GrailPlay Price Today & AI Analysis

GRAILSolanaAnalysis as of Oct 16, 2026

$0.000117

+161.09% 24h

Contract

Live

FYFDLqtBd4ZAiDfbx7XxXndcjJuBEZCz5XKAqQwaHC8W

Chain

Solana

Holders

456

Market cap

$116,612

At a $1M market cap, $GRAIL would be $0.001000 (8.58x from today’s price)

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GrailPlay: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-10-16 05:16 UTC

Holder addresses

456

Top 10 supply share

29.27%

Reported liquidity

$15,227.00

How concentrated is GrailPlay ownership?: As of 2026-10-16 05:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 29.27% of supply. It reports 456 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling GrailPlay?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 05:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $405,566.00 in buys and $390,555.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is GrailPlay liquidity falling?: Sampled USD liquidity changed -42.27%, from $26,363.57 (2026-10-15 17:00 UTC) to $15,220.63 (2026-10-16 05:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-10-16 05:16 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)	Liquidity (USD)
2026-10-15 17:00 UTC	$26,363.57
2026-10-15 18:00 UTC	$24,042.88
2026-10-15 19:00 UTC	$16,830.99
2026-10-15 20:00 UTC	$17,510.91
2026-10-15 21:00 UTC	$17,663.89
2026-10-15 22:00 UTC	$17,381.98
2026-10-15 23:00 UTC	$19,154.92
2026-10-16 00:00 UTC	$17,267.69
2026-10-16 01:00 UTC	$16,195.07
2026-10-16 02:00 UTC	$15,959.93
2026-10-16 03:00 UTC	$15,844.00
2026-10-16 04:00 UTC	$15,169.50
2026-10-16 05:00 UTC	$15,220.63

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

2026-10-16 05:15 UTCBuy · $2.07xu7UFVSC…AJ1GoAWallet GLKX4E92…tWeSQR
2026-10-16 05:14 UTCSell · $55.324uevVtoa…4FrzFkWallet FvyPxkRT…oc1CNf
2026-10-16 05:14 UTCSell · $0.80wyG47FXb…iaAx9dWallet A8zpDnYP…km8qhE
2026-10-16 05:13 UTCSell · $8.884MPJkM4P…hJrtT6Wallet 2VYaGhgr…1DC5Zo
2026-10-16 05:13 UTCBuy · $99.13NNTDgvL3…CsMVGNWallet 8dG39hyj…2xsV4P
2026-10-16 05:13 UTCBuy · $10.633iwdCXGk…jfDtStWallet 2cDMWrpv…UKns4z
2026-10-16 05:12 UTCBuy · $73.215k1BCqJj…C4povcWallet AR4Ytx21…ZyTsPX
2026-10-16 05:11 UTCSell · $29.7247BySfXB…QeDqCvWallet Dtda1sG5…Zgyqpa
2026-10-16 05:11 UTCBuy · $2.61iZGehYxs…tjst3NWallet E5yUhhYX…iX9Rjj
2026-10-16 05:10 UTCSell · $82.802aU2xQ68…MS65V1Wallet C2hN8U6N…2yss6T

Report snapshot

as of Oct 16, 05:16 AM UTC

FDV

$116,612

Liquidity

$15,227.00

Holders

456

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

GrailPlay (GRAIL) is a Solana token on a Raydium CPMM pool with a ~$116.6K FDV and only ~$15.23K liquidity. Price is $0.0001166, +161% over 24h, but the hourly candles show a spike to ~$0.000475 followed by a ~75% retracement. Volume is high relative to liquidity. Authority and sniper data are unavailable.

Key points

Liquidity of $15.23K is about 13% of the $116.61K FDV
24h volume of about $796K is roughly 52x liquidity
Price fell from the $0.000475 high to $0.0001166 within 12 hours
Top-10 holders hold 29.27% across 456 holder addresses
Mint/freeze authority and sniper data are unavailable

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24h

bearish

Lower highs and lower lows since the first-hour spike, with volume fading to $1.2K in the latest candle. The 1h change is -7.8%. Continued drift lower is more likely than not, though a bounce is possible given thin liquidity.

Target low

$0.000085

Target high

$0.000155

Support: $0.000110, $0.000043
Resistance: $0.000130, $0.000160, $0.000190

Medium term · 1-4 weeks

neutral

Outcome is highly uncertain. It depends on whether volume and a real product narrative sustain interest. Only ~13 hours of candles were provided.

Catalysts

Product or game launch news
Liquidity additions
Social/community activity

Bullish factors

24h change of +161%
Buy pressure of 50.9% by volume
1,434 buyers vs 1,219 sellers
Top-10 share of 29.27% is moderate
Social links present

Bearish factors

Price down ~75% from the spike high
Volume collapsing from $577K to $1.2K per hour
Liquidity of only $15.23K
4,985 sells vs 4,003 buys
Authorities unverified

Confidence: low. Only 13 hourly candles, thin liquidity, extreme volatility, and no authority or sniper data.

GRAIL call history

Full track record →

Oct 16bearish@ $0.000117

24hpending

7dpending

30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: FYFDLq...HC8W
Total Supply: 999,999,678.94

Key Risks

Very thin liquidity
Extreme volatility and falling volume
Unknown mint/freeze authorities
No sniper or holder history

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The first candle opened at $0.0000433 and ran to a $0.000475 high on $577K volume. It then fell to $0.000143 by hour 3. Hours 4-8 consolidated at $0.00015-0.00019. Hours 9-13 made lower highs and lower lows, closing at $0.0001166.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short term is a downtrend after the blow-off spike. Medium-term trend is unclear with so little history.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000110

Major support

$0.0000433

Immediate resistance

$0.000130-0.000160

Major resistance

$0.000475

Support at $0.000110 is the most recent low (candle 12). $0.0000433 is the opening price of the spike. Resistance at $0.00019 is the consolidation high, and $0.000475 is the spike high.

Notable patterns

Blow-off top in the first candle
Lower highs and lower lows in the last 5 candles
Consolidation range at $0.00015-0.00019
Volume decay

Liquidity

$15,227.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity of $15.23K supports $796K of 24h volume, about 52x turnover. That implies heavy trading and high slippage for larger orders. Net flow is roughly balanced (+$15K buy-side). There were 4,003 buys and 4,985 sells, so average sells are smaller than average buys.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,678.94

FDV

$116.61K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Price rose to ~$0.000475 and fell ~75% in hours, with a 24h change of +161%.
Liquidityhigh
Only $15.23K liquidity against a $116.61K FDV and ~$796K of daily volume.
Concentrationmedium
Top-10 hold 29.27%. Wallet classification and top-100 data are missing, so the holders' nature is unknown.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Very thin liquidity
Extreme volatility and falling volume
Unknown mint/freeze authorities
No sniper or holder history
Micro-cap with product claims that are unverified

Mitigating factors

456 holder addresses
Balanced buy/sell volume
Social links present

Suitable for

Only for investors comfortable with total loss on speculative micro-caps. Not suitable for low-risk portfolios. Informational only, not financial advice.

A speculative micro-cap that spiked and retraced, with thin liquidity and key safety data missing. Informational only, not financial advice.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A product narrative revives interest and liquidity grows, which retests $0.00019 or higher.

Game or product news
Added liquidity
Renewed buying volume

Base Case

Choppy, low-volume consolidation near $0.0001 with high volatility.

No major catalyst
Liquidity stays thin
Buy and sell volumes stay balanced

Bear Case

High probability

Volume dries up and the price keeps falling toward the $0.0000433 spike-open level.

Falling volume
Shallow liquidity
Lower highs and lower lows
Unknown authorities

Analysis details

Generated

Oct 16, 05:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-10-16 05:16 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

Token metadata
Hourly OHLC candles (13)
Trading analytics
Holder aggregates snapshot

Limitations

No sniper data
No mint/freeze authority data
No holder history or wallet classification
Short candle history
Top-100 share unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

Informational analysis only, not financial advice. Do your own research.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is GrailPlay ownership?

As of 2026-10-16 05:16 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 29.27% of supply. It reports 456 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling GrailPlay?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-10-16 05:16 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $405,566.00 in buys and $390,555.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is GrailPlay liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed -42.27%, from $26,363.57 (2026-10-15 17:00 UTC) to $15,220.63 (2026-10-16 05:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for GrailPlay (GRAIL)?

Is GRAIL a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 82/100. Only for investors comfortable with total loss on speculative micro-caps. Not suitable for low-risk portfolios. Informational only, not financial advice.