GROG

grog Price Prediction 2026

GROG
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jun 5, 2026

GjGpyc93x5k5WSgTVJfLpcyw7YYi3hoi6Zr9F8oMpump

$0.051874

FDV $1,871

LiveContract:GjGpyc93x5k5WSgTVJfLpcyw7YYi3hoi6Zr9F8oMpumpChain:SolanaHolders:210Market cap:$1,871

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Report snapshotas of Jun 5, 06:17 AM
FDV

$64,607

Liquidity

$0

Holders

809

Snipers

34

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

GROG (grog) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a current FDV of ~$64,607. The token is extremely early-stage, having spent roughly a month dormant with only 28 holders before experiencing a sudden viral spike on June 5, 2026, adding 781 holders (+97%) in 24 hours. Price surged +39.7% in 24h but sell pressure is dominant at 72.4% of volume. The token carries very high risk due to zero reported on-chain liquidity, heavy sell-side dominance, sniper activity, and a near-total lack of fundamental data.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive holder growth: +781 holders (+97%) in a single 24-hour window after 30+ days of complete stagnation at 28 holders
Strong sniper profit-taking: majority of 20 identified snipers are in profit, with several realizing 100–194% gains
Extreme sell pressure: 72.4% of 24h volume ($253.61K) is sell-side vs. only 27.6% ($96.57K) buy-side
Zero reported on-chain liquidity despite active trading on PumpSwap — significant data anomaly or very thin pool
Mutable=false metadata with unknown update authority — authority status cannot be fully confirmed

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The most recent hourly candle (06:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001160 high, closing at $0.0000661 — a ~43% intra-candle drop from the high. With 72.4% sell pressure, 5,476 sell transactions vs. 1,825 buys, and snipers actively realizing profits (multiple wallets with 100–194% realized PnL), short-term price action is likely to remain under pressure. The 5m change of +2.89% and 1h change of +23.6% suggest residual momentum, but the dominant sell flow makes a sustained rally unlikely without fresh catalysts.

Target low$0.000024
Target high$0.000115
Support: $0.0000628 (recent hourly low), $0.0000240 (prior hourly low from candle [2])
Resistance: $0.0000978 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close area), $0.0001160 (candle [1] high), $0.0001432 (candle [2] all-time high from available data)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a sustained community catalyst, new exchange listings, or meaningful liquidity injection, the token is likely to retrace toward its pre-spike levels. The 30-day dormancy period (28 holders, zero price movement) before the spike suggests the token lacks organic long-term demand. Sniper sell-through and early buyer profit-taking will continue to weigh on price.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media campaign driving new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a mid-tier CEX or aggregator
  • Liquidity pool deepening to reduce slippage and attract larger buyers
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Price up +39.7% in 24h with residual 5m momentum (+2.89%)
  • Holder count surged +781 (+97%) in 24h — strong viral interest signal
  • 1,712 unique wallets active in 24h shows broad participation
  • Some snipers still holding (e.g., wallet VgHpiRow: $174 balance) suggesting not all early buyers have exited

Bearish factors

  • 72.4% sell pressure ($253.61K sell vs. $96.57K buy in 24h)
  • 5,476 sells vs. 1,825 buys — sell transactions outnumber buys 3:1
  • Zero reported total liquidity — extreme slippage risk
  • 20 identified snipers, majority in significant profit and actively selling
  • 30+ days of complete dormancy before spike raises pump-and-dump concerns
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, unverified token
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available for technical analysis, (2) zero reported on-chain liquidity making price discovery unreliable, (3) top holder data is entirely unavailable, and (4) the token's behavior is driven by speculative meme dynamics that are inherently unpredictable.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (05:00 UTC): O=$0.0000274, H=$0.0001432, L=$0.0000240, C=$0.0000996 — a massive bullish candle with a 496% range from low to high, closing in the upper half. This is a classic 'launch spike' candle with enormous volume ($270,601). Candle [1] (06:00 UTC): O=$0.0000978, H=$0.0001160, L=$0.0000628, C=$0.0000661 — opened near prior close, made a new local high, then reversed sharply to close near the low of the candle. This is a bearish 'shooting star' or 'inverted hammer' pattern, indicating strong rejection at the $0.0001160 resistance. Volume dropped significantly to $61,976, confirming fading momentum.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 28%Sell 72%

Short-term trend is turning bearish after the shooting star rejection in candle [1]. The medium-term picture is effectively undefined given only 2 candles and 30+ days of prior dormancy — classified as sideways given the lack of directional data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000628 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000240 (candle [2] low — launch base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000978 (candle [1] open / candle [2] close zone)
Major$0.0001432 (candle [2] all-time high from available data)

The $0.0000628 level is the most recent hourly low and acts as immediate support. A break below this opens a path to the $0.0000240 launch base. On the upside, the $0.0000978 zone (prior close) is the first resistance, with the $0.0001160 candle [1] high and $0.0001432 all-time high as major resistance levels.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish rejection candle at candle [1] — price made higher high ($0.0001160) but closed near the low ($0.0000661)
  • Massive launch spike candle [2] with 496% intra-candle range — typical of PumpSwap/meme token launch dynamics
  • Volume climax followed by sharp volume contraction — bearish divergence
  • Price closed below candle [1] open, suggesting failed continuation attempt

Total holders809
24h Δ+97
7d Δ+97
30d Δ+97
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder spike is tightly correlated with the price spike on June 5, 2026. Historical data shows exactly 28 holders from May 6 through June 4 (30 days of zero growth), then a sudden +781 holder surge (+97%) coinciding with the price pump of +39.7% in 24h. This is a classic FOMO-driven holder accumulation pattern rather than organic growth.

Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' but in a highly anomalous way — 30 consecutive days of zero growth (stuck at 28 holders) followed by a single-day explosion to 809 holders (+781, +97%). The 1h metric shows +458 holders (+57%), meaning the growth is still ongoing at time of analysis. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (799 of 809 holders), confirming this is speculative trading activity. The distribution data (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top holder data being unavailable are significant data gaps. The rapid holder accumulation during a price spike, combined with dominant sell pressure, suggests many new holders may be buying into distribution from snipers and early holders.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

No top holder data available — data source returned empty for top 20 holders

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable — the data source returned no entries for the top 20 holders, and supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data reporting anomaly rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. Given the token's early stage (launched on PumpSwap, 809 total holders, 28 holders for 30 days), it is highly likely that supply is significantly concentrated among early holders and snipers. The 20 identified snipers alone represent a meaningful portion of early activity. Without actual holder data, no reliable whale classification can be made. Investors should treat concentration risk as HIGH until verified holder data is available.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$96,570
Sell$253,610
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers520
Unique sellers1,578

The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is a critical red flag — either the PumpSwap liquidity pool is extremely thin and below the data provider's detection threshold, or there is a data reporting issue. Despite this, $350,180 in combined 24h volume has been processed ($96.57K buys + $253.61K sells), suggesting some liquidity exists but is likely very shallow. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow): sell volume is 2.63x buy volume, and unique sellers (1,578) outnumber unique buyers (520) by 3:1. The 24h buy/sell transaction ratio (1,825 buys vs. 5,476 sells) further confirms heavy distribution. Slippage risk is rated HIGH given the near-zero reported liquidity and the token's PumpSwap listing stage. The pair HeUHYCs9EfH1AMZD9ij8zmxaaWCAWc39wmPSuXHny1Eu on PumpSwap is the sole trading venue.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 GROG
FDV$64,607

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is a standard 1 billion tokens with 6 decimals, typical of PumpFun/PumpSwap launches. FDV is $64,607 at current price of $0.0000646. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'Mutable: false' — the immutability flag provides some protection against metadata changes, but without confirmed authority renouncement (mint and freeze), the full rug risk from authorities cannot be assessed. The token is not a verified contract and has not been flagged as spam. The description ('grog dont have to change!') is minimal and provides no utility or roadmap information. Social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) exist but were not evaluated for content. This is a pure meme token with no stated utility.

Volatility
high

Price moved from $0.0000240 to $0.0001432 and back to $0.0000661 within 2 hours — an intra-session range of ~500% peak-to-trough. 24h price change of +39.7% masks extreme intra-day volatility.

Liquidity
high

Reported on-chain liquidity is $0.00. Even if this is a data anomaly, the PumpSwap pool is almost certainly very shallow, creating extreme slippage risk for any position of meaningful size. Exit liquidity is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable and supply concentration metrics report 0% (likely a data gap). Given only 809 total holders and 30 days of dormancy at 28 holders, supply concentration among early holders and snipers is presumed to be very high. 20 snipers are identified with most in significant profit.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. 14 of 17 with PnL data are in profit (avg. realized PnL estimated >100%). High-value sellers include wallets with $4,467, $3,814, and $2,845 in realized sales. Sell-through rate is high, indicating active distribution.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown' and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. Token is marked Mutable=false which provides some protection. Not a verified contract. Risk is medium rather than high due to the immutability flag, but cannot be fully cleared.

Key risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position
  • Dominant sell pressure: 72.4% of volume is sell-side, sellers outnumber buyers 3:1
  • Sniper distribution: 20 early snipers mostly in profit and actively selling
  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden spike — classic pump pattern with high dump risk
  • No top holder data available — concentration risk cannot be properly assessed
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug vector
  • Unverified contract with minimal project description and no stated utility
  • Single trading venue (PumpSwap) with no CEX listings

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked Mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Rapid holder growth (+781 in 24h) shows genuine community interest, however short-lived
  • 1,712 unique wallets active in 24h suggests broad participation beyond just snipers
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some level of project presence
  • Price is still +39.7% above 24h ago despite heavy selling — some buy support present
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for conservative, moderate, or inexperienced investors. Any position should be considered a high-risk speculation with a very short time horizon.

GROG is a Solana meme token in the earliest stages of a speculative pump cycle. After 30+ days of complete dormancy, it experienced a viral spike on June 5, 2026, attracting 781 new holders and significant trading volume. However, the structural data is overwhelmingly bearish: sell pressure dominates at 72.4%, snipers are actively distributing profits, liquidity is near-zero, and the token has no stated utility. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric to the downside for new entrants.

Bull case (low)

Viral meme momentum sustains and accelerates, driving continued holder growth and buy-side volume that overwhelms sniper selling pressure. The token achieves a 5–10x from current levels if it captures broader Solana meme coin community attention.

  • Sustained viral social media campaign on Twitter/TikTok
  • Broader Solana meme season with rising SOL price
  • Influencer endorsement or community coordination
  • Liquidity pool deepening enabling larger trades without slippage

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.0000400–$0.0000800 range as initial sniper selling pressure subsides. Holder count stabilizes around 800–1,200. Token trades with high volatility but no clear directional trend, gradually fading unless a new catalyst emerges.

  • Sniper selling pressure partially absorbed by new speculative buyers
  • No new major catalysts emerge in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin but sufficient for small trades
  • Community interest plateaus after initial FOMO wave

Bear case (high)

Sniper and early holder distribution overwhelms buy-side demand. Liquidity dries up, price retraces to pre-spike levels (~$0.0000240 or lower), and the majority of the 781 new holders are left holding losses. Token returns to dormancy.

  • Continued 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio
  • Snipers with 100–194% realized PnL continuing to exit remaining positions
  • Zero on-chain liquidity making price collapse self-reinforcing
  • No fundamental utility or roadmap to attract long-term holders
  • 30-day dormancy precedent suggesting lack of sustained organic demand

GeneratedJun 5, 06:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of analysis time. OHLC data covers 2 hourly candles (05:00–07:00 UTC June 5, 2026). Historical holder data covers May 6 – June 4, 2026 (30 days). Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Solana Token API (metadata, price, OHLC, trading analytics)
  • On-chain holder metrics and historical holder series
  • PumpSwap pair data (HeUHYCs9EfH1AMZD9ij8zmxaaWCAWc39wmPSuXHny1Eu)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks post-launch)
  • Top holder distribution data (returned empty — data gap noted)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data returned empty — whale map and concentration analysis severely limited
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data anomaly but cannot be confirmed
  • Sniped amounts in USD/tokens are 'unknown' for all 20 snipers — exact sniper concentration % cannot be computed
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown — tokenomics risk cannot be fully assessed
  • 6h and 24h price change metrics show 0% in analytics despite clear price movement — possible data pipeline issue
  • Token is extremely new with limited price history, making any price prediction highly speculative

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 GROG

Key Risks

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position
Dominant sell pressure: 72.4% of volume is sell-side, sellers outnumber buyers 3:1
Sniper distribution: 20 early snipers mostly in profit and actively selling
30-day dormancy followed by sudden spike — classic pump pattern with high dump risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Of the 20, 17 have non-zero realized PnL data. Of those 17, 14 show positive realized PnL (ranging from +17.4% to +193.8%), 3 show 0% (likely still holding or no sells yet), and only 1 shows a loss (-4.1%). The weighted average realized PnL across snipers with data is approximately +100%+, indicating early buyers are overwhelmingly profitable and have strong incentive to continue selling. High-value exits include: wallet AgmLJBMDCqWy ($4,467 sold, +75.6%), kEFiAX3jo5Nm ($3,814 sold, +193.8%), HC8EWBghd22x ($2,845 sold, +135.2%), ApJbDkiG7i1f ($1,209 sold, +112.5%), and 2tgUbS9UMoQD ($712 sold, +147.6%). Sell-through rate is high — most snipers have already converted significant portions of their positions to USD.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper balances are largely unknown; wallet VgHpiRow3j holds ~$174 and 9VmXW9Fr holds ~$17 in remaining balance. Most snipers have sold the majority of their positions. Exact supply concentration cannot be computed as sniped amounts in USD/tokens are not provided.

Predominantly bearish/distributing. The vast majority of snipers with realized PnL data are in significant profit and have been actively selling. Only 3 wallets show 0% realized PnL (possibly still holding full positions), and only 1 wallet is at a loss. The overall sniper cohort is in a strong distribution phase.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for grog (GROG)?

The most recent hourly candle (06:00 UTC) shows a sharp rejection from the $0.0001160 high, closing at $0.0000661 — a ~43% intra-candle drop from the high. With 72.4% sell pressure, 5,476 sell transactions vs. 1,825 buys, and snipers actively realizing profits (multiple wallets with 100–194% realized PnL), short-term price action is likely to remain under pressure. The 5m change of +2.89% and 1h change of +23.6% suggest residual momentum, but the dominant sell flow makes a sustained rally unlikely without fresh catalysts. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000024 to $0.000115.

Is GROG a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. Absolutely not suitable for conservative, moderate, or inexperienced investors. Any position should be considered a high-risk speculation with a very short time horizon.

How are GROG holders trending?

grog currently has 809 holders and is growing (24h: 97, 7d: 97, 30d: 97). Holder growth is technically 'accelerating' but in a highly anomalous way — 30 consecutive days of zero growth (stuck at 28 holders) followed by a single-day explosion to 809 holders (+781, +97%). The 1h metric shows +458 holders (+57%), meaning the growth is still ongoing at time of analysis. Acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (799 of 809 holders), confirming this is speculative trading activity. The distribution data (whales=0, sharks=0, dolphins=0, fish=0, octopus=0) and top holder data being unavailable are significant data gaps. The rapid holder accumulation during a price spike, combined with dominant sell pressure, suggests many new holders may be buying into distribution from snipers and early holders.

What does sniper activity look like for GROG?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding GROG?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk for any position • Dominant sell pressure: 72.4% of volume is sell-side, sellers outnumber buyers 3:1 • Sniper distribution: 20 early snipers mostly in profit and actively selling

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