GRUGSEM

The Grug Bull Price Today & AI Analysis

GRUGSEMSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 9, 2026

Price

$0.052983

Contract

Live
GJekZotFz1ojfH6dYDWNaQTnuX5fHen9VBYNL6zcpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

209

Market cap

$2,975

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The Grug Bull: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-09 21:17 UTC

Holder addresses

2,646

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$72,579.86
How concentrated is The Grug Bull ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,646 addresses (2026-07-09 21:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling The Grug Bull?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is The Grug Bull liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-09 21:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $72,579.86. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-09 21:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 9, 09:17 PM UTC

FDV

$342,931

Liquidity

$72,579.86

Holders

2,646

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

GRUGSEM (The Grug Bull) is a PumpSwap-launched Solana meme token (mint: GJekZotFz1ojfH6dYDWNaQTnuX5fHen9VBYNL6zcpump) with a total supply of ~1B tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$343K–$519K depending on the price source. The token launched very recently — historical holder data shows a flat 111 holders for the entire 30-day lookback period until an explosive +2,535 holder surge in the last 24 hours, bringing the total to 2,646. Liquidity is extremely shallow at $72.58K. OHLC candles reveal extreme intra-hour volatility with price swings of 60–80x within single hourly candles. No top holder data, no sniper data, and no social links are available, severely limiting on-chain due diligence. The token carries very high risk.

Key points

  • Explosive 96% holder growth in 24 hours from a near-dormant base of 111 holders
  • Extreme intra-hour price volatility — single candles span 60–80x price ranges
  • Critically shallow liquidity at $72.58K against $2.53M in 24h combined volume
  • No verified contract, no social links, no top holder data — minimal transparency
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden activation, a classic pump pattern

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is exhibiting extreme volatility with hourly candles showing 60–80x intra-candle ranges. The most recent candle (hour 1) opened at $0.0000178, spiked to $0.001042, and closed at $0.000526 — a massive wick indicating heavy sell pressure at highs. The current price of $0.000346 is well below the recent hourly high of $0.001353, suggesting the pump may be fading. The 1h price change is -14.38%, confirming near-term bearish momentum. Sell pressure (50.9%) slightly exceeds buy pressure (49.1%).

Target low

$0.000100

Target high

$0.000600

Support

$0.000346 (current price / recent close area), $0.000178 (candle open baseline, repeated across multiple candles), $0.000100 (psychological round number)

Resistance

$0.000536 (candle 3 close), $0.000604 (candle 3 high), $0.001042 (candle 1 high), $0.001353 (candle 2 high — peak resistance)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Given the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a sudden pump, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Historically, tokens that spike from near-zero activity with shallow liquidity and no fundamentals tend to retrace sharply. The $72.58K liquidity pool cannot absorb sustained selling from 2,646 holders. Without social links, a verified contract, or identifiable project fundamentals, sustained price appreciation is unlikely.

Catalysts

  • Unexpected viral social media attention or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all tokens
  • Organic community formation around the Grug meme theme

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price gain of +22.93% despite sell pressure slightly exceeding buy pressure
  • High unique buyer count (4,090 buyers vs 2,396 sellers) suggests more individual buyers than sellers
  • Rapid holder growth (+2,535 in 24h, +96%) indicates viral attention
  • 5-minute price change of +5.95% suggests very short-term momentum

Bearish factors

  • Critically shallow liquidity ($72.58K) relative to $2.53M 24h volume creates extreme slippage risk
  • 1h price change of -14.38% signals momentum fading
  • Intra-candle wicks of 60–80x suggest wash trading or bot activity
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days — classic pump-and-dump setup
  • No verified contract, no social links, no project description
  • Top holder data unavailable — cannot assess dump risk from large holders
  • FDV discrepancy between price feed ($343K) and analytics ($519K) suggests data inconsistency

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) missing top holder data preventing whale behavior analysis, (2) no sniper data, (3) extreme intra-hour volatility making price targets unreliable, (4) only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis, and (5) the token's very recent activation from a 30-day dormant state introduces high uncertainty.

GRUGSEM call history

Full track record →

Jul 9bearish
24h-99.3%
7d-99.5%
30d-99.5%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
GJekZo...pump
Total Supply
999,999,899.68

Key Risks

  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($72.58K) cannot support meaningful exits
  • No top holder data — cannot assess whale dump risk
  • No verified contract, no social links, no project description or team

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. All three candles share the same open price of $0.0000178, which is anomalous and may indicate a price reset or data artifact. Candle 3 (19:00): O=$0.0000178, H=$0.000605, L=$0.0000178, C=$0.000537 — a strong bullish candle with a long upper wick. Candle 2 (20:00): O=$0.000530, H=$0.001353, L=$0.000469, C=$0.0000178 — a massive bearish engulfing/shooting star candle; price spiked to $0.001353 then collapsed back to the open baseline, indicating a violent rejection at highs. Candle 1 (21:00): O=$0.0000178, H=$0.001042, L=$0.000490, C=$0.000526 — another spike-and-partial-recovery candle. The pattern across all three candles is extreme volatility with repeated spikes to new highs followed by sharp reversals, consistent with low-liquidity pump activity.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term trend is effectively sideways-to-volatile with no clear directional bias given the extreme intra-candle swings. The medium-term trend is bearish given the token's 30-day dormancy and the current price ($0.000346) sitting well below the recent peak of $0.001353 — a -74% drawdown from the 3-candle high.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

49%

Sell

51%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000346 (current price)

Major support

$0.000178 (repeated candle open baseline)

Immediate resistance

$0.000537 (candle 3 close / candle 1 close area)

Major resistance

$0.001353 (candle 2 absolute high)

The $0.000178 level acts as a recurring baseline (appearing as the open in all 3 candles), making it a significant support zone. Immediate resistance is the $0.000537 area where candles have closed. The $0.001042–$0.001353 zone represents the pump peak and is strong overhead resistance. A break below $0.000178 would signal a full collapse toward near-zero.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle 2 — price spiked to $0.001353 and collapsed to $0.0000178 close
  • Repeated identical open price ($0.0000178) across all 3 candles — anomalous, possible data artifact or price reset mechanism
  • Declining volume with price below recent highs — bearish divergence
  • Long upper wicks on all candles — consistent rejection at elevated price levels
  • Extreme intra-candle range (60–80x) consistent with low-liquidity manipulation or bot activity

Liquidity

Liquidity

$72,579.86

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $72.58K on a single PumpSwap pool (Gd8asQ8Xde8MbQWkmvoSnvfLGyMKxWSJYdzTDuT8Krcr). The 24h combined volume of ~$2.53M represents approximately 34.8x the total liquidity — an extreme volume-to-liquidity ratio that guarantees severe slippage for any meaningful position. Sell volume ($1.29M, 50.9%) slightly exceeds buy volume ($1.24M, 49.1%), indicating a marginal net outflow. However, the unique buyer count (4,090) significantly exceeds unique sellers (2,396), suggesting that while more individual wallets are buying, sellers are moving larger average amounts per transaction. The 24h buy count (6,584) vs sell count (6,909) also shows slightly more sell transactions. This divergence between buyer count and sell volume dominance is a warning sign. Any large holder attempting to exit would face catastrophic slippage given the $72.58K liquidity pool.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,899.68

FDV

$342,931 (price feed) / $519,140 (analytics feed)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Intra-hour price swings of 60–80x observed across all 3 available OHLC candles. 24h price change of +22.93% with a -14.38% 1h reversal. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing nearly impossible.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $72.58K against $2.53M in 24h volume (34.8x ratio). Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will incur severe slippage. Exit liquidity is critically insufficient for most position sizes.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • 30-day dormancy followed by sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($72.58K) cannot support meaningful exits
  • No top holder data — cannot assess whale dump risk
  • No verified contract, no social links, no project description or team
  • Extreme intra-candle volatility (60–80x ranges) suggests manipulation or bot activity
  • FDV discrepancy between data sources indicates data reliability issues
  • Token is unverified and launched on a permissionless platform with no KYC

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked as immutable (mutable=false), preventing metadata rug
  • High unique buyer count (4,090) suggests genuine retail interest, not purely bot activity
  • 24h price is up +22.93%, providing short-term momentum for early entrants
  • Nearly balanced buy/sell pressure (49.1%/50.9%) — not a one-sided dump yet

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the shallow liquidity, any position of meaningful size cannot be safely exited.

GRUGSEM is a high-risk Solana meme token that activated suddenly after 30 days of complete dormancy. The token exhibits all hallmarks of a coordinated pump: simultaneous price and holder surge, extreme intra-hour volatility, critically shallow liquidity, and a complete absence of project fundamentals or transparency. While short-term traders may find speculative opportunities in the momentum, the structural setup strongly favors early holders over new entrants.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum drives continued retail FOMO, pushing holders past 10,000 and attracting liquidity providers to the PumpSwap pool. The Grug meme theme gains traction on social media, and the token achieves a 3–5x from current levels before stabilizing.

  • Viral social media spread of the Grug Bull meme theme
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity pool deepening through organic LP provision
  • Influencer or KOL promotion driving new buyer waves

Base Case

The token experiences continued high volatility over the next 24–72 hours with price oscillating between $0.000100 and $0.000600. Volume gradually declines as the initial pump excitement fades. Without new catalysts, the token drifts lower and returns toward dormancy, with most new holders sitting at a loss.

  • No major new catalysts emerge (no influencer promotion, no viral moment)
  • Liquidity remains shallow and does not attract significant LP provision
  • Early holders gradually distribute into any price strength
  • Broader Solana meme market remains neutral

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders (original 111 wallets) sell into the current pump, overwhelming the $72.58K liquidity pool. Price collapses 80–95% from current levels as new retail buyers are left holding worthless tokens. The token returns to dormancy or is abandoned.

  • Early holder profit-taking into shallow liquidity
  • Absence of any project fundamentals or community infrastructure
  • Declining volume trend across the 3 available candles
  • No social links or community channels to sustain interest
  • Historical pattern of 30-day dormancy suggesting no organic development

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 9, 09:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-09 21:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability)
  • PumpSwap price feed (USD price, 24h change)
  • Trading analytics (liquidity, volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • OHLC candle data (3 hourly candles, USD)
  • Holder metrics (total holders, acquisition method, distribution)
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — whale/concentration analysis is severely limited
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • FDV discrepancy between price feed ($343K) and analytics feed ($519K) suggests data inconsistency
  • Holder distribution data shows anomalous 0% for all tiers — likely a data gap
  • Token has no social links, description, or verified contract — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • 30-day historical holder data shows flat 111 holders with no granularity on the recent surge timing

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed is sourced from on-chain metrics and third-party APIs which may contain errors or gaps. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is The Grug Bull ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 2,646 addresses (2026-07-09 21:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling The Grug Bull?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is The Grug Bull liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-09 21:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $72,579.86. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for The Grug Bull (GRUGSEM)?

The token is exhibiting extreme volatility with hourly candles showing 60–80x intra-candle ranges. The most recent candle (hour 1) opened at $0.0000178, spiked to $0.001042, and closed at $0.000526 — a massive wick indicating heavy sell pressure at highs. The current price of $0.000346 is well below the recent hourly high of $0.001353, suggesting the pump may be fading. The 1h price change is -14.38%, confirming near-term bearish momentum. Sell pressure (50.9%) slightly exceeds buy pressure (49.1%). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000100 to $0.000600.

Is GRUGSEM a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose completely. Given the shallow liquidity, any position of meaningful size cannot be safely exited.

What are the key risks of holding GRUGSEM?

30-day dormancy followed by sudden pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern • Critically shallow liquidity ($72.58K) cannot support meaningful exits • No top holder data — cannot assess whale dump risk

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