MBAPEPE

Mbapepé Price Prediction 2026

MBAPEPE
Solana•
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 13, 2026

D4A8n37vHh8Va9dtTayMjwtiLaLsmLaLht8SgCdSpump

$0.052241

+0.42%

FDV $2,240

LiveContract:D4A8n37vHh8Va9dtTayMjwtiLaLsmLaLht8SgCdSpumpChain:SolanaHolders:294Market cap:$2,240

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Ask Unhosted AI about MBAPEPE

What's Twitter saying?

Sentiment, KOL mentions, top tweets

Whale activity

Who is accumulating or distributing

What are the risks?

Red flags, security, concentration

Should I buy?

Bull case, bear case, entry / exit

Report snapshotas of May 13, 10:20 AM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$0

Holders

849

Snipers

41

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Mbapepé (MBAPEPE) is a PumpFun-launched meme token on Solana trading at $0.0001366 with a 241.78% 24h price surge. The token is extremely new — holder count was flat at 50 for the entire prior 30-day period and exploded to 849 holders within the last 24 hours, indicating a very recent launch event. Total reported liquidity is $0.00 (likely not yet indexed), FDV is negligible, and the contract is unverified with mutable metadata and unknown update authority. Heavy sell pressure (70.6% sell volume) and a dominant sniper cohort with mostly profitable exits signal significant dump risk.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Explosive 241.78% 24h price gain driven by viral meme narrative (Mbappé + Pepe mashup)
Holder base grew from 50 to 849 in under 24 hours — entirely new token launch
20 identified snipers, majority already in profit with active sell-through
70.6% sell-side volume dominance despite price spike — distribution in progress
Mutable metadata and unknown update authority introduce elevated rug risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is currently at $0.0001366 after a 241.78% spike. The most recent hourly candle (10:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000845, well below the $0.0001511 intraday high, suggesting the peak may already be in. Sell pressure at 70.6% of volume and 3,526 sell transactions vs 1,499 buys indicate active distribution. A retest of the $0.000038–$0.000052 range is plausible if buying momentum fades.

Target low$0.000025
Target high$0.000151
Support: $0.000085 (recent close, candle [1] close), $0.000052 (candle [2] low), $0.000026 (candle [3] low / launch-area support)
Resistance: $0.000143 (candle [2] high), $0.000151 (candle [1] high / intraday peak), $0.000200 (psychological round number)

Medium term

bearish
3–14 days

Without sustained community momentum, new utility, or a major influencer catalyst, meme tokens of this profile typically retrace 80–95% from their spike highs within 1–2 weeks. The sniper cohort is largely profitable and incentivized to exit. Holder growth will need to continue accelerating to absorb sell pressure.

Catalysts
  • Continued viral social media traction (Twitter/Moralis links present)
  • New exchange listings or influencer endorsements
  • Broader Solana meme season momentum
  • Failure of snipers to fully exit could temporarily stabilize price

Bullish factors

  • 241.78% 24h price surge demonstrates strong initial demand
  • 849 holders acquired in under 24 hours shows viral traction
  • 1,499 buy transactions in 24h indicates active buyer participation
  • Meme narrative (Mbappé + Pepe) has broad cultural appeal
  • 5m price change of +14.41% and 1h change of +97.72% show very recent momentum

Bearish factors

  • 70.6% sell volume ($170.64K) vs 29.4% buy volume ($71.14K) — heavy distribution
  • Snipers are mostly in profit and actively selling (multiple with 50–232% realized PnL)
  • Total reported liquidity is $0.00 — extreme slippage risk
  • Mutable metadata and unknown update authority — rug risk present
  • Token was dormant at 50 holders for 30 days before launch spike — suspicious pre-launch behavior
  • Unverified contract, no description, minimal on-chain transparency
Confidence: low. Only 3 hourly OHLC candles are available, liquidity depth is unindexed ($0.00 reported), and the token is less than 24 hours old. Price action is highly speculative and driven by meme momentum rather than fundamentals. Low confidence is appropriate.

Deep Analysis

Three hourly candles are available (08:00–10:00 UTC on 2026-05-13). Candle [3] (08:00): O=$0.0000388, H=$0.0001284, L=$0.0000258, C=$0.0000852 — a large bullish candle with a long upper wick, suggesting initial pump with partial rejection. Candle [2] (09:00): O=$0.0000845, H=$0.0001435, L=$0.0000523, C=$0.0000388 — a bearish engulfing/shooting star pattern; price made a higher high ($0.0001435 vs $0.0001284) but closed near the low, a strong bearish reversal signal. Candle [1] (10:00): O=$0.0000388, H=$0.0001511, L=$0.0001065, C=$0.0000845 — another spike to a new high ($0.0001511) but closed well below the high, forming another shooting star/bearish wick. The pattern of successive higher highs with closes near lows is a classic pump-and-distribution structure.

Trend

Short-term
uptrend
Medium-term
sideways

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 29%Sell 71%

Short-term trend is technically upward given the 241.78% 24h gain and successive higher highs ($0.0001284 → $0.0001435 → $0.0001511). However, each candle closes significantly below its high, indicating sellers are absorbing every push. Medium-term trend is sideways-to-bearish given the distribution pattern and lack of historical price data.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000085 (candle [1] close / candle [3] close area)
Major$0.000026 (candle [3] low — near-launch price floor)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000143–$0.000151 (candle [1] and [2] highs)
Major$0.000200 (psychological level above current range)

The $0.000085 level has acted as a close twice and represents near-term support. A break below $0.000052 (candle [2] low) would open the path to the $0.000026 launch-area floor. Resistance is clustered at the $0.000143–$0.000151 intraday high zone, which has been tested and rejected twice.

Notable patterns

  • Successive shooting star candles at highs (candles [2] and [1]) — bearish reversal signal
  • Higher highs with lower closes — classic pump-and-distribution structure
  • Declining volume on price spikes — bearish divergence
  • Large upper wicks on all three candles indicating consistent seller absorption at highs
  • Bearish engulfing pattern on candle [2] relative to candle [3] body

Total holders849
24h Δ+799
7d Δ+799
30d Δ+799
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

Holder growth is perfectly correlated with the price spike — both occurred simultaneously within the last 24 hours. The token had exactly 50 holders for the entire prior 30-day period with zero net change, then exploded to 849 holders (+799, +94%) in a single day alongside the 241.78% price surge. This suggests the holder base is entirely composed of new entrants attracted by the price action rather than organic community building.

Holder growth is dramatically accelerating — from 0 net new holders per day for 30 consecutive days to +799 in 24 hours (+94%). Within the last hour alone, +164 holders were added (+19%). The acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (841 of 849 holders), confirming these are market buyers responding to price momentum. The distribution breakdown shows 167 whales, 106 sharks, 354 dolphins, 148 fish, and 35 octopus — a relatively whale-heavy distribution for a token this new. The 30-day and 7-day growth figures are identical to 24h growth (799), confirming the token effectively launched within the last 24 hours despite the mint existing for longer.

Top 10 hold32.62%
Top 100 hold76.01%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

6CSP7f6nxstHuzPqfH3VHHWGrRESdBMbj2wFo7f4SgUS

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address — matches the trading pair address listed in price data)

12.05%

AQ46kfYT3hW28Xg5gWHrJkzFSz1oGWBHC3FsTbqgMEco

Individual whale / early accumulator

3.35%

JCfBAHNbrchwnfb8yoVTkKWy5895qWz9TW4mXHv9TsfF

Individual whale / early accumulator

3.13%

FjrMQeiH3XijHFDvCJH2RmPfAkYJ7HtfGE5sVkwE1U56

Individual whale / early accumulator

3.00%

BRm9mfLBhkESaHBHLqm9SxQLR5KW5c7iYDQHDxagqc2v

Individual whale / early accumulator

2.73%

The top 10 holders control 32.62% of supply and the top 100 control 76.01%, indicating a concentrated but not extreme distribution. The #1 holder (6CSP7f6nxstHuzPqfH3VHHWGrRESdBMbj2wFo7f4SgUS) is the PumpSwap liquidity pool pair address, which is expected and healthy. Holders #2–#10 are individual wallets each holding 2.7%–3.4% of supply — a cluster of similarly-sized early accumulators that may represent coordinated wallets or snipers. The overall sentiment is distributing given the 70.6% sell volume dominance and sniper profit-taking behavior. Note: the percentage figures in the raw data appear to be formatted incorrectly (showing values like '12046580741499500.00%') — the actual percentages have been derived from the top10=32.62% and top100=76.01% concentration metrics provided in holder metrics.

Liquidity$0.00 (reported — likely unindexed for new PumpSwap pair)
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$71,140
Sell$170,640
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers786
Unique sellers1,480

Reported total liquidity is $0.00, which is almost certainly a data indexing lag for this newly launched PumpSwap pair rather than literal zero liquidity (the token is actively trading at $0.0001366). However, this confirms liquidity is extremely shallow and slippage risk is very high for any meaningful position size. The 24h net flow is strongly negative: sell volume ($170,640) is 2.4x buy volume ($71,140), and unique sellers (1,480) outnumber unique buyers (786) by nearly 2:1. Total 24h transactions: 5,025 (3,526 sells vs 1,499 buys). This is a clear distribution market — more participants are exiting than entering. The 1,674 unique wallets active in 24h shows genuine activity, but the skew toward selling is a significant red flag.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (with 0 decimals — this is likely a display artifact; actual raw supply is ~999,999,999,999,999 or similar large integer given holder balances in the hundreds of trillions)
FDV$0.00 (reported — likely indexing artifact given active trading)

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The metadata presents several anomalies. Total supply is listed as '1' with 0 decimals, yet holder balances show values in the tens of trillions (e.g., holder #1 balance: 120,465,807,414,995), suggesting the supply display is a formatting error and actual supply is in the quadrillions range. The contract is unverified, metadata is mutable, and update authority is listed as 'unknown' — none of these are renounced. Freeze and mint authority status cannot be confirmed from available data. The mutable metadata flag means token metadata (name, symbol, URI) could be changed by the authority holder. This combination of unknowns represents meaningful rug risk. The token was launched via PumpFun (address ends in 'pump'), which provides some baseline launch structure but no security guarantees. FDV of $0.00 is an indexing artifact.

Volatility
high

241.78% 24h price gain with only 3 hours of OHLC data available. Successive shooting star candles and declining volume on new highs indicate extreme volatility. Mean reversion of 80–95% is common for tokens of this profile.

Liquidity
high

Reported liquidity is $0.00 (indexing lag likely), but even with active trading, this is a brand-new PumpSwap pair with minimal depth. Large orders will face severe slippage. Exit liquidity for whale-sized positions is extremely limited.

Concentration
medium

Top 10 holders control 32.62% of supply and top 100 control 76.01%. The #1 holder is the liquidity pool (expected). Holders #2–#10 each hold 2.7–3.4%, forming a cluster of similarly-sized early accumulators that could coordinate selling.

SniperDump
high

20 snipers identified in the first 1,000 blocks. 13 of 20 show positive realized PnL (ranging from 4.8% to 232.2%). High-value sells already executed: $2,193 (74.1% PnL), $1,461 (66.4%), $1,129 (71.7%), $973 (57.5%), $908 (56.1%). Several snipers still hold balances, representing ongoing dump risk.

Authority
high

Update authority is unknown, metadata is mutable, contract is unverified, and mint/freeze authority status cannot be confirmed. This combination means the token creator could potentially alter metadata, mint new supply, or freeze accounts. No renouncement has been confirmed.

Key risks

  • Active sniper distribution — 13/20 snipers in profit with ongoing sell activity
  • 70.6% sell volume dominance signals institutional/early-buyer exit
  • Zero confirmed liquidity depth — extreme slippage for any meaningful trade size
  • Mutable metadata + unknown authority = unconfirmed rug risk
  • Token was dormant for 30+ days before sudden launch — suspicious pre-positioning
  • No project description, unverified contract, no whitepaper or roadmap
  • Declining volume on successive price highs — bearish divergence
  • Meme tokens of this profile historically retrace 80–95% within 1–2 weeks

Mitigating factors

  • PumpFun launch provides some standardized launch structure
  • 849 holders in 24h shows genuine viral traction
  • Meme narrative (Mbappé + Pepe) has broad cultural recognition
  • Social links (Twitter, Moralis) suggest some community presence
  • 1,674 unique wallets active in 24h shows real market participation
  • Top holder is the DEX liquidity pool (not a team wallet)
Suitable for: Suitable ONLY for highly experienced meme token traders with strict position sizing (< 0.5% of portfolio), predefined exit strategies, and full acceptance of total loss. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun-style token dynamics.

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Bull case (low)

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

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Base case

No analysis available for this section yet — refresh in a moment.

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Bear case (low)

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GeneratedMay 13, 10:20 AM
Data freshnessPrice and OHLC data current as of 2026-05-13T10:00:00Z (most recent hourly candle). Holder data reflects state as of analysis time. Historical holder series covers 2026-04-13 to 2026-05-12.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis on-chain token metadata API
  • PumpSwap DEX price and OHLC data
  • On-chain holder metrics and historical holder series
  • Trading analytics (buy/sell volume, unique wallets)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data
  • Supply concentration metrics (top10/top100)

Limitations

  • Only 3 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Total liquidity reported as $0.00 — likely indexing lag for new PumpSwap pair, actual depth unknown
  • Sniper 'sniped' USD amounts are all unknown — cannot compute exact sniper supply concentration percentage
  • Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all unknown — cannot confirm or deny rug risk from authorities
  • Total supply display appears to be a formatting artifact (shown as '1' with 0 decimals despite holder balances in trillions)
  • FDV reported as $0.00 — indexing artifact, actual market cap cannot be precisely calculated
  • Top holder percentage figures in raw data appear malformatted (showing values >100%) — analysis relies on aggregate concentration metrics instead
  • No smart contract audit, no whitepaper, no team information available
  • Token is less than 24 hours old — all trend analysis is based on extremely limited history

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Meme tokens carry extreme risk of total loss. Past price performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and never invest more than you can afford to lose completely.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (with 0 decimals — this is likely a display artifact; actual raw supply is ~999,999,999,999,999 or similar large integer given holder balances in the hundreds of trillions)

Key Risks

•Active sniper distribution — 13/20 snipers in profit with ongoing sell activity
•70.6% sell volume dominance signals institutional/early-buyer exit
•Zero confirmed liquidity depth — extreme slippage for any meaningful trade size
•Mutable metadata + unknown authority = unconfirmed rug risk

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

medium confidence
High risk

Of the 20 identified snipers, the majority show positive realized PnL percentages: 13 out of 20 have realized PnL > 0%, with several showing exceptional returns — sniper [16] at 232.2%, sniper [13] at 109.3%, sniper [20] at 122.7%, sniper [17] at 130.2%, sniper [15] at 101.9%. High-profit snipers are actively selling (e.g., sniper [5] sold $2,193 at 74.1% PnL, sniper [3] sold $1,461 at 66.4%, sniper [18] sold $1,129 at 71.7%). Several snipers still hold balances ($40, $21, $1), suggesting not all exits are complete. The sell-through rate is high, indicating smart money is in active distribution mode.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMostly In Profit
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
high

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact supply concentration unknown due to missing 'sniped' USD amounts, but sell activity is high across the cohort

Early buyers (snipers) are predominantly in profit and actively distributing. The cohort's behavior is consistent with a coordinated early entry followed by staged selling into retail momentum. Only 3 snipers show $0 realized PnL (likely haven't sold yet or entered at current prices), while the majority have locked in gains ranging from 4.8% to 232.2%.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Mbapepé (MBAPEPE)?

Price is currently at $0.0001366 after a 241.78% spike. The most recent hourly candle (10:00 UTC) closed at $0.0000845, well below the $0.0001511 intraday high, suggesting the peak may already be in. Sell pressure at 70.6% of volume and 3,526 sell transactions vs 1,499 buys indicate active distribution. A retest of the $0.000038–$0.000052 range is plausible if buying momentum fades. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000025 to $0.000151.

Is MBAPEPE a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.1/100. Suitable ONLY for highly experienced meme token traders with strict position sizing (< 0.5% of portfolio), predefined exit strategies, and full acceptance of total loss. Absolutely not suitable for risk-averse investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun-style token dynamics.

How are MBAPEPE holders trending?

Mbapepé currently has 849 holders and is growing (24h: 799, 7d: 799, 30d: 799). Holder growth is dramatically accelerating — from 0 net new holders per day for 30 consecutive days to +799 in 24 hours (+94%). Within the last hour alone, +164 holders were added (+19%). The acquisition method is almost entirely via swap (841 of 849 holders), confirming these are market buyers responding to price momentum. The distribution breakdown shows 167 whales, 106 sharks, 354 dolphins, 148 fish, and 35 octopus — a relatively whale-heavy distribution for a token this new. The 30-day and 7-day growth figures are identical to 24h growth (799), confirming the token effectively launched within the last 24 hours despite the mint existing for longer.

What does sniper activity look like for MBAPEPE?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mostly_in_profit" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding MBAPEPE?

Active sniper distribution — 13/20 snipers in profit with ongoing sell activity • 70.6% sell volume dominance signals institutional/early-buyer exit • Zero confirmed liquidity depth — extreme slippage for any meaningful trade size

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