PMARCA

PMARCA Price Today & AI Analysis

PMARCA
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 16, 2026

GNq9jVow6MayA3xM2AfGygh58gMu1vY6wajiXDXZCZu

$0.000280

+601.11%

FDV $256,914

LiveContract:GNq9jVow6MayA3xM2AfGygh58gMu1vY6wajiXDXZCZuChain:SolanaHolders:1,330Market cap:$256,914

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Report snapshotas of Sep 16, 01:16 AM
FDV

$256,914

Liquidity

$23,134

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

PMARCA is a micro-cap, extremely low-liquidity Solana token trading on PumpSwap with a fully diluted valuation of ~$256.9K and total on-chain liquidity of just $23.1K. The token has seen an explosive reported 601% price move in the last 24h, driven by a violent hourly candle sequence where price spiked from ~$0.0000068 to over $0.0005 before retracing to ~$0.00028. This is characteristic of a newly-launched, thinly-traded pump-style token with extreme volatility and very high risk of manipulation or rapid reversal. No holder distribution, whale, or sniper data is available for this token, which itself is a red flag limiting due diligence.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
601% 24h price spike against only $23.1K total liquidity — extreme volatility with disproportionate liquidity backing
Description field 'Fees to @pmarca' suggests a fee-sharing or tribute meme-token narrative tied to a public figure, unverified and unofficial
No holder, whale, or sniper data available — transparency gap prevents concentration/rug-risk verification
Roughly balanced 24h buy/sell volume (50.9%/49.1%) despite the huge price swing, but sellers slightly outnumber buyers in trade count (6,570 vs 6,382)

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
24h-7d

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Target lowunknown
Target highunknown
Support:
Resistance:

Medium term

neutral
30d-90d

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

Catalysts

Bullish factors

Bearish factors

Confidence: low. No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

PMARCA call history

Full track record →
Sep 16neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Across the 5 most recent hourly candles, price was flat and declining at extremely low levels (~$0.0000037 to $0.0000068) for the first three hours, then experienced an explosive breakout candle (candle 4) opening at $0.0000068 and reaching a high of $0.000509 — a roughly 75x intra-candle move — before closing at $0.000423. The following candle (candle 5) opened at that high level, pushed marginally higher to $0.000464, then sold off to a low of $0.00021 before closing at $0.000278, indicating strong profit-taking after the spike.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Short-term (last hour) price action shows a clear pullback/downtrend from the local top near $0.000509 to $0.000278. However, viewed across the full 5-candle window, the medium-term trend is sharply up given the multiples-higher base compared to the start of the window.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.00021 (candle 5 low)
Major$0.0000684 (pre-breakout base, candle 3 close)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000423 (candle 4 close)
Major$0.000509 (candle 4 high / all-time-recent high)

The key structural support is the pre-breakout base near $0.0000068–0.0000684 where price consolidated before the spike; a fall back to this zone would signal the entire move fully reversing. Immediate support sits at $0.00021, the low of the most recent candle. On the upside, the breakout high of $0.000509 is the resistance to reclaim for bulls, with $0.000423 as a nearer-term hurdle.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic breakout candle with extreme range (75x high-to-open ratio)
  • Post-spike retracement / potential blow-off top formation
  • Volume climax on the breakout candle followed by declining volume on the pullback

Liquidity$23.13K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$610.30K
Sell$589.84K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,707
Unique sellers1,967

Total liquidity of just $23.13K is extremely shallow relative to the reported 24h trading volume of over $1.2M combined (buy + sell) and a FDV of $256.9K, implying very high price impact per trade and elevated slippage risk for any meaningfully-sized order. Despite the thin liquidity, volume is fairly balanced between buys ($610.30K, 50.9%) and sells ($589.84K, 49.1%), producing a modest net inflow. Buyer count (2,707) exceeds seller count (1,967), which is a mildly bullish signal on participation breadth, but total trade counts show more sell orders (6,570) than buy orders (6,382), suggesting many small distributions occurring. This combination of shallow liquidity with heavy volume is a classic setup for continued high volatility and potential rapid price dislocations in either direction.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply918,530,994.49
FDV$256.91K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all listed as unknown in the provided metadata, and verified contract / mutable / master edition status are also unknown. Total supply is approximately 918.5M tokens at 6 decimals, with a fully diluted valuation of roughly $256.9K at the current price of $0.0002797. Without confirmation that mint and freeze authorities have been renounced, there remains an unquantified risk that the token supply could be altered or accounts frozen by a privileged authority. This uncertainty should be treated as a caution flag rather than assumed safe.

Volatility
high

24h price change of 601% with an intra-window 75x spike followed by a ~45% pullback within a single hour demonstrates extreme volatility far beyond typical market behavior.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $23.13K against a $256.9K FDV and over $1.2M in combined 24h volume means large trades can move price dramatically, and liquidity could be pulled with limited resistance.

Concentration
high

No holder or whale concentration data is available to verify distribution; absence of this transparency is treated as a high-risk condition by default rather than assumed favorable.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available to quantify early-buyer concentration or dumping risk; given the parabolic price pattern and immediate post-spike retracement, undisclosed sniper/insider activity cannot be ruled out.

Authority
medium

Mint and freeze authority status are unknown; the update authority is also unknown, so the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing cannot be excluded.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($23.13K) relative to trading volume and market cap, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
  • Parabolic 601% 24h price spike followed by a sharp intra-hour retracement, consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics
  • Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper data prevents verification of supply concentration or insider dumping risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and contract verification status, leaving open the possibility of supply manipulation
  • Token description referencing a public figure ('@pmarca') without verified affiliation could indicate an unauthorized tribute/impersonation token

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy and sell volumes are roughly balanced (50.9% vs 49.1%), showing two-sided market participation rather than pure sell-off
  • Buyer count (2,707) exceeds seller count (1,967) in the last 24h, indicating some fresh demand
  • Trading is occurring on PumpSwap, a known venue, rather than an entirely obscure/unverifiable pool
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with potential total loss of capital. Not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation, income, or moderate-risk exposure. Position sizing should be minimal given shallow liquidity and unverifiable holder/authority data.

PMARCA is a highly speculative, low-liquidity micro-cap token that just experienced a parabolic price spike (601% in 24h) followed by a sharp partial retracement. With no holder, whale, or sniper transparency and only $23.1K in total liquidity against a $256.9K FDV, this token sits firmly in the highest risk tier of Solana micro-caps. Any investment thesis here is purely speculative momentum trading rather than fundamentals-based, given the near-total absence of verifiable on-chain distribution or authority data.

Bull case (low)

If buyer momentum continues and the '@pmarca' narrative gains social traction, price could reclaim and exceed the recent high of $0.000509, with balanced buy/sell volume and higher buyer count (2,707 vs 1,967 sellers) providing some fundamental support for continued demand.

  • Renewed social media attention tied to the tribute narrative
  • Continued buyer count dominance over sellers
  • Liquidity additions that reduce slippage and attract larger participants

Base case

Price continues to churn with high volatility around the $0.0002–0.0004 range as speculative traders trade the pump, without establishing a clear sustained trend in either direction, given the extremely thin liquidity base.

  • No major liquidity injections or withdrawals occur in the near term
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculators rather than long-term holders
  • No new verifiable information emerges on holder distribution or contract authorities

Bear case (high)

The parabolic spike proves to be an unsustainable pump, and price mean-reverts back toward the pre-spike base near $0.0000068–0.0000684, especially if any concentrated holders (unverifiable due to lack of data) begin distributing into the elevated liquidity.

  • Shallow $23.1K liquidity unable to absorb sustained selling
  • Lack of holder/whale transparency masking potential concentrated sell risk
  • Already-observed ~45% retracement from the intra-window high signaling exhaustion
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status creating tail risk of supply-side shocks

GeneratedSep 16, 01:16 AM
Data freshnessMost recent candle timestamp 2026-09-16T01:00:00.000Z; data appears current as of analysis time but reflects only a 5-hour candle window
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • PumpSwap pair pricing data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (5 most recent candles)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution data available (holder endpoints retired/unavailable)
  • No whale/top-holder concentration data available
  • No sniper/early-buyer transaction data available
  • Only 5 hourly candles provided, limiting technical analysis depth and reliability of trend/pattern identification
  • Contract verification, mutability, and authority renouncement status all listed as unknown in metadata
  • Extremely thin liquidity ($23.13K) means price data may be noisy or subject to manipulation

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, potentially incomplete on-chain data and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Token metadata (name, symbol, description) was supplied by the token creator and may be misleading, unverified, or adversarial. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in low-liquidity micro-cap tokens, carries a very high risk of substantial or total loss of capital. Always conduct independent research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply918,530,994.49

Key Risks

Extremely thin liquidity ($23.13K) relative to trading volume and market cap, creating high slippage and manipulation potential
Parabolic 601% 24h price spike followed by a sharp intra-hour retracement, consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics
Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper data prevents verification of supply concentration or insider dumping risk
Unknown mint/freeze authority and contract verification status, leaving open the possibility of supply manipulation

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was available for this token, so sniper-based smart money analysis cannot be performed. This absence of data is itself a limitation for assessing early-buyer dumping risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown - no sniper data available

Unable to determine early buyer sentiment without sniper/holder transaction history; the near-balanced 24h buy/sell volume split (50.9%/49.1%) offers only a weak, indirect signal of two-sided participation rather than one-sided sniper distribution.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is PMARCA a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with potential total loss of capital. Not appropriate for investors seeking capital preservation, income, or moderate-risk exposure. Position sizing should be minimal given shallow liquidity and unverifiable holder/authority data.

What does sniper activity look like for PMARCA?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding PMARCA?

Extremely thin liquidity ($23.13K) relative to trading volume and market cap, creating high slippage and manipulation potential • Parabolic 601% 24h price spike followed by a sharp intra-hour retracement, consistent with pump-and-dump dynamics • Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper data prevents verification of supply concentration or insider dumping risk

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