fredward the duck Price Today & AI Analysis

fredwardSolanaAnalysis as of Jul 21, 2026

$0.0₅3622

Contract

Live

D4QYDUW4AEbLS2Qz22iHuSKsT7X5QhKm25a5YYFejr8z

Chain

Solana

Holders

255

Market cap

$3,583

At a $1M market cap, $FREDWARD would be $0.001011 (279x from today’s price)

Market cap calculator

Is fredward a scam?

Unhosted check · Oct 18

No red flags

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell.

Can you sell?

YesNothing in the token can block or tax a sell

Read from the token’s own on-chain settings, with Unhosted’s automated check: a warning signal, not a guarantee either way. The settings say whether the token can block or tax a sell, not whether its pool has the liquidity to sell into.

Ask Unhosted AI about fredward

3 free answers a day

What's Twitter saying?Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets Whale activityWho is accumulating or distributing What are the risks?Red flags, security, concentration Should I buy?Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

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fredward the duck: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-07-21 16:17 UTC

Holder addresses

1,092

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

$45,526.03

How concentrated is fredward the duck ownership?: Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,092 addresses (2026-07-21 16:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling fredward the duck?: This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is fredward the duck liquidity falling?: As of 2026-07-21 16:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $45,526.03. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-07-21 16:17 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

Report snapshot

as of Jul 21, 04:17 PM UTC

FDV

$136,084

Liquidity

$45,526.03

Holders

1,092

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High

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1h chart read; Support, resistance, Fibonacci and RSI divergence are drawn on the chart once it loads.

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AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

fredward the duck (FREDWARD) is a micro-cap Solana meme token trading at $0.000136 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$136K. The token launched on PumpSwap and has experienced an explosive but highly suspicious single-day holder surge of +1,008 holders (+92%) in the past 24 hours — after sitting completely dormant at 84 holders for the entire prior 30-day period. This pattern, combined with 92% sell pressure ($720.94K sells vs $62.92K buys), extremely shallow liquidity ($45.53K), and a -17.15% 24h price decline, raises serious red flags about coordinated activity, wash trading, or a pump-and-dump in progress.

Key points

Explosive 92% holder growth in 24h after 30 days of complete stagnation at 84 holders — highly anomalous
Extreme sell pressure: 92% of 24h volume ($720.94K) is selling vs only 8% buying ($62.92K)
Micro-cap with only $45.53K total liquidity — extremely shallow and high slippage risk
Top holder concentration data unavailable (reported as 0%), limiting distribution analysis
No sniper data available; token is unverified with unknown update authority

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 24–72 hours

bearish

The token is under severe sell pressure with 92% of 24h volume being sells ($720.94K) versus only $62.92K in buys. The price dropped -17.15% in the past 24h and is trading at $0.000136. With only $45.53K in liquidity, any continued selling will cause rapid price deterioration. The recent 5m (+4.09%) and 1h (+7.83%) upticks may represent brief relief bounces within a broader downtrend.

Target low

$0.000059 (prior candle open, key support)

Target high

$0.000141 (recent 1h candle high)

Support: $0.000094 (1h candle low), $0.000060 (prior candle open/low)
Resistance: $0.000141 (recent 1h high), $0.000098 (prior candle open)

Medium term · 1–4 weeks

bearish

Given the token's 30-day dormancy followed by a suspicious single-day spike in holders and overwhelming sell pressure, the medium-term outlook is bearish. The FDV of ~$136K is extremely small, liquidity is shallow, and there is no verified contract or meaningful on-chain fundamentals to support sustained price appreciation.

Catalysts

Any viral social media attention could temporarily spike price
Broader Solana meme coin market rally could lift all boats briefly
Liquidity removal by LPs would accelerate price collapse

Bullish factors

Short-term 5m and 1h price momentum is positive (+4.09% and +7.83% respectively)
Rapid holder growth (1,008 new holders in 24h) could indicate genuine viral interest
Token is mutable=false, reducing some manipulation vectors

Bearish factors

92% sell pressure by volume ($720.94K sells vs $62.92K buys)
Price down -17.15% in 24h despite holder surge — sellers dominating
Only $45.53K total liquidity — extremely shallow, high slippage
30 days of complete dormancy (84 holders, zero change) before sudden spike is highly suspicious
Unverified contract, unknown update authority
No top holder data available — concentration risk unknown
FDV of only ~$136K with no described utility or roadmap

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, top holder data is missing (reported as 0%), sniper data is unavailable, and the anomalous holder surge makes on-chain signals unreliable. Confidence in any directional prediction is therefore low.

fredward call history

Full track record →

Jul 21bearish@ $0.000136

24h-89.8%

7d-97.5%

30d—

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Token Info

Chain: Solana
Contract: D4QYDU...jr8z
Total Supply: 997,608,616.921127

Key Risks

Extreme sell pressure: 92% of 24h volume is selling ($720.94K vs $62.92K buys)
Suspicious holder pattern: 30 days of zero growth followed by +1,008 holders in 24h — possible wash activity or coordinated pump
Nano-cap liquidity ($45.53K) — extremely vulnerable to price manipulation and exit failures
No top holder data available — concentration risk is unquantifiable but presumed high

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (15:00 UTC): O=$0.0000597, H=$0.0000977, L=$0.0000597, C=$0.0000977 — a strong bullish candle with close at the high, suggesting initial buying momentum. Candle [1] (16:00 UTC): O=$0.0000988, H=$0.000141, L=$0.0000942, C=$0.000136 — opened above prior close (gap up), made a new high at $0.000141, but closed below the high, forming a slight upper wick. This is a continuation candle with a bearish upper shadow, suggesting sellers emerged near the high. Volume collapsed dramatically from 782,002 (candle 2) to 11,338 (candle 1), indicating the buying surge has faded sharply.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The 2-candle window shows a short-term price spike (higher highs and higher closes over 2 hours), but the broader 24h context shows a -17.15% decline, indicating the medium-term trend is down. The volume collapse in the most recent candle is a warning sign that the short-term bounce may be exhausting.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

Sell

92%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000094 (candle 1 low)

Major support

$0.0000597 (candle 2 open/low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000141 (candle 1 high)

Major resistance

$0.000141 (only 2 candles available; this is the all-time high in the data window)

With only 2 hourly candles available, key levels are derived from the OHLC extremes. The $0.000094 level (candle 1 low) is immediate support; a break below this would target the $0.0000597 prior candle open. Resistance sits at the $0.000141 recent high. Given the volume collapse, a retest of support is more likely than a breakout above resistance.

Notable patterns

Bullish engulfing-style move in candle 2 (close at high)
Upper wick on candle 1 indicating seller resistance near $0.000141
Volume divergence: price rising while volume collapses 98.6% — bearish signal
Gap-up open on candle 1 relative to candle 2 close — potential exhaustion gap

Liquidity

$45,526.03

Depth

Shallow

Slippage risk

High

Market health is extremely poor. Total liquidity of $45.53K is dangerously shallow relative to the $720.94K in 24h sell volume — sellers have been moving volume that is nearly 16x the total liquidity pool. This implies significant price impact on any meaningful trade. The buy/sell ratio is severely imbalanced: 2,783 unique sellers vs only 293 unique buyers, with sell volume ($720.94K) outpacing buy volume ($62.92K) by ~11.5:1. Net flow is strongly negative (outflow). The token trades on PumpSwap (pair BbcLV1Mop1foqt3WwVczEPSReWBpgyzQc6TJhu1n7USC), a permissionless DEX with no circuit breakers. High slippage risk means even moderate sell orders will move the price significantly downward. This is not a healthy market structure.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

997,608,616.921127

FDV

$136,084.27

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

Volatilityhigh
Price moved ~128% in 2 hours based on available candles, then declined -17.15% over 24h. Extreme intraday volatility on a nano-cap token with $45.53K liquidity.
Liquidityhigh
Only $45.53K total liquidity against $720.94K in 24h sell volume. Any significant sell order will cause severe price impact and slippage. Exit liquidity is extremely limited.
ConcentrationNot assessed
Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.
Sniper DumpNot assessed
Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.
AuthorityNot assessed
Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

Extreme sell pressure: 92% of 24h volume is selling ($720.94K vs $62.92K buys)
Suspicious holder pattern: 30 days of zero growth followed by +1,008 holders in 24h — possible wash activity or coordinated pump
Nano-cap liquidity ($45.53K) — extremely vulnerable to price manipulation and exit failures
No top holder data available — concentration risk is unquantifiable but presumed high
Unverified contract with unknown update/mint/freeze authority status
No utility, description, or roadmap — pure speculative meme token
Price already down -17.15% in 24h despite holder surge — insiders likely distributing

Mitigating factors

Token is marked mutable=false, reducing metadata manipulation risk
1,075 of 1,092 holders acquired via swap (not airdrop), suggesting some genuine market participation
Short-term price momentum is positive (5m: +4.09%, 1h: +7.83%) — brief relief bounce possible
Possible spam flag is false per metadata

Suitable for

This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This is NOT financial advice.

FREDWARD is a nano-cap Solana meme token with an FDV of ~$136K that exhibits multiple high-risk characteristics: 30 days of complete dormancy followed by a suspicious single-day holder explosion, overwhelming sell pressure (92% of volume), extremely shallow liquidity ($45.53K), and no verifiable fundamentals. The risk/reward profile is highly unfavorable at current levels given the dominant sell-side activity.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum drives genuine retail FOMO, absorbing sell pressure and pushing price toward or above the $0.000141 recent high. If the holder surge represents genuine organic discovery (e.g., viral social media post), continued inflows could sustain price.

Viral social media catalyst (Twitter/X, TikTok) driving retail attention
Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
Whale accumulation at current depressed prices
Sell pressure exhaustion leading to short squeeze

Base Case

The token experiences a brief speculative spike followed by a gradual decline as sell pressure continues. Price stabilizes somewhere between $0.000060–$0.000100 as the initial excitement fades, with the holder count plateauing. The token remains a low-liquidity, high-risk meme with no clear catalyst for sustained growth.

Sell pressure moderates but does not reverse
Liquidity remains at current shallow levels
No major viral catalyst emerges
Token does not get listed on any centralized exchange
Authority risks do not materialize in the short term

Bear Case

High probability

Sell pressure continues to dominate, liquidity is removed by LPs, and the price collapses back toward or below the $0.0000597 prior candle low. The suspicious holder surge proves to be wash activity, and the token returns to dormancy or is abandoned.

Continued 92% sell pressure exhausts buy-side liquidity
LP liquidity removal collapses the price floor
Holder surge proves to be coordinated/artificial — no real demand
Broader market downturn reduces risk appetite for nano-cap memes
Unknown authority risks materialize (mint/freeze)

Analysis details

Generated

Jul 21, 04:17 PM UTC

Saved observation

2026-07-21 16:17 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

Solana on-chain metadata (Mint: D4QYDUW4AEbLS2Qz22iHuSKsT7X5QhKm25a5YYFejr8z)
PumpSwap DEX trading analytics (pair BbcLV1Mop1foqt3WwVczEPSReWBpgyzQc6TJhu1n7USC)
Hourly OHLC candle data (2 candles, July 21 2026)
Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
Trading volume and buyer/seller analytics

Limitations

Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be properly quantified
Sniper data is unavailable — early buyer behavior cannot be assessed
Update/mint/freeze authority status is unknown — tokenomics security cannot be fully evaluated
Supply concentration reported as 0% for all tiers — likely a data gap, not genuine perfect distribution
The anomalous holder surge (84 → 1,092 in 24h after 30 days of zero growth) makes historical trend analysis unreliable
No verified contract or on-chain program audit available

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially nano-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past on-chain patterns do not guarantee future price performance.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is fredward the duck (fredward) a scam?

No scam signals in Unhosted’s checks, and nothing in the token can block or tax a sell. Checked Oct 18, 2026. This is Unhosted’s automated risk check, a warning signal rather than a guarantee either way.

Can I sell fredward the duck (fredward)?

Yes. Nothing in the token’s on-chain settings can block or tax a sell: no freeze authority, no transfer fee and no transfer hook. Checked Oct 18, 2026. This reads the token’s own settings; whether its pool has enough liquidity to sell into is a separate question.

How concentrated is fredward the duck ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 1,092 addresses (2026-07-21 16:17 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling fredward the duck?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is fredward the duck liquidity falling?

As of 2026-07-21 16:17 UTC, reported liquidity was $45,526.03. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for fredward the duck (fredward)?

Is fredward a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who fully understand they may lose 100% of their investment. It is NOT suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana meme token risks. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only). This is NOT financial advice.

What are the key risks of holding fredward?

Extreme sell pressure: 92% of 24h volume is selling ($720.94K vs $62.92K buys) • Suspicious holder pattern: 30 days of zero growth followed by +1,008 holders in 24h — possible wash activity or coordinated pump • Nano-cap liquidity ($45.53K) — extremely vulnerable to price manipulation and exit failures