arc

AI Rig Complex Price Today & AI Analysis

arcSolanaAnalysis as of Apr 30, 2026

Price

$0.0511

-14.08% 24h

Contract

Live
61V8vBaqAGMpgDQi4JcAwo1dmBGHsyhzodcPqnEVpump

Chain

Holders

47,605

Market cap

$51,097,969

At a $500M market cap, $ARC would be $0.5000 (9.79x from today’s price)

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AI Rig Complex: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-04-30 16:49 UTC

Holder addresses

46,011

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$4,394,473.21
How concentrated is AI Rig Complex ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 46,011 addresses (2026-04-30 16:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling AI Rig Complex?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is AI Rig Complex liquidity falling?
As of 2026-04-30 16:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $4,394,473.21. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-04-30 16:49 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Apr 30, 04:49 PM UTC

FDV

$73,566,089

Liquidity

$4,394,473.21

Holders

46,011

Snipers

Not available

Risk

High
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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

High

Sentiment

Bearish

AI Rig Complex (ARC) is a Solana-based token with a total supply of ~999.98M tokens, currently trading at $0.0736 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$73.6M–$75.2M. The token is listed on Raydium with $4.39M in total liquidity. While the project has a verified contract, active social presence, and no sniper activity at launch, it exhibits extreme supply concentration (top 10 holders control 78.61%) and a persistent, slow decline in holder count over the past 30 days. Sell pressure slightly dominates at 52.1% of 24h volume.

Key points

  • No sniper activity detected in the first 1,000 blocks — clean launch
  • Verified contract with immutable metadata (mutable: false)
  • Substantial liquidity pool of $4.39M on Raydium
  • Active multi-platform social presence (Reddit, Telegram, Twitter, Website)
  • AI-themed narrative with broad crypto market appeal

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

Price has been declining from a 24h high near $0.0835 (candle 14 high) down to the current $0.0736, forming a series of lower highs and lower closes over the most recent 10 candles. Sell pressure at 52.1% and net holder outflow of -95 in 24h reinforce near-term bearish bias. A bounce is possible from the $0.0726–$0.0737 support zone, but momentum favors further downside unless buyers step in.

Target low

$0.0700

Target high

$0.0790

Support

$0.0737 (recent close / candle 1 low area), $0.0726 (candle 1 low: $0.07261), $0.0700 (psychological round number)

Resistance

$0.0766 (candle 7 high: $0.07666), $0.0793 (candle 15 high: $0.07868), $0.0835 (candle 14 high: $0.08349)

Medium term · 2–4 weeks

neutral

Over the 30-day holder trend, the token has shed ~789 holders (-1.70%), suggesting gradual distribution. However, the $4.39M liquidity base and AI narrative could attract renewed interest if broader market conditions improve. Medium-term direction hinges on whether the holder decline stabilizes and if buy volume can consistently exceed sell volume.

Catalysts

  • Broader Solana ecosystem rally driving speculative inflows
  • AI sector narrative momentum attracting new buyers
  • Stabilization or reversal of holder count decline
  • Potential exchange listings or partnership announcements

Bullish factors

  • Clean launch with zero sniper activity
  • Verified, immutable contract reduces rug risk
  • $4.39M liquidity provides meaningful depth for a token at this market cap
  • AI narrative remains a strong market theme
  • Multi-platform social presence signals active community management

Bearish factors

  • Top 10 holders control 78.61% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Holder count declining for 27 of the last 30 days (-789 total, -1.70%)
  • Sell pressure dominates at 52.1% of 24h volume ($993.84K sells vs $912.98K buys)
  • Price down -2.30% in 24h and -3.59% in 6h, forming lower highs
  • Update authority not renounced (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM)

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to extreme supply concentration (top 10 hold 78.61%), persistent holder decline, and the absence of fundamental on-chain catalysts. Price predictions for highly concentrated meme/narrative tokens are inherently unreliable.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
61V8vB...pump
Total Supply
999,983,238.94 ARC

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 44.40%, top 10 hold 78.61% — any large holder exit could be catastrophic for price
  • Persistent holder decline: -789 holders over 30 days with acceleration in recent days
  • Sell pressure dominates: 52.1% sell volume, 310 sellers vs 254 buyers in 24h
  • Update authority not renounced — residual governance/metadata risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series (hourly) shows a clear intraday peak around candle 14 (03:00 UTC, high $0.08349) followed by a sustained decline through the most recent candle (16:00 UTC, close $0.07357). The early session (candles 14–12) featured high-volume spikes ($423K, $231K, $204K) that drove price to the session high, followed by progressive selling. Candles 11–7 show a gradual step-down with moderate volume, and candles 6–1 reflect lower-volume consolidation with continued downward drift. The final candle (candle 1) has a bearish body closing near the session low, confirming selling pressure into the close.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is clearly bearish, with price falling from $0.0835 to $0.0736 over the 24-hour window — a decline of approximately 11.8% from peak to current. The medium-term trend is sideways, as the price range over the 30-day period appears to oscillate without a clear directional breakout, bounded roughly between $0.07 and $0.085.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

48%

Sell

52%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0726 (candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.0700 (psychological level)

Immediate resistance

$0.0766 (candle 7 high)

Major resistance

$0.0835 (candle 14 session high)

The $0.0726 level represents the lowest wick of the most recent 24-hour session and is the first line of defense for bulls. A break below this opens the door to $0.0700. On the upside, $0.0766 (candle 7 high) is the first meaningful resistance, with the session high of $0.0835 acting as major resistance that would require significant volume to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish engulfing structure: candle 14 (high $0.0835) followed by progressive lower closes through candle 1
  • High-volume sell climax at candle 13 ($423K volume, bearish close from $0.0821 open to $0.0800 close)
  • Declining volume on downtrend (potential seller exhaustion near support)
  • Doji-like candles 5 and 9 (very tight O/C range) suggesting brief indecision mid-session
  • Lower highs pattern: $0.0835 → $0.0817 → $0.0794 → $0.0766 → $0.0754 → $0.0736

Liquidity

Liquidity

$4,394,473.21

Depth

Moderate

Slippage risk

Medium

The token has $4.39M in total liquidity on Raydium (pair J3b6dvheS2Y1cbMtVz5TCWXNegSjJDbUKxdUVDPoqmS7), which is moderate relative to its ~$73.6M FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of approximately 6%, which is reasonable but not deep. 24h total volume was approximately $1.91M ($912.98K buys + $993.84K sells), with a net outflow of ~$80.86K. There were 310 unique sellers vs 254 unique buyers, and 4,923 sell transactions vs 4,398 buy transactions — all metrics pointing to mild but consistent net selling pressure. Slippage risk is medium: large orders (>$50K) would likely move the price meaningfully given the liquidity depth. The market is functional but not highly liquid relative to the concentration of supply in top wallets.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

999,983,238.94 ARC

FDV

$73,566,088.62

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped ~11.8% from intraday high ($0.0835) to current ($0.0736) within a single 24-hour session, with high-volume candles showing rapid directional moves. The token is susceptible to sharp swings given its speculative nature and concentrated supply.

  • Liquiditymedium

    $4.39M liquidity is moderate but represents only ~6% of FDV. Large holders (top wallet: 44.40%) could cause significant price impact if they begin selling. Slippage on large orders is a real concern.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 44.40%, top 10 hold 78.61% — any large holder exit could be catastrophic for price
  • Persistent holder decline: -789 holders over 30 days with acceleration in recent days
  • Sell pressure dominates: 52.1% sell volume, 310 sellers vs 254 buyers in 24h
  • Update authority not renounced — residual governance/metadata risk
  • Pump.fun origin token — historically high failure rate for such launches
  • No confirmed mint/freeze authority renouncement

Mitigating factors

  • Zero sniper activity at launch — clean, fair start
  • Verified contract with immutable metadata (mutable: false)
  • $4.39M liquidity provides meaningful buffer against small-to-medium sell orders
  • Active multi-platform social presence suggesting ongoing community engagement
  • AI narrative alignment with a strong current market theme
  • 46,011 total holders represents a reasonably broad base for a token of this type

Suitable for

Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative investors who understand the risks of highly concentrated Solana tokens. Not suitable for conservative investors or those without experience in crypto markets. Position sizing should be small relative to portfolio given the extreme concentration risk and declining holder trend.

AI Rig Complex (ARC) is a speculative AI-narrative Solana token with a clean launch (no snipers), verified immutable contract, and $4.39M in liquidity. However, it is severely hampered by extreme supply concentration (top 10 hold 78.61%), a persistent 30-day holder decline, and mild but consistent net selling pressure. The investment case rests almost entirely on narrative momentum and broader market conditions rather than fundamental on-chain strength.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

AI narrative momentum drives renewed retail interest, holder count stabilizes and reverses, and the top whale wallet (44.40%) is confirmed as a locked treasury — removing the overhang. Price recovers to retest $0.0835 resistance and potentially breaks to new highs above $0.10.

  • Broader Solana and AI token market rally
  • Confirmation that the 44.40% wallet is a locked/vested treasury
  • New exchange listings or major partnership announcements
  • Reversal of holder decline trend with sustained daily net positive inflows
  • High-profile social media or influencer attention

Base Case

Price continues to trade in the $0.065–$0.080 range with slow, grinding holder attrition. The AI narrative keeps the token alive but without a major catalyst, it slowly loses relevance. Liquidity remains stable but volume gradually declines.

  • No major selling from top whale wallets in the near term
  • Broader market remains range-bound without a strong bull or bear catalyst
  • Holder decline continues at current pace (~25–65/day) without acceleration
  • Liquidity pool remains intact on Raydium
  • AI narrative maintains general market interest without a breakout catalyst

Bear Case

Medium probability

The largest holder (44.40%) begins distributing, triggering a cascade of selling. Holder decline accelerates, liquidity thins, and price breaks below $0.07 support, potentially falling to $0.04–$0.05 range.

  • Large wallet distribution from the 44.40% holder
  • Continued holder count decline accelerating beyond -100/day
  • Broader crypto market downturn reducing speculative appetite
  • Failure to generate new catalysts or community growth
  • Liquidity withdrawal from Raydium pool

Analysis details

Generated

Apr 30, 04:49 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-04-30 16:49 UTC

Model confidence

Medium

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, authority, supply, decimals)
  • Raydium DEX pair data (liquidity, volume, price)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets, transaction counts)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (top 20 holders, historical 30-day series)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Supply concentration data (top 10, top 100 percentages)

Limitations

  • Mint and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — classified as unknown
  • Update authority wallet (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) not identified as a known entity — cannot confirm if it is a team, multisig, or DAO wallet
  • Top holder wallet classifications are inferred from balance patterns and address characteristics, not confirmed on-chain labels
  • No order book depth data available — slippage estimates are approximations
  • 30-day holder history is the limit of available data — longer-term trends cannot be assessed
  • Sniper data shows 0 snipers but methodology for detection (first 1,000 blocks) may not capture all early coordinated buying

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments carry significant risk of loss. Past performance and on-chain metrics do not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is AI Rig Complex ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 46,011 addresses (2026-04-30 16:49 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling AI Rig Complex?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is AI Rig Complex liquidity falling?

As of 2026-04-30 16:49 UTC, reported liquidity was $4,394,473.21. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for AI Rig Complex (arc)?

Price has been declining from a 24h high near $0.0835 (candle 14 high) down to the current $0.0736, forming a series of lower highs and lower closes over the most recent 10 candles. Sell pressure at 52.1% and net holder outflow of -95 in 24h reinforce near-term bearish bias. A bounce is possible from the $0.0726–$0.0737 support zone, but momentum favors further downside unless buyers step in. Short-term outlook is bearish (24–72 hours), with a target range of $0.0700 to $0.0790.

Is arc a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as high with a risk score of 7.8/100. Suitable only for high-risk-tolerant, speculative investors who understand the risks of highly concentrated Solana tokens. Not suitable for conservative investors or those without experience in crypto markets. Position sizing should be small relative to portfolio given the extreme concentration risk and declining holder trend.

What are the key risks of holding arc?

Extreme supply concentration: top wallet holds 44.40%, top 10 hold 78.61% — any large holder exit could be catastrophic for price • Persistent holder decline: -789 holders over 30 days with acceleration in recent days • Sell pressure dominates: 52.1% sell volume, 310 sellers vs 254 buyers in 24h

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