MBAPEPE

Mbapepé Price Today & AI Analysis

MBAPEPESolanaAnalysis as of May 13, 2026

Price

$0.053058

+5.31% 24h · FDV $3,056

Contract

Live
D4A8n37vHh8Va9dtTayMjwtiLaLsmLaLht8SgCdSpump

Chain

Solana

Holders

269

Market cap

$3,056

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Mbapepé: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-05-13 10:20 UTC

Holder addresses

849

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Mbapepé ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 849 addresses (2026-05-13 10:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Mbapepé?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Mbapepé liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-05-13 10:20 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of May 13, 10:20 AM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

849

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

Mbapepé (MBAPEPE) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana trading at $0.0001366 with a 241.78% 24h price surge. The token is extremely new — holder count was flat at 50 for the entire prior 30-day period and exploded to 849 holders within the last 24 hours, indicating a very recent launch event. Total reported liquidity is $0.00 (likely not yet indexed), FDV is negligible, and the contract is unverified with mutable metadata and unknown update authority. Heavy sell pressure (70.6% sell volume) and a dominant sniper cohort with mostly profitable exits signal significant dump risk.

Key points

  • Explosive 241.78% 24h price gain driven by viral meme narrative (Mbappé + Pepe mashup)
  • Holder base grew from 50 to 849 in under 24 hours — entirely new token launch
  • 20 identified snipers, majority already in profit with active sell-through
  • 70.6% sell-side volume dominance despite price spike — distribution in progress
  • Mutable metadata and unknown update authority introduce elevated rug risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

Price is currently at $0.0001366 after a 241.78% spike. The most recent hourly candle (10:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000845, well below the $0.0001511 intraday high, suggesting the peak may already be in. Sell pressure at 70.6% of volume and 3,526 sell transactions vs 1,499 buys indicate active distribution. A retest of the $0.000038–$0.000052 range is plausible if buying momentum fades.

Target low

$0.000025

Target high

$0.000151

Support

$0.000085 (recent close, candle [1] close), $0.000052 (candle [2] low), $0.000026 (candle [3] low / launch-area support)

Resistance

$0.000143 (candle [2] high), $0.000151 (candle [1] high / intraday peak), $0.000200 (psychological round number)

Medium term · 3–14 days

bearish

Without sustained community momentum, new utility, or a major influencer catalyst, meme tokens of this profile typically retrace 80–95% from their spike highs within 1–2 weeks. The sniper cohort is largely profitable and incentivized to exit. Holder growth will need to continue accelerating to absorb sell pressure.

Catalysts

  • Continued viral social media traction (Twitter/Moralis links present)
  • New exchange listings or influencer endorsements
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Failure of snipers to fully exit could temporarily stabilize price

Bullish factors

  • 241.78% 24h price surge demonstrates strong initial demand
  • 849 holders acquired in under 24 hours shows viral traction
  • 1,499 buy transactions in 24h indicates active buyer participation
  • Meme narrative (Mbappé + Pepe) has broad cultural appeal
  • 5m price change of +14.41% and 1h change of +97.72% show very recent momentum

Bearish factors

  • 70.6% sell volume ($170.64K) vs 29.4% buy volume ($71.14K) — heavy distribution
  • Snipers are mostly in profit and actively selling (multiple with 50–232% realized PnL)
  • Total reported liquidity is $0.00 — extreme slippage risk
  • Mutable metadata and unknown update authority — rug risk present
  • Token was dormant at 50 holders for 30 days before launch spike — suspicious pre-launch behavior
  • Unverified contract, no description, minimal on-chain transparency

Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, liquidity depth is unindexed ($0.00 reported), and the token is less than 24 hours old. Price action is highly speculative and driven by meme momentum rather than fundamentals. Low confidence is appropriate.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
D4A8n3...pump
Total Supply
1 (with 0 decimals — this is likely a display artifact; actual raw supply is ~999,999,999,999,999 or similar large integer given holder balances in the hundreds of trillions)

Key Risks

  • Active sniper distribution — 13/20 snipers in profit with ongoing sell activity
  • 70.6% sell volume dominance signals institutional/early-buyer exit
  • Zero confirmed liquidity depth — extreme slippage for any meaningful trade size
  • Mutable metadata + unknown authority = unconfirmed rug risk

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available (08:00–10:00 UTC on 2026-05-13). Candle [3] (08:00): O=$0.0000388, H=$0.0001284, L=$0.0000258, C=$0.0000852 — a large bullish candle with a long upper wick, suggesting initial pump with partial rejection. Candle [2] (09:00): O=$0.0000845, H=$0.0001435, L=$0.0000523, C=$0.0000388 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern; price made a higher high ($0.0001435 vs $0.0001284) but closed near the low, a strong bearish reversal signal. Candle [1] (10:00): O=$0.0000388, H=$0.0001511, L=$0.0001065, C=$0.0000845 — another spike to a new high ($0.0001511) but closed well below the high, forming another shooting star/bearish wick. The pattern of successive higher highs with closes near lows is a classic pump-and-distribution structure.

Trend

Short-term

Uptrend

Medium-term

Sideways

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 241.78% 24h gain and successive higher highs ($0.0001284 → $0.0001435 → $0.0001511). However, each candle closes significantly below its high, indicating sellers are absorbing every push. Medium-term trend is sideways-to-bearish given the distribution pattern and lack of historical price data.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

29%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.000085 (candle [1] close / candle [3] close area)

Major support

$0.000026 (candle [3] low — near-launch price floor)

Immediate resistance

$0.000143–$0.000151 (candle [1] and [2] highs)

Major resistance

$0.000200 (psychological level above current range)

The $0.000085 level has acted as a close twice and represents near-term support. A break below $0.000052 (candle [2] low) would open the path to the $0.000026 launch-area floor. Resistance is clustered at the $0.000143–$0.000151 intraday high zone, which has been tested and rejected twice.

Notable patterns

  • Successive shooting star candles at highs (candles [2] and [1]) — bearish reversal signal
  • Higher highs with lower closes — classic pump-and-distribution structure
  • Declining volume on price spikes — bearish divergence
  • Large upper wicks on all three candles indicating consistent seller absorption at highs
  • Bearish engulfing pattern on candle [2] relative to candle [3] body

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (with 0 decimals — this is likely a display artifact; actual raw supply is ~999,999,999,999,999 or similar large integer given holder balances in the hundreds of trillions)

FDV

$0.00 (reported — likely indexing artifact given active trading)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    241.78% 24h price gain with only 3 hours of OHLC data available. Successive shooting star candles and declining volume on new highs indicate extreme volatility. Mean reversion of 80–95% is common for tokens of this profile.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Active sniper distribution — 13/20 snipers in profit with ongoing sell activity
  • 70.6% sell volume dominance signals institutional/early-buyer exit
  • Zero confirmed liquidity depth — extreme slippage for any meaningful trade size
  • Mutable metadata + unknown authority = unconfirmed rug risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden launch — suspicious pre-positioning
  • No project description, unverified contract, no whitepaper or roadmap
  • Declining volume on successive price highs — bearish divergence
  • Meme tokens of this profile historically retrace 80–95% within 1–2 weeks

Mitigating factors

  • PumpFun launch provides some standardized launch structure
  • 849 holders in 24h shows genuine viral traction
  • Meme narrative (Mbappé + Pepe) has broad cultural recognition
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggest some community presence
  • 1,674 unique wallets active in 24h shows real market participation
  • Top holder is the DEX liquidity pool (not a team wallet)

Suitable for

Suitable ONLY for highly experienced meme token traders with strict position sizing (< 0.5% of portfolio), predefined exit strategies, and full acceptance of total loss. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun-style token dynamics.

MBAPEPE is a classic PumpFun meme token in the early distribution phase of its launch cycle. The bull case requires sustained viral momentum to overwhelm the current sell pressure; the base case is a gradual fade as snipers complete their exits; the bear case is a rapid collapse back to near-zero. The risk/reward is highly asymmetric and unfavorable for new entrants at current prices given the evidence of active distribution.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral meme momentum accelerates — the Mbappé + Pepe narrative catches fire on Twitter/CT, driving a second wave of retail FOMO that overwhelms sniper selling. Price breaks above $0.000151 resistance and targets $0.000300–$0.000500.

  • Major crypto influencer promotion on Twitter
  • Broader Solana meme season with elevated risk appetite
  • Continued holder growth acceleration beyond 1,000+ holders/hour
  • Sniper selling absorbed by new retail demand
  • Listing on aggregators or meme token tracking sites

Base Case

Price consolidates in the $0.000040–$0.000090 range over the next 48–72 hours as early sellers exit and a smaller committed holder base stabilizes. Token survives but trades at 40–70% below current spike high with low volume.

  • Sniper selling is largely complete within 24–48 hours
  • Core community of ~500–800 holders remains engaged
  • No rug pull or metadata manipulation occurs
  • Broader Solana market remains stable
  • Some organic social media activity continues

Bear Case

High probability

Sniper cohort completes distribution into thinning retail demand. Volume dries up, holder growth stalls, and price collapses 85–95% back toward the $0.000007–$0.000020 range. Token becomes illiquid and effectively abandoned.

  • Snipers with remaining balances complete exits
  • Sell volume continues to dominate at 70%+ ratio
  • No new catalysts or influencer attention
  • Liquidity pool depth insufficient to support price
  • Mutable metadata exploited by unknown authority

Analysis details

Generated

May 13, 10:20 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-05-13 10:20 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data
  • On-chain holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10/top100)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely indexing lag for new PumpSwap pair, actual depth unknown
  • Sniper 'sniped' USD amounts are all unknown — cannot compute exact sniper supply concentration percentage
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown — cannot confirm or deny rug risk from authorities
  • Total supply display appears to be a formatting artifact (shown as '1' with 0 decimals despite holder balances in trillions)
  • FDV reported as $0.00 — indexing artifact, actual market cap cannot be precisely calculated
  • Top holder percentage figures in raw data appear malformatted (showing values >100%) — analysis relies on aggregate concentration metrics instead
  • No smart contract audit, no whitepaper, no team information available
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all trend analysis is based on extremely limited history

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Mbapepé ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 849 addresses (2026-05-13 10:20 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Mbapepé?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Mbapepé liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Mbapepé (MBAPEPE)?

Price is currently at $0.0001366 after a 241.78% spike. The most recent hourly candle (10:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000845, well below the $0.0001511 intraday high, suggesting the peak may already be in. Sell pressure at 70.6% of volume and 3,526 sell transactions vs 1,499 buys indicate active distribution. A retest of the $0.000038–$0.000052 range is plausible if buying momentum fades. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000025 to $0.000151.

Is MBAPEPE a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced meme token traders with strict position sizing (< 0.5% of portfolio), predefined exit strategies, and full acceptance of total loss. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun-style token dynamics.

What are the key risks of holding MBAPEPE?

Active sniper distribution — 13/20 snipers in profit with ongoing sell activity • 70.6% sell volume dominance signals institutional/early-buyer exit • Zero confirmed liquidity depth — extreme slippage for any meaningful trade size

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