CASE

Casemarket Price Today & AI Analysis

CASESolanaAnalysis as of Jul 13, 2026

Price

$0.041127

Contract

Live
EP3gwdJ2n3zHHBkWXWfHkNRnpiz2tGbxw1HiW6r8pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

100

Market cap

$11,268

At a $1M market cap, $CASE would be $0.001000 (88.7x from today’s price)

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Casemarket: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-13 20:19 UTC

Holder addresses

270

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$73,974.54
How concentrated is Casemarket ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 270 addresses (2026-07-13 20:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Casemarket?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Casemarket liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-13 20:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $73,974.54. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-13 20:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 13, 08:19 PM UTC

FDV

$603,813

Liquidity

$73,974.54

Holders

270

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

CASE (Casemarket) is a newly launched Solana memecoin minted via the pump.fun launchpad (mint: EP3gwdJ2n3zHHBkWXWfHkNRnpiz2tGbxw1HiW6r8pump), trading on PumpSwap. The token has a total supply of 1 billion and a fully diluted valuation of ~$604K at the time of analysis. It is extremely early-stage: the historical holder count sat at just 10 wallets for the entire prior 30-day period, then exploded to 270 holders within the last 24 hours — almost certainly the result of a coordinated launch event. Sell pressure is overwhelming (84% of 24h volume is sells), liquidity is thin at ~$74K, and top-holder concentration data is unavailable. The token carries very high risk.

Key points

  • Launched on pump.fun / PumpSwap with no verified contract, no social links, and no description — minimal transparency
  • Holder count jumped from 10 to 270 (+2,600%) in a single day, suggesting a very recent coordinated launch
  • 84% sell pressure in the first 24 hours with $249K in sell volume vs $47K in buy volume — strong distribution signal
  • Price spiked from ~$0.000034 to ~$0.001638 intraday (candle 2) before retracing sharply — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • Top holder and supply concentration data unavailable, adding opacity to an already opaque token

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–48 hours

bearish

The token experienced a violent intraday pump from ~$0.000034 to a high of ~$0.001638 (candle 2, 19:00 UTC) before retracing to ~$0.000610 by the close of candle 1 (20:00 UTC). The 5-minute price change at analysis time is -18.87%, confirming continued selling pressure. With 84% sell volume, 2,924 sell transactions vs 426 buys, and only $74K in liquidity, the path of least resistance is lower. Immediate support is the recent low of ~$0.000497; a break below that opens a return toward the launch price near $0.000034.

Target low

$0.000034 (launch price / worst case)

Target high

$0.000800 (partial recovery toward prior close)

Support

$0.000497 (candle 1 low), $0.000034 (candle 2 open / launch price)

Resistance

$0.001110 (candle 1 open / candle 2 close), $0.001638 (candle 2 all-time high)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Without a verified contract, social presence, utility, or meaningful buy-side demand, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The token sat dormant with only 10 holders for 30 days before a single-day spike, which is a hallmark of a coordinated pump. Unless new catalysts emerge (community building, exchange listings, utility development), the medium-term outlook is continued price erosion toward negligible levels.

Catalysts

  • Unexpected viral social media attention
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (very unlikely at this stage)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices

Bullish factors

  • Price is up +10.5% over 24h despite heavy sell pressure, suggesting some residual buy interest
  • 140 unique buyers in 24h shows nascent community formation
  • FDV of ~$604K is low, leaving room for speculative upside if narrative catches on
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of rug risk

Bearish factors

  • 84% of 24h volume ($249K) is sell-side — overwhelming distribution
  • 2,924 sells vs 426 buys — sellers outnumber buyers nearly 7:1
  • Price dropped -18.87% in the last 5 minutes at time of analysis
  • Only $74K total liquidity — large trades will cause extreme slippage
  • No social links, no description, no verified contract — zero transparency
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days with only 10 holders before a sudden spike — classic pre-pump setup
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — insider risk cannot be assessed

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis; (2) top holder data is unavailable, making it impossible to assess insider selling; (3) the token is less than 24 hours old in its active phase; (4) no sniper data is available. All directional calls are based on volume imbalance and candle structure alone.

CASE call history

Full track record →

Jul 13bearish
24h-45.6%
7d-94.4%
30d-98.8%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
EP3gwd...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 CASE

Key Risks

  • Overwhelming sell pressure (84% of volume) suggests active distribution by insiders
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — cannot assess insider risk
  • Only $74K liquidity — extreme slippage risk and vulnerability to pool drainage
  • Token dormant for 30+ days with 10 holders before sudden launch — classic pre-pump setup

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only two hourly candles are available. Candle 2 (19:00 UTC): O=$0.000034, H=$0.001638, L=$0.000034, C=$0.001110, V=$245,847 — an enormous bullish engulfing/spike candle with a 4,700%+ range from open to high, closing near the upper third. This is a classic pump candle. Candle 1 (20:00 UTC): O=$0.001116, H=$0.001116, L=$0.000497, C=$0.000610, V=$50,250 — a strong bearish candle opening at the prior close and selling off sharply, closing near the lower third of its range. The high equals the open (no upside wick), indicating immediate selling from the open. Together these two candles form a 'pump and dump' two-bar reversal pattern.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The two-candle structure shows a sharp pump followed by immediate distribution. The current price ($0.000610) is well below the intraday high ($0.001638) and the 5-minute change is -18.87%, confirming a short-term downtrend. Medium-term trend is also bearish given the token's dormancy prior to this event.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

16%

Sell

84%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000497 (candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.000034 (candle 2 open — launch price)

Immediate resistance

$0.001110 (candle 1 open / candle 2 close)

Major resistance

$0.001638 (candle 2 all-time high)

The $0.000497 level is the only near-term support derived from candle data. A break below this level would leave little structural support until the launch price near $0.000034. On the upside, $0.001110 is the first resistance (prior close), and $0.001638 is the all-time high — both likely to act as strong overhead resistance given the distribution underway.

Notable patterns

  • Two-bar pump-and-dump reversal pattern
  • Bearish engulfing on candle 1 relative to candle 2 close
  • No upper wick on candle 1 — immediate selling from open, no buyers at higher prices
  • Volume climax on candle 2 followed by sharp volume contraction — distribution signature
  • Price currently -63% from all-time high set just one hour prior

Liquidity

Liquidity

$73,974.54

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Liquidity is extremely shallow at ~$74K on a single PumpSwap pool (pair: EVHBKXvQHH9SsCLwL67EU9Gup37ZkPnW1H2wBqL1ay7). With an FDV of ~$604K, the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is approximately 12.2% — borderline for a micro-cap but dangerous given the sell pressure. Any moderately sized sell order will cause significant slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $249.45K in sells vs $47.44K in buys represents a net outflow of ~$202K. There are 770 unique sellers vs 140 unique buyers — a 5.5:1 ratio. Market health is poor: the token is in active distribution with thin liquidity providing little cushion against further price declines.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 CASE

FDV

$603,813

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price ranged from $0.000034 to $0.001638 within a single hour — a ~4,700% intraday range. The token has already retraced ~63% from its high. Extreme volatility is inherent to this asset class and this specific token's behavior.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only ~$74K on a single PumpSwap pool. Large trades will cause severe slippage. A coordinated sell-off by insiders could drain the pool rapidly.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Overwhelming sell pressure (84% of volume) suggests active distribution by insiders
  • Top holder concentration data unavailable — cannot assess insider risk
  • Only $74K liquidity — extreme slippage risk and vulnerability to pool drainage
  • Token dormant for 30+ days with 10 holders before sudden launch — classic pre-pump setup
  • No verified contract, no social links, no description — zero project transparency
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — potential rug vectors unassessed
  • Price already -63% from intraday high with -18.87% in the last 5 minutes
  • Launched on permissionless pump.fun launchpad with no vetting

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata is immutable (mutable=false), reducing post-launch metadata manipulation risk
  • FDV is low (~$604K), limiting absolute dollar loss for small position sizes
  • 140 unique buyers in 24h shows some genuine retail interest
  • Price is still +10.5% vs 24h ago despite heavy selling — some residual demand exists
  • Possible spam flag is false per data source

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio. This is NOT financial advice.

CASE (Casemarket) is a high-risk, newly launched Solana memecoin with no verified contract, no social presence, no utility, and overwhelming sell pressure in its first 24 hours of active trading. The token exhibits classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 30+ days of dormancy with ~10 insider holders, a violent intraday price spike, and immediate aggressive distribution. The only speculative bull case rests on the possibility of viral attention or a broader memecoin market rally. The base and bear cases both point toward continued price erosion.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral social media attention or a broader Solana memecoin rally drives a second wave of retail buying, temporarily pushing price back toward the $0.001110–$0.001638 resistance zone. Early community formation around the 270 current holders creates organic demand.

  • Unexpected viral social media moment
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices creating a floor
  • Community-driven narrative development

Base Case

Price stabilizes in the $0.000200–$0.000500 range as the initial pump fully unwinds. A small residual community of ~200–300 holders remains, with minimal trading activity. The token becomes dormant again unless a new catalyst emerges.

  • Insider distribution is largely complete within 48–72 hours
  • A small number of retail holders continue to provide minimal buy-side support
  • No new catalysts emerge to reignite interest
  • Liquidity remains thin but does not fully drain

Bear Case

High probability

Insider distribution continues, liquidity is drained, and the price collapses back toward the launch price of ~$0.000034 or lower. The 270 retail holders who bought during the pump are left holding worthless tokens.

  • Continued 84%+ sell pressure from insiders
  • Thin $74K liquidity unable to absorb selling
  • No fundamental value, utility, or community to support price
  • Absence of social links or project transparency accelerates loss of confidence

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 13, 08:19 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-13 20:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain metadata (Solana blockchain)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • Hourly OHLC price data (2 candles)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Trading volume and wallet analytics (24h)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis or pattern identification
  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — cannot assess supply concentration or insider risk directly
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer PnL and sell-through rate cannot be computed
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status unknown — rug risk via these vectors unassessed
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm authority renouncement
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10/top100 = 0%) appear to be a data gap rather than genuine equal distribution
  • Token is less than 24 hours old in its active phase — all signals are preliminary
  • No social links or project description available — fundamental analysis impossible

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from on-chain and DEX analytics and may contain gaps or inaccuracies. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Casemarket ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 270 addresses (2026-07-13 20:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Casemarket?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Casemarket liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-13 20:19 UTC, reported liquidity was $73,974.54. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Casemarket (CASE)?

The token experienced a violent intraday pump from ~$0.000034 to a high of ~$0.001638 (candle 2, 19:00 UTC) before retracing to ~$0.000610 by the close of candle 1 (20:00 UTC). The 5-minute price change at analysis time is -18.87%, confirming continued selling pressure. With 84% sell volume, 2,924 sell transactions vs 426 buys, and only $74K in liquidity, the path of least resistance is lower. Immediate support is the recent low of ~$0.000497; a break below that opens a return toward the launch price near $0.000034. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–48 hours), with a target range of $0.000034 (launch price / worst case) to $0.000800 (partial recovery toward prior close).

Is CASE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, risk-averse individuals, or anyone allocating more than a negligible fraction of their portfolio. This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding CASE?

Overwhelming sell pressure (84% of volume) suggests active distribution by insiders • Top holder concentration data unavailable — cannot assess insider risk • Only $74K liquidity — extreme slippage risk and vulnerability to pool drainage

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