Aliens

Aliens are real Price Today & AI Analysis

Aliens
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 2, 2026

F5tfztTnE4sYsMhZT5KrFpWvHmYSfJZoRjCuxKPbpump

$0.000272

-0.73%

FDV $271,115

LiveContract:F5tfztTnE4sYsMhZT5KrFpWvHmYSfJZoRjCuxKPbpumpChain:SolanaHolders:6,985Market cap:$271,115

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Ask Unhosted AI about Aliens

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 2, 01:19 AM
FDV

$499,447

Liquidity

$103,935

Holders

6,346

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Aliens are real (Aliens) is a Pump.fun-launched meme token on Solana with a circulating supply of ~995.4M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$499K–$508K. The token is currently experiencing severe selling pressure, down -43.5% in 24 hours, with sell volume (77.6%) vastly outpacing buy volume (22.4%). Liquidity stands at $103.93K on PumpSwap. The holder base of 6,346 is relatively stable over 30 days but has declined net -200 (-3.2%) over the month, with a brief spike of +185 on May 1 likely tied to the price dump attracting speculative buyers. No sniper data is available. The token has no verified contract, no description, and unknown update authority — typical of Pump.fun launches.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Launched via Pump.fun on PumpSwap — low barrier meme token with no verified contract
Severe 24h sell-off of -43.5% with 77.6% sell pressure dominating volume
Top 10 holders control 25.59% of supply; top 100 control 66.86% — moderate-to-high concentration
Holder count has declined net -200 over 30 days despite a brief +185 spike on May 1
No sniper data available; authority status unknown — elevated uncertainty

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
24–72 hours

The token is in a sharp downtrend, losing -43.5% in 24h. Sell pressure at 77.6% of volume, 1,784 sells vs 793 buys, and a -36.75% move in just 6 hours signal continued distribution. A brief consolidation around $0.00045–$0.00050 is possible, but the path of least resistance remains down unless buy pressure recovers materially.

Target low$0.00030
Target high$0.00055
Support: $0.00045 (recent hourly low cluster, candles 3–6), $0.00042 (intraday low candle 4), $0.00030 (psychological round number / capitulation zone)
Resistance: $0.00055 (candle 2 high), $0.00076–$0.00079 (candles 6–8 open/high zone), $0.00091–$0.00098 (candles 10–14 range, prior consolidation)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The 30-day holder trend is net negative (-200 holders, -3.2%), and the price has collapsed from a ~$0.00097 range to ~$0.00050 within 24 hours. Without a clear catalyst, new utility, or renewed community momentum, recovery to prior levels is unlikely in the near term. The token may stabilize at a lower equilibrium if selling exhausts.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media/community momentum around the alien theme
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices creating a floor
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (unlikely at this market cap)

Bullish factors

  • 24h holder count increased +138 (+2.2%) suggesting some new buyers entering at lower prices
  • Liquidity of $103.93K is non-trivial for a sub-$500K FDV token
  • Buy volume of $54.76K in 24h shows some demand exists
  • 286 unique buyers in 24h indicates distributed interest, not just one actor

Bearish factors

  • Price down -43.5% in 24h with 77.6% sell pressure
  • 6h change of -36.75% indicates accelerating dump, not gradual decline
  • 30-day net holder loss of -200 (-3.2%) shows structural erosion
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown authority — low trust signals
  • Sell volume ($189.8K) is 3.5x buy volume ($54.76K)
  • 1,784 sells vs 793 buys — sellers outnumber buyers 2.25:1
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the meme token nature of the asset, absence of sniper data, unknown authority status, no project description or fundamentals, and extreme short-term volatility (-43.5% in 24h). Price targets are derived purely from OHLC levels and volume dynamics.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series reveals a clear two-phase structure. From candles 24–11 (May 1, 02:00–15:00 UTC), price traded in a tight consolidation band between ~$0.000881 and ~$0.000967, with low volume (91–1,475 USD/hr) — a classic low-liquidity accumulation or distribution shelf. From candle 10 onward (16:00 UTC), price began a sustained decline: $0.000912 → $0.000874 → $0.000802 → $0.000787 → $0.000748 → $0.000449 (candle 6, a massive bearish engulfing candle with $85K volume) → further compression to $0.000452–$0.000503 in the final candles. Candle 6 (20:00 UTC) is the pivotal event: open $0.000763, low $0.000441, close $0.000449 on $85.3K volume — a massive bearish engulfing/crash candle representing the core of the dump. Candle 5 (21:00 UTC) saw $81.6K volume with a narrow range ($0.000467–$0.000478), suggesting panic selling absorbed by some buyers. The final two candles show stabilization near $0.000502–$0.000504.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 22%Sell 78%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token made a series of lower highs and lower lows across the 24-hour window, with the dominant move being a -43% crash concentrated in candles 6–7 (19:00–20:00 UTC May 1). No recovery structure has formed yet.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000441 (candle 6 intraday low — the crash wick low)
Major$0.000420 (candle 3 low — lowest point in the 24h window)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000539 (candle 2 high)
Major$0.000763–$0.000793 (candles 6–8 open/high zone, pre-crash level)

The $0.000420–$0.000441 zone represents the crash lows and is the most critical support. A break below $0.000420 would open the door to further downside with little historical support. Resistance at $0.000539 is the first meaningful hurdle; recovering above $0.000763 would require a complete sentiment reversal.

Notable patterns

  • Massive bearish engulfing candle at 20:00 UTC (candle 6) — open $0.000763, close $0.000449, volume $85.3K — the defining event of the session
  • Low-volume consolidation shelf (candles 24–11) prior to the dump — classic distribution top pattern
  • Post-crash volume exhaustion (candle 1: $1,804 vs candle 6: $85,309) — potential short-term seller exhaustion
  • Series of lower highs and lower lows across all 24 candles — confirmed downtrend structure
  • Narrow-range doji-like candles in final 2 hours suggesting temporary equilibrium near $0.000502

Total holders6,346
24h Δ+2.2
7d Δ+0.57
30d Δ-3.2
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

The +138 holder increase in 24h is inversely correlated with the -43.5% price drop — new buyers entered at depressed prices, a common pattern in meme token dumps where speculative 'dip buyers' accumulate. However, the 30-day trend of -200 holders (-3.2%) shows the structural trend is declining. The May 1 spike of +185 holders (the largest single-day gain in the 30-day series) coincides with the crash day, suggesting opportunistic entry rather than organic growth.

The 30-day holder history shows a net decline from ~6,528 (Apr 2) to ~6,346 currently, a loss of ~182 holders. The series is volatile with alternating gains and losses, but the overall trajectory is negative. Notable: the largest single-day gain (+185 on May 1) occurred on the same day as the -43.5% price crash, indicating dip-buying activity. Prior to May 1, the 7-day trend was essentially flat (+36 net over 7 days). Holder growth is not accelerating in a positive sense — the recent uptick is crash-driven, not momentum-driven. Distribution breakdown: whales=187, sharks=119, dolphins=657, fish=820, octopus=848, suggesting a relatively distributed base below the whale tier.

Top 10 hold25.59%
Top 100 hold66.86%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

7nVP4qykvMpEuhobyrzCn1TQiz7K8PMK5UXQeeBrZyh

DEX liquidity pool — this address matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data (Pair: 7nVP4qykvMpEuhobyrzCn1TQiz7K8PMK5UXQeeBrZyh), holding 10.35% of supply as LP tokens/reserves

10.35%

24rtm8YQmpmueWqYfPSbSe5f4vazcJhuJVBgRZPYVkzW

Individual whale — unknown wallet holding 2.18% of supply (~21.7M tokens)

2.18%

5E8j8zjca1a2HWNjLZM5fYA7aEiD7qXR1NJMN663L5cX

Individual whale — unknown wallet holding 2.12% of supply (~21.1M tokens)

2.12%

CwfYx9VXCBVzyFLfM7g1bwc4qbk2f7qgCUzJK2AqajV3

Individual whale — unknown wallet holding 1.89% of supply (~18.8M tokens)

1.89%

GFW7cVjYXNFUSwQ6BthFrRFXuon1AypCf213kVY8qmN4

Individual whale — unknown wallet holding 1.89% of supply (~18.8M tokens)

1.89%

Excluding the PumpSwap LP address (10.35%), the remaining top 9 non-LP holders control ~15.24% of supply, with individual positions ranging from 1.31% to 2.18%. The top 100 holders collectively control 66.86% of supply, indicating meaningful concentration. No addresses are identifiable as known CEX wallets or burn addresses from the data provided. Given the -43.5% price dump and 77.6% sell pressure, whale sentiment is classified as distributing. The relatively even spread among holders 2–20 (each holding 1.0%–2.18%) suggests no single non-LP entity has dominant control, but the collective top-100 concentration at 66.86% remains a risk factor.

Liquidity$103,930
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$54,760
Sell$189,800
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers286
Unique sellers670

Liquidity of $103.93K against an FDV of ~$508K gives a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~20.4%, which is relatively thin for a meme token. The PumpSwap pair (7nVP4qykvMpEuhobyrzCn1TQiz7K8PMK5UXQeeBrZyh) holds 10.35% of total supply as the LP position. With $103.93K in liquidity, any large sell order will cause significant slippage — the -43.5% crash in 24h is evidence of this shallow depth. Net flow is strongly negative: $189.8K in sells vs $54.76K in buys, a 3.47:1 sell-to-buy ratio. Sellers (670 unique) outnumber buyers (286 unique) by 2.34:1. The market is in clear outflow/distribution mode. Slippage risk is high for any position above a few thousand dollars.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply995,394,193.42
FDV$499,446.80

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token was launched via Pump.fun (mint address ends in 'pump'), with a total supply of ~995.4M tokens and an FDV of ~$499K at current prices. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is not verified. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a positive signal suggesting the metadata cannot be changed. However, mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly confirmed as renounced in the provided data. Pump.fun tokens typically have mint authority burned at launch, but this cannot be confirmed without on-chain verification. The 'possible spam: false' flag and presence of social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) suggest some level of legitimate project intent, though the absence of a description is a red flag. No master edition is set. Investors should verify authority status on-chain before committing capital.

Volatility
high

Token dropped -43.5% in 24 hours, with a -36.75% move in just 6 hours. Extreme intraday volatility driven by a single large sell event (candle 6: $85.3K sell volume). Meme token with no fundamental floor.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $103.93K is shallow relative to FDV. High slippage risk for any position above a few thousand dollars. The crash itself demonstrates how quickly liquidity can be overwhelmed by sell pressure.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 holders control 25.59% of supply (including the LP at 10.35%). Excluding LP, top 9 non-LP whales hold ~15.24%. Top 100 control 66.86%. Concentration is meaningful but not extreme — no single non-LP wallet holds more than 2.18%.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so direct sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. However, the sharp -43.5% dump pattern is consistent with early holder distribution. The 77.6% sell pressure and 670 unique sellers suggest broad-based selling rather than a single sniper exit.

Authority
medium

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status are not confirmed. The token is 'mutable: false' which reduces metadata manipulation risk, but authority renouncement cannot be verified from the provided data. Pump.fun origin suggests likely burned mint authority, but on-chain verification is required.

Key risks

  • Extreme price volatility — -43.5% in 24h with no clear bottom established
  • Shallow liquidity ($103.93K) makes large exits highly impactful on price
  • Unknown authority status — mint/freeze authority renouncement unconfirmed
  • No verified contract, no project description — low transparency
  • 30-day net holder decline of -200 (-3.2%) indicates structural erosion
  • Sell pressure at 77.6% of 24h volume with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.34:1
  • Meme token with no utility or fundamental value driver

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable: false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • Presence of social links (Twitter, website) suggests some community infrastructure
  • 286 unique buyers in 24h shows distributed demand, not zero interest
  • Liquidity-to-FDV ratio of ~20% is not negligible for a meme token
  • No single non-LP whale holds more than 2.18% — no dominant dump risk from one actor
  • Pump.fun origin typically means burned mint authority (though unconfirmed here)
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative or moderate investors. Any position should be sized as a lottery ticket — small enough that a total loss is acceptable. Active monitoring required given extreme volatility.

Aliens are real (Aliens) is a high-risk Pump.fun meme token currently in a severe distribution phase, down -43.5% in 24 hours. The token has a small but real community (6,346 holders, social links), shallow liquidity, and no fundamental value proposition beyond speculative meme appeal. The investment case is purely speculative — either the community rallies and the token recovers, or continued selling pressure drives it toward zero. The risk/reward is asymmetric and unfavorable at current momentum.

Bull case (low)

Community-driven recovery: The -43.5% crash attracts dip buyers and renewed social media attention around the alien theme. Sell pressure exhausts near the $0.00042–$0.00045 support zone, and a short squeeze or viral moment drives price back toward the pre-dump range of $0.00088–$0.00097, representing a ~75–90% recovery from current levels.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion of the alien narrative
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Seller exhaustion at crash lows creating a technical bounce
  • New buyer cohort entering at depressed prices (138 new holders in 24h is a start)

Base case

Sideways stabilization at depressed levels: Selling pressure gradually exhausts near current levels ($0.00045–$0.00055), and the token enters a low-volume sideways phase. Holder count stabilizes around 6,000–6,400. Price drifts in the $0.00040–$0.00060 range for the next 7–14 days without a clear directional catalyst.

  • Sell pressure gradually diminishes as weak hands exit
  • No major new catalyst (positive or negative) emerges
  • Liquidity remains at current levels (~$100K)
  • Broader Solana market remains neutral

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution: Whales and early holders continue selling into any liquidity, driving price below the crash lows of $0.00042. Holder count resumes its 30-day declining trend, liquidity dries up further, and the token fades into obscurity. Price could fall 50–80% from current levels toward $0.00010–$0.00025.

  • Persistent 77.6% sell pressure with no catalyst for reversal
  • 30-day structural holder decline (-200 net)
  • No utility, no verified contract, no project description to attract new capital
  • Shallow liquidity amplifying any additional sell pressure

GeneratedMay 2, 01:19 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-02T01:00:00Z (most recent candle). Holder data current as of 2026-05-01T00:00:00Z (daily snapshot). Trading analytics reflect 24h window ending ~2026-05-02T01:00:00Z.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Pump.fun mint)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: 7nVP4qykvMpEuhobyrzCn1TQiz7K8PMK5UXQeeBrZyh)
  • 24-hour OHLC hourly candles (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder snapshot
  • 30-day daily historical holder series
  • Sniper analysis data (not available for this token)

Limitations

  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior and PnL cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • No project description or whitepaper — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • Top holder classification is based on address matching only (LP address identified via pair data); other holders cannot be classified without additional on-chain data
  • 30-day holder history is daily granularity — intraday holder dynamics during the crash are not captured
  • Price targets are purely technical and carry very low predictive value for meme tokens
  • FDV discrepancy: metadata shows $499,446.80 while analytics shows $508,520 — minor difference likely due to price update timing

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price action is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply995,394,193.42

Key Risks

•Extreme price volatility — -43.5% in 24h with no clear bottom established
•Shallow liquidity ($103.93K) makes large exits highly impactful on price
•Unknown authority status — mint/freeze authority renouncement unconfirmed
•No verified contract, no project description — low transparency

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. The absence of sniper data may indicate the token was not heavily targeted by bots at launch, or that the data source does not cover this token's launch event. Given the Pump.fun origin and the sharp price dump, it is possible that early buyers (whether snipers or not) have been distributing into any available liquidity.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer PnL data available. However, the -43.5% 24h price decline and 77.6% sell pressure strongly suggest early holders are in distribution mode, likely selling at a loss relative to any price above $0.00088 (the pre-dump range).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Aliens are real (Aliens)?

The token is in a sharp downtrend, losing -43.5% in 24h. Sell pressure at 77.6% of volume, 1,784 sells vs 793 buys, and a -36.75% move in just 6 hours signal continued distribution. A brief consolidation around $0.00045–$0.00050 is possible, but the path of least resistance remains down unless buy pressure recovers materially. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.00030 to $0.00055.

Is Aliens a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 8.5/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose their entire investment. Not suitable for conservative or moderate investors. Any position should be sized as a lottery ticket — small enough that a total loss is acceptable. Active monitoring required given extreme volatility.

How are Aliens holders trending?

Aliens are real currently has 6,346 holders and is declining (24h: 2.2, 7d: 0.57, 30d: -3.2). The 30-day holder history shows a net decline from ~6,528 (Apr 2) to ~6,346 currently, a loss of ~182 holders. The series is volatile with alternating gains and losses, but the overall trajectory is negative. Notable: the largest single-day gain (+185 on May 1) occurred on the same day as the -43.5% price crash, indicating dip-buying activity. Prior to May 1, the 7-day trend was essentially flat (+36 net over 7 days). Holder growth is not accelerating in a positive sense — the recent uptick is crash-driven, not momentum-driven. Distribution breakdown: whales=187, sharks=119, dolphins=657, fish=820, octopus=848, suggesting a relatively distributed base below the whale tier.

What does sniper activity look like for Aliens?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding Aliens?

Extreme price volatility — -43.5% in 24h with no clear bottom established • Shallow liquidity ($103.93K) makes large exits highly impactful on price • Unknown authority status — mint/freeze authority renouncement unconfirmed

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