TOADS

Poet Toads Price Today & AI Analysis

TOADS
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 27, 2026

DMXBsVBwfuzc5axa2vz6Ba2BzAxcUmn6V7ZtsJFEpump

$0.000787

+403.82%

FDV $748,571

LiveContract:DMXBsVBwfuzc5axa2vz6Ba2BzAxcUmn6V7ZtsJFEpumpChain:SolanaHolders:2,236Market cap:$748,571

More tokens on Solana

JUP

JUP

Jupiter

$0.22223.1%
MC $1.52B
CARDS

CARDS

Collector Crypt

$0.17544.8%
MC $350.76M
Schrödinger

Schrödinger

Official Tesla Cat

$0.0459721914.2%
MC $59.6K
MU

MU

Micron Technology - Backpack Securities

$969.773.7%
MC $6.79M
SPYX

SPYX

SP500 xStock

$774.470.6%
MC $73.76M
neet

neet

NotInEmploymentEducationTraining

$0.041312.7%
MC $41.30M

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about TOADS

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of Aug 27, 02:18 PM
FDV

$748,571

Liquidity

$122,660

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Poet Toads (TOADS) is a Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a current price of ~$0.000787 and a fully diluted valuation of ~$748K. The token has experienced an extraordinary 24h price surge of ~404%, driven by a massive volume spike concentrated in the early hours of August 27, 2026. However, sell pressure is overwhelmingly dominant at 78.2% of 24h volume, and the price has already begun retracing from its intraday high of ~$0.001629. The token is unverified, has no description, and its update authority is unknown — all significant risk flags for a meme token.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 24h price gain of ~404% from a very low base (~$0.000157)
Massive volume spike in candles 11–15 (03:00–07:00 UTC) with $336K–$437K per hour
Sell pressure heavily dominates at 78.2% of 24h volume ($1.31M sells vs $364K buys)
Liquidity of only $122.66K against $744K FDV creates high slippage risk
No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority — elevated rug risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in active price discovery after a parabolic pump. The most recent candles (candles 1–3) show a clear rollover from the intraday high of $0.001629 (candle 11) down to $0.000782 at close of candle 1. Sell pressure at 78.2% of volume and 11,421 sells vs 3,362 buys strongly suggest continued distribution. Short-term direction is bearish with risk of further retracement toward the pre-pump range of $0.000165–$0.000200.

Target low$0.000165
Target high$0.000954
Support: $0.000700 (candle 6/7 low cluster), $0.000509 (candle 12 low), $0.000165 (pre-pump base)
Resistance: $0.000928 (candle 9 close / candle 6 high), $0.001069 (candle 15 high / candle 11 open area), $0.001629 (candle 11 all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a sustained catalyst, meme tokens that pump 400%+ in a single day on heavy sell pressure typically retrace 70–90% of the move. The pre-pump price range was $0.000143–$0.000204. A return toward that range is the base expectation unless new buying catalysts emerge.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or viral moment could re-ignite buying
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Whale accumulation at lower levels (no data currently available)
  • Any utility or partnership announcement (none currently disclosed)

Bullish factors

  • Extraordinary 24h momentum (+404%) may attract momentum traders
  • 6h price change still positive at +16.7%, suggesting some residual buying interest
  • 3,362 buy transactions in 24h shows non-trivial buyer participation
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain liquidity

Bearish factors

  • 78.2% sell pressure ($1.31M sells vs $364K buys) — heavily distribution-dominated
  • 11,421 sells vs 3,362 buys — sellers outnumber buyers 3.4:1
  • Price already down from $0.001629 high to $0.000782 — 52% off peak
  • 5m and 1h price changes are negative (-3.6% and -4.7%) confirming short-term downtrend
  • Liquidity of only $122.66K is thin relative to $1.67M total 24h volume
  • No verified contract, no description, unknown update authority
  • Mutable: false is positive, but update authority unknown undermines confidence
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the highly speculative meme token nature, absence of holder/whale data, unknown update authority, no verified contract, and the extreme volatility of the 24h candle set. Price targets are derived purely from OHLC levels and volume patterns.

TOADS call history

Full track record →
Aug 27bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 24-candle hourly dataset reveals a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Candles 16–24 (Aug 26, 15:00–23:00 UTC) show a quiet, low-volume base in the $0.000143–$0.000204 range with volumes of $749–$3,672. Candle 15 (Aug 27, 00:00 UTC) is the ignition candle: open $0.000168, high $0.001070, close $0.000472 on massive $437K volume — a massive bullish spike with a long upper wick indicating immediate selling into the pump. Candles 11–14 show continued high volatility ($183K–$337K volume) with the absolute high of $0.001629 reached in candle 11 (04:00 UTC). From candle 10 onward, the price begins a staircase decline: $0.001096 open → $0.000834 close (candle 10), then progressively lower closes through candles 1–9. The most recent candle (candle 1) closes at $0.000782, well below the $0.001629 peak.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 22%Sell 78%

Short-term (last 6–8 hours): clear downtrend from the $0.001629 peak, with lower highs and lower closes. Medium-term (24h): still technically an uptrend from the $0.000143 base, but the trend is losing momentum rapidly as sell pressure dominates.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000700 (candle 6 & 7 low cluster: $0.000702–$0.000631)
Major$0.000165 (pre-pump base, candles 16–24 range floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000854 (candle 6 high / candle 1 open area)
Major$0.001629 (candle 11 all-time high)

The $0.000700 zone is the nearest meaningful support, representing the lows of candles 6 and 7 during the post-peak consolidation. Below that, $0.000509 (candle 12 low) and $0.000398 (candle 14 low) are intermediate supports. The pre-pump base of $0.000143–$0.000204 represents the ultimate support floor. On the upside, $0.000854–$0.000928 is a resistance cluster from multiple candle highs and closes.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic pump candle (candle 15): open $0.000168, high $0.001070 — ~6x intrabar move with long upper wick indicating immediate selling
  • Shooting star / bearish reversal at candle 11 peak ($0.001629 high, closed $0.001068 — long upper wick)
  • Staircase decline: lower highs and lower closes from candles 10 through 1 over 10 consecutive hours
  • Volume exhaustion: peak $437K (candle 15) declining to $5.7K (candle 1) — 98.7% volume drop from peak
  • Bear engulfing structure: candle 8 (H: $0.000926, C: $0.000736) followed by continued lower closes
  • Pre-pump base consolidation (candles 16–24): tight range $0.000143–$0.000204 with minimal volume ($749–$3,672)

Liquidity$122,660
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$364,390
Sell$1,310,000
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers490
Unique sellers2,994

Liquidity is critically shallow at $122.66K against a 24h total volume of ~$1.67M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio of ~13.6x. This means large trades will cause severe slippage. The net flow is strongly negative: $1.31M in sell volume vs $364K in buy volume represents a net outflow of ~$946K in 24h. The seller-to-buyer ratio is 6.1:1 (2,994 sellers vs 490 buyers), and sell transactions outnumber buy transactions 3.4:1 (11,421 vs 3,362). This is a deeply unhealthy market structure consistent with a post-pump distribution phase. The PumpSwap pair (28r8N5LTPEEaKBxyJXA6itYLzp2h6AyGcZFB5ud2eh4M) provides the sole liquidity venue, concentrating all exit risk in one pool.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply951,579,782.79 TOADS
FDV$748,570.71

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~951.6M TOADS with an FDV of ~$748K at current prices. The token has 6 decimals, consistent with standard Solana meme token launches via Pump.fun/PumpSwap. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata — this is a significant red flag as it prevents assessment of mint/freeze authority renouncement. The token is marked as 'Mutable: false', which is a mild positive (metadata cannot be changed), but without confirmed authority renouncement, the risk of mint or freeze actions cannot be ruled out. The contract is unverified and there is no description, which are additional risk signals. The token was not flagged as possible spam by the data provider, but that does not constitute a safety endorsement.

Volatility
high

The token pumped ~404% in 24h and has already retraced ~52% from its intraday high of $0.001629 to $0.000782. Hourly candles show swings of 30–60% within single hours. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing extremely difficult.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $122.66K on a single PumpSwap pool. With $1.67M in 24h volume, any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. Exiting a large position at quoted price is effectively impossible.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable, preventing direct assessment. However, the token's meme/PumpSwap origin and the extreme sell pressure pattern (2,994 sellers, $1.31M sell volume) suggest early holders are heavily concentrated and distributing. Default high risk applied due to data absence and token profile.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so direct sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. The overall sell pressure pattern (78.2% sell volume, 11,421 sells) is consistent with early buyer distribution, which may include snipers. Risk rated medium due to data absence rather than confirmed low risk.

Authority
high

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed. An unrenounced mint authority could allow unlimited token creation (dilution), and an unrenounced freeze authority could freeze holder wallets. This is a critical unresolved risk.

Key risks

  • Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential for rug pull or token dilution
  • Extreme sell pressure (78.2% of volume) indicating active distribution phase
  • Shallow liquidity ($122.66K) creating high slippage and exit risk
  • No verified contract, no project description, no disclosed team
  • Post-parabolic pump pattern with 52% retracement already underway
  • Single liquidity venue (PumpSwap) concentrates all exit risk
  • Unverified token with no utility or roadmap disclosed

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as 'Mutable: false' — metadata cannot be altered
  • Not flagged as possible spam by data provider
  • Active trading with 3,220 unique wallets in 24h shows genuine market participation
  • Twitter social link present (minimal but non-zero social presence)
  • PumpSwap listing provides transparent on-chain price discovery
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and have the technical capability to monitor positions in real time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi and pump-and-dump risk patterns.

TOADS is a high-risk Solana meme token that has experienced a violent 24h pump of ~404% followed by an active distribution phase. The investment case is almost entirely speculative momentum trading. The fundamental risk profile is very high: unknown authorities, no verified contract, shallow liquidity, and overwhelming sell pressure. Any bullish thesis depends entirely on renewed social momentum overwhelming the current distribution pressure.

Bull case (low)

A second wave of social media attention or influencer promotion reignites buying interest, pushing the token back toward the $0.001069–$0.001629 resistance zone. Momentum traders pile in, liquidity deepens, and the token establishes a higher base above $0.000700.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana meme season tailwind
  • Whale accumulation at current levels (unconfirmed)
  • Positive 6h price change (+16.7%) suggesting some residual buying interest

Base case

The token continues to retrace from its $0.001629 peak, finding temporary support in the $0.000500–$0.000700 range before gradually drifting back toward the $0.000200–$0.000300 zone over the next 3–7 days as initial excitement fades and liquidity thins.

  • No major new catalyst emerges to restart buying momentum
  • Sell pressure remains dominant as early buyers continue to exit
  • Liquidity remains at or below current $122.66K level
  • No rug pull event (authorities not exercised maliciously)
  • Broader Solana market conditions remain neutral

Bear case (high)

Distribution continues as early buyers exit. Liquidity drains from the PumpSwap pool, slippage increases, and the price retraces to the pre-pump base of $0.000143–$0.000204. In an extreme scenario, unknown authorities are used to rug remaining holders.

  • 78.2% sell pressure with 11,421 sell transactions vs 3,362 buys
  • 2,994 unique sellers vs 490 unique buyers — 6:1 ratio
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority creating rug pull risk
  • No verified contract, no utility, no disclosed team
  • Shallow $122.66K liquidity accelerates price impact on sells
  • Historical pattern: post-pump meme tokens typically retrace 70–90%

GeneratedAug 27, 02:18 PM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-08-27T14:00Z (most recent candle close). Price and volume figures may have changed since data capture.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Mint: DMXBsVBwfuzc5axa2vz6Ba2BzAxcUmn6V7ZtsJFEpump)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • 24 hourly OHLC candles (2026-08-26T15:00Z to 2026-08-27T14:00Z)
  • Trading analytics: volume, buy/sell breakdown, unique wallet counts
  • PumpSwap pair data (28r8N5LTPEEaKBxyJXA6itYLzp2h6AyGcZFB5ud2eh4M)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder count, growth, and distribution data is entirely unavailable — whaleMap and holderTrends sections contain no real data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — early buyer PnL and concentration cannot be assessed
  • Update authority is 'unknown' — mint/freeze authority renouncement cannot be confirmed
  • No verified contract — on-chain code cannot be audited
  • Token has no description or disclosed utility — fundamental analysis is impossible
  • Single liquidity pool on PumpSwap — no cross-venue price validation
  • Analysis covers only 24 hourly candles — longer-term trend context is unavailable
  • FDV figures differ slightly between metadata ($748,570.71) and analytics ($744K) — minor data inconsistency noted

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in TOADS. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply951,579,782.79 TOADS

Key Risks

•Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential for rug pull or token dilution
•Extreme sell pressure (78.2% of volume) indicating active distribution phase
•Shallow liquidity ($122.66K) creating high slippage and exit risk
•No verified contract, no project description, no disclosed team

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data was provided for TOADS. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper activity. However, the on-chain trading analytics tell a clear story: 11,421 sell transactions vs 3,362 buy transactions in 24h, with $1.31M in sell volume vs $364K in buy volume. This strongly suggests early buyers and/or insiders are distributing into retail demand generated by the price pump. The 2,994 unique sellers vs 490 unique buyers ratio (6:1) further confirms aggressive distribution behavior.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Unable to assess via sniper data. However, the extreme sell/buy volume imbalance (78.2% sell pressure) and the 3.4:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio strongly imply early buyers are taking profits aggressively into the pump.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Poet Toads (TOADS)?

The token is in active price discovery after a parabolic pump. The most recent candles (candles 1–3) show a clear rollover from the intraday high of $0.001629 (candle 11) down to $0.000782 at close of candle 1. Sell pressure at 78.2% of volume and 11,421 sells vs 3,362 buys strongly suggest continued distribution. Short-term direction is bearish with risk of further retracement toward the pre-pump range of $0.000165–$0.000200. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000165 to $0.000954.

Is TOADS a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant traders who fully understand meme token dynamics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and have the technical capability to monitor positions in real time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana DeFi and pump-and-dump risk patterns.

What does sniper activity look like for TOADS?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding TOADS?

Unknown update/mint/freeze authority — potential for rug pull or token dilution • Extreme sell pressure (78.2% of volume) indicating active distribution phase • Shallow liquidity ($122.66K) creating high slippage and exit risk

← Back to all predictions

Track TOADS