牛来

Niu Lai Price Today & AI Analysis

牛来SolanaAnalysis as of Aug 15, 2026

Price

$0.041339

-1.25% 24h

Contract

Live
Ezft93o4o9vbhn6tf1QXYjR8C7tvto3YKahXPZR8pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

620

Market cap

$12,978

Ask Unhosted AI about 牛来

Continue in chat

What's Twitter saying?Whale activityWhat are the risks?Should I buy?

More tokens on Solana

CapyDuckCapyDuckCapybara Duck$0.053438+0.0%MC $3.3KPALESTINEPALESTINEChildren of Palestine$0.052281+0.0%MC $2.3KGAYCUPGAYCUPGay Cup Coin$0.052889+0.0%MC $2.9Kchuchuchuchucatwifhat$0.054248+0.0%MC $4.2KDAREDAREDARE$0.053038+0.0%MC $3.0Ke/acce/accEffective Accelerationism$0.008889+103.9%MC $8.74M

Niu Lai: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-08-15 03:17 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$39,860.28
How concentrated is Niu Lai ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Niu Lai?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Niu Lai liquidity falling?
As of 2026-08-15 03:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $39,860.28. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-08-15 03:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Aug 15, 03:17 AM UTC

FDV

$96,469

Liquidity

$39,860.28

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Niu Lai (牛来) is an unverified Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap (pair 9N7jwifjNjM68JJuJ1YW8auWAor9KAKnEGZikPzDetxV) with a total supply of ~970.1M tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$96.5K. The token has experienced an explosive 129% 24-hour price surge to $0.0000994, driven by a sharp spike in candle [2] that reached an intraday high of $0.0001985. However, sell pressure is dominant at 75% of 24h volume ($240K sells vs $80K buys), liquidity is very thin at $39.86K, and the contract is unverified. This is a high-risk, speculative micro-cap token.

Key points

  • 129% 24h price surge with intraday high of $0.0001985 — nearly 2x current price
  • Extremely thin liquidity of $39.86K against $96.5K FDV creates severe slippage risk
  • Heavily sell-dominated: 75% sell pressure, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and mutable=false metadata
  • No sniper data available; early buyer behavior cannot be assessed

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price has already retraced sharply from the candle [2] spike high of $0.0001985 down to ~$0.0000994 (close of candle [1]), and the most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%. With 75% sell pressure and sellers outnumbering buyers nearly 4:1 (1,478 sellers vs 393 buyers), further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support sits around $0.0000953 (candle [1] low). A break below that opens a path toward $0.0000462–$0.0000482 (candle [3]–[4] range).

Target low

$0.0000462

Target high

$0.0001498

Support

$0.0000953 (candle [1] low), $0.0000552 (candle [3] close), $0.0000482 (candle [4] high/close)

Resistance

$0.0001498 (candle [2] close), $0.0001855 (candle [1] high), $0.0001988 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a verified contract, meaningful utility, or sustained buy-side demand, the token is likely to continue drifting lower as early participants take profits. The FDV of $96.5K is extremely small, making the token susceptible to whale-driven price swings. A recovery above $0.0001988 would be needed to signal renewed bullish momentum.

Catalysts

  • Renewed social media or community-driven buying wave
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at lower price levels
  • Listing on a higher-profile aggregator or DEX

Bullish factors

  • 129% 24h price gain demonstrates strong short-term momentum
  • Intraday spike to $0.0001988 shows buyers willing to pay a significant premium
  • 1,875 buy transactions in 24h indicates some genuine retail interest
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of rug risk
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain liquidity

Bearish factors

  • 75% sell pressure ($240K sells vs $80K buys) — sellers dominate heavily
  • 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys — sell transactions outnumber buys 2.3:1
  • 1,478 unique sellers vs 393 unique buyers — broad distribution of sellers
  • Liquidity of only $39.86K is dangerously thin relative to $96.5K FDV
  • Price already retraced ~50% from intraday high of $0.0001988 to $0.0000994
  • Most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%, indicating continued selling
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • No description, no verified social presence beyond a website link
  • Candle [1] shows a bearish close well below the session high

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's micro-cap status, extreme volatility (candle [2] range spans $0.0000373–$0.0001988), absence of sniper/holder data, unverified contract, and unknown update authority. Price action in this class of token is highly unpredictable and driven by social sentiment rather than fundamentals.

牛来 call history

Full track record →

Aug 15bearish
24h+49.5%
7d—
30d-87.4%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
Ezft93...pump
Total Supply
970,103,324.355027

Key Risks

  • Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) — severe slippage on any meaningful trade
  • Dominant sell pressure: 75% sell volume, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status
  • Price already retraced ~50% from intraday high — potential continuation of downtrend

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 12-hour OHLC dataset reveals a dramatic pump-and-dump pattern. Candles [12]–[8] (16:00–20:00 on Aug 14) show a base-building phase with prices ranging $0.0000142–$0.0000839, with candle [12] being the highest-volume candle in the early set ($104K). Candles [7]–[6] show a modest recovery. Candle [2] (02:00 Aug 15) is the climax candle: open $0.0000552, high $0.0001988, low $0.0000373, close $0.0001499 — a massive wick-heavy bullish candle with $64.3K volume. Candle [1] (03:00 Aug 15) is a bearish reversal candle: open $0.0001556, high $0.0001845, low $0.0000953, close $0.0000994 — closing near the low, confirming distribution. The pattern is a classic 'pump and dump' with a shooting-star/bearish engulfing structure at the top.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

The medium-term trend (12h lookback) is technically upward given the move from $0.0000142 lows (candle [8]) to the $0.0001988 high (candle [2]), representing a ~14x move. However, the short-term trend has reversed sharply: candle [1] closed at $0.0000994, well below the candle [2] close of $0.0001499, and the 5-minute change is -12.5%. The short-term momentum is clearly bearish.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

25%

Sell

75%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000953 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000142 (candle [8] all-time low in dataset)

Immediate resistance

$0.0001499 (candle [2] close / candle [1] open area)

Major resistance

$0.0001988 (candle [2] all-time high in dataset)

The $0.0000953 level (candle [1] low) is the first line of defense. A break below this opens the $0.0000462–$0.0000552 zone (candles [3]–[4] range). On the upside, $0.0001499 is the first resistance (candle [2] close), and $0.0001988 is the session high and major resistance. The wide spread between support and resistance reflects extreme volatility.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing at candle [1]: opens near candle [2] close, spikes to $0.0001845, then closes near the low at $0.0000994 — classic distribution signal
  • Climax candle [2]: massive upper and lower wicks with high volume ($64.3K) — exhaustion/blow-off top pattern
  • Higher highs from candle [8] through candle [2]: 12h uptrend now reversing
  • Candle [4] is a bullish close (close = high at $0.0000488) — minor accumulation signal in the base
  • Candle [11] shows a large bearish wick: open $0.0000461, high $0.0000477, close $0.0000173 — early distribution signal before the pump
  • Volume climax in candle [12] ($104K) followed by lower-volume candles suggests the initial pump was driven by a single large event

Liquidity

Liquidity

$39,860.28

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is critically shallow at $39.86K — less than half the FDV of $96.5K and a fraction of the $320K+ in 24h trading volume. This means any meaningful trade will incur severe slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $240.08K in sell volume vs $80.11K in buy volume represents a 3:1 sell-to-buy ratio by dollar value. Unique sellers (1,478) outnumber unique buyers (393) by nearly 4:1, confirming broad distribution behavior. The market is in a clear outflow state. With only $39.86K in liquidity, a single large sell order could collapse the price significantly. This is a high-slippage, low-depth market unsuitable for any meaningful position size.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

970,103,324.355027

FDV

$96,468.70

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token surged ~295% in 6 hours and 129% in 24 hours, with an intraday range in candle [2] spanning $0.0000373 to $0.0001988 — a 5.3x range within a single hour. The most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $39.86K on PumpSwap. This is critically thin relative to the $320K+ in 24h trading volume. Any trade above a few hundred dollars will incur significant slippage. Exit liquidity for larger holders is severely limited.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) — severe slippage on any meaningful trade
  • Dominant sell pressure: 75% sell volume, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h
  • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status
  • Price already retraced ~50% from intraday high — potential continuation of downtrend
  • No description, no verified utility, no audited code — pure speculative meme token
  • Micro-cap FDV of $96.5K makes the token highly susceptible to whale manipulation
  • Holder distribution data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • PumpSwap/pump.fun tokens have historically high failure and rug rates

Mitigating factors

  • Mutable=false metadata reduces risk of post-launch metadata manipulation
  • Token is listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • Active trading with 1,505 unique wallets in 24h shows genuine market participation
  • PumpSwap provides transparent on-chain liquidity with no hidden mechanisms
  • The 129% 24h gain demonstrates real buyer demand, at least in the short term

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, income-focused investors, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana meme tokens. Position sizes should be minimal (e.g., amounts one is fully prepared to lose entirely). This is NOT financial advice.

Niu Lai (牛来) is a high-risk, unverified Solana meme token that has experienced a sharp 129% pump in 24 hours but is now showing clear signs of distribution. The bull case relies entirely on continued social momentum and retail FOMO; the bear case is supported by the on-chain data showing 3:1 sell-to-buy volume, 4:1 seller-to-buyer ratio, and critically thin liquidity. The base case is continued price erosion as early buyers distribute into retail demand.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

A second wave of social media attention or community-driven buying reignites momentum, pushing price back toward or above the $0.0001988 intraday high. The 'Niu Lai' (牛来, meaning 'bull is coming' in Chinese) branding could attract Chinese-speaking crypto communities, driving a sustained rally.

  • Viral social media spread within Chinese-speaking crypto communities
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed levels ($0.0000994)
  • Sustained buy pressure overcoming the current 75% sell dominance
  • Listing on a higher-profile platform or aggregator increasing visibility

Base Case

Price gradually drifts lower over the next 24–72 hours as the pump momentum fades and early buyers continue to distribute. The token stabilizes somewhere in the $0.0000300–$0.0000600 range (candles [3]–[5] zone) before either finding a new equilibrium or fading to near-zero. Trading volume declines significantly from the 24h spike levels.

  • Sell pressure remains dominant but gradually decreases as early sellers exhaust their positions
  • No major new catalysts (social media virality, whale accumulation) emerge in the near term
  • Liquidity remains thin, limiting both upside and downside velocity
  • The token does not experience a rug pull or authority-based exploit
  • Broader Solana market conditions remain roughly neutral

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate as early buyers fully distribute their positions. With only $39.86K in liquidity and no fundamental value drivers, the price retraces to the pre-pump base of $0.0000142–$0.0000300 (candles [8]–[10] range) or lower, representing a 70–85% decline from current levels.

  • Continued 75% sell pressure with sellers outnumbering buyers 4:1
  • Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) accelerating price decline on sell orders
  • No verified utility, contract, or fundamental value to attract long-term holders
  • Post-pump exhaustion pattern confirmed by candle [1] bearish close near lows
  • Unknown authority status creating persistent rug risk overhang
  • Micro-cap meme tokens on PumpSwap have historically very high failure rates

Analysis details

Generated

Aug 15, 03:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-08-15 03:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, mutability, update authority)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 12-hour OHLC candlestick data (hourly, USD)
  • 24h trading analytics (buy/sell volume, transaction counts, unique wallets)
  • PumpSwap pair data (pair address, liquidity, FDV)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — concentration and whale analysis cannot be performed
  • Sniper/early buyer data is unavailable — smart money signals are severely limited
  • Update authority is listed as 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • Contract is unverified — no code audit or security review is possible
  • Only 12 hourly candles are available — longer-term technical analysis is not possible
  • FDV of $96.5K means the token is susceptible to extreme manipulation by any single large holder
  • PumpSwap/pump.fun tokens have limited on-chain history and metadata compared to established tokens
  • No social metrics, community size, or developer activity data is available
  • The 24h price change showing 0% in the analytics section conflicts with the 129.17% figure — this may reflect a data normalization artifact in the analytics endpoint

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any token. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance does not guarantee future results.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Niu Lai ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Niu Lai?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Niu Lai liquidity falling?

As of 2026-08-15 03:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $39,860.28. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Niu Lai (牛来)?

Price has already retraced sharply from the candle [2] spike high of $0.0001985 down to ~$0.0000994 (close of candle [1]), and the most recent 5-minute change is -12.5%. With 75% sell pressure and sellers outnumbering buyers nearly 4:1 (1,478 sellers vs 393 buyers), further downside is likely in the near term. Immediate support sits around $0.0000953 (candle [1] low). A break below that opens a path toward $0.0000462–$0.0000482 (candle [3]–[4] range). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000462 to $0.0001498.

Is 牛来 a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, income-focused investors, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap Solana meme tokens. Position sizes should be minimal (e.g., amounts one is fully prepared to lose entirely). This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding 牛来?

Critically thin liquidity ($39.86K) — severe slippage on any meaningful trade • Dominant sell pressure: 75% sell volume, 4,357 sells vs 1,875 buys in 24h • Unverified contract with unknown update authority and unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status

← Back to all predictions

Questions about 牛来?