solly

solly Price Today & AI Analysis

solly
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 31, 2026

FWB6zoW7jksVAX43yFy8MRELYawipwuUJXhcoiwPpump

$0.000228

+342.97%

FDV $212,575

LiveContract:FWB6zoW7jksVAX43yFy8MRELYawipwuUJXhcoiwPpumpChain:SolanaHolders:2,781Market cap:$212,575

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Report snapshotas of Aug 31, 01:47 PM
FDV

$212,575

Liquidity

$75,306

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

solly (SOLLY) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (mint: FWB6zoW7jksVAX43yFy8MRELYawipwuUJXhcoiwPpump) with a total supply of ~932.7M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$212–215K. The token experienced an explosive launch candle in the 02:00–03:00 UTC window on 2026-08-31, spiking to an all-time high of ~$0.001768, before rapidly retracing. The 24h price change appears elevated (+342.97%) due to the low base price at the start of the window, but the token is currently well off its highs and exhibiting heavy sell pressure (83% sell volume). Liquidity is extremely shallow at $75.3K, posing significant slippage risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive launch candle with 85x price spike from $0.0000076 low to $0.001768 high in a single hour
Extremely heavy sell pressure: 83% of 24h volume is sells ($4.26M vs $874K buys)
Sell transactions outnumber buys ~3.6:1 (51,957 sells vs 14,239 buys)
Very shallow liquidity ($75.3K) relative to daily volume ($5.13M+), creating extreme slippage risk
No verified contract, no description, update authority unknown — minimal transparency

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in a clear downtrend from its launch spike high of ~$0.001768. Price has fallen from $0.001515 open at 03:00 UTC to $0.000228 at the time of analysis — a decline of ~85% from the intraday high. The 5m change is -18.1%, 1h is -6.5%, and 6h is -36.1%. With 83% sell pressure and sells outnumbering buys 3.6:1, continued downside is the most probable near-term outcome. Immediate support is around $0.000097 (candle [9] low); a break below could accelerate selling.

Target low$0.000070 (candle [10] low)
Target high$0.000368 (candle [3] high / near-term resistance)
Support: $0.000221 (candle [1] low), $0.000124 (candle [8] low), $0.000097 (candle [9] low), $0.000070 (candle [10] low)
Resistance: $0.000368 (candle [3] high), $0.000462 (candle [5] close / candle [6] open), $0.000598 (candle [7] high), $0.000861 (candle [8] high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a new catalyst or significant buy-side accumulation, the token is likely to continue bleeding from its launch spike. The FDV of ~$215K is modest, but the extreme sell-to-buy ratio and shallow liquidity suggest most early participants are exiting. A stabilization is possible if a community forms around the token, but the lack of description, unverified contract, and unknown update authority reduce confidence in any sustained recovery.

Catalysts
  • New exchange listing or viral social media moment
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Liquidity pool deepening by project team or LPs

Bullish factors

  • 24h price is still +342.97% above the 24h-ago baseline, indicating strong launch momentum
  • 14,239 buy transactions in 24h shows some ongoing demand
  • 1,369 unique buyers in 24h suggests a real (if small) community forming
  • Low FDV (~$215K) means a small amount of capital could move price significantly

Bearish factors

  • 83% of 24h volume is sell-side ($4.26M sells vs $874K buys)
  • 51,957 sell transactions vs 14,239 buy transactions — 3.6:1 ratio
  • Price is down ~85% from intraday high of $0.001768
  • 5m: -18.1%, 1h: -6.5%, 6h: -36.1% — consistent multi-timeframe downtrend
  • Liquidity of only $75.3K creates extreme slippage on any meaningful exit
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of a freshly launched meme token, very shallow liquidity ($75.3K), absence of sniper data, no holder distribution data, and no project fundamentals. Price action is driven almost entirely by speculative momentum and early-exit selling.

solly call history

Full track record →
Aug 31bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 13-candle hourly chart tells a classic pump-and-dump story. Candle [13] (01:00 UTC) opened at $0.0000412 with a tight range and low volume ($75K), indicating pre-launch accumulation. Candle [12] (02:00 UTC) is the explosive launch candle: open $0.0000208, high $0.001768, close $0.001489 on $1.54M volume — a massive bullish engulfing/spike candle with an enormous upper wick relative to body, signaling distribution at the top. Candle [11] (03:00 UTC) opened at $0.001516 (near candle [12] close), hit a high of $0.001585, then collapsed to close at $0.000192 on $2.1M volume — a massive bearish engulfing/shooting star, the highest-volume candle, confirming aggressive selling. Candles [10]–[6] show a series of lower highs and lower lows as the token bleeds down from $0.000246 to $0.000588 range, with intermittent relief bounces. Candle [8] (06:00 UTC) shows a brief spike to $0.000861 on $640K volume before closing at $0.000441, another distribution candle. Candles [7]–[1] continue the pattern of lower highs and lower lows, with the most recent candle [1] closing at $0.000231 near its low, confirming ongoing bearish momentum.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 17%Sell 83%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token peaked in candle [12] at $0.001768 and has made a series of lower highs and lower lows across every subsequent candle. The current price of $0.000228 is ~87% below the all-time high set just hours ago.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000221 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000070 (candle [10] low — deepest retracement before the 06:00 bounce)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000368 (candle [3] high)
Major$0.000861 (candle [8] high — secondary distribution peak)

The $0.000221 level (candle [1] low) is the most immediate support. Below that, $0.000124 (candle [8] low) and $0.000097 (candle [9] low) are the next floors. Major support sits at $0.000070 (candle [10] low). On the upside, $0.000368 is the first meaningful resistance, followed by $0.000598 (candle [7] high) and $0.000861 (candle [8] high). The all-time high of $0.001768 is a distant overhead resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Explosive launch spike candle [12]: open $0.0000208, high $0.001768 — classic pump initiation
  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle [11]: opened near candle [12] close, collapsed 87% intrabar on highest volume ($2.1M) — strong distribution signal
  • Secondary distribution spike in candle [8]: brief rally to $0.000861 before closing at $0.000441 — lower high confirming downtrend
  • Consistent series of lower highs and lower lows from candle [11] through candle [1]
  • Declining volume on downtrend (candles [11]→[1]) suggesting potential selling exhaustion but no confirmed reversal
  • Current candle [1] closing near its low ($0.000231 vs low $0.000222) — bearish close with no recovery attempt

Liquidity$75,310
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$874,010
Sell$4,260,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers1,369
Unique sellers8,138

Liquidity is critically shallow at $75.3K on PumpSwap (pair: 2uqfqRQi6f1bKarW2NZqwj4wUtyTXZYyT9sgDa25ke6m). This means the pool can support only very small trades without significant price impact — any sell of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. The 24h trading volume of ~$5.13M ($874K buys + $4.26M sells) is approximately 68x the available liquidity, an extreme ratio indicating the pool is being rapidly drained and repriced. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow): sell volume is 4.87x buy volume. 8,138 unique sellers vs 1,369 unique buyers (5.9:1 ratio) confirms broad-based distribution. Market health is poor — this is a post-launch dump environment with insufficient liquidity to support orderly price discovery.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply932,717,090.623105
FDV$212,575–$215,350

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~932.7M tokens with a current FDV of ~$212–215K. The token has 6 decimals, consistent with standard Solana SPL tokens. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. Mutable is set to false, which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The token has no description and no verified contract, which are red flags for a newly launched token. The 'possible spam' flag is false per the data provider, but this should not be taken as a safety endorsement. The low FDV (~$215K) means the token is micro-cap and highly susceptible to price manipulation. Authority risk is rated 'unknown' due to insufficient data — investors should verify on-chain before trading.

Volatility
high

The token has already experienced an ~87% decline from its all-time high of $0.001768 to the current ~$0.000228 within a single trading session. The 5m change is -18.1%, confirming extreme ongoing volatility. This is consistent with a newly launched meme token in a post-pump distribution phase.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $75.3K against $5.13M in 24h volume (68x ratio). Any position of meaningful size cannot be exited without severe slippage. The shallow pool on PumpSwap means price impact is extreme for trades above a few hundred dollars.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, but the pattern of 8,138 sellers vs 1,369 buyers and the extreme sell volume ($4.26M vs $874K) suggests heavy concentration among early buyers who are now distributing. Without on-chain holder data, concentration risk is assumed high for a newly launched meme token.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data is available, but the trading pattern — explosive launch candle followed by immediate high-volume selling — is consistent with sniper/early-buyer distribution. The 3.6:1 sell/buy transaction ratio and 5.9:1 seller/buyer wallet ratio strongly suggest coordinated or opportunistic early-exit selling.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mutable is false (metadata cannot be changed), which is a mild positive. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The unverified contract adds additional uncertainty. Risk is rated medium rather than high solely because 'mutable: false' provides some protection against metadata manipulation.

Key risks

  • Extreme post-launch sell pressure: 83% of volume is sells, 51,957 sell transactions vs 14,239 buys
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($75.3K) — severe slippage risk on any exit
  • ~87% price decline from intraday high within hours of launch
  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential rug risk
  • Unverified contract with no project description or documentation
  • Unknown update authority — cannot confirm token security posture
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$215K) makes price highly susceptible to manipulation
  • No holder distribution data available to assess concentration risk

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false — token metadata cannot be altered post-deployment
  • FDV of ~$215K is low, meaning a small capital injection could support price
  • 1,369 unique buyers in 24h suggests some genuine community interest
  • Token is listed on PumpSwap with an active trading pair
  • No 'possible spam' flag from data provider
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire position. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, unverified contract, and heavy sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

solly (SOLLY) is a freshly launched Solana meme token that experienced a classic pump-and-dump pattern on its launch day. The token spiked ~85x from its launch low to a high of $0.001768 before collapsing ~87% to current levels of ~$0.000228. The investment case is almost entirely speculative — there are no fundamentals, no verified contract, no project description, and no utility. The only potential upside is a second wave of speculative buying driven by social media momentum. The downside risks are severe and well-documented in the on-chain data.

Bull case (low)

A viral social media moment or influencer promotion drives a second wave of retail buying, pushing price back toward the $0.000461–$0.000598 resistance zone (candles [5]–[7] range). The low FDD (~$215K) means even modest capital inflows could produce significant percentage gains from current levels.

  • Viral Twitter/social media promotion (token has a Twitter link)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Community formation around the 'solly' brand

Base case

The token stabilizes in the $0.000070–$0.000230 range as early sellers exhaust their positions, then trades sideways with low volume and occasional speculative spikes. The FDV remains below $500K and the token gradually fades into obscurity without a sustained catalyst.

  • Selling pressure gradually exhausts as early buyers fully exit
  • A small residual community of ~500–1,000 holders maintains minimal trading activity
  • No new major catalyst (positive or negative) emerges in the near term
  • Liquidity remains shallow, limiting both upside and downside velocity

Bear case (high)

Continued sell pressure from early buyers drives price below the $0.000070 support (candle [10] low), potentially approaching near-zero. With only $75.3K in liquidity and 83% sell pressure, the pool could be effectively drained. A rug pull or authority exploit cannot be ruled out given unknown mint/freeze authority status.

  • Persistent 83% sell pressure with no sign of reversal
  • Shallow liquidity ($75.3K) unable to absorb continued selling
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority creating potential rug risk
  • No project fundamentals to attract long-term holders
  • Declining volume trend suggesting fading interest

GeneratedAug 31, 01:47 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of the most recent candle close at 2026-08-31T13:00:00Z. Price and volume data are current to within the last hour.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana SPL)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading pair data (pair: 2uqfqRQi6f1bKarW2NZqwj4wUtyTXZYyT9sgDa25ke6m)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (13 candles, 2026-08-31 01:00–13:00 UTC)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Price feed (USD and WSOL-denominated)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — holder count, growth, and concentration cannot be assessed
  • Sniper analysis data is unavailable — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be quantified
  • Mint and freeze authority status are unknown — rug risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Only 13 hourly candles are available — insufficient for medium/long-term technical analysis
  • Token is less than 12 hours old at time of analysis — all patterns are based on launch-day behavior only
  • No project documentation, whitepaper, or verified contract to assess fundamentals
  • Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm token security posture
  • FDV and price data may lag real-time due to DEX liquidity constraints

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance (including the +342.97% 24h figure) is not indicative of future results and is heavily distorted by the low base price at launch. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely. The token data analyzed here was provided by a potentially adversarial source and has been treated as raw evidence only.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply932,717,090.623105

Key Risks

Extreme post-launch sell pressure: 83% of volume is sells, 51,957 sell transactions vs 14,239 buys
Critically shallow liquidity ($75.3K) — severe slippage risk on any exit
~87% price decline from intraday high within hours of launch
Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential rug risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The broader trading analytics, however, paint a clear picture: 8,138 unique sellers vs 1,369 unique buyers in 24h, with $4.26M in sell volume vs $874K in buy volume. This strongly suggests that early participants (whether snipers or launch buyers) are aggressively distributing their positions. The 83% sell pressure and 3.6:1 sell/buy transaction ratio are consistent with a post-launch dump pattern.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — the sniper analysis endpoint returned no results for this token.

Early buyers who entered at the launch candle low (~$0.0000076–$0.0000208) are likely in significant profit even at current prices, creating strong incentive to sell. Buyers who entered near the candle [12] high (~$0.001768) or candle [11] open (~$0.001516) are deeply underwater and may be holding or panic-selling. The net effect is heavy distribution pressure.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for solly (solly)?

The token is in a clear downtrend from its launch spike high of ~$0.001768. Price has fallen from $0.001515 open at 03:00 UTC to $0.000228 at the time of analysis — a decline of ~85% from the intraday high. The 5m change is -18.1%, 1h is -6.5%, and 6h is -36.1%. With 83% sell pressure and sells outnumbering buys 3.6:1, continued downside is the most probable near-term outcome. Immediate support is around $0.000097 (candle [9] low); a break below could accelerate selling. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000070 (candle [10] low) to $0.000368 (candle [3] high / near-term resistance).

Is solly a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone who cannot afford to lose their entire position. The combination of extreme volatility, shallow liquidity, unknown authority status, unverified contract, and heavy sell pressure makes this one of the highest-risk token profiles possible.

What does sniper activity look like for solly?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding solly?

Extreme post-launch sell pressure: 83% of volume is sells, 51,957 sell transactions vs 14,239 buys • Critically shallow liquidity ($75.3K) — severe slippage risk on any exit • ~87% price decline from intraday high within hours of launch

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