Luna Bear

Luna Price Today & AI Analysis

Luna BearSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 10, 2026

Price

$0.052031

Contract

Live
EPLeohiDXdCH2JmBJLgj6JTtBFvaTdDpN32P3vF7pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

68

Market cap

$2,030

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Luna: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-10 20:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,406

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$40,260.89
How concentrated is Luna ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,406 addresses (2026-07-10 20:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Luna?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Luna liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-10 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,260.89. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-10 20:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 10, 08:17 PM UTC

FDV

$88,719

Liquidity

$40,260.89

Holders

1,406

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Luna Bear ($Luna) is a newly launched Solana meme token (mint: EPLeohiDXdCH2JmBJLgj6JTtBFvaTdDpN32P3vF7pump) with a 'pump' suffix indicating a PumpFun/PumpSwap origin. The token has a total supply of 1 billion, a fully diluted valuation of ~$88.7K, and total liquidity of only ~$40.3K. All 1,406 holders appeared within the last 24 hours (100% growth in 1h/24h/7d/30d), meaning the token is extremely new — likely launched on July 10, 2026. The historical holder series shows zero holders for all prior 30 days, confirming this is a brand-new token. The price surged ~44.8% in 24h but has dropped ~29.7% in the last 5 minutes, signaling extreme volatility. Top holder data is unavailable, and no sniper data was provided. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is unverified. This token carries very high risk.

Key points

  • Extremely new token — all 1,406 holders acquired within the last 24 hours
  • Pump-suffix mint address indicating PumpFun/PumpSwap launchpad origin
  • Very low liquidity (~$40.3K) relative to FDV (~$88.7K), creating high slippage risk
  • Near-balanced buy/sell volume (50.4% buy vs 49.6% sell) despite 5,887 buys vs only 2,216 sells
  • No top holder data available, making concentration risk unquantifiable
  • Price dropped ~29.7% in the last 5 minutes despite a 44.8% 24h gain — extreme intraday volatility

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already dropped ~29.7% in the last 5 minutes from a recent high near $0.0001129. With only $40.3K in liquidity and a very new holder base, the price is highly susceptible to further sharp declines. The most recent hourly candle (Candle 1) closed at $0.0000887, well below the open of $0.0001074, forming a bearish candle. Short-term direction is bearish unless new buying momentum emerges.

Target low

$0.0000353

Target high

$0.0001129

Support

$0.0000887 (current price / Candle 1 close), $0.0000871 (Candle 1 low), $0.0000353 (Candle 2 low — absolute recent floor)

Resistance

$0.0001074 (Candle 1 open), $0.0001129 (Candle 2 high — recent all-time high), $0.0001054 (Candle 2 close)

Medium term · 7–30 days

neutral

Medium-term outlook is highly uncertain. The token is less than 24 hours old with no track record. Meme tokens of this type either fade to near-zero within days or experience additional pump cycles driven by social momentum. Without verified utility, established holder retention, or meaningful liquidity, sustaining price levels is difficult.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media traction on Twitter/X driving new buyer inflow
  • Broader Solana meme season or market-wide risk-on sentiment
  • Listing on aggregators or tracking sites increasing visibility
  • Failure to retain holders or grow community leading to rapid decline

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price gain of +44.76% showing initial demand
  • Near-balanced buy/sell volume pressure (50.4% buy vs 49.6% sell) suggesting neither side is dominant
  • 1,406 holders acquired in under 24 hours indicating rapid community formation
  • Active trading with 5,887 buys and 547 unique wallets in 24h

Bearish factors

  • Price dropped -29.7% in the last 5 minutes — severe short-term selling pressure
  • Extremely thin liquidity (~$40.3K) makes large exits highly impactful
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority raise trust concerns
  • All holders are brand new — no long-term conviction holders exist
  • No top holder data — concentration risk is completely opaque
  • Pump-suffix address typical of high-churn speculative launches with short lifespans
  • Historical holder data shows zero holders for all 30 prior days — no pre-existing community

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) all holders are brand new with no historical baseline; (3) no top holder or sniper data to assess distribution or dump risk; (4) extreme 5-minute price drop of -29.7% signals chaotic price action; (5) very thin liquidity amplifies all price moves unpredictably.

Luna Bear call history

Full track record →

Jul 10bearish
24h-98.2%
7d-98.3%
30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
EPLeoh...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000

Key Risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($40.26K) — large sells will crater the price
  • All holders are brand new (< 24 hours) — no long-term conviction base
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk is completely opaque
  • 70.8% of holders acquired via airdrop — potential artificial distribution

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle 2 (19:00 UTC): O=$0.0000367, H=$0.0001129, L=$0.0000353, C=$0.0001053 — a massive bullish candle with a ~207% range from low to high, indicating the initial launch pump. Volume was $208,484. Candle 1 (20:00 UTC): O=$0.0001074, H=$0.0001074, L=$0.0000871, C=$0.0000887 — a bearish candle opening at the prior close and selling off ~17.4% to close near the low. Volume dropped to $90,915. The pattern is a classic 'pump and fade': explosive launch candle followed by a bearish rejection candle closing near its low. The 5-minute -29.7% drop suggests continued selling pressure beyond Candle 1.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is down — Candle 1 is a clear bearish candle following the launch spike. Medium-term is indeterminate (sideways) given only 2 data points and the token's age of less than 24 hours.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

50%

Sell

50%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000871 (Candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.0000353 (Candle 2 low — launch floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.0001074 (Candle 1 open / prior high area)

Major resistance

$0.0001129 (Candle 2 all-time high)

The key support zone is $0.0000871–$0.0000887 (Candle 1 low and close). A break below this opens a path to the launch floor at $0.0000353. Resistance sits at $0.0001074 (Candle 1 open) and the all-time high of $0.0001129 (Candle 2 high). Given the current -29.7% 5-minute drop, price may already be testing or breaking below immediate support.

Notable patterns

  • Launch pump candle (Candle 2): extremely wide-range bullish candle with 207% range from low to high — classic PumpFun launch spike
  • Bearish rejection candle (Candle 1): opens at prior close, closes near the low — bearish engulfing/shooting star structure indicating sellers took control
  • Post-launch fade: volume declining as price retreats — typical of speculative meme token launches
  • 5-minute -29.7% drop: suggests continued distribution or panic selling beyond the 2 available hourly candles

Liquidity

Liquidity

$40,260.89

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at $40.26K on PumpSwap (pair: 5q8urbFZY7oESRxjG7s9HjqkFAP6NYPyc6sqaT3PCQD5). The FDV of $88.72K is 2.2x the liquidity, meaning the pool cannot support even a fraction of the market cap being sold without catastrophic price impact. Any sell order above a few hundred dollars will experience significant slippage. The 24h buy volume ($156.7K) and sell volume ($154.2K) are nearly balanced, but both are approximately 3.9x the total liquidity — indicating extremely high turnover relative to pool depth. Notably, there are more unique sellers (493) than unique buyers (335) in 24h, despite more buy transactions (5,887 vs 2,216). This suggests a smaller number of sellers are executing many fewer but larger transactions, consistent with early holders distributing. The -29.7% 5-minute price drop further confirms that thin liquidity amplifies price moves dramatically.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000

FDV

$88,719.48

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price dropped -29.7% in 5 minutes and gained +44.76% in 24h. The 2-candle OHLC shows a 207% range in the launch candle. Extreme intraday volatility is inherent to this token's age and liquidity profile.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $40.26K. 24h volume of $310.9K is 7.7x the liquidity pool. Any meaningful exit will cause severe price impact. Slippage risk is very high for orders above a few hundred dollars.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extremely thin liquidity ($40.26K) — large sells will crater the price
  • All holders are brand new (< 24 hours) — no long-term conviction base
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk is completely opaque
  • 70.8% of holders acquired via airdrop — potential artificial distribution
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • Unverified smart contract
  • PumpFun launch mechanics — high historical rate of rapid value decline post-bonding curve
  • -29.7% price drop in 5 minutes signals active distribution or panic selling
  • More unique sellers (493) than buyers (335) in 24h despite higher buy transaction count

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked 'Mutable: false', reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • Near-balanced buy/sell volume (50.4%/49.6%) suggests neither side has overwhelmed the other over 24h
  • 1,406 holders in under 24 hours shows initial community interest
  • Social links (Twitter, website) exist, suggesting some level of project presence
  • FDV of $88.7K is relatively low, limiting absolute downside in dollar terms

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

Luna Bear ($Luna) is a brand-new Solana meme token launched via PumpFun on July 10, 2026. It has generated initial trading interest with $310.9K in 24h volume and 1,406 holders, but carries extreme risks: unknown authority status, unavailable holder concentration data, razor-thin liquidity, and a -29.7% 5-minute price drop at time of analysis. The investment thesis is purely speculative — there is no utility, no verified contract, and no track record. The outcome will be determined almost entirely by social momentum and whether early holders choose to hold or distribute.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Luna Bear catches viral momentum on Solana Twitter/X, driving a second wave of buyers. The community grows beyond 5,000 holders, liquidity deepens as more LPs are added, and the token achieves a 5–10x from current levels (~$0.00044–$0.00089), pushing FDV to $440K–$890K. This is consistent with successful PumpFun meme launches that achieve brief viral moments.

  • Viral social media campaign on Twitter/X gaining traction
  • Broader Solana meme season with risk-on sentiment
  • Influencer promotion or organic community growth
  • Liquidity deepening through LP additions reducing slippage risk

Base Case

The token experiences continued volatility over the next 24–72 hours, with price oscillating between $0.0000353 (launch floor) and $0.0001129 (all-time high). Volume gradually declines as initial excitement fades. Without a strong catalyst, the token stabilizes at a lower price level ($0.00003–$0.00006) with a small but active community, representing a 30–65% decline from current price.

  • No major viral catalyst emerges in the next 7 days
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels
  • Holder count grows modestly but retention is low
  • Early buyers gradually distribute over 1–2 weeks

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders and airdrop recipients dump their tokens into the current retail buying pressure. Liquidity drains, price collapses 80–95% from current levels to $0.0000044–$0.0000177. The token becomes illiquid and effectively dead within 7 days — the most common outcome for PumpFun launches.

  • Early holder distribution into thin liquidity
  • Airdrop recipients selling their free tokens immediately
  • Failure to generate sustained social media traction
  • Unknown authority status spooking informed buyers
  • Broader market risk-off sentiment reducing meme token appetite

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 10, 08:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-10 20:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis token metadata API
  • Moralis price API (USD and native)
  • Moralis OHLC candles API (hourly)
  • Moralis trading analytics API
  • Moralis holder metrics API
  • Moralis historical holders API (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis top holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis sniper analysis API (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • All holder data is from a single day — no trend analysis possible
  • Top10/Top100 concentration reported as 0% — likely a data gap, not genuine distribution
  • Price change metrics for 1h/6h/24h all show 0% in analytics despite 44.76% 24h change in price API — possible data inconsistency
  • 5-minute price drop of -29.7% suggests price may have moved significantly since data was captured

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may be incomplete, delayed, or inaccurate. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst and platform bear no responsibility for investment outcomes.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Luna ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,406 addresses (2026-07-10 20:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Luna?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Luna liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-10 20:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $40,260.89. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Luna (Luna Bear)?

The token has already dropped ~29.7% in the last 5 minutes from a recent high near $0.0001129. With only $40.3K in liquidity and a very new holder base, the price is highly susceptible to further sharp declines. The most recent hourly candle (Candle 1) closed at $0.0000887, well below the open of $0.0001074, forming a bearish candle. Short-term direction is bearish unless new buying momentum emerges. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000353 to $0.0001129.

Is Luna Bear a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for conservative investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket). This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding Luna Bear?

Extremely thin liquidity ($40.26K) — large sells will crater the price • All holders are brand new (< 24 hours) — no long-term conviction base • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk is completely opaque

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Questions about Luna Bear?