CAKE

cake.xmr Price Today & AI Analysis

CAKESolanaAnalysis as of Sep 27, 2026

Price

$0.002725

+5581.85% 24h

Contract

Live
DAemPFNc3RtibBDKkUA4eL2Ns11q9VRdbpptmqm8DGqN

Chain

Holders

4,905

Market cap

$2,574,552

More tokens on Solana

cake.xmr: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-09-27 02:15 UTC

Holder addresses

4,905

Top 10 supply share

14.23%

Reported liquidity

$84,360.00
How concentrated is cake.xmr ownership?
As of 2026-09-27 02:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.23% of supply. It reports 4,905 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.
Are large holders selling cake.xmr?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-27 02:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $2,230,128.00 in buys and $2,137,686.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is cake.xmr liquidity falling?
Sampled USD liquidity changed +3115.08%, from $3,443.48 (2026-09-26 22:00 UTC) to $110,710.71 (2026-09-27 02:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: Codex token aggregates, hourly liquidity samples and recent DEX swaps. Token aggregates retrieved 2026-09-27 02:15 UTC; the provider may lag the chain. Buy/sell totals cover the preceding 24 hours. Observations are saved with this report and do not update live. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Saved liquidity observations

Observation (UTC)Liquidity (USD)
2026-09-26 22:00 UTC$3,443.48
2026-09-26 23:00 UTC$3,441.78
2026-09-27 00:00 UTC$21,684.01
2026-09-27 01:00 UTC$88,727.76
2026-09-27 02:00 UTC$110,710.71

Recent swap evidence

Up to 10 recent swaps returned by the provider within the preceding 24 hours. This is a sample, not all trades or a ranking of large holders.

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Report snapshot

as of Sep 27, 02:16 AM UTC

FDV

$2,574,552

Liquidity

$84,360.00

Holders

4,905

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Neutral

CAKE (cake.xmr) is a micro-cap SPL token trading on a PumpSwap pair with a current price of $0.00272541, a $2.57M fully diluted valuation, and only $84.36K in total liquidity. The token has just undergone an extreme parabolic price surge (+5,581.8% in 24h, +350.8% in the last hour alone), moving from roughly $0.0000042 to over $0.0030 within a five-hour candle window on rapidly expanding volume (up to $3.38M in a single hour). Trading is fairly two-sided (51.1% buy vs 48.9% sell pressure, 7,944 buyers vs 5,796 sellers over 24h), and a Codex snapshot shows 4,905 holder addresses with the top 10 controlling 14.23% of supply, though no historical holder trend or wallet classification is available. Critical gaps remain: mint/freeze authority status is unknown, no sniper wallet data was provided, and no top-100 concentration or holder history exists, all of which materially limit the confidence of this analysis.

Key points

  • Extreme, likely unsustainable parabolic 24h price move (+5,581%) on a newly active PumpSwap pair
  • Very shallow liquidity ($84.36K) relative to $2.57M FDV and heavy ($4.3M combined) 24h volume, implying high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Balanced 24h buy/sell flow (51.1%/48.9%) and buyer-dominant participation (7,944 vs 5,796) despite the extreme price move
  • Multiple unresolved data gaps: unknown mint/freeze authority, no sniper data, no holder history, no top-100 concentration figure
  • Branding references the real-world 'cake.xmr' Monero wallet project, but verified contract/spam status is unknown, leaving affiliation and legitimacy unconfirmed

AI Price Analysis

neutral

Short term · 24-48 hours

neutral

Given the extreme, likely unsustainable parabolic move (+5,581% 24h, +350% in the last hour) and a shallow $84.36K liquidity pool, short-term direction is highly uncertain and could swing sharply either way. The slight upper wick and pullback from the $0.00301 high to a $0.00288 close in the most recent candle hints at emerging exhaustion, but confirmation is lacking with only 5 candles of data.

Target low

$0.0015 (near candle 4 open zone, a plausible retracement level)

Target high

$0.0035 (modest extension above the recent $0.00301 high if momentum continues briefly)

Support

$0.002088 (immediate, candle 5 low), $0.000152 (major, candle 4 open / breakout origin)

Resistance

$0.003012 (immediate, candle 5 high / current ATH in dataset)

Medium term · 1-2 weeks

bearish

Tokens exhibiting this magnitude of parabolic price action on thin liquidity historically tend toward mean reversion once initial speculative buying subsides, absent sustained new capital inflows or liquidity deepening. Without resolution of key unknowns (mint/freeze authority, sniper concentration, sustained holder growth), the medium-term bias leans bearish/high-risk, though this is not certain given the balanced 24h buy/sell split.

Catalysts

  • Liquidity pool growth or lack thereof on PumpSwap
  • Resolution of mint/freeze authority status (positive if renounced, negative if not)
  • Any confirmed sniper/bot wallet dumping
  • Continued organic interest tied to Monero-wallet branding versus fading speculative attention

Bullish factors

  • Buyers (7,944) outnumber sellers (5,796) in the 24h window
  • Buy volume ($2.23M) slightly exceeds sell volume ($2.14M), a 51.1%/48.9% split
  • Broad-based participation across thousands of wallets rather than one dominant actor visible in the trade counts

Bearish factors

  • Parabolic price pattern (+5,581% 24h) is historically prone to sharp mean-reversion
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($84.36K) relative to trading volume and FDV, high slippage/manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status and no sniper data leave major dump-risk factors unassessed
  • Minor upper-wick rejection on the latest candle suggesting possible short-term exhaustion

Confidence: low. Confidence is low because the dataset contains only 5 hourly candles, no historical holder trend, no sniper wallet data, and unknown mint/freeze authority status. The extreme volatility itself also inherently reduces predictive confidence, as such moves are driven by short-term speculative/bot behavior that is difficult to model reliably.

CAKE call history

Full track record →

Sep 27neutral
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
DAemPF...DGqN
Total Supply
944,646,637.18 CAKE

Key Risks

  • Extreme, likely unsustainable parabolic price action (+5,581% 24h) that could reverse sharply
  • Very shallow liquidity ($84.36K) relative to FDV ($2.57M) and volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status - cannot rule out supply inflation or account-freezing risk
  • No sniper/early-wallet data available to assess bot-driven pump-and-dump risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 5 hourly candles are available, spanning 2026-09-26 22:00 to 2026-09-27 02:00 UTC. The sequence shows a parabolic move: candle 1 opens at $0.00000418 and closes at $0.0000150 (already a large intra-candle range from a low of $0.00000418 to a high of $0.0000188). Candle 2 consolidates modestly ($0.0000105-$0.0000185). Candle 3 breaks out sharply, high of $0.000215, closing at $0.000178 on volume of $586K. Candle 4 is a massive bullish candle, opening $0.000152 and closing $0.00236 (roughly 15x within the hour) on $3.38M volume - the largest volume bar in the set. Candle 5 continues higher, printing a high of $0.00301 before pulling back to close at $0.00288, with volume moderating to $1.38M. This is a textbook low-liquidity parabolic pump pattern with each candle printing higher highs and higher lows.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Uptrend

Both the short-term (hourly) and the limited medium-term view available show a strong, accelerating uptrend, with price up over 5,581% in 24h and +350% in just the last 1h per the reported percentage changes. This is a violent, likely unsustainable parabolic move typical of a newly-launched low-liquidity token rather than a stable trend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

51%

Sell

49%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.00208773 (candle 5 low)

Major support

$0.00015174 (candle 4 open)

Immediate resistance

$0.00301205 (candle 5 high, most recent all-time high in the visible window)

Major resistance

Undefined above $0.00301205 - no prior price history above this level exists in the provided data

Given only 5 hourly candles, support/resistance levels are provisional. Immediate support sits at the candle 5 intraday low of $0.002088, with a much lower major support near $0.000152 (candle 4 open) representing the launch point of the parabolic move - a break below that level would essentially unwind the entire recent rally. Immediate resistance is the most recent high of $0.003012; there is no higher historical resistance visible in this dataset, meaning price is in uncharted territory (all-time high on the available window) and could be volatile in either direction.

Notable patterns

  • Parabolic breakout pattern across candles 3-5
  • Sequential higher highs and higher lows across all 5 candles
  • Large-bodied bullish candle (candle 4) resembling a bullish marubozu/breakout candle with ~15x range
  • Small upper wick on candle 5 suggesting mild rejection/profit-taking at highs ($0.00301 high vs $0.00288 close)
  • Volume expansion coinciding with price breakout, followed by slight volume deceleration on the latest candle

Liquidity

Liquidity

$84,360.00

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Total pooled liquidity is only $84.36K against a fully diluted valuation of $2.57M and 24h traded volume north of $4.3M combined (buy+sell), indicating an extremely thin liquidity base relative to trading activity. This mismatch (turnover roughly 51x the pool depth) implies high slippage risk for any meaningfully sized trade and makes the token highly susceptible to sharp price swings on relatively small capital flows. 24h buy volume ($2.23M, 51.1% of flow) modestly exceeds sell volume ($2.14M, 48.9%), and buyers (7,944) outnumber sellers (5,796), suggesting a net inflow bias over the last 24h, consistent with the large upward price move. However, with liquidity this shallow, this buy-side skew can reverse violently, and the pool itself (on PumpSwap) is a common venue for newly launched, highly volatile tokens.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

944,646,637.18 CAKE

FDV

$2,574,552 (using $2.57M reported FDV)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    Price moved +5,581% in 24h and +350% in the last 1h alone, with hourly candles showing 5-15x moves. This level of volatility is extreme even by crypto standards and implies severe risk of rapid, large drawdowns.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity is only $84.36K against a $2.57M FDV and over $4.3M in combined 24h volume. This shallow pool on PumpSwap means large trades will incur significant slippage and the pool is vulnerable to being drained or manipulated with relatively small capital.

  • Concentrationunknown

    Top-10 holders control 14.23% of supply per the current Codex snapshot, which alone does not appear extreme, but top-100 concentration and wallet classification (team/insider/LP/exchange) data are unavailable, so true concentration risk (e.g., whether a few wallets control liquidity providers or team allocations) cannot be assessed with confidence.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme, likely unsustainable parabolic price action (+5,581% 24h) that could reverse sharply
  • Very shallow liquidity ($84.36K) relative to FDV ($2.57M) and volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status - cannot rule out supply inflation or account-freezing risk
  • No sniper/early-wallet data available to assess bot-driven pump-and-dump risk
  • No verified contract or spam-flag status, and unclear brand affiliation with the referenced Monero-wallet project ('cake.xmr') despite using its name/imagery in the description
  • Only a single-snapshot holder count (4,905 addresses) with no historical trend, limiting ability to detect early distribution or accumulation patterns

Mitigating factors

  • Top-10 concentration of 14.23% is not egregiously high compared to some low-cap tokens, based on the limited snapshot available
  • 24h buy/sell volume is fairly balanced (51.1%/48.9%), indicating genuine two-sided trading activity rather than a one-way pump with no exit liquidity
  • Buyer count (7,944) exceeds seller count (5,796) in 24h, suggesting broad participation rather than a single dominant actor

Suitable for

This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who fully understand the risks of low-liquidity, newly-launched, high-volatility tokens on PumpSwap, and who are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is not suitable for conservative or inexperienced investors, or anyone unable to tolerate rapid, severe price swings and potential total loss due to unresolved authority, sniper, and concentration data gaps.

CAKE (cake.xmr) is a micro-cap token that just experienced an extreme parabolic price surge (+5,581% in 24h) on a newly-active PumpSwap pair with very thin liquidity ($84.36K) relative to its $2.57M FDV. The setup has hallmarks of a high-risk speculative pump: explosive early candle action, near-balanced but very high 24h volume relative to liquidity, and multiple critical data gaps (mint/freeze authority, sniper wallets, holder history, top-100 concentration) that prevent a full risk clearance. Any position should be sized as high-risk speculative capital only.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

If genuine demand continues (evidenced by buyer count of 7,944 exceeding sellers at 5,796, and 51.1% buy-pressure skew), price could continue higher or consolidate at a new higher range, especially if the Monero-wallet branding attracts organic community interest and liquidity deepens over time.

  • Continued buyer dominance and organic community interest tied to the cake.xmr/Monero wallet branding
  • Potential for liquidity to grow if trading volume sustains, reducing slippage risk
  • Broad participation (thousands of unique buyers/sellers) rather than a single whale-driven move

Base Case

Price remains highly volatile with large swings in both directions as the market digests the recent parabolic move; liquidity stays thin, and the token trades erratically without a clear stable trend until either liquidity deepens meaningfully or interest fades.

  • No major liquidity injection occurs in the near term
  • Trading remains dominated by short-term speculators given the token's newness and volatility profile
  • Data gaps (authorities, snipers, holder history) remain unresolved, keeping risk assessment conservative

Bear Case

High probability

The parabolic rise reverses sharply as early buyers and any undetected snipers take profits into thin liquidity, causing a rapid crash back toward or below the candle 4 open ($0.000152) or lower, consistent with typical pump-and-dump patterns on low-liquidity PumpSwap launches.

  • Extremely shallow $84.36K liquidity pool cannot absorb sustained selling without major price impact
  • Unconfirmed mint/freeze authority status raises risk of supply inflation or forced restrictions
  • Classic parabolic candle pattern (15x hourly move) historically often precedes sharp mean-reversion
  • No sniper data to rule out coordinated bot dumping

Analysis details

Generated

Sep 27, 02:16 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-09-27 02:15 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Token metadata (mint, supply, description, social links)
  • Price feed (USD price, 24h/1h/5m % change)
  • OHLC hourly candle data (5 most recent candles)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, liquidity, FDV)
  • Sniper analysis feed (returned no data)
  • Codex holder aggregates (current snapshot: holder count, top-10 concentration)

Limitations

  • Only 5 hourly OHLC candles were provided, severely limiting technical analysis depth and pattern confirmation
  • No sniper wallet data was available; sniper concentration, PnL state, and dump risk could not be assessed and are marked unknown/0 per methodology rather than estimated
  • No historical holder count data (24h/7d/30d) was available; holder growth trend is unsupported and set to 0 as a placeholder, not a real measurement
  • Top-100 holder concentration was not provided
  • Mint authority, freeze authority, and verified-contract/spam-flag status were all unknown; rug risk from authorities could not be assessed
  • No wallet-level classification (team, exchange, LP, insider) was available, so whale/notable-holder identification was not possible

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided at a single point in time, contains multiple significant data gaps (authority status, sniper wallets, holder history), and should not be the sole basis for any investment decision. Cryptocurrency, especially newly-launched low-liquidity tokens, carries substantial risk of loss, including total loss of capital. Always conduct independent due diligence and consult a qualified financial advisor before investing.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is cake.xmr ownership?

As of 2026-09-27 02:15 UTC, the provider reports that the top 10 holder addresses hold 14.23% of supply. It reports 4,905 holder addresses in total. Addresses are not people; pool, exchange, burn and related addresses have not been independently classified here.

Are large holders selling cake.xmr?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. As of 2026-09-27 02:15 UTC, the preceding 24-hour DEX volume was $2,230,128.00 in buys and $2,137,686.00 in sells. Those totals describe trading activity, not which holders traded. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is cake.xmr liquidity falling?

Sampled USD liquidity changed +3115.08%, from $3,443.48 (2026-09-26 22:00 UTC) to $110,710.71 (2026-09-27 02:00 UTC). This compares the earliest and latest available samples, which may cover less than 24 hours. USD changes can reflect asset prices as well as liquidity deposits or withdrawals.

What is the short-term price outlook for cake.xmr (CAKE)?

Given the extreme, likely unsustainable parabolic move (+5,581% 24h, +350% in the last hour) and a shallow $84.36K liquidity pool, short-term direction is highly uncertain and could swing sharply either way. The slight upper wick and pullback from the $0.00301 high to a $0.00288 close in the most recent candle hints at emerging exhaustion, but confirmation is lacking with only 5 candles of data. Short-term outlook is neutral (24-48 hours), with a target range of $0.0015 (near candle 4 open zone, a plausible retracement level) to $0.0035 (modest extension above the recent $0.00301 high if momentum continues briefly).

Is CAKE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 88/100. This token is suitable only for highly risk-tolerant, experienced traders who fully understand the risks of low-liquidity, newly-launched, high-volatility tokens on PumpSwap, and who are prepared to lose their entire investment. It is not suitable for conservative or inexperienced investors, or anyone unable to tolerate rapid, severe price swings and potential total loss due to unresolved authority, sniper, and concentration data gaps.

What are the key risks of holding CAKE?

Extreme, likely unsustainable parabolic price action (+5,581% 24h) that could reverse sharply • Very shallow liquidity ($84.36K) relative to FDV ($2.57M) and volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Unknown mint/freeze authority status - cannot rule out supply inflation or account-freezing risk

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