ELMO

Elmo Price Today & AI Analysis

ELMOSolanaAnalysis as of May 6, 2026

Price

$0.053430

Contract

Live
E4q2QyUe7nRTac7HiEmxp26KgnPNAieKfCaZo8USpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

174

Market cap

$3,426

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Elmo: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-06 16:18 UTC

Holder addresses

Not available

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Elmo ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Elmo?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Elmo liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-06 16:18 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 6, 04:18 PM UTC

FDV

$129,075

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

Not available

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

ELMO (Elmo) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana meme token (mint: E4q2QyUe7nRTac7HiEmxp26KgnPNAieKfCaZo8USpump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$129,075 at the time of analysis. The token is trading on PumpSwap at $0.000129, having surged +166.67% in the past 24 hours. Despite the dramatic price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily (74.4% sell volume vs. 25.6% buy volume), and the holder-count data returns zero across all tracked periods — a significant data anomaly. The project claims to donate all fees to the Sesame Workshop, lending a charitable narrative, but the contract is unverified and the update authority is unknown.

Key points

  • Charitable narrative: fees purportedly donated to Sesame Workshop
  • +166.67% 24h price surge driven by speculative momentum
  • Launched via Pump.fun / trading on PumpSwap — classic meme-token launchpad
  • Heavy sell-side dominance: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells ($216.25K vs $74.48K buys)
  • Holder count data returns zero across all periods — possible indexer gap or very new token
  • Top 10 holders control 29.36% of supply; top 100 control 76.8%

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token just printed a massive +166.67% candle but is already showing a -25.24% retrace in the most recent 5-minute window. The hourly candle [1] closed at $0.000129 (the high), while candle [2] showed a wide-range spike to $0.000194 before closing lower at $0.000120 — a classic wick-rejection pattern. With 74.4% sell pressure and 4,181 sell transactions vs. 1,481 buys in 24h, short-term price action is likely to continue retracing. Immediate support sits near $0.000109 (candle [1] low); a break below that opens the door to the $0.000034–$0.000036 range (candle [2] open/low).

Target low

$0.000034

Target high

$0.000193

Support

$0.000109 (candle [1] low), $0.000048 (mid-range of candle [2]), $0.000034–$0.000036 (candle [2] open/low)

Resistance

$0.000129 (current price / candle [1] close), $0.000194 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Medium term · 1–14 days

bearish

Without sustained buy-side inflow, growing holder base, or a verifiable catalyst (e.g., confirmed Sesame Workshop partnership), the token is likely to fade. Meme tokens launched on Pump.fun with heavy early sniper activity and dominant sell pressure historically retrace 70–95% from spike highs. The FDV of ~$129K is micro-cap and highly susceptible to whale-driven volatility.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media traction around the Sesame Workshop charity angle
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Confirmed listing on a mid-tier CEX
  • Whale accumulation reversing the sell trend

Bullish factors

  • Explosive +166.67% 24h price move demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Charitable narrative (Sesame Workshop) could attract retail attention
  • 20 snipers are mostly in profit — suggests early buyers found value
  • Pump.fun tokens can sustain momentum for days if social virality kicks in
  • 1,865 unique wallets active in 24h shows meaningful engagement

Bearish factors

  • 74.4% sell pressure ($216.25K sells vs $74.48K buys) in 24h
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage risk
  • Holder count data shows 0 across all periods (data anomaly or very new token)
  • -25.24% price drop in the last 5 minutes at time of analysis
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • All 20 snipers have realized profits, meaning early buyers are actively selling
  • Top 100 wallets hold 76.8% of supply — extreme concentration risk

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, holder data returns zero (indexer anomaly), liquidity is reported as $0.00, and sniper cost-basis data is unknown. These data gaps severely limit predictive confidence. The directional bias (bearish short-term) is grounded in the observable sell/buy ratio and 5-minute price decline, but price targets carry wide uncertainty.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
E4q2Qy...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 ELMO

Key Risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.5:1
  • All 20 snipers in profit and actively distributing — classic early-exit pattern
  • Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count data anomaly (returns zero) makes community size assessment impossible

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC) was an explosive wide-range candle: Open $0.0000358, High $0.0001936, Low $0.0000344, Close $0.0001196 — a massive bullish spike with a long upper wick, indicating strong buying followed by significant profit-taking. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC) opened at $0.0001199 (near candle [2] close), reached a high of $0.0001291, and closed at $0.0001291 — a small bullish continuation candle that closed at its high. However, the 5-minute data shows a -25.24% drop immediately after, suggesting the close-at-high in candle [1] was a local top.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically up given the 24h price surge of +166.67%, but the dominant upper wick in candle [2] and the immediate 5-minute reversal of -25.24% suggest the uptrend is exhausting. Medium-term trend is indeterminate with only 2 candles of history — classified as sideways pending more data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

26%

Sell

74%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000109 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.000034–$0.000036 (candle [2] open/low — pre-spike base)

Immediate resistance

$0.000129 (candle [1] close / current price)

Major resistance

$0.000194 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

The pre-spike base around $0.000034–$0.000036 represents the strongest major support — a full retrace to this level would represent an ~74% drawdown from current price. The candle [1] low of $0.000109 is the nearest support. The all-time high wick at $0.000194 is the key resistance; a reclaim of that level would be strongly bullish.

Notable patterns

  • Wide-range bullish spike candle with long upper wick (candle [2]) — classic pump-and-distribution pattern
  • Volume collapse: $242K → $15K between consecutive candles (~93.8% drop) — bearish divergence
  • Close at hourly high (candle [1]) followed by immediate -25.24% 5-minute reversal — potential bull trap / local top
  • No higher-high confirmation yet — only 2 candles available, insufficient for trend confirmation

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 ELMO

FDV

$129,075

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    +166.67% in 24h followed by -25.24% in 5 minutes. Only 2 hourly candles of price history available. Extreme intraday volatility typical of newly launched Pump.fun meme tokens.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.5:1
  • All 20 snipers in profit and actively distributing — classic early-exit pattern
  • Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count data anomaly (returns zero) makes community size assessment impossible
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Charitable narrative (Sesame Workshop) is unverifiable and may be purely marketing
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$129K) makes price highly susceptible to whale manipulation
  • Token is extremely new — no track record, no sustained holder growth data

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (mutable: false), preventing metadata rug
  • Pump.fun launch mechanism provides some structural transparency
  • 1,865 unique wallets active in 24h suggests genuine retail interest
  • No single non-LP wallet holds more than 3.74% — no dominant single whale outside LP
  • Charitable angle may attract sustained retail attention if verified
  • Top 10 concentration of 29.36% is moderate for a newly launched meme token

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This is not suitable for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Any position should be sized as a micro-allocation within a diversified portfolio. Given the active sniper distribution and dominant sell pressure, timing of entry and exit is critical.

ELMO is a high-risk, speculative Pump.fun meme token that has experienced a violent +166.67% price spike within its first hours of trading. The charitable narrative (Sesame Workshop donations) provides a differentiated hook, but the token exhibits all the hallmarks of a classic pump-and-distribute pattern: dominant sell pressure, active sniper profit-taking, zero reported liquidity, and a micro-cap FDV. The investment case is almost entirely momentum-driven with no fundamental underpinning.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

ELMO gains viral traction on social media (Twitter/X, TikTok) around the Sesame Workshop charity angle, attracting a wave of retail buyers. Buy pressure reverses the current sell dominance, new holders accumulate, and the token reclaims and surpasses the $0.000194 all-time high. A sustained meme cycle could push FDV toward $500K–$1M+.

  • Viral social media campaign around charitable narrative
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Influencer promotion or celebrity endorsement
  • Confirmed or publicized Sesame Workshop donation
  • Reversal of sell pressure with sustained buy-side inflow

Base Case

ELMO experiences a partial retrace of 40–60% from the spike high over the next 24–72 hours as early buyers take profits, stabilizing in the $0.000050–$0.000080 range. A small but persistent community forms around the Sesame Workshop narrative, providing a floor. The token trades in a volatile range with occasional pumps but no sustained uptrend.

  • Some portion of current holders are genuine community members, not just snipers
  • Sell pressure moderates after initial sniper distribution completes
  • The Sesame Workshop narrative retains some retail interest
  • Solana meme-coin market conditions remain neutral

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate as snipers and early buyers complete their distribution. The token retraces to its pre-spike base of $0.000034–$0.000036 (a ~74% drawdown from current price) or lower. Liquidity dries up, trading volume collapses, and the token becomes illiquid.

  • Continued sniper and whale distribution into thin liquidity
  • No new catalysts to attract fresh buyers
  • Liquidity depth insufficient to absorb sell orders
  • Holder base fails to grow meaningfully
  • Broader meme-coin sentiment turns negative

Analysis details

Generated

May 6, 04:18 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-06 16:18 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis token metadata API
  • Moralis price and OHLC API (hourly candles)
  • Moralis trading analytics API (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Moralis holder metrics API (distribution tiers, top holders)
  • Moralis historical holders API (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis sniper analysis API (first 1,000 blocks)
  • PumpSwap on-chain pair data

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Holder count data returns zero across all periods, contradicting the distribution tier data — unreliable
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data error; true liquidity depth unknown
  • Sniper sniped amounts (USD and token quantity) are unknown — prevents precise concentration calculation
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • No order book data available — support/resistance levels are estimated from limited OHLC data
  • Token is extremely new; all metrics are based on <24 hours of trading history
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite 166.67% 24h change in price data — data inconsistency noted

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used contains known anomalies (zero holder counts, zero liquidity) that limit analytical confidence. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Elmo ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The holder count is also unavailable. A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Elmo?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Elmo liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Elmo (ELMO)?

The token just printed a massive +166.67% candle but is already showing a -25.24% retrace in the most recent 5-minute window. The hourly candle [1] closed at $0.000129 (the high), while candle [2] showed a wide-range spike to $0.000194 before closing lower at $0.000120 — a classic wick-rejection pattern. With 74.4% sell pressure and 4,181 sell transactions vs. 1,481 buys in 24h, short-term price action is likely to continue retracing. Immediate support sits near $0.000109 (candle [1] low); a break below that opens the door to the $0.000034–$0.000036 range (candle [2] open/low). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000034 to $0.000193.

Is ELMO a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This is not suitable for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Any position should be sized as a micro-allocation within a diversified portfolio. Given the active sniper distribution and dominant sell pressure, timing of entry and exit is critical.

What are the key risks of holding ELMO?

Extreme sell pressure: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.5:1 • All 20 snipers in profit and actively distributing — classic early-exit pattern • Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk

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