KEVUN

Kevun Wersh Price Prediction 2026

KEVUN
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 12, 2026

DXwcaZ3atb4WfrzDtkR3EcRhkv2rrbzjKLQxyPjNpump

$0.057926

+3.28%

FDV $7,923

LiveContract:DXwcaZ3atb4WfrzDtkR3EcRhkv2rrbzjKLQxyPjNpumpChain:SolanaHolders:326Market cap:$7,923

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Report snapshotas of May 12, 07:18 PM
FDV

$76,968

Liquidity

$25,205

Holders

635

Snipers

21

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

KEVUN (Kevun Wersh) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana (mint: DXwcaZ3atb4WfrzDtkR3EcRhkv2rrbzjKLQxyPjNpump) trading at $0.0000770 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$77K–$102K. The token experienced a massive 419.8% price spike in the past 24 hours, attracting 1,963 unique wallets, but is now showing sharp reversal signals: -19% in the last hour and -13.6% in the last 5 minutes. Sell pressure dominates at 78.6% of 24h volume ($335.5K sells vs $91.5K buys). Liquidity is extremely shallow at $25.2K, and the top 10 holders control 35.43% of supply. The token has no verified contract, unknown update authority, and exhibits classic pump-and-dump dynamics.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 419.8% 24h price pump followed by rapid reversal (-19% in 1h)
Extreme sell dominance: 78.6% sell pressure with 5,097 sells vs 1,663 buys in 24h
Holder base exploded from ~85 to 635 in ~24h, but already dropping (-86 in last hour)
Several snipers booked 100–462% realized profits, indicating early money has largely exited
Very shallow liquidity of $25.2K creates extreme slippage risk for any meaningful position

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in sharp decline after the pump peak. The last 5 minutes show -13.6% and the last hour -19%. With 78.6% sell pressure, $335.5K in 24h sell volume vs $91.5K buy volume, and only $25.2K in liquidity, further downside is highly probable. The candle structure shows a high of $0.0001286 in candle [4] with a close well below at $0.0000840, and the most recent candle closed at $0.0000770 — a clear downtrend from the intraday peak.

Target low$0.000014
Target high$0.000083
Support: $0.0000518 (candle [1] open / candle [2] high), $0.0000393 (candle [2] open / candle [3] close), $0.0000143 (candle [4] low — absolute intraday floor)
Resistance: $0.0000840 (candle [4] close / candle [1] high area), $0.0001022 (candle [1] high), $0.0001286 (candle [4] all-time intraday high)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Without a new catalyst, KEVUN is likely to retrace toward pre-pump levels. The holder base was only 74–85 for most of the past 30 days before the pump, suggesting minimal organic community. Snipers have largely taken profits, and the sell-through rate is high. Sustained recovery would require significant new buying interest that is not currently evident.

Catalysts
  • New viral social media campaign driving fresh retail inflow
  • Listing on a mid-tier CEX increasing visibility
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all boats
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices stabilizing the floor

Bullish factors

  • 419.8% 24h gain demonstrates strong speculative interest and viral potential
  • Holder count grew from ~85 to 635 in ~24h showing rapid community formation
  • Some snipers still hold positions (e.g., Ef1tTXT36q5 holds $971, 2MYrZpYPU holds $224), suggesting not all early money has exited
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

  • 78.6% sell pressure ($335.5K sells vs $91.5K buys) in 24h — overwhelmingly bearish flow
  • Price already down -19% in 1h and -13.6% in 5m from analysis timestamp
  • Holder count dropped -86 (-14%) in just the last hour — mass exodus underway
  • Multiple snipers booked 100–462% gains, indicating smart money has largely distributed
  • Only $25.2K total liquidity — any sell of size will crater the price
  • No verified contract, unknown update authority, minimal description ('Kevun')
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of meme tokens, very shallow liquidity making price easily manipulated, missing sniper cost-basis data (sniped USD unknown), and the unpredictable nature of social-driven pumps. The directional bias is bearish based on current sell pressure and reversal signals, but a secondary pump cannot be ruled out.

Deep Analysis

Four hourly candles analyzed (16:00–19:00 UTC, May 12 2026). Candle [4] (16:00): O=$0.0000391, H=$0.0001286, L=$0.0000143, C=$0.0000840 — massive wick candle with a 9x range, closing in the upper half but well off the high; high volume ($134.3K). Candle [3] (17:00): O=$0.0000840, H=$0.0000840, L=$0.0000409, C=$0.0000391 — bearish engulfing/shooting star structure, price rejected at open and closed near the low; high volume ($162.7K). Candle [2] (18:00): O=$0.0000391, H=$0.0000523, L=$0.0000443, C=$0.0000523 — small bullish recovery candle, low range; high volume ($98.6K). Candle [1] (19:00): O=$0.0000522, H=$0.0001022, L=$0.0000518, C=$0.0000770 — another wide-range candle with a long upper wick, closing mid-range; volume dropped to $9.7K. Overall structure: pump spike in candle [4], immediate rejection and sell-off in candle [3], weak bounce in candle [2], and a second failed attempt at recovery in candle [1] with a long upper wick — classic double-rejection pattern after a pump.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 21%Sell 79%

The short-term trend is clearly bearish following the pump peak at $0.0001286. Lower closes and repeated upper-wick rejections confirm distribution. The medium-term trend is also bearish given the token was dormant (74–85 holders) for weeks before the pump, with no established uptrend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000518 (candle [1] low / candle [2] open area)
Major$0.0000143 (candle [4] absolute low — intraday floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0001022 (candle [1] high)
Major$0.0001286 (candle [4] all-time intraday high)

The $0.0000518 level has acted as a pivot point across multiple candles (candle [1] low, candle [2] open). A break below this level opens the path to $0.0000391 (candle [2]–[3] open/close cluster) and ultimately the $0.0000143 intraday low. On the upside, $0.0001022 and $0.0001286 are strong resistance zones where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing in candle [3] — strong reversal signal at the top
  • Long upper wicks in candles [4] and [1] — repeated rejection of higher prices indicating distribution
  • Volume climax in candle [3] during sell-off — classic 'selling into strength' pattern
  • Declining volume on bounce (candle [2] to [1]) — weak recovery, bearish divergence
  • Double-top rejection structure between candle [4] high ($0.0001286) and candle [1] high ($0.0001022)

Total holders635
24h Δ+87
7d Δ+87
30d Δ+88
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is almost entirely concentrated in the 24h pump window, directly correlated with the 419.8% price spike. The historical data shows the token was dormant at 74–85 holders from April 12 through May 11 (30 days of near-zero growth), then exploded to 635 holders during the pump event. However, the last hour shows -86 holders (-14%), suggesting the growth is already reversing as the price declines.

Holder growth is entirely pump-driven and not organic. For 30 days prior to May 12, the holder count was essentially flat at 74–85 (max daily change of +16 on April 29, which itself reversed -11 the next day). The 24h growth of +550 holders (87%) is entirely attributable to the price pump attracting speculative retail. The -86 holder drop in the last hour is alarming — it suggests rapid capitulation as the price reverses. The 7d and 30d growth figures (87% and 88%) are nearly identical to the 24h figure, confirming virtually all growth happened in the last 24 hours. Distribution breakdown: 154 whales, 84 sharks, 273 dolphins, 74 fish, 29 octopus — a relatively whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 635 holders.

Top 10 hold35.43%
Top 100 hold81.31%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

8bxEM9XNgBiLu6zs4iyagUVjewXQjA5kjyDLcLeEuCPc

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

15.27%

HrkdRVeKGpPx8fy2reFJJoxzDbbTBnmLYp46Wn7p2FoM

Individual whale — unknown, possibly early buyer or team-related

3.40%

BRSoAg2hiLN1o4KQjbcc5NYM3Vto3xzvPobmmcMHrwHh

Individual whale — unknown, possibly early buyer

3.24%

5GgKMjefdrazseWxdfpv11ax27MssUoPBCiuir1bSavW

Individual whale — unknown, possibly early buyer

2.98%

GRZVf7JYFujKWbWWedEXjQMks2199P3wXDkVyUqieBMc

Individual whale — unknown, possibly early buyer or sniper

2.46%

The top 10 holders control 35.43% of supply, and the top 100 control 81.31% — a highly concentrated distribution. The largest single holder (15.27%, address 8bxEM9XNgBiLu6zs4iyagUVjewXQjA5kjyDLcLeEuCPc) matches the PumpSwap pair address listed in the price data, indicating this is the DEX liquidity pool — not a true whale. Excluding the LP, the next 9 holders control ~20.16% of supply. Holders #2–#20 each hold 0.97%–3.40%, suggesting a cluster of early buyers or snipers who accumulated during the initial launch. Given the overwhelming sell pressure (78.6%) and sniper profit-taking, the overall whale sentiment is distributing. The 81.31% top-100 concentration leaves very little supply in the hands of smaller retail holders.

Liquidity$25,210
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$91,450
Sell$335,540
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers594
Unique sellers1,837

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $25.2K is extremely shallow relative to the $335.5K in 24h sell volume — meaning the pool has been heavily drained by sellers. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 1,837 unique sellers vs 594 unique buyers, and 5,097 sell transactions vs 1,663 buy transactions. Net capital flow is strongly negative (outflow). Any position larger than a few hundred dollars will experience severe slippage. The FDV of $102.2K vs $25.2K liquidity means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is only ~24.7%, which is dangerously low. The PumpSwap pair (8bxEM9XNgBiLu6zs4iyagUVjewXQjA5kjyDLcLeEuCPc) holds 15.27% of supply as the LP, but this is insufficient to absorb significant sell pressure.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,870,242.886175
FDV$76,967.88 (metadata) / $102,180 (analytics)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~999.87M tokens (effectively 1 billion, standard for PumpFun launches). The FDV ranges from $76.9K to $102.2K depending on the price source used. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal (immutable metadata reduces some manipulation vectors). However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the provided data — these are critical unknowns for rug risk assessment. The token is not verified and has a minimal description ('Kevun'), consistent with a low-effort meme launch. The '.pump' suffix in the mint address confirms PumpFun origin. No information on token allocation, vesting, or team holdings is available.

Volatility
high

419.8% gain in 24h followed by -19% in 1h and -13.6% in 5m. Extreme intraday range (candle [4]: $0.0000143 to $0.0001286, a 9x swing). This is one of the most volatile token profiles possible.

Liquidity
high

Only $25.2K total liquidity on PumpSwap. 24h sell volume of $335.5K has already far exceeded available liquidity depth. Any position over $500 will face severe slippage. Exit risk is extremely high.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 35.43% of supply; top 100 control 81.31%. Excluding the LP (15.27%), a handful of early wallets hold 20%+ of supply and are actively distributing based on sell pressure data.

SniperDump
high

20 identified snipers, majority in profit (15/20 positive PnL). Top sniper profits: +462.2%, +349.4%, +254.2%, +189.4%, +172.8%, +152.0%, +113.9%, +112.1%. High sell-through rate confirms most snipers have already dumped or are actively dumping into retail buyers.

Authority
medium

Update authority is 'unknown' and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. Token is marked mutable:false which is a mild positive. PumpFun origin provides some standardization but does not eliminate authority risks. No verified contract.

Key risks

  • Extreme sell pressure (78.6%) with rapidly declining price — active dump in progress
  • Shallow liquidity ($25.2K) makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position without severe slippage
  • Sniper distribution: 15/20 snipers in profit, most have already sold at 100–462% gains
  • Holder count already dropping -86 in last hour — community exodus underway
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential rug vector
  • No verified contract, minimal project description, no whitepaper or roadmap
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before the pump — no organic growth history
  • 81.31% supply in top 100 wallets — extreme concentration risk

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as mutable:false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun/PumpSwap infrastructure provides standardized, auditable on-chain mechanics
  • Some snipers still hold positions suggesting not all early money has exited
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) exist, providing some minimal community presence
  • Not flagged as possible spam by the data provider
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana on-chain trading. Given the active dump dynamics, even experienced traders should exercise extreme caution.

KEVUN is a PumpFun meme token that experienced a classic pump-and-dump cycle. The token was dormant for 30+ days, then pumped 419.8% in 24h driven by speculative retail inflow and sniper activity. Smart money (snipers) has largely exited at 100–462% profits, sell pressure dominates at 78.6%, and the price is already reversing sharply. The investment case is almost entirely speculative and momentum-driven, with no fundamental value proposition.

Bull case (low)

A secondary viral pump driven by social media (Twitter/Moralis community) attracts a new wave of retail buyers, pushing price back toward the $0.0001022–$0.0001286 resistance zone. A broader Solana meme season could amplify this.

  • Viral social media catalyst on Twitter driving new retail inflow
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices creating a new floor
  • Remaining sniper holders (Ef1tTXT36q5: $971, 2MYrZpYPU: $224) holding and promoting the token

Base case

Price stabilizes in the $0.0000391–$0.0000522 range as the most aggressive sellers exhaust themselves, then slowly bleeds lower over days/weeks as remaining holders gradually exit. Token settles into low-activity dormancy similar to its pre-pump state.

  • Sell pressure moderates as the most motivated sellers (snipers) have already exited
  • A small core community of 100–200 holders remains from the pump event
  • No new significant catalyst emerges to drive a secondary pump
  • Liquidity remains at current shallow levels (~$25K)

Bear case (high)

Continued sell pressure from remaining holders and snipers drives price back to pre-pump levels (~$0.0000143–$0.0000391). Liquidity drains further, making exit impossible for late buyers. Token returns to dormancy with 74–85 holders.

  • Overwhelming sell pressure (78.6%) with no signs of reversal
  • Holder count already dropping -86 in last hour
  • Remaining snipers with large unrealized gains (349.4%, 189.4%) likely to sell
  • No fundamental value or utility to attract long-term holders
  • Shallow liquidity accelerating price decline on any sell pressure

GeneratedMay 12, 07:18 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 19:00 UTC on May 12, 2026. Price and holder data may be minutes to hours old at time of analysis.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain token metadata (mint: DXwcaZ3atb4WfrzDtkR3EcRhkv2rrbzjKLQxyPjNpump)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (pair: 8bxEM9XNgBiLu6zs4iyagUVjewXQjA5kjyDLcLeEuCPc)
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (4 candles, 16:00–19:00 UTC May 12 2026)
  • 24h trading analytics (volume, buyer/seller counts, price change percentages)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data (635 total holders, top 20 balances)
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Sniper analysis (20 snipers, first 1,000 blocks)
  • Moralis and on-chain data aggregator feeds

Limitations

  • Sniper cost basis (total sniped USD) is unknown for all 20 snipers, limiting precise PnL calculation
  • Sniper token balances are unknown for most wallets, preventing accurate concentration calculation
  • Mint and freeze authority status is unknown — cannot confirm rug risk from authorities
  • Update authority is listed as unknown — cannot assess governance risk
  • Only 4 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Historical holder data only goes back 30 days with daily granularity
  • Top holder classifications are inferred from context (LP address match) rather than confirmed on-chain labels
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($76,967) and analytics ($102,180) suggests price feed inconsistency

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,870,242.886175

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure (78.6%) with rapidly declining price — active dump in progress
Shallow liquidity ($25.2K) makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position without severe slippage
Sniper distribution: 15/20 snipers in profit, most have already sold at 100–462% gains
Holder count already dropping -86 in last hour — community exodus underway

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Smart money (snipers) entered in the first 1,000 blocks and the majority have already realized substantial profits. 15 of 20 snipers show positive realized PnL, with several booking 100–462% gains. The high sell-through rate and declining sniper balances confirm that early/informed money has largely distributed into retail buyers during the pump. Only 2 snipers with known balances remain significantly invested. This is a classic sniper-dump dynamic.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

Of 20 identified snipers, most have sold significant portions of their positions. Notable exits: AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51 sold $3,913 (+254.2% PnL), HpBQZoprdtWC9MFZoLEKSi1PvSFhGFYDJt9ryxooUHCT sold $2,189 (+112.1%), x4T7hgJqNDBC1cVBeo42hZkQAdSLKwxV8wv9QiDHN2j sold $946 (+79.9%). Only a handful retain meaningful balances: Ef1tTXT36q5WzkMpHHputLcReCXi7U9EazhuunNy3jsQ holds $971 (+349.4% unrealized), 2MYrZpYPUanwM8NDwJnTrhcjTxBCAEsdGTmXcmfsR72v holds $224 (+189.4%).

Predominantly bearish/exiting — the majority of snipers have sold their positions at significant profit, with only a small minority still holding. The 3 snipers showing negative PnL (-4.1% to -26.5%) likely bought at higher prices or failed to time their exit.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Kevun Wersh (KEVUN)?

Price is in sharp decline after the pump peak. The last 5 minutes show -13.6% and the last hour -19%. With 78.6% sell pressure, $335.5K in 24h sell volume vs $91.5K buy volume, and only $25.2K in liquidity, further downside is highly probable. The candle structure shows a high of $0.0001286 in candle [4] with a close well below at $0.0000840, and the most recent candle closed at $0.0000770 — a clear downtrend from the intraday peak. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000014 to $0.000083.

Is KEVUN a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand meme token dynamics and can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana on-chain trading. Given the active dump dynamics, even experienced traders should exercise extreme caution.

How are KEVUN holders trending?

Kevun Wersh currently has 635 holders and is growing (24h: 87, 7d: 87, 30d: 88). Holder growth is entirely pump-driven and not organic. For 30 days prior to May 12, the holder count was essentially flat at 74–85 (max daily change of +16 on April 29, which itself reversed -11 the next day). The 24h growth of +550 holders (87%) is entirely attributable to the price pump attracting speculative retail. The -86 holder drop in the last hour is alarming — it suggests rapid capitulation as the price reverses. The 7d and 30d growth figures (87% and 88%) are nearly identical to the 24h figure, confirming virtually all growth happened in the last 24 hours. Distribution breakdown: 154 whales, 84 sharks, 273 dolphins, 74 fish, 29 octopus — a relatively whale-heavy distribution for a token with only 635 holders.

What does sniper activity look like for KEVUN?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding KEVUN?

Extreme sell pressure (78.6%) with rapidly declining price — active dump in progress • Shallow liquidity ($25.2K) makes exit nearly impossible for any meaningful position without severe slippage • Sniper distribution: 15/20 snipers in profit, most have already sold at 100–462% gains

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