mogcat

mogcat Price Today & AI Analysis

mogcatSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 10, 2026

Price

$0.052747

-3.77% 24h

Contract

Live
DXBfgTuGuYxpWM69NQ1eJjDseQnRUSt6esVnc7eXpump

Chain

Holders

235

Market cap

$2,677

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mogcat: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-10 16:47 UTC

Holder addresses

710

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$33,816.73
How concentrated is mogcat ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 710 addresses (2026-07-10 16:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling mogcat?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is mogcat liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-10 16:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $33,816.73. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-10 16:47 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 10, 04:47 PM UTC

FDV

$41,912

Liquidity

$33,816.73

Holders

710

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

mogcat (MOGCAT) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$41.9K. The token is extremely early-stage and micro-cap, trading on PumpSwap with only $33.82K in liquidity. The data reveals a highly volatile, sell-dominated trading session with 75.1% sell pressure, a dramatic intraday price swing (high of ~$0.000127 to a current price of ~$0.0000419), and a suspicious holder pattern: 92 holders were flat for 30 days, then jumped to 710 in the last 24 hours — a pattern consistent with a coordinated launch pump. Top holder data and sniper data are unavailable, limiting deeper concentration analysis.

Key points

  • Extreme intraday volatility: price ranged from $0.0000163 to $0.0001276 within a single hour (candle [2]), a ~7.8x swing
  • Holder count surged from 92 (flat for 30 days) to 710 in 24h — a classic pump-launch pattern
  • 75.1% sell pressure with $214.48K in sell volume vs $71.03K in buy volume over 24h
  • Liquidity of only $33.82K against $41.24K FDV — extremely shallow market depth
  • Update authority is unknown and contract is unverified, raising rug/manipulation risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has already shed ~67% from its intraday high (~$0.0001276) to the current price (~$0.0000419). With 75.1% sell pressure, 5,670 sells vs 2,044 buys, and only $33.82K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. The 5m price is up 23.5% suggesting a brief bounce, but the 1h is down -51%, indicating the dominant trend is sharply bearish.

Target low

$0.0000163 (intraday low from candle [2])

Target high

$0.0000627 (mid-range recovery)

Support

$0.0000234 (candle [1] low), $0.0000163 (candle [2] low — absolute recent floor)

Resistance

$0.0000627 (mid-range between current and recent high), $0.0001241 (candle [1] close / candle [2] close area), $0.0001276 (candle [2] high — intraday peak)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

With no fundamental utility described, unverified contract, unknown update authority, shallow liquidity, and a holder base that was dormant for 30 days before a sudden pump, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Sustained price appreciation would require significant new buyer inflow and liquidity deepening, neither of which is evidenced in the data.

Catalysts

  • Viral meme traction driving new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a centralized exchange increasing visibility
  • Liquidity deepening through LP incentives
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 24h holder count grew +618 (+87%), indicating rapid new interest
  • 5m price up +23.5%, suggesting a short-term bounce in progress
  • 24h price change of +6.09% is technically positive
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

  • 75.1% sell pressure ($214.48K sells vs $71.03K buys)
  • Price dropped ~67% from intraday high to current price within 2 hours
  • Only $33.82K liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Holder count was flat at 92 for 30 days before sudden spike — classic pump pattern
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • 1h price change: -51%

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available, providing minimal price history; (2) top holder and sniper data are unavailable; (3) the token is a micro-cap meme coin with no described utility, making price behavior highly speculative and driven by sentiment alone; (4) the 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in the analytics, which conflicts with the OHLC data, suggesting data inconsistency.

mogcat call history

Full track record →

Jul 10bearish
24h-78.8%
7d-93.8%
30d-95.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
DXBfgT...pump
Total Supply
1,000,000,000 MOGCAT

Key Risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by violent price spike and immediate reversal
  • Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($33.82K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count dropped -295 (-42%) in just 1 hour, indicating mass exits already underway

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0001276, L=$0.0000163, C=$0.0001241 — a massive bullish candle with a long lower wick, indicating a sharp pump from lows. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0001229, H=$0.0001261, L=$0.0000234, C=$0.0000418 — opened near the prior close but collapsed sharply, closing near the lows. This is a classic 'pump and dump' two-candle pattern: a violent spike followed by an equally violent reversal. The candle [1] close is ~66% below candle [2] close, confirming heavy distribution.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The short-term trend is a sharp downtrend following the pump peak at ~$0.0001276. The medium-term trend is also bearish given the token was dormant for 30 days and the current price action shows aggressive selling after the initial pump. No sustained uptrend structure is present.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Oversold

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

25%

Sell

75%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000234 (candle [1] low)

Major support

$0.0000163 (candle [2] low — absolute recent floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.0000627 (approximate mid-range)

Major resistance

$0.0001241–$0.0001276 (candle [2] close and high — the pump peak zone)

The key support zone is $0.0000163–$0.0000234, representing the wicks of both recent candles. A break below $0.0000163 would signal new lows with no recent price history to anchor further support. Resistance is heavy at the $0.0001241–$0.0001276 zone where the pump peaked and distribution began.

Notable patterns

  • Two-candle pump-and-dump pattern: massive bullish spike (candle [2]) immediately followed by bearish reversal candle (candle [1])
  • Candle [1] is a bearish engulfing / shooting star hybrid — opened near prior close, made a marginal new high, then collapsed to close near lows
  • Long upper wick on candle [1] confirms strong rejection at the $0.0001261 high
  • Volume declining on the down-move suggests some exhaustion of sellers, but buy pressure remains insufficient to reverse trend

Liquidity

Liquidity

$33,816.73

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $33.82K against a $41.24K FDV means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~82%, which sounds high but in absolute terms is extremely thin — any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h sell volume of $214.48K is 3x the buy volume of $71.03K, and there are 2.4x more unique sellers (1,839) than buyers (770). Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The token is on PumpSwap (pair FPvTX7LNba7HiuoCU5QqjmkyyEALx9ieKg946KFLRELA), which is a permissionless AMM — liquidity can be removed at any time. The 24h unique wallet count of 2,076 suggests broad participation but the sell-side dominance indicates most participants are exiting.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1,000,000,000 MOGCAT

FDV

$41,911.62

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price swung from $0.0000163 to $0.0001276 and back to $0.0000419 within 2 hours — a ~7.8x spike and ~67% reversal. Extreme volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Only $33.82K in total liquidity on PumpSwap. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. Liquidity can be removed at any time by LPs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by violent price spike and immediate reversal
  • Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($33.82K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count dropped -295 (-42%) in just 1 hour, indicating mass exits already underway
  • 75.1% sell pressure with 2.4x more sellers than buyers
  • No utility, no description, no verified contract — pure speculative meme token
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk unquantifiable

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked 'mutable: false', suggesting metadata cannot be altered
  • Token is listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides transparent on-chain trading
  • 24h holder count growth of +618 shows some genuine new interest
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggest some community presence

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme coin trading. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme.

mogcat is a micro-cap PumpFun meme token exhibiting classic pump-and-dump characteristics: 30 days of dormancy at 92 holders, a violent price spike to $0.0001276, immediate reversal to $0.0000419, 75.1% sell pressure, and unknown authority structure. The investment case is almost entirely speculative with no fundamental underpinning. The primary risk is total loss of capital.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme traction drives sustained new buyer inflow, liquidity deepens, and the token establishes a higher base above the pump low.

  • Viral social media momentum (Twitter/Moralis presence)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • New LP additions deepening liquidity beyond $33.82K
  • Community-driven buy pressure overwhelming current sell-side dominance

Base Case

The token stabilizes near current levels ($0.0000163–$0.0000419) with low volume and gradually loses holders as interest fades, eventually becoming illiquid.

  • Sell pressure moderates as early holders finish distributing
  • A small community of 200–400 holders remains engaged
  • Liquidity stays thin but does not disappear entirely
  • No viral catalyst emerges to reignite buying interest

Bear Case

High probability

Early holders continue distributing, liquidity is removed, and the token returns to near-zero as the pump fully unwinds.

  • Continued 75.1% sell pressure exhausting buy-side liquidity
  • LP removal from PumpSwap eliminating exit liquidity
  • Holder count continuing to decline from the -295 (-42%) 1-hour trend
  • No utility or fundamental value to anchor a price floor
  • Unknown authority structure enabling potential rug pull

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 10, 04:47 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-10 16:47 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis Token Metadata API
  • Moralis Price API
  • Moralis OHLC Candles API (hourly)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics API
  • Moralis Holder Metrics API
  • Moralis Historical Holders API (30-day daily)
  • Moralis Top Holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis API (returned no data)
  • PumpSwap on-chain pair data

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — whale concentration cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer PnL and concentration unknown
  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • 6h and 24h price change metrics show 0% in analytics despite clear price movement in OHLC data — possible data inconsistency
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts rather than genuine readings
  • No on-chain utility or project documentation available for fundamental analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or inconsistencies. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is mogcat ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 710 addresses (2026-07-10 16:47 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling mogcat?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is mogcat liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-10 16:47 UTC, reported liquidity was $33,816.73. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for mogcat (mogcat)?

The token has already shed ~67% from its intraday high (~$0.0001276) to the current price (~$0.0000419). With 75.1% sell pressure, 5,670 sells vs 2,044 buys, and only $33.82K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. The 5m price is up 23.5% suggesting a brief bounce, but the 1h is down -51%, indicating the dominant trend is sharply bearish. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000163 (intraday low from candle [2]) to $0.0000627 (mid-range recovery).

Is mogcat a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme coin trading. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme.

What are the key risks of holding mogcat?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by violent price spike and immediate reversal • Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out • Extremely shallow liquidity ($33.82K) — high slippage and exit risk

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