mogcat

mogcat Price Today & AI Analysis

mogcat
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 10, 2026

DXBfgTuGuYxpWM69NQ1eJjDseQnRUSt6esVnc7eXpump

$0.052389

+2.86%

FDV $2,329

LiveContract:DXBfgTuGuYxpWM69NQ1eJjDseQnRUSt6esVnc7eXpumpChain:SolanaHolders:263Market cap:$2,329

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Ask Unhosted AI about mogcat

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Jul 10, 04:47 PM
FDV

$41,912

Liquidity

$33,817

Holders

710

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

mogcat (MOGCAT) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with a total supply of 1,000,000,000 tokens and a fully diluted valuation of ~$41.9K. The token is extremely early-stage and micro-cap, trading on PumpSwap with only $33.82K in liquidity. The data reveals a highly volatile, sell-dominated trading session with 75.1% sell pressure, a dramatic intraday price swing (high of ~$0.000127 to a current price of ~$0.0000419), and a suspicious holder pattern: 92 holders were flat for 30 days, then jumped to 710 in the last 24 hours — a pattern consistent with a coordinated launch pump. Top holder data and sniper data are unavailable, limiting deeper concentration analysis.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme intraday volatility: price ranged from $0.0000163 to $0.0001276 within a single hour (candle [2]), a ~7.8x swing
Holder count surged from 92 (flat for 30 days) to 710 in 24h — a classic pump-launch pattern
75.1% sell pressure with $214.48K in sell volume vs $71.03K in buy volume over 24h
Liquidity of only $33.82K against $41.24K FDV — extremely shallow market depth
Update authority is unknown and contract is unverified, raising rug/manipulation risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token has already shed ~67% from its intraday high (~$0.0001276) to the current price (~$0.0000419). With 75.1% sell pressure, 5,670 sells vs 2,044 buys, and only $33.82K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. The 5m price is up 23.5% suggesting a brief bounce, but the 1h is down -51%, indicating the dominant trend is sharply bearish.

Target low$0.0000163 (intraday low from candle [2])
Target high$0.0000627 (mid-range recovery)
Support: $0.0000234 (candle [1] low), $0.0000163 (candle [2] low — absolute recent floor)
Resistance: $0.0000627 (mid-range between current and recent high), $0.0001241 (candle [1] close / candle [2] close area), $0.0001276 (candle [2] high — intraday peak)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

With no fundamental utility described, unverified contract, unknown update authority, shallow liquidity, and a holder base that was dormant for 30 days before a sudden pump, the medium-term outlook is bearish. Sustained price appreciation would require significant new buyer inflow and liquidity deepening, neither of which is evidenced in the data.

Catalysts
  • Viral meme traction driving new buyer inflow
  • Listing on a centralized exchange increasing visibility
  • Liquidity deepening through LP incentives
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • 24h holder count grew +618 (+87%), indicating rapid new interest
  • 5m price up +23.5%, suggesting a short-term bounce in progress
  • 24h price change of +6.09% is technically positive
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading

Bearish factors

  • 75.1% sell pressure ($214.48K sells vs $71.03K buys)
  • Price dropped ~67% from intraday high to current price within 2 hours
  • Only $33.82K liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage risk
  • Holder count was flat at 92 for 30 days before sudden spike — classic pump pattern
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • 1h price change: -51%
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: (1) only 2 hourly OHLC candles available, providing minimal price history; (2) top holder and sniper data are unavailable; (3) the token is a micro-cap meme coin with no described utility, making price behavior highly speculative and driven by sentiment alone; (4) the 6h and 24h price change both show 0% in the analytics, which conflicts with the OHLC data, suggesting data inconsistency.

mogcat call history

Full track record →
Jul 10bearish
24h-78.8%
7d-93.8%
30d-95.3%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000320, H=$0.0001276, L=$0.0000163, C=$0.0001241 — a massive bullish candle with a long lower wick, indicating a sharp pump from lows. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0001229, H=$0.0001261, L=$0.0000234, C=$0.0000418 — opened near the prior close but collapsed sharply, closing near the lows. This is a classic 'pump and dump' two-candle pattern: a violent spike followed by an equally violent reversal. The candle [1] close is ~66% below candle [2] close, confirming heavy distribution.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 75%

The short-term trend is a sharp downtrend following the pump peak at ~$0.0001276. The medium-term trend is also bearish given the token was dormant for 30 days and the current price action shows aggressive selling after the initial pump. No sustained uptrend structure is present.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000234 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.0000163 (candle [2] low — absolute recent floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000627 (approximate mid-range)
Major$0.0001241–$0.0001276 (candle [2] close and high — the pump peak zone)

The key support zone is $0.0000163–$0.0000234, representing the wicks of both recent candles. A break below $0.0000163 would signal new lows with no recent price history to anchor further support. Resistance is heavy at the $0.0001241–$0.0001276 zone where the pump peaked and distribution began.

Notable patterns

  • Two-candle pump-and-dump pattern: massive bullish spike (candle [2]) immediately followed by bearish reversal candle (candle [1])
  • Candle [1] is a bearish engulfing / shooting star hybrid — opened near prior close, made a marginal new high, then collapsed to close near lows
  • Long upper wick on candle [1] confirms strong rejection at the $0.0001261 high
  • Volume declining on the down-move suggests some exhaustion of sellers, but buy pressure remains insufficient to reverse trend

Total holders710
24h Δ+87
7d Δ+87
30d Δ+87
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The holder count surge from 92 to 710 (+618, +87%) occurred simultaneously with the price pump, suggesting the growth is driven by the pump event rather than organic adoption. The historical data shows exactly 92 holders with zero change for all 30 days prior to the pump (June 10 – July 9, 2026), then a sudden spike. This is highly correlated with the price spike but is a warning sign rather than a bullish indicator.

Holder growth appears entirely artificial and event-driven. For 30 consecutive days (June 10 – July 9, 2026), the holder count was frozen at exactly 92 with zero net change — an anomalous pattern suggesting the token was dormant or held by a small coordinated group. The sudden jump to 710 holders in 24h coincides with the pump event. The -295 holder change in the last 1 hour (-42%) is alarming and suggests mass exits are already underway as the price dumps. The 7d and 30d growth figures both equal the 24h figure (87%), confirming all growth occurred within the last 24 hours.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

N/A

Top holder data unavailable — no top holders returned by the data source

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token. The supply concentration metrics show top10=0% and top100=0%, which is likely a data artifact rather than a genuine reflection of distribution. Given the token's micro-cap status, PumpFun origin, 30-day dormancy at 92 holders, and violent pump-and-dump price action, it is highly probable that supply is heavily concentrated among a small number of early wallets. The distribution health is assessed as 'very_concentrated' based on behavioral signals rather than confirmed on-chain data. The -295 holder drop in 1 hour suggests whales or early holders are exiting rapidly.

Liquidity$33,820
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$71,030
Sell$214,480
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers770
Unique sellers1,839

Market health is poor. Total liquidity of $33.82K against a $41.24K FDV means the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is ~82%, which sounds high but in absolute terms is extremely thin — any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h sell volume of $214.48K is 3x the buy volume of $71.03K, and there are 2.4x more unique sellers (1,839) than buyers (770). Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The token is on PumpSwap (pair FPvTX7LNba7HiuoCU5QqjmkyyEALx9ieKg946KFLRELA), which is a permissionless AMM — liquidity can be removed at any time. The 24h unique wallet count of 2,076 suggests broad participation but the sell-side dominance indicates most participants are exiting.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1,000,000,000 MOGCAT
FDV$41,911.62

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a standard 1 billion supply with 6 decimals, consistent with PumpFun-launched meme tokens. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, and the contract is unverified. The token is marked as 'mutable: false', which is a mild positive signal suggesting metadata cannot be changed. However, mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed from the available data. The 'unknown' update authority is a significant red flag — it prevents assessment of whether the token can be rugged via authority abuse. No description, no verified contract, and no on-chain utility are present. The FDV of ~$41.9K is micro-cap and highly susceptible to manipulation.

Volatility
high

Price swung from $0.0000163 to $0.0001276 and back to $0.0000419 within 2 hours — a ~7.8x spike and ~67% reversal. Extreme volatility consistent with a pump-and-dump event.

Liquidity
high

Only $33.82K in total liquidity on PumpSwap. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. Liquidity can be removed at any time by LPs.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is unavailable, but behavioral signals (30-day dormancy at 92 holders, sudden pump, -295 holders in 1 hour) strongly suggest heavy concentration among early wallets. Supply concentration metrics show 0% for top10/top100, likely a data artifact.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the 75.1% sell pressure, 5,670 sells vs 2,044 buys, and violent price reversal from the pump high are consistent with early buyers/snipers dumping into retail demand.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. This creates significant rug pull risk as the token's control structure is opaque.

Key risks

  • Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by violent price spike and immediate reversal
  • Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($33.82K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Holder count dropped -295 (-42%) in just 1 hour, indicating mass exits already underway
  • 75.1% sell pressure with 2.4x more sellers than buyers
  • No utility, no description, no verified contract — pure speculative meme token
  • Top holder data unavailable — concentration risk unquantifiable

Mitigating factors

  • Token is marked 'mutable: false', suggesting metadata cannot be altered
  • Token is listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides transparent on-chain trading
  • 24h holder count growth of +618 shows some genuine new interest
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggest some community presence
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme coin trading. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme.

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Bull case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

—

Base case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

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Bear case (low)

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GeneratedJul 10, 04:47 PM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data current as of candle [1] close (2026-07-10T16:00 UTC). Historical holder data covers June 10 – July 9, 2026. Top holder and sniper data unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Token Metadata API
  • Moralis Price API
  • Moralis OHLC Candles API (hourly)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics API
  • Moralis Holder Metrics API
  • Moralis Historical Holders API (30-day daily)
  • Moralis Top Holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis API (returned no data)
  • PumpSwap on-chain pair data

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data unavailable — whale concentration cannot be quantified
  • Sniper analysis data unavailable — early buyer PnL and concentration unknown
  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — authority risk cannot be fully assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unconfirmed
  • 6h and 24h price change metrics show 0% in analytics despite clear price movement in OHLC data — possible data inconsistency
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10=0%, top100=0%) appear to be data artifacts rather than genuine readings
  • No on-chain utility or project documentation available for fundamental analysis

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data used is sourced from third-party APIs and may contain errors or inconsistencies. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1,000,000,000 MOGCAT

Key Risks

•Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by violent price spike and immediate reversal
•Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
•Extremely shallow liquidity ($33.82K) — high slippage and exit risk
•Holder count dropped -295 (-42%) in just 1 hour, indicating mass exits already underway

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals must be inferred from trading analytics alone. The 75.1% sell pressure (5,670 sells vs 2,044 buys, 1,839 unique sellers vs 770 unique buyers) strongly suggests that early buyers or insiders are distributing into retail demand. The holder count spike from 92 to 710 in 24h, combined with the violent price reversal from the pump high, is consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump where early holders accumulated at low prices and are now selling into the pump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results.

Likely distributing — the sharp price reversal from $0.0001276 to $0.0000419 with 75.1% sell pressure and 1,839 unique sellers suggests early buyers are aggressively taking profits or cutting losses. The 30-day dormancy period at 92 holders followed by a sudden pump is a red flag for coordinated early-buyer activity.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for mogcat (mogcat)?

The token has already shed ~67% from its intraday high (~$0.0001276) to the current price (~$0.0000419). With 75.1% sell pressure, 5,670 sells vs 2,044 buys, and only $33.82K in liquidity, further downside is the path of least resistance. The 5m price is up 23.5% suggesting a brief bounce, but the 1h is down -51%, indicating the dominant trend is sharply bearish. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000163 (intraday low from candle [2]) to $0.0000627 (mid-range recovery).

Is mogcat a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep experience in micro-cap meme coin trading. The risk profile is consistent with a pump-and-dump scheme.

How are mogcat holders trending?

mogcat currently has 710 holders and is growing (24h: 87, 7d: 87, 30d: 87). Holder growth appears entirely artificial and event-driven. For 30 consecutive days (June 10 – July 9, 2026), the holder count was frozen at exactly 92 with zero net change — an anomalous pattern suggesting the token was dormant or held by a small coordinated group. The sudden jump to 710 holders in 24h coincides with the pump event. The -295 holder change in the last 1 hour (-42%) is alarming and suggests mass exits are already underway as the price dumps. The 7d and 30d growth figures both equal the 24h figure (87%), confirming all growth occurred within the last 24 hours.

What does sniper activity look like for mogcat?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding mogcat?

Pump-and-dump pattern: 30-day dormancy followed by violent price spike and immediate reversal • Unknown update authority and unverified contract — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out • Extremely shallow liquidity ($33.82K) — high slippage and exit risk

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