Elf

Elf Coin Price Today & AI Analysis

ElfSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 1, 2026

Price

$0.054271

Contract

Live
DAW7qFqQ4jnWeVPgzeNZzEKgxWr9nNXo7dKSZPQ1pump

Chain

Solana

Holders

139

Market cap

$3,397

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Elf Coin: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-01 03:17 UTC

Holder addresses

478

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$46,693.70
How concentrated is Elf Coin ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 478 addresses (2026-07-01 03:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Elf Coin?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Elf Coin liquidity falling?
As of 2026-07-01 03:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,693.70. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-01 03:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 1, 03:17 AM UTC

FDV

$172,760

Liquidity

$46,693.70

Holders

478

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Elf Coin (ELF) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana with mint address DAW7qFqQ4jnWeVPgzeNZzEKgxWr9nNXo7dKSZPQ1pump. The token has experienced an extraordinary 4,906% 24h price surge to $0.000202, but exhibits severe structural red flags: the top holder (the PumpSwap liquidity pool BvG8Layx1cpGbQoyviwqgZ4t8gRB3HrU2XeRogA7QHtE) controls 81.69% of supply, the top 10 wallets collectively hold 99.14%, sell pressure dominates at 77.5% of 24h volume, and total liquidity is only $46.69K against an FDV of ~$158K. The token is extremely new — it had only 46–48 holders as recently as June 30, 2026, and exploded to 478 holders within the last 24 hours. This profile is consistent with a newly launched, highly speculative micro-cap meme token with very high rug/dump risk.

Key points

  • Extreme 4,906% 24h price pump driven by very low liquidity and thin order book
  • Top 10 wallets hold 99.14% of supply — extreme concentration risk
  • Holder base grew from ~46 to 478 in under 24 hours — viral but fragile
  • Sell pressure at 77.5% of 24h volume despite price pump — distribution in progress
  • Total liquidity only $46.69K — any moderate sell order causes severe slippage

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The token has pumped ~4,906% in 24h on extremely thin liquidity ($46.69K). Sell pressure dominates at 77.5% of volume (2,638 sells vs 823 buys). The OHLC candles show extreme intraday volatility with prices ranging from $0.0000034 to $0.000167 within a few hours. The current price of $0.000202 is near the top of the recent range. A sharp reversion is highly probable given the sell-side dominance and concentration.

Target low

$0.000003

Target high

$0.000250

Support

$0.000058 (candle [1] open/close cluster), $0.000044 (candle [3] low), $0.000003 (candle [1] close / candle [3] close — near-zero floor)

Resistance

$0.000167 (candle [1] high — recent intraday peak), $0.000202 (current price / 24h high zone), $0.000250 (psychological extension level)

Medium term · 7–30 days

bearish

Without sustained buying interest, new utility, or community growth beyond the initial pump, the token is likely to retrace sharply. Historical holder data shows the token spent weeks at 39–66 holders with zero growth before the current pump. Meme tokens of this profile typically see 80–99% drawdowns from peak within 1–4 weeks.

Catalysts

  • Sustained new holder acquisition beyond the initial pump wave
  • Viral social media momentum (Twitter/website links present)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Whale accumulation rather than distribution

Bullish factors

  • Extraordinary 24h momentum (+4,906%) may attract additional FOMO buyers
  • Holder count growing rapidly (+432 in 24h) indicating viral spread
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some community infrastructure
  • Low absolute price ($0.000202) creates perception of affordability

Bearish factors

  • 77.5% sell pressure in 24h — sellers heavily outnumber buyers
  • Top 10 wallets hold 99.14% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • Total liquidity only $46.69K — extremely shallow, high slippage
  • OHLC candles show price already collapsed from $0.000167 high to $0.0000034 within hours before recovering
  • Token had near-zero activity for weeks before this pump
  • Unverified contract, update authority unknown, deployed via third-party tool

Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extreme volatility, very short price history available (4 hourly candles), thin liquidity, and the speculative meme-coin nature of the asset. Price action is driven by sentiment and thin-book dynamics rather than fundamentals.

Elf call history

Full track record →

Jul 1bearish
24h-82.9%
7d-94.9%
30d-96.7%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
DAW7qF...pump
Total Supply
855,176,572.53 ELF

Key Risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 99.14%, creating catastrophic dump risk
  • Shallow liquidity ($46.69K) means any moderate sell causes severe price impact
  • 77.5% sell pressure in 24h — active distribution into the pump
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before this pump — no organic growth history

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Four hourly candles are available (2026-07-01 00:00–03:00 UTC). Candle [4] (00:00): O=$0.00000344, H=$0.0000847, L=$0.00000344, C=$0.0000605 — a strong bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting initial accumulation from the floor. Candle [3] (01:00): O=$0.0000584, H=$0.000129, L=$0.0000449, C=$0.00000344 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern; price reached a new high then collapsed to near zero close, indicating aggressive selling at the top. Candle [2] (02:00): O=$0.00000344, H=$0.0000584, L=$0.0000811, C=$0.0000584 — NOTE: the L > H anomaly in candles [1] and [2] suggests possible data feed irregularities; treating H as the true high. Candle [1] (03:00): O=$0.0000584, H=$0.0000584, L=$0.000167, C=$0.00000344 — again shows extreme intraday range with a bearish close. Overall pattern: extreme volatility with repeated pump-and-dump cycles within hours. No sustained uptrend is established.

Trend

Short-term

Sideways

Medium-term

Downtrend

Short-term price action is highly erratic with no clear directional trend — the token oscillates violently between near-zero and local highs within single hourly candles. The medium-term context (weeks of dormancy at 39–66 holders followed by a sudden pump) suggests this is a speculative spike rather than an organic uptrend.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Increasing

Buy

23%

Sell

78%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000058 (repeated open/close level across multiple candles)

Major support

$0.000003 (near-zero floor seen as candle closes — effective bottom of the range)

Immediate resistance

$0.000129 (candle [3] high)

Major resistance

$0.000167 (candle [1] intraday high — highest recent print)

The $0.000058 level has acted as both support and resistance across multiple candles, making it a key pivot. The $0.000003 level represents the near-zero floor where the token has repeatedly closed, suggesting this is where liquidity dries up. The $0.000167 level is the highest recent print and represents the major resistance zone. Current price of $0.000202 is above all recent candle highs, suggesting the current price may reflect a post-candle-data pump.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [3] — price reached $0.000129 high then collapsed to $0.0000034 close
  • Repeated near-zero closes followed by sharp recoveries — classic thin-liquidity pump-and-dump oscillation
  • No higher highs established across the 4-candle series — price action is chaotic rather than trending
  • Extreme wick-to-body ratios on all candles indicating massive intraday volatility and lack of price discovery
  • Possible OHLC data feed anomaly: candle [1] and [2] show L > H which is technically impossible — treat data with caution

Liquidity

Liquidity

$46,693.70

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $46.69K is extremely shallow for a token with an FDV of $158.23K — the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is only ~29.5%, meaning the market is highly susceptible to price manipulation and large slippage. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: $128.58K in sells vs $37.27K in buys represents a net outflow of ~$91.31K. Unique sellers (670) outnumber unique buyers (247) by 2.7:1. Any sell order above a few thousand dollars will cause significant price impact. The 24h volume of ~$165.85K exceeds the total liquidity pool by 3.5x, indicating extreme turnover and instability. This is not a healthy market — it is a thin, speculative pool being actively drained by sellers.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

855,176,572.53 ELF

FDV

$158,230 (per trading analytics) / $172,759.56 (per metadata)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    4,906% 24h price increase on a micro-cap with $46.69K liquidity. OHLC candles show intraday swings from $0.0000034 to $0.000167 — a 49x range within hours. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and exit timing nearly impossible.

  • Liquidityhigh

    Total liquidity of only $46.69K. A sell order of $5,000–$10,000 would cause 10–20%+ slippage. The 24h volume of ~$165.85K already exceeds the pool by 3.5x, indicating the pool is being rapidly depleted.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 99.14%, creating catastrophic dump risk
  • Shallow liquidity ($46.69K) means any moderate sell causes severe price impact
  • 77.5% sell pressure in 24h — active distribution into the pump
  • Token was dormant for 30 days before this pump — no organic growth history
  • Unknown mint/freeze authority status — potential for supply manipulation
  • Unverified contract deployed via third-party tool
  • Two potential insider 'teddy' wallets holding 6.25% combined with no confirmed lock-up
  • Holder growth is entirely FOMO-driven and concentrated in 24h — highly fragile

Mitigating factors

  • Token metadata is marked mutable: false — metadata cannot be altered
  • Social links (Twitter, website) suggest some community presence
  • PumpSwap LP pool holds 81.69% of supply, providing some baseline liquidity structure
  • Holder count growing rapidly (+432 in 24h) indicates active market interest
  • Low absolute FDV ($158K) limits absolute dollar loss for small positions

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Given the extreme concentration, thin liquidity, and active distribution, this token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

Elf Coin is a newly launched Solana meme token that has experienced a viral pump of ~4,906% in 24 hours. The investment case is almost entirely speculative momentum — there are no fundamentals, utility, or organic growth to support the current price. The dominant risk is a rapid and severe price collapse as early holders distribute into FOMO-driven retail buying. The token is a high-risk, short-duration speculative play at best.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Continued viral momentum drives additional retail FOMO buying, pushing the holder count above 1,000 and sustaining price above $0.000150. A broader Solana meme coin rally provides tailwinds. Early holders delay selling, allowing price discovery to continue upward.

  • Viral social media spread (Twitter/website active)
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally
  • Early holders choosing to hold rather than distribute
  • New exchange listings or influencer promotion

Base Case

The token experiences a partial retracement of 50–80% from the pump peak over the next 1–7 days as sell pressure continues to dominate. A small community of holders remains, but trading volume and interest fade. The token stabilizes at a much lower price ($0.000010–$0.000050) with minimal liquidity.

  • Sell pressure continues to dominate but does not immediately collapse to zero
  • Some retail buyers continue to provide bid support
  • No major new catalysts (listings, influencer promotion) emerge
  • Concentrated holders sell gradually rather than all at once

Bear Case

High probability

Concentrated holders (top 10 = 99.14%) begin coordinated or sequential selling into the thin $46.69K liquidity pool. Price collapses 90–99% from current levels back toward the $0.000003–$0.000010 range. Most of the 432 new holders who bought in the last 24h suffer severe losses.

  • 77.5% sell pressure already dominant in 24h data
  • Extreme supply concentration with no confirmed lock-ups
  • Thin liquidity ($46.69K) cannot absorb significant sell pressure
  • Historical pattern: token was dormant for 30 days before pump — no sustainable community
  • Two potential insider 'teddy' wallets with no transparency

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 1, 03:17 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-01 03:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Solana on-chain token metadata (mint: DAW7qFqQ4jnWeVPgzeNZzEKgxWr9nNXo7dKSZPQ1pump)
  • PumpSwap DEX trading analytics
  • OHLC hourly candle data (4 candles, 2026-07-01 00:00–03:00 UTC)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • Only 4 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Sniper data unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be fully assessed
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — rug risk from authorities cannot be confirmed or excluded
  • OHLC candles [1] and [2] show Low > High anomalies suggesting possible data feed errors
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot confirm renouncement
  • Token is extremely new with very limited price history
  • Holder labels and token description are supplied by the token creator and may be adversarial/misleading
  • FDV discrepancy between metadata ($172,759) and trading analytics ($158,230) suggests data was pulled at different times

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in this token. Always conduct your own research and consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Elf Coin ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 478 addresses (2026-07-01 03:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Elf Coin?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Elf Coin liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-01 03:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $46,693.70. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Elf Coin (Elf)?

The token has pumped ~4,906% in 24h on extremely thin liquidity ($46.69K). Sell pressure dominates at 77.5% of volume (2,638 sells vs 823 buys). The OHLC candles show extreme intraday volatility with prices ranging from $0.0000034 to $0.000167 within a few hours. The current price of $0.000202 is near the top of the recent range. A sharp reversion is highly probable given the sell-side dominance and concentration. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000003 to $0.000250.

Is Elf a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone investing more than they can afford to lose entirely. Given the extreme concentration, thin liquidity, and active distribution, this token exhibits multiple characteristics of a pump-and-dump scheme.

What are the key risks of holding Elf?

Extreme supply concentration: top 10 hold 99.14%, creating catastrophic dump risk • Shallow liquidity ($46.69K) means any moderate sell causes severe price impact • 77.5% sell pressure in 24h — active distribution into the pump

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