奶蛙

奶蛙 Price Prediction 2026

奶蛙
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Aug 10, 2026

DKxHTQCvDKUke1WpsHgbfueuRiTMqdzXrWeFHPvzpump

$0.000469

+27.76%

FDV $460,240

LiveContract:DKxHTQCvDKUke1WpsHgbfueuRiTMqdzXrWeFHPvzpumpChain:SolanaHolders:1,237Market cap:$460,240

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Report snapshotas of Aug 10, 03:17 PM
FDV

$460,240

Liquidity

$74,159

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

奶蛙 (symbol: 奶蛙) is an unverified Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a mint address of DKxHTQCvDKUke1WpsHgbfueuRiTMqdzXrWeFHPvzpump. The token has a total supply of ~981.7M and a fully diluted valuation of ~$460K. It has experienced extreme intraday volatility — surging over 120% in 24h before retracing sharply — with heavily skewed sell pressure (74.6% sell volume vs. 25.4% buy volume). Liquidity is shallow at $74.16K. No verified contract, no description, and unknown update authority raise significant red flags.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price volatility: +120% intraday spike followed by sharp retracement
Heavily sell-dominated trading: 74.6% sell volume, 8,844 sells vs. 3,289 buys
Very shallow liquidity at $74.16K relative to $461K FDV
Unverified contract with unknown update authority and mutable=false metadata
PumpSwap-launched meme token with no description or verified social presence

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token spiked to a 24h high of ~$0.001207 (candle [10]) before collapsing to the current ~$0.000469. With 74.6% sell pressure, 8,844 sells vs. 3,289 buys, and only $74K in liquidity, the path of least resistance is downward. The 1h gain of ~20% may represent a dead-cat bounce within a broader downtrend from the $0.00121 peak.

Target low$0.000225
Target high$0.000620
Support: $0.000414 (candle [10] low), $0.000319 (candle [3] low), $0.000225 (candle [15] low)
Resistance: $0.000619 (candle [2] high), $0.000729 (candle [8] high), $0.001207 (candle [10] all-time high in window)

Medium term

bearish
1–2 weeks

Without a verified contract, meaningful liquidity, or identifiable utility, sustained price appreciation is unlikely. The token's meme-driven spike appears to have peaked. Continued sell pressure and thin liquidity suggest further price erosion unless a new catalyst emerges.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or viral meme cycle
  • Significant liquidity addition to the PumpSwap pool
  • Broader Solana meme token market rally
  • Whale accumulation at depressed prices

Bullish factors

  • Strong 24h price appreciation of +120% demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • 1h price up ~20%, suggesting short-term momentum may not be fully exhausted
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading venue
  • Mutable=false metadata reduces one vector of post-launch manipulation

Bearish factors

  • 74.6% of 24h volume is sell-side ($844.87K sells vs. $288.16K buys)
  • 8,844 sell transactions vs. 3,289 buy transactions — sellers outnumber buyers ~2.7:1
  • Shallow liquidity of $74.16K creates high slippage risk and vulnerability to dumps
  • Price already retraced from $0.001207 peak to $0.000469 — ~61% drawdown from intraday high
  • Unverified contract and unknown update authority
  • No description, no verified socials, no identifiable team or utility
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility of meme tokens, absence of fundamental data, unknown update authority, no verified contract, and the unpredictable nature of social-media-driven price action. The 24h candle data shows wild swings (e.g., candle [10] ranging from $0.000414 to $0.001207) making precise targets unreliable.

奶蛙 call history

Full track record →
Aug 10bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Over the 24 hourly candles analyzed (2026-08-09T16:00Z to 2026-08-10T15:00Z), the token exhibited a classic pump-and-dump pattern. Price trended sideways/slightly down from ~$0.000316 (candle [24]) through the overnight session, bottoming near $0.000192–$0.000225 (candles [17], [21]). A massive spike occurred in candle [10] (06:00Z) where price surged from $0.000451 open to a high of $0.001207 on $310K volume — the highest-volume candle in the window. Price then collapsed progressively through candles [9]–[1], forming a series of lower highs and lower lows from the $0.001051 high (candle [9]) down to $0.000502 (candle [1] high). The most recent candle [1] shows a bearish close at $0.000470 well below its open of $0.000502.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 25%Sell 75%

After the explosive spike in candle [10], the token has been in a clear short-term downtrend with consecutive lower highs: $0.001207 → $0.001051 → $0.000729 → $0.000614 → $0.000606 → $0.000502. The medium-term trend is also bearish given the price is now ~61% below the intraday peak.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000452 (candle [1] low)
Major$0.000192 (candle [17] low — 24h session low)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000619 (candle [2] high)
Major$0.001207 (candle [10] all-time high in window)

Immediate support sits at the candle [1] low of $0.000452. A break below this opens a path to the $0.000319–$0.000321 zone (candles [2],[3] lows). Major support is the session low near $0.000192. On the upside, $0.000619 (candle [2] high) is the first meaningful resistance, with the $0.001207 spike high acting as major overhead resistance that would require extraordinary buying pressure to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Classic pump-and-dump spike: single candle [10] with 3x volume vs. surrounding candles and price tripling from open to high
  • Series of lower highs post-spike: $0.001207 → $0.001051 → $0.000729 → $0.000646 → $0.000614 → $0.000502 (candles [10]→[9]→[8]→[6]→[7]→[1])
  • High-volume bearish engulfing structure: candle [8] opened at $0.000715 and closed at $0.000557 on $56K volume
  • Candle [10] has an extremely long upper wick relative to body — classic shooting star / rejection candle at the top
  • Volume exhaustion: from $310K peak to $4.6K in 9 candles — 98.5% volume decline
  • Candle [18] doji-like: open $0.000311 equals high, close equals low $0.000251 — indecision/distribution

Liquidity$74,160
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$288,160
Sell$844,870
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers310
Unique sellers2,141

Liquidity is critically shallow at $74.16K against a $461.83K FDV — a liquidity-to-FDV ratio of only ~16%. This means even modest sell orders will cause significant price impact and slippage. The 24h trading data reveals a severe net outflow: $844.87K in sell volume vs. $288.16K in buy volume, a 2.93:1 sell-to-buy ratio. Unique sellers (2,141) outnumber unique buyers (310) by nearly 7:1, indicating broad distribution rather than accumulation. The pair trades on PumpSwap (HrWLAXutGaP9DuqEGUuhHq3ADPe81RuPxJ79u7WGFqAc). Market health is poor — thin liquidity, dominant sell pressure, and a post-spike price structure all point to an unhealthy market condition for new entrants.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply981,729,263.94
FDV$460,239.65

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Total supply is ~981.7M tokens with a current FDV of ~$460K. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' in the metadata, preventing a definitive determination of whether mint or freeze authorities have been renounced. The token metadata is marked as mutable=false, which is a mild positive signal suggesting the metadata itself cannot be altered post-deployment. However, the contract is unverified, there is no description, and the token was launched via PumpSwap — a common venue for speculative meme tokens. The combination of unknown authority status and unverified contract means rug risk from authorities cannot be ruled out and is classified as unknown. Investors should treat this as a high-risk, unaudited token.

Volatility
high

The token experienced a ~167% spike from ~$0.000414 to $0.001207 within a single hourly candle, followed by a ~61% retracement over 9 hours. 24h price change of +120% masks extreme intraday swings. This level of volatility is consistent with highly speculative meme tokens.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of $74.16K is critically thin relative to the $461.83K FDV (~16% ratio). Large trades will face severe slippage. Exit liquidity for any meaningful position is extremely limited, especially given the 2.93:1 sell-to-buy volume ratio.

Concentration
high

Holder distribution data is unavailable. However, PumpSwap-launched meme tokens typically feature high early-buyer concentration. The 2,141 unique sellers vs. 310 unique buyers in 24h suggests a small group of early holders is distributing to a larger pool of retail buyers.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data is available, so direct sniper dump risk cannot be quantified. However, the extreme sell dominance (74.6% sell volume, 8,844 sells vs. 3,289 buys) and the classic pump-and-dump candle pattern in the OHLC data suggest early participants are actively exiting positions.

Authority
high

Update authority is listed as 'unknown'. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed as renounced. The contract is unverified. These unknowns represent material risks including potential for supply manipulation or account freezing.

Key risks

  • Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
  • Unverified smart contract with no audit trail
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($74.16K) — high slippage and exit risk
  • Overwhelming sell pressure: 74.6% sell volume, 2,141 sellers vs. 310 buyers
  • Classic pump-and-dump OHLC pattern with 61% retracement from intraday high
  • No description, no verified team, no identifiable utility or roadmap
  • Meme token with no fundamental value drivers

Mitigating factors

  • Metadata marked mutable=false, reducing post-launch metadata manipulation risk
  • Token is listed as 'possible spam: false' by the data provider
  • Active trading with 2,231 unique wallets in 24h demonstrates genuine market participation
  • PumpSwap listing provides transparent on-chain price discovery
  • 24h price still up +120% from 24h ago, meaning some early buyers remain in profit
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The combination of unknown authority status, unverified contract, shallow liquidity, and dominant sell pressure makes this an extremely high-risk speculative instrument.

奶蛙 is a high-risk Solana meme token that has already experienced its primary price spike (+120% in 24h, peaking at $0.001207). The current price of $0.000469 represents a post-spike environment dominated by sellers. Without verified contracts, meaningful liquidity, or identifiable utility, the investment case rests entirely on speculative momentum — which the data suggests is fading rapidly.

Bull case (low)

A renewed viral social media cycle or broader Solana meme token rally drives a second wave of buying interest, pushing price back toward the $0.000619–$0.000729 resistance zone. New liquidity enters the PumpSwap pool, reducing slippage risk and enabling larger position sizes.

  • Viral social media attention reigniting speculative demand
  • Broader Solana ecosystem meme token rally
  • Significant new liquidity addition to the pool
  • Whale accumulation at current depressed prices
  • Community-driven marketing campaign

Base case

Price consolidates in the $0.000300–$0.000500 range as the post-spike distribution phase completes. Occasional volatility spikes occur but fail to reclaim the $0.001207 high. The token gradually loses trading volume and liquidity over the following weeks as attention shifts to newer meme tokens.

  • No new major catalysts emerge to drive a second spike
  • Sell pressure gradually normalizes as early buyers finish distributing
  • Liquidity remains thin but stable around current $74K level
  • No rug pull or authority-based manipulation occurs
  • Token retains a small but active speculative trading community

Bear case (high)

Continued sell pressure from early buyers taking profits drives price back toward the session lows of $0.000192–$0.000225. Thin liquidity accelerates the decline. If the unknown update authority executes a rug pull or supply manipulation, price could approach zero.

  • Sustained 74.6% sell pressure with no signs of abating
  • Unknown authority status enabling potential rug pull
  • Liquidity withdrawal from the PumpSwap pool
  • No fundamental value to support price floor
  • Broader meme token sentiment deterioration

GeneratedAug 10, 03:17 PM
Data freshnessOHLC data current to 2026-08-10T15:00Z; price data reflects latest available feed at ~$0.000469
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals, update authority, mutability)
  • USD price feed and 24h price change data
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (24 candles, 2026-08-09T16:00Z to 2026-08-10T15:00Z)
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, unique wallets, liquidity)
  • PumpSwap pair data (HrWLAXutGaP9DuqEGUuhHq3ADPe81RuPxJ79u7WGFqAc)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Holder distribution data is entirely unavailable — whaleMap and holderTrends sections contain no real data
  • Sniper analysis returned no data — smart money signals are inferred from aggregate trading analytics only
  • Update authority is 'unknown' — mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed
  • Contract is unverified — no audit or source code review is possible
  • No description or social links provided — team identity and project legitimacy cannot be assessed
  • 24h price change figures differ between metadata (+27.76%) and trading analytics (+120.13%) — likely reflecting different measurement windows or methodologies; both are reported
  • FDV figures show minor discrepancy between metadata ($460,239.65) and analytics ($461,830) — likely due to price feed timing differences
  • Meme token price action is highly unpredictable and driven by social sentiment not captured in on-chain data

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially unverified meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analyst has no position in this token.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply981,729,263.94

Key Risks

Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply inflation or account freezing
Unverified smart contract with no audit trail
Critically shallow liquidity ($74.16K) — high slippage and exit risk
Overwhelming sell pressure: 74.6% sell volume, 2,141 sellers vs. 310 buyers

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data was provided for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, observable on-chain trading analytics reveal a heavily sell-dominated market: 2,141 unique sellers vs. 310 unique buyers in 24h, with sell volume of $844.87K dwarfing buy volume of $288.16K. This 6.9:1 seller-to-buyer ratio strongly suggests early participants and/or insiders are distributing into retail buying interest following the spike.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available for this token.

Cannot be determined from sniper data (unavailable). However, the extreme sell dominance (74.6% sell volume, 2,141 sellers vs. 310 buyers) implies early buyers who caught the spike near $0.000192–$0.000320 may be taking profits, while those who bought near the $0.001207 peak are likely underwater.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for 奶蛙 (奶蛙)?

The token spiked to a 24h high of ~$0.001207 (candle [10]) before collapsing to the current ~$0.000469. With 74.6% sell pressure, 8,844 sells vs. 3,289 buys, and only $74K in liquidity, the path of least resistance is downward. The 1h gain of ~20% may represent a dead-cat bounce within a broader downtrend from the $0.00121 peak. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000225 to $0.000620.

Is 奶蛙 a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose their entire investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone allocating more than a negligible portion of their portfolio. The combination of unknown authority status, unverified contract, shallow liquidity, and dominant sell pressure makes this an extremely high-risk speculative instrument.

What does sniper activity look like for 奶蛙?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding 奶蛙?

Unknown mint and freeze authority status — potential for supply inflation or account freezing • Unverified smart contract with no audit trail • Critically shallow liquidity ($74.16K) — high slippage and exit risk

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