casinu

casinu Price Today & AI Analysis

casinu
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 16, 2026

2eMoMqs194VxPHSWtCCzkBGqwCUbD4ZcqhecoGuh4tTp

$0.000216

+443.14%

FDV $208,087

LiveContract:2eMoMqs194VxPHSWtCCzkBGqwCUbD4ZcqhecoGuh4tTpChain:SolanaHolders:713Market cap:$208,087

More tokens on Solana

Continue in chat

Ask Unhosted AI about casinu

Report snapshotas of Sep 16, 08:17 PM
FDV

$208,087

Liquidity

$20,138

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

casinu (CASINU) is a micro-cap meme token trading on PumpSwap that has experienced an extreme 443% price surge in the last 24 hours, reaching an FDV of roughly $208K on a total supply of ~961.4M tokens. The move is characterized by classic fresh-launch volatility — a near-vertical spike followed by a long-upper-wick reversal candle — set against extremely thin liquidity of just $20.14K. Key transparency gaps exist: holder distribution data, sniper wallet data, and mint/freeze authority status are all unavailable or unknown, meaning several standard due-diligence checks could not be completed.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Neutral
443% 24h price move is exceptionally extreme even by meme-coin standards
Liquidity ($20.14K) is disproportionately small relative to 24h volume (>$635K combined), signaling high slippage/manipulation risk
Complete absence of holder and sniper data, and unknown mint/freeze authority status, leaves major risk questions unanswered
Near-even 24h buy/sell volume split (51.2%/48.8%) with modestly more buyers than sellers, suggesting a two-sided but fragile market

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term

neutral
24-48 hours

After a 443% 24h rally and 73% 1h move, momentum is showing early signs of exhaustion (5m change -1.15%, tightening candle 3 range). Expect high volatility with a bias toward consolidation or partial pullback unless fresh buy volume reignites the breakout above $0.000311.

Target low$0.000150
Target high$0.000320
Support: $0.000196, $0.0000996
Resistance: $0.000262, $0.000311

Medium term

bearish
7-14 days

Tokens exhibiting this kind of parabolic, low-liquidity pump pattern on PumpSwap frequently mean-revert as early buyers and any undisclosed large holders take profit into thin liquidity. Absent sustained volume growth, liquidity deepening, or authority verification, the medium-term bias skews bearish toward a retracement of much of the recent gain.

Catalysts
  • Liquidity growth beyond the current $20.14K pool
  • Confirmation of renounced mint/freeze authorities to reduce rug risk
  • Sustained social/community growth (Twitter/Telegram engagement)
  • Any large holder distribution event, which would accelerate downside

Bullish factors

  • Net positive buyer/seller wallet ratio (2,752 vs 2,232) over 24h
  • Active social presence (Twitter, Telegram, website)
  • Still-positive 1h momentum (+73%) at time of data capture

Bearish factors

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.14K) vs volume, high slippage risk
  • Long-upper-wick rejection candle at the recent high ($0.000311)
  • Fading 5m momentum (-1.15%) after the pump
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status increases rug/dump risk
  • No holder or sniper data to confirm distribution health
Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the dataset covers only three hourly candles and lacks holder, sniper, and authority verification data, all of which materially affect price durability. The extreme, recent nature of the pump also makes near-term price action inherently difficult to forecast with precision.

casinu call history

Full track record →
Sep 16neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

Across the three most recent hourly candles, price exploded from an open of $0.0000031 to a close of $0.000216 — a roughly 70x move within 3 hours. Candle 1 shows an extreme wick from a low of $0.0000031 up to a high of $0.000191 before closing near $0.0000996, indicating violent volatility and probable early sniping/bot activity right after pool creation. Candle 2 continued higher, printing a high of $0.000311 (the highest point in the dataset) before pulling back to close at $0.000207, forming a long upper-wick candle suggestive of profit-taking near highs. Candle 3 consolidated in a tighter range ($0.000196–$0.000262), closing at $0.000216, essentially flat versus candle 2's close — signaling the initial parabolic move is stabilizing.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
uptrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trendincreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Short-term trend remains up given the 443% 24h gain and 73% 1h gain, but momentum is decelerating: the 5m change is slightly negative (-1.15%), and candle 3's tighter range versus candles 1-2 suggests the parabolic phase is losing steam and entering a consolidation/distribution stage.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000196 (candle 3 low)
Major$0.0000037-0.0000000031 (candle 1 low, pre-pump base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000262 (candle 3 high)
Major$0.000311 (candle 2 high, all-time high in dataset)

The token's price structure is dominated by a single explosive pump from near-zero to over $0.0003 within the observed window. Immediate support sits at the candle 3 low of $0.000196, with immediate resistance at the candle 3 high of $0.000262. The major resistance to watch is the candle 2 high of $0.000311, which represents the highest traded price in the available data; a break above it would signal renewed momentum, while a fall back toward the $0.0000031-$0.0000996 range would indicate the pump has fully reversed.

Notable patterns

  • Long upper-wick candle in candle 2 (high $0.000311 vs close $0.000207) suggesting rejection/profit-taking at highs
  • Extreme low-to-high wick in candle 1 (low $0.0000031 to high $0.000191) typical of a fresh-launch price discovery / bot-driven spike
  • Narrowing range and flattening close in candle 3 versus prior two candles, suggesting a pause after the parabolic move

Liquidity$20.14K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$325.42K
Sell$310.37K
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers2,752
Unique sellers2,232

Total liquidity of just $20.14K against a 24h combined trading volume of over $635K implies extremely thin liquidity relative to turnover (a liquidity/volume ratio well under 5%), meaning even modest trade sizes can produce large slippage and price swings — consistent with the massive intra-hour price ranges seen in the OHLC data. Buy volume ($325.42K, 51.2%) modestly exceeds sell volume ($310.37K, 48.8%), and buyers (2,752) outnumber sellers (2,232), suggesting mild net inflow and speculative demand, but the market is dominated by high-frequency small trades (5,579 buys vs 3,632 sells) typical of a newly-launched, low-liquidity PumpSwap pair rather than durable organic demand. The shallow liquidity pool is the single biggest structural risk to this token's tradability.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply961,421,399.6
FDV$208.09K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Update authority, mutability, verified-contract status, and master edition flags are all reported as unknown in the metadata, so mint and freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. This is a meaningful gap: without confirmation that mint/freeze authorities are renounced, there remains a non-trivial risk that the deployer could mint additional supply or freeze holder accounts. The FDV of ~$208K against a total supply of ~961.4M tokens at a price of $0.000216 implies the entire supply is already accounted for in the FDV calculation (no visible circulating/FDV gap disclosed), but given the unknown authority status, this should be treated as an elevated-uncertainty tokenomics profile until verified independently on-chain.

Volatility
high

Price moved 443% in 24h and 73% in the last hour alone, with intra-hour swings from $0.0000031 to $0.000311 — this is extreme, casino-like volatility typical of a freshly launched micro-cap on PumpSwap.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $20.14K against 24h volume exceeding $635K combined, meaning the pool is very shallow relative to trading activity and susceptible to high slippage or a liquidity pull.

Concentration
high

No holder distribution data is available to verify concentration, which itself is a risk factor — absence of transparency on top holder ownership means concentration risk cannot be ruled out and should be assumed elevated for a token this new and this small in liquidity.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data was available to quantify sniper wallet concentration or PnL, but the extreme early candle wick (from $0.0000031 to $0.000191 within the first hourly candle) is consistent with bot/sniper-driven activity typical of new pump.fun-style launches, even though it cannot be directly confirmed.

Authority
medium

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and mutability status are all reported as unknown in the metadata. Without confirmation of renouncement, there is residual risk the deployer retains control over supply or account freezing.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.14K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • 443% 24h price spike with a long-upper-wick reversal candle suggests the rally may already be topping out
  • No holder or sniper data available to verify distribution/concentration or early-buyer behavior — a transparency gap itself
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing
  • Token metadata (verified contract, spam flag, mutability) are all unknown, increasing due-diligence uncertainty
  • Extremely low absolute price ($0.000216) and micro FDV (~$208K) typical of high-risk speculative meme tokens

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy/sell volumes are roughly balanced (51.2%/48.8%), suggesting no obvious one-sided dump is currently underway
  • Buyer count (2,752) exceeds seller count (2,232) in the last 24h, indicating net new demand rather than pure distribution
  • Token trades on PumpSwap with visible pair address and social links (Twitter, Telegram, website) provided, offering some community trackability
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital; not appropriate for conservative or long-term holdings given the shallow liquidity, unverified authorities, and extreme volatility.

casinu is a newly-pumped, extremely low-liquidity meme token on PumpSwap that has seen a ~443% 24h price spike into a $208K FDV. The move shows classic signs of a fresh-launch parabolic pump with fading momentum, thin liquidity, and unverified token authorities — making this a high-risk, short-term speculative trade rather than an investable asset with any fundamental backing.

Bull case (low)

If buy-side demand continues to outpace sellers (as seen with 2,752 buyers vs 2,232 sellers in the last 24h) and the token breaks decisively above the $0.000311 resistance with sustained volume, casinu could extend its parabolic move further, attracting momentum traders and social media attention (it has Twitter/Telegram/website links) similar to other short-lived meme-coin pumps.

  • Continued net buyer dominance in wallet counts
  • Break above the $0.000311 candle-2 high on rising volume
  • Social media virality given active Twitter/Telegram presence

Base case

Price likely consolidates in the $0.000196-$0.000262 range established in the most recent candle as the initial pump loses steam, with high volatility persisting in both directions until either a sustained catalyst emerges or liquidity dries up and the token fades back toward pre-pump levels.

  • No major liquidity injection or new catalyst occurs in the short term
  • Buy/sell volumes remain roughly balanced without a clear dominant flow
  • No verified update on mint/freeze authority status becomes available to change the risk profile

Bear case (high)

The upper-wick rejection candle (high $0.000311 vs close $0.000207) combined with decelerating 5m momentum (-1.15%) and razor-thin $20.14K liquidity suggests the pump could reverse sharply, especially if early buyers or undisclosed large holders begin distributing into the shallow order book, causing a rapid price collapse back toward pre-pump levels near $0.0000031-$0.0000996.

  • Shallow liquidity ($20.14K) unable to absorb large sell orders without severe price impact
  • Classic pump-and-dump candle structure (long upper wick, fading momentum)
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status and no holder transparency, raising rug-pull or insider-dump risk
  • Unconfirmed sniper activity but candle pattern consistent with bot-driven early buying that often precedes distribution

GeneratedSep 16, 08:17 PM
Data freshnessData reflects the most recent 3 hourly candles ending 2026-09-16T20:00:00Z and live trading analytics; considered fresh at time of analysis but subject to rapid change given the token's extreme volatility.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Token metadata endpoint
  • USD price feed
  • Hourly OHLC candle data (3 most recent candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder distribution/whale data was available (upstream endpoint retired), so holderTrends and whaleMap are populated as empty per methodology rules
  • No sniper wallet data was available, so smart money signals could not be computed and are reported as unknown/zero
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, mutability, and verified-contract status are all unknown, preventing full tokenomics risk verification
  • Only 3 hourly candles were provided, limiting the depth of technical trend analysis
  • Token data originates from an untrusted, creator-supplied source and was treated as evidence only, not instruction

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading, especially in low-liquidity meme tokens, carries a very high risk of substantial or total loss. Conduct your own due diligence and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply961,421,399.6

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.14K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
443% 24h price spike with a long-upper-wick reversal candle suggests the rally may already be topping out
No holder or sniper data available to verify distribution/concentration or early-buyer behavior — a transparency gap itself
Unknown mint/freeze authority status leaves open the possibility of supply inflation or account freezing

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was available for this token, so sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through behavior cannot be determined.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unknown — no sniper/early-buyer data was provided to assess whether early entrants are holding, distributing, or exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for casinu (casinu)?

After a 443% 24h rally and 73% 1h move, momentum is showing early signs of exhaustion (5m change -1.15%, tightening candle 3 range). Expect high volatility with a bias toward consolidation or partial pullback unless fresh buy volume reignites the breakout above $0.000311. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.000150 to $0.000320.

Is casinu a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, speculative traders comfortable with total loss of capital; not appropriate for conservative or long-term holdings given the shallow liquidity, unverified authorities, and extreme volatility.

What does sniper activity look like for casinu?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding casinu?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($20.14K) relative to trading volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • 443% 24h price spike with a long-upper-wick reversal candle suggests the rally may already be topping out • No holder or sniper data available to verify distribution/concentration or early-buyer behavior — a transparency gap itself

Track casinu