BASED

BASED Price Today & AI Analysis

BASEDSolanaAnalysis as of May 3, 2026

Price

$0.052292

FDV $2,291

Contract

Live
EYuZi2uc94Nj4NsLga2pUqTULEPCEa837N5vBboHpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

21

Market cap

$2,291

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BASED: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-03 06:49 UTC

Holder addresses

136

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is BASED ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 136 addresses (2026-05-03 06:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling BASED?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is BASED liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-03 06:49 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 3, 06:49 AM UTC

FDV

$6,384

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

136

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

BASED (EYuZi2uc94Nj4NsLga2pUqTULEPCEa837N5vBboHpump) is an extremely new Pump.Fun meme token on Solana with a micro-cap FDV of ~$6,384. The token launched within the last 24 hours, accumulating all 136 holders in that window. It is experiencing heavy sell pressure (-63.5% in 24h), with 61.8% of volume being sells. The top holder — the Pump.Fun bonding curve/liquidity pool address — controls 56.57% of supply, and the top 10 wallets collectively hold 77.29%. On-chain liquidity is reported as $0.00, indicating it has not yet graduated from the Pump.Fun bonding curve to a DEX pool. This is an extremely high-risk, speculative micro-cap token with no verified contract, no description, and no established track record.

Key points

  • Launched within the last 24 hours — all 136 holders acquired in a single day
  • Pump.Fun bonding curve address holds 56.57% of supply, indicating the token has not yet graduated to a DEX
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity ($0.00), creating extreme slippage and exit risk
  • No snipers detected in the first 1,000 blocks — unusual and potentially positive for fair launch optics
  • Severe sell pressure: 61.8% sell volume vs 38.2% buy volume with a -63.5% 24h price decline

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token is in a sharp downtrend, having fallen -63.5% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (05:00–06:00 UTC) shows a recovery from $0.000004496 to $0.000006384, but the 5-minute change is -9.67%, suggesting the bounce is already fading. Sell pressure dominates at 61.8% of volume. With zero liquidity depth and 620 unique sellers vs 451 buyers, further downside is the most likely near-term outcome.

Target low

$0.000003500

Target high

$0.000007500

Support

$0.000004496 (hourly candle low, 05:00 UTC), $0.000004565 (hourly open, 05:00 UTC)

Resistance

$0.000006384 (current price / recent high), $0.000005705 (prior hourly close)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

Without a catalyst such as bonding curve graduation to Raydium, viral social momentum, or a significant increase in buyer volume, the token is likely to continue declining. The extremely concentrated supply (top 10 = 77.29%) and dominant sell pressure make sustained recovery unlikely in the medium term. A graduation event could temporarily spike price, but the structural risks remain.

Catalysts

  • Bonding curve graduation to Raydium/Orca DEX (would unlock real liquidity)
  • Viral social media traction via Twitter/website presence
  • Whale accumulation by one or more top holders
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • No snipers detected — suggests a relatively fair launch without early predatory actors
  • Recent hourly candle shows a strong recovery bounce (+40% from low to close in the 05:00 candle)
  • Token has social presence (Twitter, website, Moralis links)
  • 135 of 136 holders acquired via swap, indicating organic market participation
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces certain rug vectors

Bearish factors

  • Price down -63.5% in 24 hours with sell pressure at 61.8%
  • Zero reported liquidity ($0.00) — extreme exit risk
  • Top 10 holders control 77.29% of supply; top 100 control 99.66%
  • Pump.Fun bonding curve address holds 56.57% — token has not graduated
  • Only 136 total holders — extremely thin community base
  • No verified contract, no description, unverified update authority
  • 5-minute price change is -9.67%, suggesting the bounce is already reversing
  • Holder count dropped by 8 (-5.9%) in the last hour alone

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token is less than 24 hours old, liquidity is $0.00, and the historical holder series shows zeros for all prior 30 days. There is insufficient price history to make confident directional calls. All predictions are based on momentum, volume ratios, and structural on-chain data.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
EYuZi2...pump
Total Supply
999,999,755.25

Key Risks

  • Zero on-chain liquidity — token has not graduated from Pump.Fun bonding curve
  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 = 77.29%, top 100 = 99.66%
  • Severe and ongoing sell pressure: 61.8% sell volume, -63.5% 24h price decline
  • Only 136 holders with net loss of 8 in the last hour — community is shrinking

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available (05:00 and 06:00 UTC on 2026-05-03). Candle [2] (05:00): O=$0.000004565, H=$0.000005705, L=$0.000004496, C=$0.000005705 — a strong bullish candle with a small lower wick and close at the high, suggesting buying pressure during that hour. Volume was $64,039.95, the dominant candle by volume. Candle [1] (06:00): O=$0.000005680, H=$0.000006384, L=$0.000005680, C=$0.000006384 — another bullish candle closing at its high with no upper wick, but volume collapsed to $3,195.53 (~95% lower). This volume divergence (price rising on dramatically lower volume) is a bearish signal — the rally may be exhausted. The pattern resembles a low-volume continuation after a high-volume spike, often preceding a reversal.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The two available candles show a short-term price recovery from the $0.000004496 low, forming higher lows and higher highs across both candles. However, the broader 24-hour context is a severe downtrend (-63.5%), and the volume collapse on the second candle undermines the sustainability of this bounce. The medium-term trend remains firmly bearish.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

38%

Sell

62%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000005680 (06:00 candle open / prior close)

Major support

$0.000004496 (05:00 candle low — the lowest observed price)

Immediate resistance

$0.000006384 (current price / 06:00 candle high)

Major resistance

$0.000017521 (implied pre-dump price, ~$0.0000175 based on 24h change reversal)

Immediate support sits at the 06:00 open of $0.000005680. A break below this level would likely retest the $0.000004496 low. Resistance is the current price of $0.000006384; a sustained break above would need significant volume. Major resistance is the pre-dump price level implied by the -63.5% decline.

Notable patterns

  • Two consecutive bullish candles closing at their highs (potential short-term momentum)
  • Volume collapse on second candle (bearish divergence — rally lacks conviction)
  • No upper wicks on either candle (buyers in control intra-hour, but context is a dead-cat bounce)
  • Price recovering from extreme oversold conditions after -63.5% 24h crash

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,999,755.25

FDV

$6,383.85

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -63.5% in 24 hours and is showing continued short-term weakness (-9.67% in 5 minutes). With only 2 hourly candles of price history and a micro-cap FDV of $6,384, extreme volatility in both directions is expected.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero on-chain liquidity — token has not graduated from Pump.Fun bonding curve
  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 = 77.29%, top 100 = 99.66%
  • Severe and ongoing sell pressure: 61.8% sell volume, -63.5% 24h price decline
  • Only 136 holders with net loss of 8 in the last hour — community is shrinking
  • Micro-cap FDV of $6,384 makes the token trivially easy to manipulate
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
  • Token is less than 24 hours old with no established price history or community

Mitigating factors

  • No snipers detected in first 1,000 blocks — relatively fair launch
  • Mutable=false reduces metadata manipulation risk
  • 135/136 holders acquired via organic swap activity
  • Social links present (Twitter, website) suggesting some community intent
  • Pump.Fun platform provides a structured bonding curve mechanism

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand Pump.Fun mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme coin dynamics.

BASED is a brand-new Pump.Fun micro-cap meme token with a FDV of ~$6,384, launched within the last 24 hours. It is experiencing severe sell pressure and has not yet graduated from the bonding curve. The investment case is purely speculative — a bet on viral momentum or bonding curve graduation — against a backdrop of extreme concentration risk, zero liquidity, and a collapsing price. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric to the downside in the current state.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral social momentum drives rapid holder growth, buy volume overwhelms sell pressure, and the token graduates from the Pump.Fun bonding curve to Raydium, unlocking real liquidity and attracting a broader audience. A successful graduation could 5–20x the price from current levels.

  • Viral Twitter/social media campaign drives new buyer inflow
  • Bonding curve graduation to Raydium creates real AMM liquidity
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifts all micro-caps
  • Whale accumulation by one or more top holders signals confidence
  • No sniper overhang means any rally is not immediately sold into by bots

Base Case

The token stabilizes at a very low price level with minimal trading activity, retaining a small core of 50–100 holders. It neither graduates from the bonding curve nor completely collapses, but trades in a low-volume, high-volatility range for days before fading into inactivity.

  • Some buyers continue to speculate on a potential recovery or graduation
  • No single large holder dumps their entire position simultaneously
  • Pump.Fun bonding curve continues to function as the primary price mechanism
  • Social links remain active but fail to generate significant new interest

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate, remaining holders exit, and the token fails to graduate from the bonding curve. Price approaches zero as the community dissolves within days of launch. The token becomes inactive with no trading volume.

  • Continued net holder decline (already -8 in last hour)
  • Zero liquidity makes recovery structurally difficult
  • 61.8% sell volume dominance with no reversal catalyst
  • Micro-cap FDV means even small sell orders cause outsized price impact
  • No verified contract or description reduces credibility for new buyers

Analysis details

Generated

May 3, 06:49 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-03 06:49 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Pump.Fun bonding curve on-chain data
  • Solana on-chain holder metrics
  • OHLC price data (hourly)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Top 20 holder distribution data
  • Historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Token metadata (Moralis/on-chain)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Historical holder series shows zeros for all 30 prior days, confirming token is brand new with no historical baseline
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status are unknown — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot assess metadata rug risk
  • Zero sniper data — cannot assess early smart money positioning
  • Reported liquidity of $0.00 may reflect bonding curve mechanics rather than true zero liquidity, but exit risk remains extreme
  • No description or whitepaper — fundamental analysis is not possible
  • FDV of $6,384 is so small that on-chain data may be noisy or incomplete

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in micro-cap meme tokens carries extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is BASED ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 136 addresses (2026-05-03 06:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling BASED?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is BASED liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for BASED (BASED)?

The token is in a sharp downtrend, having fallen -63.5% in 24 hours. The most recent hourly candle (05:00–06:00 UTC) shows a recovery from $0.000004496 to $0.000006384, but the 5-minute change is -9.67%, suggesting the bounce is already fading. Sell pressure dominates at 61.8% of volume. With zero liquidity depth and 620 unique sellers vs 451 buyers, further downside is the most likely near-term outcome. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000003500 to $0.000007500.

Is BASED a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand Pump.Fun mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap Solana meme coin dynamics.

What are the key risks of holding BASED?

Zero on-chain liquidity — token has not graduated from Pump.Fun bonding curve • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 = 77.29%, top 100 = 99.66% • Severe and ongoing sell pressure: 61.8% sell volume, -63.5% 24h price decline

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