牛来

Niu Lai Price Prediction 2026

牛来
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 15, 2026

Ezft93o4o9vbhn6tf1QXYjR8C7tvto3YKahXPZR8pump

$0.049944

+129.17%

FDV $96,469

LiveContract:Ezft93o4o9vbhn6tf1QXYjR8C7tvto3YKahXPZR8pumpChain:SolanaHolders:409Market cap:$96,469

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Ask Unhosted AI about 牛来

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Aug 15, 03:17 AM
FDV

$96,469

Liquidity

$39,860

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Niu Lai (牛来) is an unverified Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (pair 9N7jwifjNjM68JJuJ1YW8auWAor9KAKnEGZikPzDetxV) with a total supply of ~970.1M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$96.5K. The token has experienced an explosive 129% 24-hour price surge to $0.0000994, driven by a sharp spike in candle [2] that reached an intraday high of $0.0001985. However, sell pressure is dominant at 75% of 24h volume ($240K sells vs $80K buys), liquidity is very thin at $39.86K, and the contract is unverified. This is a high-risk, speculative micro-cap token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
129% 24h price surge with intraday high of $0.0001985 — nearly 2x current price
Extremely thin liquidity of $39.86K against $96.5K FDV creates severe slippage risk
Heavily sell-dominated: 75% sell pressure, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h
Unverified contract with unknown update authority and mutable=false metadata
No sniper data available; early buyer behavior cannot be assessed

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price has already retraced sharply from the candle [2] spike high of $0.0001985 down to ~$0.0000994 (close of candle [1]), and the most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%. With 75% sell pressure and sellers outnumbering buyers nearly 4:1 (1,478 sellers vs 393 buyers), further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support sits around $0.0000953 (candle [1] low). A break below that opens a path toward $0.0000462–$0.0000482 (candle [3]–[4] range).

Target low$0.0000462
Target high$0.0001498
Support: $0.0000953 (candle [1] low), $0.0000552 (candle [3] close), $0.0000482 (candle [4] high/close)
Resistance: $0.0001498 (candle [2] close), $0.0001855 (candle [1] high), $0.0001988 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a verified contract, meaningful utility, or sustained buy-side demand, the token is likely to continue drifting lower as early participants take profits. The FDV of $96.5K is extremely small, making the token susceptible to whale-driven price swings. A recovery above $0.0001988 would be needed to signal renewed bullish momentum.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media or community-driven buying wave
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower price levels
  • Listing on a higher-profile aggregator or DEX

Bullish factors

  • 129% 24h price gain demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Intraday spike to $0.0001988 shows buyers willing to pay a significant premium
  • 1,875 buy transactions in 24h indicates some genuine retail interest
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of rug risk
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain liquidity

Bearish factors

  • 75% sell pressure ($240K sells vs $80K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys — sell transactions outnumber buys 2.3:1
  • 1,478 unique sellers vs 393 unique buyers — broad distribution of sellers
  • Liquidity of only $39.86K is dangerously thin relative to $96.5K FDV
  • Price already retraced ~50% from intraday high of $0.0001988 to $0.0000994
  • Most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%, indicating continued selling
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • No description, no verified social presence beyond a website link
  • Candle [1] shows a bearish close well below the session high
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's micro-cap status, extreme volatility (candle [2] range spans $0.0000373–$0.0001988), absence of sniper/holder data, unverified contract, and unknown update authority. Price action in this class of token is highly unpredictable and driven by social sentiment rather than fundamentals.

牛来 call history

Full track record →
Aug 15bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 12-hour OHLC dataset reveals a dramatic pump-and-dump pattern. Candles [12]–[8] (16:00–20:00 on Aug 14) show a base-building phase with prices ranging $0.0000142–$0.0000839, with candle [12] being the highest-volume candle in the early set ($104K). Candles [7]–[6] show a modest recovery. Candle [2] (02:00 Aug 15) is the climax candle: open $0.0000552, high $0.0001988, low $0.0000373, close $0.0001499 — a massive wick-heavy bullish candle with $64.3K volume. Candle [1] (03:00 Aug 15) is a bearish reversal candle: open $0.0001556, high $0.0001845, low $0.0000953, close $0.0000994 — closing near the low, confirming distribution. The pattern is a classic 'pump and dump' with a shooting-star/bearish engulfing structure at the top.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 75%

The medium-term trend (12h lookback) is technically upward given the move from $0.0000142 lows (candle [8]) to the $0.0001988 high (candle [2]), representing a ~14x move. However, the short-term trend has reversed sharply: candle [1] closed at $0.0000994, well below the candle [2] close of $0.0001499, and the 5-minute change is -12.5%. The short-term momentum is clearly bearish.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000953 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000142 (candle [8] all-time low in dataset)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001499 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)
Major$0.0001988 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

The $0.0000953 level (candle [1] low) is the first line of defense. A break below this opens the $0.0000462–$0.0000552 zone (candles [3]–[4] range). On the upside, $0.0001499 is the first resistance (candle [2] close), and $0.0001988 is the session high and major resistance. The wide spread between support and resistance reflects extreme volatility.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at candle [1]: opens near candle [2] close, spikes to $0.0001845, then closes near the low at $0.0000994 — classic distribution signal
  • Climax candle [2]: massive upper and lower wicks with high volume ($64.3K) — exhaustion/blow-off top pattern
  • Higher highs from candle [8] through candle [2]: 12h uptrend now reversing
  • Candle [4] is a bullish close (close = high at $0.0000488) — minor accumulation signal in the base
  • Candle [11] shows a large bearish wick: open $0.0000461, high $0.0000477, close $0.0000173 — early distribution signal before the pump
  • Volume climax in candle [12] ($104K) followed by lower-volume candles suggests the initial pump was driven by a single large event

Liquidity$39,860
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$80,110
Sell$240,080
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers393
Unique sellers1,478

Liquidity is critically shallow at $39.86K — less than half the FDV of $96.5K and a fraction of the $320K+ in 24h trading volume. This means any meaningful trade will incur severe slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $240.08K in sell volume vs $80.11K in buy volume represents a 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio by dollar value. Unique sellers (1,478) outnumber unique buyers (393) by nearly 4:1, confirming broad distribution behavior. The market is in a clear outflow state. With only $39.86K in liquidity, a single large sell order could collapse the price significantly. This is a high-slippage, low-depth market unsuitable for any meaningful position size.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply970,103,324.355027
FDV$96,468.70

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~970.1M tokens with an FDV of ~$96.5K at the current price of $0.0000994. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified, making it impossible to confirm whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token metadata is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal (metadata cannot be changed), but this does not address mint or freeze authority status. The token was launched on PumpSwap (a pump.fun derivative), which typically uses a standard bonding curve mechanism. The 'pump' suffix in the mint address (Ezft93o4o9vbhn6tf1QXYjR8C7tvto3YKahXPZR8pump) is consistent with a pump.fun launch. Rug risk from authorities is rated 'unknown' due to insufficient on-chain authority data. Investors should verify authority status independently before committing capital.

Volatility
high

The token surged ~295% in 6 hours and 129% in 24 hours, with an intraday range in candle [2] spanning $0.0000373 to $0.0001988 — a 5.3x range within a single hour. The most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $39.86K on PumpSwap. This is critically thin relative to the $320K+ in 24h trading volume. Any trade above a few hundred dollars will incur significant slippage. Exit liquidity for larger holders is severely limited.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, so concentration cannot be directly measured. However, as an unverified micro-cap meme token on PumpSwap with a $96.5K FDV, concentration risk is assumed to be high by default. The 4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio suggests a small group of early buyers is distributing to a larger group of retail participants.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so direct sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. The heavy sell pressure (75% of volume, 4,357 sell transactions) and the sharp post-spike retracement from $0.0001988 to $0.0000994 are consistent with early buyer distribution, but this cannot be confirmed as sniper activity specifically.

Authority
high

The update authority is listed as 'unknown', the contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. While mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk, the inability to verify authority renouncement means rug risk from token authorities cannot be ruled out.

Key risks

  • Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) — severe slippage on any meaningful trade
  • Dominant sell pressure: 75% sell volume, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status
  • Price already retraced ~50% from intraday high — potential continuation of downtrend
  • No description, no verified utility, no audited code — pure speculative meme token
  • Micro-cap FDV of $96.5K makes the token highly susceptible to whale manipulation
  • Holder distribution data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • PumpSwap/pump.fun tokens have historically high failure and rug rates

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of post-launch metadata manipulation
  • Token is listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • Active trading with 1,505 unique wallets in 24h shows genuine market participation
  • PumpSwap provides transparent on-chain liquidity with no hidden mechanisms
  • The 129% 24h gain demonstrates real buyer demand, at least in the short term
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, income-focused investors, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana meme tokens. Position sizes should be minimal (e.g., amounts one is fully prepared to lose entirely). This is NOT financial advice.

Niu Lai (牛来) is a high-risk, unverified Solana meme token that has experienced a sharp 129% pump in 24 hours but is now showing clear signs of distribution. The bull case relies entirely on continued social momentum and retail FOMO; the bear case is supported by the on-chain data showing 3:1 sell-to-buy volume, 4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio, and critically thin liquidity. The base case is continued price erosion as early buyers distribute into retail demand.

Bull case (low)

A second wave of social media attention or community-driven buying reignites momentum, pushing price back toward or above the $0.0001988 intraday high. The 'Niu Lai' (牛来, meaning 'bull is coming' in Chinese) branding could attract Chinese-speaking crypto communities, driving a sustained rally.

  • Viral social media spread within Chinese-speaking crypto communities
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed levels ($0.0000994)
  • Sustained buy pressure overcoming the current 75% sell dominance
  • Listing on a higher-profile platform or aggregator increasing visibility

Base case

Price gradually drifts lower over the next 24–72 hours as the pump momentum fades and early buyers continue to distribute. The token stabilizes somewhere in the $0.0000300–$0.0000600 range (candles [3]–[5] zone) before either finding a new equilibrium or fading to near-zero. Trading volume declines significantly from the 24h spike levels.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant but gradually decreases as early sellers exhaust their positions
  • No major new catalysts (social media virality, whale accumulation) emerge in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity
  • The token does not experience a rug pull or authority-based exploit
  • Broader Solana market conditions remain roughly neutral

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate as early buyers fully distribute their positions. With only $39.86K in liquidity and no fundamental value drivers, the price retraces to the pre-pump base of $0.0000142–$0.0000300 (candles [8]–[10] range) or lower, representing a 70–85% decline from current levels.

  • Continued 75% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 4:1
  • Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) accelerating price decline on sell orders
  • No verified utility, contract, or fundamental value to attract long-term holders
  • Post-pump exhaustion pattern confirmed by candle [1] bearish close near lows
  • Unknown authority status creating persistent rug risk overhang
  • Micro-cap meme tokens on PumpSwap have historically very high failure rates

GeneratedAug 15, 03:17 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-15T03:00:00Z (most recent candle close). Price and volume data may have changed since analysis was generated.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability, update authority)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 12-hour OHLC candlestick data (hourly, USD)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, transaction counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair address, liquidity, FDV)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — concentration and whale analysis cannot be performed
  • Sniper/early buyer data is unavailable — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • Contract is unverified — no code audit or security review is possible
  • Only 12 hourly candles are available — longer-term technical analysis is not possible
  • FDV of $96.5K means the token is susceptible to extreme manipulation by any single large holder
  • PumpSwap/pump.fun tokens have limited on-chain history and metadata compared to established tokens
  • No social metrics, community size, or developer activity data is available
  • The 24h price change showing 0% in the analytics section conflicts with the 129.17% figure — this may reflect a data normalization artifact in the analytics endpoint

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply970,103,324.355027

Key Risks

•Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) — severe slippage on any meaningful trade
•Dominant sell pressure: 75% sell volume, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h
•Unverified contract with unknown update authority and unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status
•Price already retraced ~50% from intraday high — potential continuation of downtrend

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data is available for Niu Lai (牛来). Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. The available trading analytics show 1,478 unique sellers vs 393 unique buyers in 24h, suggesting broad distribution behavior, but this cannot be attributed specifically to snipers or early insiders without the underlying wallet data.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

No sniper data available for this token.

Unknown — no sniper or early buyer wallet data is available. The heavy sell-side dominance (75% sell volume, 4,357 sell transactions) suggests early participants may be distributing, but this cannot be confirmed without on-chain wallet-level data.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Niu Lai (牛来)?

Price has already retraced sharply from the candle [2] spike high of $0.0001985 down to ~$0.0000994 (close of candle [1]), and the most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%. With 75% sell pressure and sellers outnumbering buyers nearly 4:1 (1,478 sellers vs 393 buyers), further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support sits around $0.0000953 (candle [1] low). A break below that opens a path toward $0.0000462–$0.0000482 (candle [3]–[4] range). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000462 to $0.0001498.

Is 牛来 a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, income-focused investors, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana meme tokens. Position sizes should be minimal (e.g., amounts one is fully prepared to lose entirely). This is NOT financial advice.

What does sniper activity look like for 牛来?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding 牛来?

Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) — severe slippage on any meaningful trade • Dominant sell pressure: 75% sell volume, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status

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