Any significant sell order could move the price dramatically or fail entirely.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000
FDV$285,826.79

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is 1 billion tokens (standard meme token supply). FDV is ~$285,827 at current price of $0.000286. The update authority is TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111... or similar), meaning the metadata update authority has NOT been renounced. However, the token is marked as mutable=false, which limits metadata changes. Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the metadata — classified as 'unknown'. The token was launched via pump.fun (indicated by 'pump' suffix in mint address: HGGp4n2h5urx7BVxHQVp3wiyVXvgMrssCyaw3BDvpump), which typically burns mint authority upon graduation to PumpSwap. If this token has graduated from pump.fun to PumpSwap, mint authority is likely renounced, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. The non-renounced update authority represents a medium rug risk vector.

Volatility
high

150.58% price increase in 24h, 95.18% in 1h, 19.4% in 5 minutes. Extreme volatility typical of micro-cap meme pump events. OHLC shows a spike to $0.000225 with rejection back to $0.0000959 in a single candle.

Liquidity
high

Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — critically low or absent. Trading on PumpSwap with no guaranteed liquidity depth. High slippage risk on any meaningful position. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 hold 12.16%, top 100 hold 47.19%. Excluding the LP pool (7.90%), the remaining top holders are suspiciously uniform at 0.44–0.51% each across 19 wallets, suggesting possible coordinated wallet splitting. While no single wallet dominates, the coordinated pattern is concerning.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks. 17 of 18 snipers with PnL data are in profit (up to +127.5%). Most snipers show near-zero remaining balances, indicating they have already sold. The largest sniper sold $3,194 worth. Ongoing dump risk from any remaining sniper positions is elevated.

Authority
medium

Update authority (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) is not renounced. Token is mutable=false which limits metadata changes. Mint/freeze authority status unknown but likely renounced given pump.fun graduation. Medium risk overall.

Key risks

  • Zero reported liquidity — potential inability to exit position
  • 93.8% sell pressure with 15:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio
  • Token dormant for 30+ days at 12 holders before sudden activation — coordinated launch pattern
  • Snipers have largely exited with profits, leaving retail holders exposed
  • Non-renounced update authority
  • No verified contract, no on-chain utility
  • Suspiciously uniform top holder distribution suggesting coordinated wallets
  • Ultra-micro-cap ($285K FDV) with extreme price manipulation risk
  • Meme token with no fundamental value — entirely sentiment-driven

Mitigating factors

  • Token launched via pump.fun which typically burns mint authority (likely no new token minting)
  • Mutable=false limits metadata manipulation
  • Cultural narrative (Apple WWDC26 Dogcow) provides a real-world catalyst hook
  • Holder distribution (top 10 = 12.16%) is not extremely concentrated by supply percentage
  • Some snipers still hold positions (GgDugEv4D9Er...: $41, Fdy6LQsUhV4o...: $37), suggesting not all early buyers have fully exited
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible amount of capital. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a pump-and-dump scheme.

Clarus the Dogcow is a high-risk meme token riding the Apple WWDC26 Dogcow narrative. The token launched on pump.fun and graduated to PumpSwap, experiencing a viral pump that took holders from 12 to 775 in under 24 hours with a 150.58% price surge. However, the overwhelming sell pressure (93.8%), near-zero liquidity, sniper exit activity, and suspicious wallet distribution patterns indicate this is primarily a speculative pump event rather than an organic community-driven token. The investment thesis is almost entirely momentum/narrative-based with no fundamental underpinning.

Bull case (low)

Apple WWDC26 features a prominent Dogcow/Clarus revival (sticker pack, easter egg, or official mention), triggering mainstream media coverage and a second wave of retail FOMO. The token becomes the go-to Dogcow meme token on Solana, attracting a genuine community. Holder count grows to 5,000+, liquidity deepens, and the FDV reaches $1M–$5M.

  • Actual Apple WWDC26 Dogcow feature announcement
  • Viral social media moment (Twitter/X trending)
  • Influencer promotion from Solana meme token community
  • Sustained buying pressure overcoming current sell wall

Base case

The token experiences a typical pump-and-dump lifecycle: price retraces 60–80% from the 24h high over the next 48–72 hours as sell pressure continues. A small community of ~500–1,000 holders remains, trading at low volumes. The token survives but trades at a fraction of its peak price with minimal liquidity.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate but some buyers absorb the dump
  • Liquidity remains minimal but non-zero
  • No major Apple WWDC26 catalyst materializes
  • Token does not get listed on any CEX
  • Community engagement remains low

Bear case (high)

Liquidity is fully withdrawn by insiders, the price collapses 90%+ from current levels, and the token becomes illiquid. The WWDC26 narrative fails to materialize or is ignored. Remaining holders are unable to exit due to zero liquidity. The token joins the graveyard of pump-and-dump meme tokens.

  • Zero reported liquidity enabling rug pull
  • Continued 93.8% sell pressure exhausting remaining buyers
  • Sniper and whale distribution completing
  • No real Apple connection or WWDC26 catalyst
  • Coordinated wallet activity suggesting insider control

GeneratedMay 11, 07:18 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of approximately 2026-05-11T19:00–19:30 UTC. OHLC data covers only the last 3 hours. Historical holder data is daily with last entry at 2026-05-10. Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks only.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain token metadata (mint: HGGp4n2h5urx7BVxHQVp3wiyVXvgMrssCyaw3BDvpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair: 8gagBg8jpLgkTeFW37dmgWK87vAYarHKLKvWyMcBjDe7)
  • Hourly OHLC price data (3 candles, 2026-05-11 17:00–19:00 UTC)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Moralis token analytics API
  • Twitter social link metadata

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — possible data error or liquidity removal event
  • Sniper total sniped USD and individual balances are largely unknown
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly confirmed
  • No order book depth data available
  • Historical holder data only goes to May 10 (day before the pump) — intraday holder data limited to hourly snapshots
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite 150.58% 24h change in price feed — data inconsistency
  • FDV reported as $0.00 in trading analytics but $285,826.79 in metadata — data source discrepancy

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000

Key Risks

Zero reported liquidity — potential inability to exit position
93.8% sell pressure with 15:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio
Token dormant for 30+ days at 12 holders before sudden activation — coordinated launch pattern
Snipers have largely exited with profits, leaving retail holders exposed

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. The total sniped USD amount is unknown, limiting precise concentration calculations. Of the 20 snipers, 18 show realized PnL data: 17 are in profit (ranging from +0.9% to +127.5%) and only 1 is at a loss (-9.3%). The high sell-through rate — most snipers show $0 or near-$0 remaining balances — indicates early buyers have largely exited. The two snipers with the highest realized PnL% (127.5% each: wallets 3SkBCx49... and F7RV6aBW...) have sold $221 and $217 respectively. The largest single sniper sale was $3,194 (Fs41md4L..., +10.1% PnL). Overall, smart money has largely taken profits, which is a bearish signal for remaining holders.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.50%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper balances are largely unknown; only 2 of 20 snipers show remaining balances (GgDugEv4D9ErCSSkt96ZqAKpaXNdTK2Psse95UN7yFgQ: $41, Fdy6LQsUhV4oXjTfa2DDSyq9Z4fuZpmg5sSZnbBiQ7nU: $37). The majority appear to have sold most or all of their positions.

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and have largely sold their positions. With 17/18 snipers showing positive realized PnL and most showing near-zero remaining balances, the sentiment is one of successful exit rather than conviction holding. This suggests the token served its purpose for early participants and remaining retail holders are left holding bags.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Clarus the Dogcow (Clarus the)?

The token has already pumped +150.58% in 24h and is showing extreme sell pressure (93.8% sell volume, 4,569 sells vs 299 buys). The OHLC data shows a high of $0.000225 in candle [1] with a close well below at $0.0000959, indicating a sharp rejection. Current price of $0.000286 is significantly above recent candle closes, suggesting the price feed may reflect a spike. Short-term outlook is strongly bearish as profit-takers dominate. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000050 to $0.000300.

Is Clarus the a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than a negligible amount of capital. This token exhibits nearly every hallmark of a pump-and-dump scheme.

How are Clarus the holders trending?

Clarus the Dogcow currently has 775 holders and is growing (24h: 98, 7d: 98, 30d: 98). Holder growth is dramatic but highly suspicious. The token sat at exactly 12 holders for the entire 30-day historical period (April 11 – May 10, 2026) with zero net change daily. Then in a single day (May 11), holders exploded to 775 — a +6,358% increase. The 1-hour change alone was +167 holders (+22%). All 775 holders acquired via swap (0 transfers, 0 airdrops), consistent with a coordinated pump launch. The distribution shows 241 whales, 229 sharks, 234 dolphins, 40 fish, and 17 octopus — an unusually high proportion of large holders for a token this new, suggesting many buyers entered with significant capital during the pump. Growth acceleration is extreme but likely unsustainable given the sell pressure dynamics.

What does sniper activity look like for Clarus the?

Snipers hold roughly 0.50% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Clarus the?

Zero reported liquidity — potential inability to exit position • 93.8% sell pressure with 15:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio • Token dormant for 30+ days at 12 holders before sudden activation — coordinated launch pattern

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