SRUN

Runfolio Price Today & AI Analysis

SRUNSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 25, 2026

Price

$0.000246

+420.08% 24h

Contract

Live
GavQxkBXLg9Qwvxgni8SLJAnxLL592j55jVS2fnFpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

1,517

Market cap

$239,984

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Runfolio: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-25 05:16 UTC

Holder addresses

1,517

Top 10 supply share

20.45%

Reported liquidity

$23,710.00
How concentrated is Runfolio ownership?
As of 2026-09-25 05:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 20.45% of supply. It reports 1,517 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling Runfolio?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 05:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $518,178.00 in buys and $500,327.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Runfolio liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +52.06%, from $15,851.81 (2026-09-25 03:00 UTC) to $24,103.84 (2026-09-25 05:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-25 05:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-25 03:00 UTC$15,851.81
2026-09-25 04:00 UTC$24,252.17
2026-09-25 05:00 UTC$24,103.84

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweetsWhale activityWho is accumulating or distributingWhat are the risks?Red flags, security, concentrationShould I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshot

as of Sep 25, 05:18 AM UTC

FDV

$239,984

Liquidity

$23,710.00

Holders

1,517

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

Runfolio (SRUN) is a PumpSwap-listed Solana token themed around rewarding verified Strava running activity with tokenized exposure to stocks (NVIDIA, Tesla, Apple) or the S&P 500. It has an FDV of ~$239.98K but only $23.71K in total liquidity, and just experienced a +420% 24h price surge with high but nearly balanced buy (50.9%) and sell (49.1%) volume. The Codex holder snapshot shows 1,517 holder addresses with the top 10 controlling 20.45% of supply; no holder history, sniper data, or mint/freeze authority verification is available, leaving major gaps in the risk picture.

Key points

  • Novel fitness-to-tokenized-equity reward narrative (Strava activity linked to stock-based rewards), distinguishing it from typical meme tokens
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($23.71K) relative to a >$1M 24h trading volume and $239.98K FDV, a significant structural risk
  • Recent +420% 24h price spike already showing signs of momentum exhaustion (sharp volume decay in the latest hourly candle)
  • Multiple critical data gaps (sniper activity, holder history, mint/freeze authority) prevent a complete risk assessment and warrant caution

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48 hours

neutral

Short-term price action is highly uncertain given the token just experienced a parabolic +420% 24h move on very thin ($23.71K) liquidity. Momentum is decelerating (volume down ~85% in the latest candle, 5m/1h gains much smaller than the 24h figure), which could lead to consolidation or a retracement toward recent support, but shallow liquidity means moves in either direction could be exaggerated.

Target low

$0.000140

Target high

$0.000392

Support

$0.000140, $0.0000605

Resistance

$0.000262, $0.000392

Medium term · 7-14 days

neutral

Medium-term direction is highly speculative and not well-supported by the limited data available (only 3 hourly candles, no historical holder trend, no sniper data). Sustainability will depend on whether liquidity deepens, whether the buy/sell balance (currently near 50/50) tilts meaningfully toward net accumulation, and whether the underlying utility narrative (Strava-linked stock-point rewards) attracts durable holders rather than short-term speculators chasing the pump.

Catalysts

  • Potential liquidity growth on PumpSwap reducing slippage/volatility
  • Growth or stagnation in holder count beyond the current 1,517 addresses
  • Any exchange/aggregator listing increasing distribution
  • Continued or waning social/twitter attention around the Strava-linked reward mechanic

Bullish factors

  • 24h buy volume ($518.18K) slightly exceeds sell volume ($500.33K), a mild net inflow
  • Unique buyers (3,837) outnumber unique sellers (3,153) in the last 24h
  • Novel utility narrative (Strava fitness activity rewarded in tokenized equities) could attract a niche user base if executed credibly

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($23.71K) relative to $239.98K FDV and >$1M in 24h volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Sharp volume decay (~85% drop) in the most recent hourly candle suggests the pump is losing steam
  • Buy/sell volume split is nearly even (50.9%/49.1%), indicating the underlying spot demand does not strongly justify a 420% price move — likely driven by thin-liquidity price impact
  • No verifiable mint/freeze authority status, holder history, or sniper data, leaving significant unknowns that could mask concentration or rug risk

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the dataset is extremely limited: only 3 hourly candles, no holder history, no sniper/wallet cohort data, and no authority verification. The token also shows classic characteristics of an early-stage, thinly-traded PumpSwap launch where price is highly susceptible to manipulation and low-liquidity slippage, making any prediction inherently speculative.

SRUN call history

Full track record →

Sep 25neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
GavQxk...pump
Total Supply
975,489,440.92 SRUN

Key Risks

  • Extremely low liquidity ($23.71K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority status, meaning rug-pull mechanics via supply inflation or account freezing cannot be excluded
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from early holders
  • Extreme short-term volatility (+420% 24h, intra-hour swings >1,000%) typical of newly launched, thinly-traded pump-style tokens

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available (2026-09-25 03:00-05:00 UTC). Candle [1]: O:0.00000349 H:0.000155 L:0.00000349 C:0.000118, V:$351.8K — an enormous range candle opening near the low and closing near the high, indicating a violent upward move off a very low base. Candle [2]: O:0.000118 H:0.000392 L:0.0000605 C:0.000227, V:$662.7K — highest volume candle, wide range with a pullback to 0.0000605 before closing higher, showing strong but volatile buying. Candle [3]: O:0.000227 H:0.000262 L:0.000140 C:0.000246, V:$96.9K — range narrows significantly and volume drops off sharply (~85% lower than candle 2), suggesting momentum cooling after the initial spike.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Price has moved sharply upward over the observed window, rising from a low near $0.0000035 to a current price of $0.000246, a move consistent with the reported +420% 24h change. However, the sharp deceleration in volume and narrowing range in the most recent candle suggest the initial parabolic move may be losing steam.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000140 (candle [3] low)

Major support

$0.0000035–$0.0000605 (candle [1]/[2] lows, likely pre-pump base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000262 (candle [3] high)

Major resistance

$0.000392 (candle [2] high, session peak)

With only 3 candles of data, support/resistance levels are provisional. The $0.000140 level (candle 3 low) is the most relevant near-term support given recent price action, while $0.000392 (candle 2 high) marks the key resistance/ceiling reached during the spike. A break below $0.000140 would suggest the pump is fully unwinding back toward the $0.00006 region.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic spike candle (candle 1: low-to-high range of over 4,000%)
  • High-volume wide-range candle with partial pullback (candle 2), resembling a volatile continuation/shakeout bar
  • Volume and range contraction in the most recent candle (candle 3), a potential early exhaustion/consolidation signal after a pump

Liquidity

Liquidity

$23,710.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity is very thin at just $23.71K against a fully diluted valuation of ~$239.98K and 24h trading volume exceeding $1M combined (buy+sell). This is a liquidity-to-volume ratio that signals extreme fragility — large trades relative to the pool depth will cause significant price impact/slippage, consistent with the token's own OHLC data showing single-hour price swings of over 1,000% (e.g., candle [1] ranging from ~0.0000035 to ~0.000155). Buy volume ($518.18K) modestly exceeds sell volume ($500.33K), a slight net inflow (50.9% vs 49.1%), and buyer count (3,837) exceeds seller count (3,153), suggesting more net demand than supply in the last 24h, but the margin is thin and volume levels are wildly disproportionate to the liquidity pool size, which is a hallmark of a highly speculative, possibly manipulated micro-liquidity pair on PumpSwap.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

975,489,440.92 SRUN

FDV

$239.98K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token moved +420% in 24h with intra-hour candle ranges exceeding 1,000% (e.g., candle 1 low $0.0000035 to high $0.000155), and 5m/1h changes remain volatile. This is extreme volatility even by meme-token standards.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $23.71K against an FDV of $239.98K and >$1M in 24h trading volume, meaning even modest trades can cause outsized price impact. This shallow pool is a major risk for slippage and for the ability to exit positions without significant loss.

  • Concentrationmedium

    Top-10 holders control 20.45% of supply per the Codex snapshot. This is a moderate concentration figure, but top-100 concentration and wallet classifications (team/insider/exchange) are unavailable, so the full concentration picture is incomplete.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely low liquidity ($23.71K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Unverified mint/freeze authority status, meaning rug-pull mechanics via supply inflation or account freezing cannot be excluded
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from early holders
  • Extreme short-term volatility (+420% 24h, intra-hour swings >1,000%) typical of newly launched, thinly-traded pump-style tokens
  • Top-10 wallets hold 20.45% of supply with no visibility into who these holders are or their historical behavior
  • Volume decay in the most recent candle suggests the pump may already be fading, raising risk of a sharp retracement

Mitigating factors

  • Slight net buy-side inflow in 24h volume (50.9% buy vs 49.1% sell) and more unique buyers (3,837) than sellers (3,153), indicating some organic demand rather than pure one-sided selling
  • 1,517 holder addresses suggest some level of distribution beyond a handful of wallets, though this is a raw address count without deduplication or classification

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable or predictable returns, or anyone unable to verify on-chain authority settings and liquidity depth independently before trading. Position sizing should be minimal given the very high risk score.

Runfolio (SRUN) is a newly-active, thinly-liquid PumpSwap token that has experienced an extreme +420% 24h price surge on very low ($23.71K) liquidity. The project's narrative — rewarding verified Strava running activity with tokenized exposure to stocks like NVIDIA, Tesla, Apple, or the S&P 500 — is novel but unverified in the provided data (no contract verification, no authority checks, no holder history). Current trading shows near-balanced buy/sell pressure (50.9%/49.1%) despite the huge price move, and volume is already decaying sharply in the most recent hourly candle, suggesting the initial pump may be cooling. This is a high-risk, speculative micro-cap setup rather than a fundamentally-validated investment opportunity.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If the Strava-linked reward mechanic gains real user traction and liquidity deepens meaningfully, sustained organic demand (as hinted by the marginally positive buy/sell and buyer/seller ratios) could support a higher, more stable valuation above the current $0.000246 price, with resistance near $0.000392 acting as the next test.

  • Genuine growth in Strava-verified user base driving recurring token demand
  • Liquidity providers deepening the pool, reducing slippage and volatility
  • Positive social momentum sustaining buyer interest beyond the initial pump
  • Confirmation (external to this data) that mint/freeze authorities are renounced, reducing rug risk

Base Case

Price likely remains highly volatile and range-bound between the observed support (~$0.000140) and resistance (~$0.000392) in the near term, with liquidity remaining a binding constraint on price stability until either the project demonstrates real utility adoption or trading interest fades entirely.

  • No major liquidity injection or removal occurs in the near term
  • No verified news on mint/freeze authority status emerges to materially change risk perception
  • Speculative trading interest gradually normalizes from the current parabolic phase
  • Holder base (currently 1,517 addresses) continues to evolve but without visibility into growth trend

Bear Case

High probability

The 420% spike could be a liquidity-driven pump on a $23.71K-deep pool that is already showing signs of exhaustion (sharp volume decay, narrowing candle range), leading to a fast retracement toward the $0.000140 or even $0.0000605 support levels as short-term speculators exit.

  • Extremely shallow liquidity amplifying both the pump and any subsequent dump
  • Nearly even 24h buy/sell split (50.9/49.1) failing to justify a 420% move on fundamentals
  • Unverified authorities and lack of sniper/holder history data leaving room for undisclosed insider concentration or rug mechanics
  • Fading volume in the latest hourly candle signaling waning speculative interest

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 25, 05:18 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-25 05:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, description, social links)
  • USD price and 24h % change
  • 3 most recent hourly OHLC candles (2026-09-25 03:00-05:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buy/sell counts, unique buyers/sellers)
  • Codex holder aggregate snapshot (holder count, top-10 supply share)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly candles were available, severely limiting technical analysis depth and reliability of support/resistance levels
  • No sniper wallet data was available, preventing any assessment of sniper concentration, PnL, or dump risk
  • No holder history (24h/7d/30d growth) was available, preventing any trend or accumulation/distribution analysis
  • No wallet classification or top-100 concentration data was available, limiting whale mapping to a single top-10 concentration figure
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and contract verification status were all unknown, preventing any authority-based rug risk assessment
  • Total liquidity ($23.71K) is very low relative to reported volume, which can distort volume/price metrics and increase estimation error

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited, point-in-time on-chain and market data and is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Cryptocurrency tokens, especially newly launched, low-liquidity tokens on platforms like PumpSwap, carry very high risk including total loss of capital. Data gaps (sniper analysis, holder history, authority verification) mean this assessment is incomplete and should not be solely relied upon for any investment decision. Always conduct independent due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before trading.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Runfolio ownership?

As of 2026-09-25 05:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 20.45% of supply. It reports 1,517 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling Runfolio?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-25 05:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $518,178.00 in buys and $500,327.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Runfolio liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +52.06%, from $15,851.81 (2026-09-25 03:00 UTC) to $24,103.84 (2026-09-25 05:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for Runfolio (SRUN)?

Short-term price action is highly uncertain given the token just experienced a parabolic +420% 24h move on very thin ($23.71K) liquidity. Momentum is decelerating (volume down ~85% in the latest candle, 5m/1h gains much smaller than the 24h figure), which could lead to consolidation or a retracement toward recent support, but shallow liquidity means moves in either direction could be exaggerated. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.000140 to $0.000392.

Is SRUN a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 85/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who fully understand and accept the possibility of total capital loss. It is not appropriate for risk-averse investors, those seeking stable or predictable returns, or anyone unable to verify on-chain authority settings and liquidity depth independently before trading. Position sizing should be minimal given the very high risk score.

What are the key risks of holding SRUN?

Extremely low liquidity ($23.71K) relative to trading volume and FDV, creating high slippage and manipulation potential • Unverified mint/freeze authority status, meaning rug-pull mechanics via supply inflation or account freezing cannot be excluded • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from early holders

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