奶龙

Milk Dragon Nailong Price Today & AI Analysis

奶龙
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 14, 2026

DfFsUA5HBM8KfmNp2CXiMJAYgD1NRB6Gs5qAHBptpump

$0.004843

+11250.07%

FDV $4,840,632

LiveContract:DfFsUA5HBM8KfmNp2CXiMJAYgD1NRB6Gs5qAHBptpumpChain:SolanaHolders:2,874Market cap:$4,840,632

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Ask Unhosted AI about 奶龙

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Sep 14, 10:19 AM
FDV

$4,840,632

Liquidity

$93,225

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Milk Dragon Nailong (奶龙) is a meme token launched via pump.fun and now trading on PumpSwap, currently priced at $0.00484 after an extreme reported 24h gain of over 11,250%. The token shows a $4.84M fully diluted valuation against only $93.22K in total liquidity, with strong but narrow-window buy-side dominance (85.5% buy volume vs 14.5% sell). Critical risk-assessment data — holder distribution, whale concentration, sniper activity, and mint/freeze authority status — is entirely unavailable, making this an extremely high-uncertainty, high-risk speculative token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
Extreme parabolic 24h price move (+11,250%) on very thin liquidity ($93.22K)
Self-reported fee-distributor mechanism claiming to route creator fees to holders, unverified
Complete absence of holder, whale, and sniper data, unusual gaps that prevent standard risk verification
Broad-based 24h participation (2,965 buyers vs 2,725 sellers) despite the extreme price move

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
1-24 hours

Given the parabolic 24h move (+11,250%) coupled with sharply declining volume in the most recent candle (down ~88% from the peak hour), short-term price action is likely to either consolidate near current levels ($0.0046-0.0049) or face a corrective pullback as early buyers take profit. The high buy-pressure reading (85.5%) could sustain a push slightly higher, but thin liquidity ($93.22K) makes both continuation and reversal moves exaggerated.

Target low$0.0035
Target high$0.0060
Support: $0.0046515, $0.00389
Resistance: $0.0048456, $0.0060 (psychological/extension level)

Medium term

bearish
3-14 days

Meme tokens exhibiting this magnitude of single-day gain on pump.fun-derived liquidity pools historically tend to retrace a significant portion of the spike as speculative momentum fades and initial buyers exit, especially with only $93.22K in liquidity unable to support sustained demand at these valuations. Without verified holder distribution or sniper data to confirm broad, sticky ownership, the base case leans toward mean reversion.

Catalysts
  • Potential liquidity additions or removals by the creator/LPs
  • Continued social/community momentum (untracked — no social links currently listed)
  • Profit-taking by early buyers/snipers if concentrated positions exist (unverifiable currently)
  • Broader Solana meme-coin market sentiment shifts

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h buy pressure (85.5% of volume) with more buyers (2,965) than sellers (2,725)
  • Broad participation across thousands of unique wallets rather than a single dominant actor
  • Active, functioning trading pair on PumpSwap despite thin liquidity

Bearish factors

  • Extreme, likely unsustainable +11,250% 24h price move consistent with blow-off top patterns
  • Sharp volume decline (~88%) across the last 3 hours despite continued price appreciation — bearish divergence
  • Very thin liquidity ($93.22K) relative to $4.84M FDV, unable to support sustained buying without high slippage
  • No verifiable holder, whale, or sniper data to rule out concentrated dump risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and contract verification status leave rug-pull risk unconfirmed
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to only 3 hourly candles being available, complete absence of holder/whale/sniper data, unknown contract authority status, and the inherently unpredictable nature of meme-token price action following an extreme parabolic move. Any prediction here is directional and illustrative rather than a precise quantitative forecast.

奶龙 call history

Full track record →
Sep 14neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 3 hourly candles are available. Candle 1 (08:00 UTC) shows an explosive move from open $0.0000417 to close $0.00389 (high=close), a ~9,230% single-hour gain on volume of $82.25K — an extreme bullish marubozu-like candle with no upper wick, indicating relentless buying with no pullback. Candle 2 (09:00) continued higher, opening at $0.00389 and closing at $0.00465 (high=close again), on lower volume ($33.28K), still fully bullish with no wick, showing sustained but decelerating momentum. Candle 3 (10:00) shows clear deceleration: open $0.00465, high $0.004846, low $0.0046515, close $0.0048426 — a small-bodied candle with a minor upper wick and tiny lower wick, volume collapsing to $9.77K (an ~88% drop from candle 1), suggesting momentum exhaustion after the initial parabolic spike.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 86%Sell 15%

Short-term trend remains up across all 3 candles, but the sharp volume decline (from $82.25K to $9.77K) and narrowing candle range in the most recent hour signal the initial vertical move is losing steam. With only 3 hours of data, medium-term trend cannot be reliably established beyond noting the overall move originated from near-zero levels.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0046515 (candle 3 low)
Major$0.0000417 (candle 1 open, pre-spike base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0048456 (candle 3 high)
Major$0.00484-0.00490 area (current all-time high zone, untested above)

With only 3 candles, support/resistance levels are provisional. Immediate support sits at the candle 3 low of $0.0046515; a break below could trigger fast downside back toward the candle 2 open near $0.00389. Immediate resistance is the current high of $0.0048456; a decisive break above with renewed volume would be needed to confirm continuation rather than exhaustion. The pre-spike base near $0.0000417 represents the token's prior trading range and would be a severe downside level if the entire move unwinds.

Notable patterns

  • Marubozu-style bullish candles (candles 1 and 2) with no upper wicks, indicating one-directional buying with no intra-hour selling pressure
  • Sharp volume decay across the 3-candle window (~88% decline), a bearish divergence against continued price appreciation
  • Candle 3 shows a small-bodied, narrow-range candle after two large expansion candles — consistent with early-stage momentum exhaustion or consolidation atop a parabolic move

Liquidity$93.22K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$98.54K
Sell$16.70K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,965
Unique sellers2,725

Total liquidity of just $93.22K against a fully diluted valuation of $4.84M represents extremely thin market depth relative to token valuation (liquidity/FDV ratio under 2%). This means even moderate-sized trades can cause outsized price impact — consistent with the extreme 1h (+17.5%) and 24h (+11,250%) price swings observed. 24h buy volume ($98.54K) outweighs sell volume ($16.70K) by roughly 5.9x, and buy pressure sits at 85.5% vs 14.5% sell pressure, with more unique buyers (2,965) than sellers (2,725). This signals a strong net inflow and aggressive speculative buying, but such imbalances in a shallow pool are also classic conditions preceding sharp reversals once early buyers begin taking profit. Slippage risk is high given the pool size.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,531,918.22 (formatted)
FDV$4,840,632

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Update authority, mutability, verified-contract status, and master edition flags are all listed as unknown in the metadata provided, so mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. The token is a pump.fun-launched asset (mint suffix 'pump') trading on PumpSwap, which typically implies bonding-curve-style launches with authorities often (but not always) revoked at graduation — however this cannot be verified from the data given. The description claims creator fees route to holders via a fee distributor with 'no creator claim,' which is a self-reported, unverified claim from the token creator and should be treated as marketing rather than fact. Total supply is ~999.5M tokens; FDV of ~$4.84M against only ~$93K liquidity is a significant valuation-to-liquidity gap.

Volatility
high

Price moved over 11,250% in 24h and +17.5% in the last hour alone, with candle 1 showing a move from $0.0000417 to $0.00389 within a single hour — this is extreme, parabolic, low-liquidity price action typical of freshly launched pump.fun tokens, not sustainable organic growth.

Liquidity
high

Only $93.22K total liquidity against a $4.84M FDV creates a very high risk of slippage and price collapse if any meaningfully sized holder exits.

Concentration
high

No holder or whale distribution data is available to verify concentration, which itself is a red flag for a token with this valuation and volume profile; concentration should be assumed high until proven otherwise given typical pump.fun launch dynamics.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data was available to quantify early-buyer concentration, but tokens exhibiting this magnitude of 24h price appreciation on pump.fun/PumpSwap are extremely prone to early snipers and bots dumping into retail demand; absence of data should not be read as absence of risk.

Authority
medium

Mint/freeze authority status and update authority are unknown, verified-contract status is unknown, and mutability is unknown — this opacity prevents ruling out rug-pull mechanisms such as re-mintable supply or metadata changes.

Key risks

  • Extreme, likely unsustainable price spike (+11,250% in 24h) typical of pump-and-dump patterns
  • Shallow liquidity ($93.22K) relative to $4.84M FDV creates high slippage and manipulation risk
  • No verifiable holder/whale concentration data — concentration risk unknown but presumed high
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from bots
  • Mint/freeze authority and contract verification status all unknown, leaving rug-pull vectors unconfirmed
  • Self-reported tokenomics claims (fee distributor, no creator claim) are unverified marketing statements from an adversarial/unknown creator
  • No social links provided, reducing ability to verify legitimacy or community engagement

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy pressure (85.5%) currently exceeds sell pressure (14.5%), suggesting net demand rather than active mass exit at this moment
  • More unique buyers (2,965) than sellers (2,725) in 24h, indicating broad participation rather than a single whale-driven pump
  • Token trades on PumpSwap with an active, liquid-enough pair to support tens of thousands of daily transactions
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders explicitly seeking short-term momentum plays on newly launched meme tokens, and only with position sizing that assumes total loss of capital is possible. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking fundamental value exposure, or anyone unable to verify contract authorities and holder distribution independently before entry.

Milk Dragon Nailong (奶龙) is a pump.fun-origin meme token on PumpSwap that has experienced an extreme, likely unsustainable 24h price surge (+11,250%) on relatively thin liquidity ($93.22K) against a $4.84M FDV. Current order flow shows strong net buying pressure (85.5% buy vs 14.5% sell) with broad participation (2,965 buyers vs 2,725 sellers in 24h), but critical risk data — holder concentration, whale distribution, sniper activity, and contract authority status — is entirely unavailable, making this a high-uncertainty, high-risk speculative bet rather than a fundamentally analyzable investment.

Bull case (low)

Continued viral/meme momentum and sustained buy pressure push price higher as new buyers pile in, with the fee-distributor mechanism (if legitimate) creating an incentive loop for holders to stay in rather than sell.

  • Sustained buy-side dominance (85.5% buy volume share) could continue attracting momentum traders
  • Broad buyer participation (2,965 unique buyers in 24h) suggests more than a single-actor pump
  • Meme-coin virality on Solana/PumpSwap can occasionally sustain multi-day rallies if narrative and community engagement grow

Base case

Price remains highly volatile with elevated but decelerating gains or a partial retracement as initial momentum fades, buy/sell pressure gradually normalizes, and liquidity remains a binding constraint on any large directional move.

  • No major exogenous catalyst (listing, influencer promotion, etc.) sustains the current buy-pressure imbalance indefinitely
  • Liquidity providers do not meaningfully deepen the pool in the near term
  • Absence of verified authority/holder data continues to suppress institutional or larger-wallet participation, keeping the token in a retail-speculative regime

Bear case (high)

The +11,250% 24h move is a classic thin-liquidity pump that reverses sharply as early buyers and any concentrated holders (unverified but presumed likely) take profit into a $93.22K liquidity pool, causing a fast, deep price collapse.

  • Liquidity of only $93.22K cannot absorb meaningful sell pressure without severe price impact
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority and unverified contract status leave open the possibility of adversarial control
  • No verifiable holder distribution data — high concentration must be assumed as a base case for very new pump.fun tokens
  • Extreme parabolic candle action (e.g., hour 1 moving from $0.0000417 to $0.00389) is a hallmark of unsustainable speculative spikes

GeneratedSep 14, 10:19 AM
Data freshnessPrice and analytics data reflect the most recent snapshot as of 2026-09-14T10:00:00Z; only 3 hourly candles were provided, limiting historical technical context.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, description)
  • USD price and 24h/1h/5m percent change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 most recent hours)
  • Trading analytics: liquidity, buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution or whale concentration data available — holder endpoints retired
  • No sniper/early-buyer data available — endpoint returned empty
  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles provided, insufficient for robust multi-day technical analysis
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, contract verification, mutability, and update authority all unknown
  • Token metadata (name, description, fee-distributor claims) is self-reported by an unverified/potentially adversarial creator and not independently confirmed
  • 6h price change data was unavailable

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is generated from limited, partially unavailable on-chain data and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in newly launched, low-liquidity meme tokens, carries a very high risk of substantial or total loss. Always conduct independent due diligence and verify contract authorities, liquidity, and holder distribution through live on-chain tools before trading.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,531,918.22 (formatted)

Key Risks

•Extreme, likely unsustainable price spike (+11,250% in 24h) typical of pump-and-dump patterns
•Shallow liquidity ($93.22K) relative to $4.84M FDV creates high slippage and manipulation risk
•No verifiable holder/whale concentration data — concentration risk unknown but presumed high
•No sniper/early-buyer data available to assess dump risk from bots

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was available for this token, so early-buyer concentration and their profit/loss state cannot be quantified. This is a notable gap given the extreme +11,250% 24h price move, which is exactly the scenario where sniper/early-buyer dumping risk would typically be most relevant. Absence of data does not imply absence of risk.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown - no sniper data available

Cannot be determined from available data; no sniper wallet information was provided.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Milk Dragon Nailong (奶龙)?

Given the parabolic 24h move (+11,250%) coupled with sharply declining volume in the most recent candle (down ~88% from the peak hour), short-term price action is likely to either consolidate near current levels ($0.0046-0.0049) or face a corrective pullback as early buyers take profit. The high buy-pressure reading (85.5%) could sustain a push slightly higher, but thin liquidity ($93.22K) makes both continuation and reversal moves exaggerated. Short-term outlook is neutral (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.0035 to $0.0060.

Is 奶龙 a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders explicitly seeking short-term momentum plays on newly launched meme tokens, and only with position sizing that assumes total loss of capital is possible. Not suitable for risk-averse investors, those seeking fundamental value exposure, or anyone unable to verify contract authorities and holder distribution independently before entry.

What does sniper activity look like for 奶龙?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding 奶龙?

Extreme, likely unsustainable price spike (+11,250% in 24h) typical of pump-and-dump patterns • Shallow liquidity ($93.22K) relative to $4.84M FDV creates high slippage and manipulation risk • No verifiable holder/whale concentration data — concentration risk unknown but presumed high

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