ELMO

Elmo Price Prediction 2026

ELMO
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 6, 2026

E4q2QyUe7nRTac7HiEmxp26KgnPNAieKfCaZo8USpump

$0.052429

+2.89%

FDV $2,427

LiveContract:E4q2QyUe7nRTac7HiEmxp26KgnPNAieKfCaZo8USpumpChain:SolanaHolders:206Market cap:$2,427

More tokens on Solana

He/Him

He/Him

He/Him

$0.0515700.0%
MC $1.6K
CHORUS

CHORUS

Chorus Protocol

$0.0518520.0%
MC $1.9K
DOGE

DOGE

Do Only Good Everyday

$0.0516340.0%
MC $1.6K
foreseeabl

foreseeabl

for the foreseeable

$0.0515090.0%
MC $1.5K
CRAZYBUSTER

CRAZYBUSTER

crazybuster

$0.0515420.0%
MC $1.5K
arc

arc

AI Rig Complex

$0.060614.9%
MC $60.63M

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about ELMO

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 6, 04:18 PM
FDV

$129,075

Liquidity

$0

Holders

0

Snipers

43

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

ELMO (Elmo) is a Pump.fun-launched Solana meme token (mint: E4q2QyUe7nRTac7HiEmxp26KgnPNAieKfCaZo8USpump) with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$129,075 at the time of analysis. The token is trading on PumpSwap at $0.000129, having surged +166.67% in the past 24 hours. Despite the dramatic price spike, sell pressure dominates heavily (74.4% sell volume vs. 25.6% buy volume), and the holder-count data returns zero across all tracked periods — a significant data anomaly. The project claims to donate all fees to the Sesame Workshop, lending a charitable narrative, but the contract is unverified and the update authority is unknown.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Charitable narrative: fees purportedly donated to Sesame Workshop
+166.67% 24h price surge driven by speculative momentum
Launched via Pump.fun / trading on PumpSwap — classic meme-token launchpad
Heavy sell-side dominance: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells ($216.25K vs $74.48K buys)
Holder count data returns zero across all periods — possible indexer gap or very new token
Top 10 holders control 29.36% of supply; top 100 control 76.8%

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token just printed a massive +166.67% candle but is already showing a -25.24% retrace in the most recent 5-minute window. The hourly candle [1] closed at $0.000129 (the high), while candle [2] showed a wide-range spike to $0.000194 before closing lower at $0.000120 — a classic wick-rejection pattern. With 74.4% sell pressure and 4,181 sell transactions vs. 1,481 buys in 24h, short-term price action is likely to continue retracing. Immediate support sits near $0.000109 (candle [1] low); a break below that opens the door to the $0.000034–$0.000036 range (candle [2] open/low).

Target low$0.000034
Target high$0.000193
Support: $0.000109 (candle [1] low), $0.000048 (mid-range of candle [2]), $0.000034–$0.000036 (candle [2] open/low)
Resistance: $0.000129 (current price / candle [1] close), $0.000194 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

Medium term

bearish
1–14 days

Without sustained buy-side inflow, growing holder base, or a verifiable catalyst (e.g., confirmed Sesame Workshop partnership), the token is likely to fade. Meme tokens launched on Pump.fun with heavy early sniper activity and dominant sell pressure historically retrace 70–95% from spike highs. The FDV of ~$129K is micro-cap and highly susceptible to whale-driven volatility.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction around the Sesame Workshop charity angle
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Confirmed listing on a mid-tier CEX
  • Whale accumulation reversing the sell trend

Bullish factors

  • Explosive +166.67% 24h price move demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Charitable narrative (Sesame Workshop) could attract retail attention
  • 20 snipers are mostly in profit — suggests early buyers found value
  • Pump.fun tokens can sustain momentum for days if social virality kicks in
  • 1,865 unique wallets active in 24h shows meaningful engagement

Bearish factors

  • 74.4% sell pressure ($216.25K sells vs $74.48K buys) in 24h
  • Reported total liquidity of $0.00 — extreme slippage risk
  • Holder count data shows 0 across all periods (data anomaly or very new token)
  • -25.24% price drop in the last 5 minutes at time of analysis
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • All 20 snipers have realized profits, meaning early buyers are actively selling
  • Top 100 wallets hold 76.8% of supply — extreme concentration risk
Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, holder data returns zero (indexer anomaly), liquidity is reported as $0.00, and sniper cost-basis data is unknown. These data gaps severely limit predictive confidence. The directional bias (bearish short-term) is grounded in the observable sell/buy ratio and 5-minute price decline, but price targets carry wide uncertainty.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC) was an explosive wide-range candle: Open $0.0000358, High $0.0001936, Low $0.0000344, Close $0.0001196 — a massive bullish spike with a long upper wick, indicating strong buying followed by significant profit-taking. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC) opened at $0.0001199 (near candle [2] close), reached a high of $0.0001291, and closed at $0.0001291 — a small bullish continuation candle that closed at its high. However, the 5-minute data shows a -25.24% drop immediately after, suggesting the close-at-high in candle [1] was a local top.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 26%Sell 74%

Short-term trend is technically up given the 24h price surge of +166.67%, but the dominant upper wick in candle [2] and the immediate 5-minute reversal of -25.24% suggest the uptrend is exhausting. Medium-term trend is indeterminate with only 2 candles of history — classified as sideways pending more data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000109 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000034–$0.000036 (candle [2] open/low — pre-spike base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000129 (candle [1] close / current price)
Major$0.000194 (candle [2] all-time high wick)

The pre-spike base around $0.000034–$0.000036 represents the strongest major support — a full retrace to this level would represent an ~74% drawdown from current price. The candle [1] low of $0.000109 is the nearest support. The all-time high wick at $0.000194 is the key resistance; a reclaim of that level would be strongly bullish.

Notable patterns

  • Wide-range bullish spike candle with long upper wick (candle [2]) — classic pump-and-distribution pattern
  • Volume collapse: $242K → $15K between consecutive candles (~93.8% drop) — bearish divergence
  • Close at hourly high (candle [1]) followed by immediate -25.24% 5-minute reversal — potential bull trap / local top
  • No higher-high confirmation yet — only 2 candles available, insufficient for trend confirmation

Liquidity$0.00 (reported — likely a data error or liquidity is entirely within the PumpSwap bonding curve)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$74,480
Sell$216,250
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers670
Unique sellers1,706

The reported total liquidity of $0.00 is almost certainly a data anomaly — the token is actively trading with $290K+ in 24h volume, which requires some liquidity substrate. The pair trades on PumpSwap (pair: 4EiA7PWpY2vPF7nPiAdmqLa8qkVNtiPHVeYYFBwHexmV), and the LP address holds 10.72% of token supply, suggesting liquidity exists within the bonding curve mechanism. However, the effective depth is likely very shallow given the micro-cap FDV of ~$129K. Net flow is strongly negative: $216.25K in sells vs. $74.48K in buys (74.4% sell pressure). Unique sellers (1,706) outnumber unique buyers (670) by 2.5:1. This is a clear outflow environment. The 5-minute -25.24% price drop confirms thin liquidity and high slippage risk for any meaningful position size.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 ELMO
FDV$129,075

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a fixed supply of 1,000,000,000 ELMO. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a positive signal — immutability prevents metadata changes. However, mint authority and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data. The 'mutable: false' flag suggests the token metadata cannot be altered, reducing one vector of rug risk, but without explicit confirmation of renounced mint/freeze authorities, a degree of authority risk remains. The token was launched via Pump.fun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically uses a bonding curve mechanism that auto-migrates to a DEX upon reaching a market cap threshold. The charitable claim ('all fees donated to the Sesame Workshop') is unverifiable on-chain and should be treated as marketing narrative until confirmed.

Volatility
high

+166.67% in 24h followed by -25.24% in 5 minutes. Only 2 hourly candles of price history available. Extreme intraday volatility typical of newly launched Pump.fun meme tokens.

Liquidity
high

Reported liquidity is $0.00 (likely a data error, but effective depth is very shallow given ~$129K FDV). High slippage risk on any meaningful trade size. PumpSwap bonding curve liquidity is thin.

Concentration
high

Top 100 wallets hold 76.8% of supply. Top 10 hold 29.36%. While no single non-LP wallet holds more than 3.74%, the collective concentration among a small group of early buyers/snipers creates significant dump risk.

SniperDump
high

All 20 tracked snipers show positive realized PnL (11%–153.3%). Top snipers have already sold $1,571, $1,459, and $1,179 respectively. Active distribution by early buyers is confirmed. Remaining sniper balances (unknown) could represent additional sell pressure.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown'; contract is unverified. Token is 'mutable: false' which mitigates metadata rug risk. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. Pump.fun launch mechanism provides some structural safeguards but does not eliminate authority risk.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.5:1
  • All 20 snipers in profit and actively distributing — classic early-exit pattern
  • Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count data anomaly (returns zero) makes community size assessment impossible
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • Charitable narrative (Sesame Workshop) is unverifiable and may be purely marketing
  • Micro-cap FDV (~$129K) makes price highly susceptible to whale manipulation
  • Token is extremely new — no track record, no sustained holder growth data

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is immutable (mutable: false), preventing metadata rug
  • Pump.fun launch mechanism provides some structural transparency
  • 1,865 unique wallets active in 24h suggests genuine retail interest
  • No single non-LP wallet holds more than 3.74% — no dominant single whale outside LP
  • Charitable angle may attract sustained retail attention if verified
  • Top 10 concentration of 29.36% is moderate for a newly launched meme token
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This is not suitable for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Any position should be sized as a micro-allocation within a diversified portfolio. Given the active sniper distribution and dominant sell pressure, timing of entry and exit is critical.

ELMO is a high-risk, speculative Pump.fun meme token that has experienced a violent +166.67% price spike within its first hours of trading. The charitable narrative (Sesame Workshop donations) provides a differentiated hook, but the token exhibits all the hallmarks of a classic pump-and-distribute pattern: dominant sell pressure, active sniper profit-taking, zero reported liquidity, and a micro-cap FDV. The investment case is almost entirely momentum-driven with no fundamental underpinning.

Bull case (low)

ELMO gains viral traction on social media (Twitter/X, TikTok) around the Sesame Workshop charity angle, attracting a wave of retail buyers. Buy pressure reverses the current sell dominance, new holders accumulate, and the token reclaims and surpasses the $0.000194 all-time high. A sustained meme cycle could push FDV toward $500K–$1M+.

  • Viral social media campaign around charitable narrative
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market rally
  • Influencer promotion or celebrity endorsement
  • Confirmed or publicized Sesame Workshop donation
  • Reversal of sell pressure with sustained buy-side inflow

Base case

ELMO experiences a partial retrace of 40–60% from the spike high over the next 24–72 hours as early buyers take profits, stabilizing in the $0.000050–$0.000080 range. A small but persistent community forms around the Sesame Workshop narrative, providing a floor. The token trades in a volatile range with occasional pumps but no sustained uptrend.

  • Some portion of current holders are genuine community members, not just snipers
  • Sell pressure moderates after initial sniper distribution completes
  • The Sesame Workshop narrative retains some retail interest
  • Solana meme-coin market conditions remain neutral

Bear case (high)

Sell pressure continues to dominate as snipers and early buyers complete their distribution. The token retraces to its pre-spike base of $0.000034–$0.000036 (a ~74% drawdown from current price) or lower. Liquidity dries up, trading volume collapses, and the token becomes illiquid.

  • Continued sniper and whale distribution into thin liquidity
  • No new catalysts to attract fresh buyers
  • Liquidity depth insufficient to absorb sell orders
  • Holder base fails to grow meaningfully
  • Broader meme-coin sentiment turns negative

GeneratedMay 6, 04:18 PM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-06T16:00 UTC. Holder historical data shows all zeros across 30 days — likely an indexer lag for a newly launched token. Sniper data covers first 1,000 blocks post-launch.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis token metadata API
  • Moralis price and OHLC API (hourly candles)
  • Moralis trading analytics API (24h buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Moralis holder metrics API (distribution tiers, top holders)
  • Moralis historical holders API (30-day daily series)
  • Moralis sniper analysis API (first 1,000 blocks)
  • PumpSwap on-chain pair data

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Holder count data returns zero across all periods, contradicting the distribution tier data — unreliable
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely a data error; true liquidity depth unknown
  • Sniper sniped amounts (USD and token quantity) are unknown — prevents precise concentration calculation
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • No order book data available — support/resistance levels are estimated from limited OHLC data
  • Token is extremely new; all metrics are based on <24 hours of trading history
  • 6h and 24h price change reported as 0% in analytics despite 166.67% 24h change in price data — data inconsistency noted

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially newly launched meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used contains known anomalies (zero holder counts, zero liquidity) that limit analytical confidence. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 ELMO

Key Risks

•Extreme sell pressure: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.5:1
•All 20 snipers in profit and actively distributing — classic early-exit pattern
•Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk
•Holder count data anomaly (returns zero) makes community size assessment impossible

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

All 20 snipers (first 1,000 blocks) have realized profits, with PnL percentages ranging from +11% to +153.3%. The majority have already sold significant portions of their positions (sell-through rate: high). Total realized sniper sell volume visible in the data is approximately $7,567 across the top sellers. The sniped token amounts are unknown, preventing precise concentration calculation, but the pattern is clear: early buyers entered at very low prices and are actively distributing into the current price spike. This is a significant bearish signal — smart money is exiting.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper cost-basis and sniped token amounts are unknown; however, all 20 tracked snipers show realized PnL percentages ranging from 0% to +153.3%, with the majority (16 of 20) showing positive realized returns. Top sellers include wallet 3XSYLa8VqkTV4RxKGG92nQb3gPziFFFEVLCYkEaEtZ5k ($1,571 sold, +65.4% PnL), STorreSu8X6yPLmiEScNHSGDinqV7j84hWjmvH9SPwk ($1,459 sold, +127.2% PnL), and kEFiAX3jo5NmemysQov342TZ9mGh6yp92GDRjhA8XDf ($1,179 sold, +107.4% PnL).

Early buyers (snipers) are overwhelmingly in profit and actively selling. 16 of 20 snipers show positive realized PnL, with several achieving 100%+ returns. Only 2 snipers show 0% realized PnL (likely still holding or minimal activity). The sell-through behavior of top snipers (e.g., $1,571, $1,459, $1,179 in realized sells) indicates systematic distribution rather than long-term conviction holding.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Elmo (ELMO)?

The token just printed a massive +166.67% candle but is already showing a -25.24% retrace in the most recent 5-minute window. The hourly candle [1] closed at $0.000129 (the high), while candle [2] showed a wide-range spike to $0.000194 before closing lower at $0.000120 — a classic wick-rejection pattern. With 74.4% sell pressure and 4,181 sell transactions vs. 1,481 buys in 24h, short-term price action is likely to continue retracing. Immediate support sits near $0.000109 (candle [1] low); a break below that opens the door to the $0.000034–$0.000036 range (candle [2] open/low). Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000034 to $0.000193.

Is ELMO a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This is not suitable for conservative or moderate-risk investors. Any position should be sized as a micro-allocation within a diversified portfolio. Given the active sniper distribution and dominant sell pressure, timing of entry and exit is critical.

What does sniper activity look like for ELMO?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding ELMO?

Extreme sell pressure: 74.4% of 24h volume is sells, with sellers outnumbering buyers 2.5:1 • All 20 snipers in profit and actively distributing — classic early-exit pattern • Reported $0.00 liquidity creates extreme slippage and exit risk

← Back to all predictions

Track ELMO