Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities Price Today & AI Analysis

FLYSolanaAnalysis as of Sep 15, 2026

$19.98

+1.24% 24h

Contract

Live

FLYRq3en8r2Z69gN3KyAnDrvnitEJNkwPYY7favinHeD

Chain

Solana

Holders

968

Market cap

$21,100

At a $1M market cap, $FLY would be $946.91 (47.4x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is FLY a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 29

Issuer token

No scam signals. As a tokenized stock, its issuer can freeze, pause and move tokens.

Can you sell?

YesThe issuer can pause or freeze transfers, as stock tokens allow

The liquidity could not be measured.

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about FLY

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

More tokens on Solana

XEETXeet$0.0₅3568-2.2%MC $3.5K

TMNTTeenage Mutant Ninja Turtles$0.0₅2881-6.7%MC $2.8K

XSIXSI$0.0₅6611-4.1%MC $6.6K

PONDERPonder$0.0₅2264-19.6%MC $2.3K

FleaFlea The Claynosaur$0.0₅4908+0.8%MC $4.9K

ZECZcash$1,225.58-5.7%MC $125.65M

Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-15 15:17 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$73,487.00

How concentrated is Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?: As of 2026-09-15 15:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $73,487.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-09-15 15:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Sep 15, 03:17 PM UTC

FDV

$438,925

Liquidity

$73,487.00

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

Loading price chart…

1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

Ask Wick about this chart

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

FLY ('Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities') is a low-supply (~21,288 tokens), high-unit-price (~$20.62) Solana token trading on a Raydium CLMM pool that has just suffered a severe ~58.76% price collapse in 24 hours, accompanied by an 8x volume surge and sell-side dominance (59.9% sell vs 40.1% buy pressure). Liquidity is shallow at $73.49K against over $1.26M in 24h volume, and critical trust signals — mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, contract verification, and holder distribution — are all unknown or unavailable, preventing confirmation of the token's safety or legitimacy.

Key points

Extremely low total supply (~21,288 tokens) paired with a high per-token price, unusual tokenomics structure
Name directly references a real aerospace company and uses 'Securities' terminology without any verifiable affiliation, description, or social links
Just experienced an acute ~58.76% price crash on an 8x volume spike, indicating a capitulation event rather than steady decline
No holder or sniper data available at all, leaving major blind spots in distribution and early-buyer behavior analysis
Shallow liquidity ($73.49K) relative to daily volume creates outsized slippage and volatility risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · next 1-24 hours

bearish

Given the sharp acceleration of selling (volume up ~8x between the two most recent candles) and a close near the session low of $20.83, near-term momentum favors continued downside or at best a volatile consolidation. A bounce toward $26-$38 is possible but would represent a retracement within a broader downtrend, not a confirmed reversal.

Target low

$15.00

Target high

$26.00

Support: $20.83, $20.00
Resistance: $26.03, $38.69

Medium term · 3-7 days

bearish

Without holder data, verified authority status, or deeper liquidity, medium-term direction is likely to remain pressured unless buy-side volume decisively overtakes sell-side volume and liquidity improves. The unresolved legitimacy questions around the token's naming and authorities add downside tail risk.

Catalysts

Any confirmation (positive or negative) of mint/freeze authority status
Liquidity additions or removals from the Raydium CLMM pool
Broader market sentiment toward newly listed speculative tokens
Potential clarification or denial of association with the real 'Firefly Aerospace' company, which could trigger a de-listing or trust collapse

Bullish factors

Active two-sided market with meaningful buy volume ($507.29K/24h) and buyer count (2,696)
Potential for oversold bounce given the magnitude of the recent decline

Bearish factors

Sell volume dominance (59.9% vs 40.1% buy pressure)
Volume expansion accompanying the price breakdown, indicating capitulation/distribution rather than accumulation
Shallow liquidity ($73.49K) amplifying downside moves
Unknown/unverifiable mint, freeze, and update authority status
No description, social links, or verification — elevated scam/impersonation risk given the aerospace-company-referencing name

Confidence: low. Only two hourly candles and a single day of trading analytics are available, with no holder data, no sniper data, and unknown authority status. This severely limits the reliability of any directional forecast beyond immediate momentum-based observations.

FLY call history

Full track record →

Sep 15bearish@ $20.62

24h-2.2%

7d+8.7%

30d-16.6%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: FLYRq3...nHeD
Total Supply: 21,287.744568 FLY

Key Risks

Extreme 24h price decline of ~58.76% with continued downward momentum into the most recent candle
Shallow liquidity ($73.49K) relative to trading volume (~$1.26M/24h), creating high slippage and exit risk
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — cannot rule out rug-pull mechanics
No holder or whale distribution data available to assess concentration risk directly

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (14:00 UTC) opened at $40.996, spiked to a high of $49.996, then collapsed to a low of $26.026 before closing at $38.171 on volume of $441.15K — a long upper wick with a large real-body decline, indicating a rejection at highs and aggressive selling into the close. Candle 2 (15:00 UTC) opened at $38.171 (near prior close), pushed marginally higher to $38.689, then broke down hard to a low of $20.830, closing at $20.919 on a much larger volume of $3.43M — a large bearish candle with a small upper wick and a close near the low, signaling strong continued distribution/capitulation.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

Both available candles show a clear downtrend: price fell from an intraday high near $49.996 to a most-recent close of $20.919, a decline of roughly 58% in the observed window, matching the reported 24h and 1h percentage changes of approximately -58.76%. There is no evidence of a base or reversal forming yet within this limited dataset.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

40%

Sell

60%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$20.83 (candle 2 low, near current price)

Major support

$20.00 psychological / untested below current low

Immediate resistance

$26.03 (candle 1 low, now acting as resistance after breakdown)

Major resistance

$38.69–$40.00 (candle 2 high / candle 1 open zone)

Price has broken decisively through the $26 level that was the low of the prior candle, meaning the most recent low of $20.83 is now the closest support with no lower structure yet established. Resistance sits at the $38-40 zone where price was trading before the collapse, and the $49.996 intraday high is now a distant, unlikely-to-retest ceiling in the near term.

Notable patterns

Long upper wick / shooting-star-like rejection on candle 1 near $49.996 high
Large bearish marabozu-style candle 2 with close near the low
Volume spike (~8x) accompanying the breakdown, consistent with capitulation
Sequential lower highs and lower lows across the two candles

Liquidity

$73,487.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total liquidity of just $73.49K against a 24h combined trading volume of over $1.26M ($507.29K buy + $758.82K sell) represents an extremely thin liquidity pool relative to trading activity — a ratio of roughly 17x turnover to liquidity in a single day. This mismatch implies severe slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade in either direction. Sell volume ($758.82K) outweighs buy volume ($507.29K), producing net outflow pressure (59.9% sell vs 40.1% buy pressure), consistent with the sharp price decline observed. Sellers (6,972 sell txns from 2,274 unique sellers) slightly outnumber buy transactions (6,917 from 2,696 unique buyers) in count, but sell dollar volume dominates, suggesting larger average sell sizes or panic selling. Shallow liquidity combined with heavy sell-side flow is a classic setup for continued high volatility and difficulty exiting positions cleanly.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

21,287.744568 FLY

FDV

$438.93K

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Price fell approximately 58.76% in 24 hours (and within a single hour), with an intraday range from a high of $49.996 to a low of $20.83 — extreme volatility even by crypto-token standards.
Liquidityhigh
Total liquidity of only $73.49K against over $1.26M in 24h volume creates severe slippage risk and makes the pool highly susceptible to further sharp price swings on modest trade sizes.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme 24h price decline of ~58.76% with continued downward momentum into the most recent candle
Shallow liquidity ($73.49K) relative to trading volume (~$1.26M/24h), creating high slippage and exit risk
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — cannot rule out rug-pull mechanics
No holder or whale distribution data available to assess concentration risk directly
Token name references a real aerospace company and uses 'Securities' terminology without any verifiable social links, description, or verification status — potential impersonation/scam signal
Sell volume (59.9%) materially exceeding buy volume (40.1%) in the last 24h, indicating net distribution

Mitigating factors

Active two-sided trading with thousands of buyers (2,696) and sellers (2,274) in 24h, indicating the pool is not fully abandoned
Buy volume of $507.29K in 24h shows some ongoing demand despite the decline

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders comfortable with potential total loss of capital. It is not suitable for conservative or long-term holders given the unverifiable authority status, shallow liquidity, extreme volatility, and lack of holder transparency data. The unverified naming convention referencing a real-world company adds reputational/legal and scam-risk overhang.

FLY is an extremely high-risk, high-volatility token that has just experienced a severe (~58.76%) price collapse on rising volume, with no verifiable authority status, no holder data, and shallow liquidity. Any thesis here is purely speculative and short-term trading oriented; there is no fundamental data supporting a long-term investment case.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Following capitulation-style selling (8x volume spike into the drop), a short-term bounce could occur if remaining buyers absorb sell pressure near the $20.83 support, especially given 2,696 unique buyers were active in 24h.

Oversold short-term momentum after a rapid 58%+ decline
Continued buyer participation (40.1% of 24h volume, 2,696 unique buyers)
Potential for a dead-cat bounce toward the $26–$38 prior support/resistance zone

Base Case

Price likely remains highly volatile and range-bound between the newly formed $20.83 support and $38–$40 resistance in the near term, with directional bias dependent on whether buy pressure can overcome the current sell dominance.

No new liquidity is added or removed materially in the short term
No confirmation emerges on mint/freeze authority status one way or the other
Trading volume remains elevated but volatile as seen in the two available candles

Bear Case

High probability

Continued distribution and further breakdown below $20.83 as sellers (59.9% of volume) maintain control, exacerbated by shallow liquidity and unresolved authority-risk concerns.

Sell volume ($758.82K) exceeding buy volume ($507.29K) in the last 24h
Volume expanding on the down-move, a classic capitulation/distribution signal
Unknown mint/freeze authority raising rug-pull potential
Shallow $73.49K liquidity unable to support price stability
Unverifiable legitimacy given the token's name referencing a real aerospace company without any official confirmation

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 15, 03:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-15 15:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

On-chain token metadata
Raydium CLMM pair pricing data
Hourly OHLC candle data (2 most recent candles)
24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)

Limitations

No holder distribution data available (endpoints retired) — holderTrends and whaleMap are populated with placeholder zero/empty values per methodology rules
No sniper/early-buyer data available — smart money signals are unknown/zero
Only 2 hourly OHLC candles provided, severely limiting technical pattern confirmation and support/resistance reliability
Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, verification, and mutability status are all unknown, preventing a confident tokenomics risk rating
No social links or project description provided, preventing fundamental/legitimacy verification
Token name references a real-world company ('Firefly Aerospace') without any verifiable confirmation of affiliation, which is treated as a risk signal rather than a factual claim

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is generated from limited on-chain and trading data provided at a single point in time. It is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency tokens, especially those with unverified authorities, shallow liquidity, and no holder transparency, carry a substantial risk of loss, including total loss of capital. Always conduct independent research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities (FLY) a scam?

No scam signals. As a tokenized stock, its issuer can freeze, pause and move tokens. The liquidity could not be measured. Checked Oct 29, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities (FLY)?

Nothing in the token blocks a sell today, but as a tokenized stock its issuer can freeze, pause or move tokens. Checked Oct 29, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities liquidity falling?

As of 2026-09-15 15:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $73,487.00. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Firefly Aerospace - Backpack Securities (FLY)?

Is FLY a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders comfortable with potential total loss of capital. It is not suitable for conservative or long-term holders given the unverifiable authority status, shallow liquidity, extreme volatility, and lack of holder transparency data. The unverified naming convention referencing a real-world company adds reputational/legal and scam-risk overhang.

What are the key risks of holding FLY?

Extreme 24h price decline of ~58.76% with continued downward momentum into the most recent candle • Shallow liquidity ($73.49K) relative to trading volume (~$1.26M/24h), creating high slippage and exit risk • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — cannot rule out rug-pull mechanics