POLYFLY

Polyfly Price Today & AI Analysis

POLYFLY
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Sep 12, 2026

CdixZU5dNFGXZ2jojQjree5EyynrsJ4GjDdXvZEVSLyX

$0.049277

+110.07%

FDV $92,771

LiveContract:CdixZU5dNFGXZ2jojQjree5EyynrsJ4GjDdXvZEVSLyXChain:SolanaHolders:1,863Market cap:$92,771

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Report snapshotas of Sep 12, 12:16 AM
FDV

$92,771

Liquidity

$15,023

Holders

0

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

POLYFLY (POLYFLY) is a micro-cap Solana token with a fully diluted valuation of approximately $92.77K, trading against a thin $15.02K liquidity pool on Raydium CPMM. Recent hourly candles reveal a dramatic blow-off top (price spiking from $0.0000054 to $0.000962) followed by a rapid multi-candle collapse to $0.0000928, alongside sharply decreasing volume. No holder or sniper data is available, and mint/freeze/update authority status is unknown, leaving significant blind spots in the risk profile.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extremely low liquidity ($15.02K) relative to reported 24h volume (~$1.4M buy / $1.36M sell), a >90x ratio signaling high manipulation/slippage risk
Violent blow-off-top-and-crash pattern within a 3-hour candle window, with lower highs each hour
Nearly balanced 24h buy/sell pressure (50.7%/49.3%) with more unique buyers (6,077) than sellers (4,891)
Complete absence of holder and sniper data, and unknown authority renouncement status, creating substantial due-diligence gaps

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term

bearish
1-24 hours

Given the steep downtrend across the last three candles (lower highs from $0.000962 to $0.000582 to $0.000181) and a >97% volume collapse from the peak hour, short-term momentum favors continued weakness or range-bound consolidation near current support, unless a fresh liquidity or demand catalyst emerges.

Target low$0.0000054
Target high$0.000181
Support: $0.0000617, $0.0000054
Resistance: $0.000181, $0.000582

Medium term

neutral
3-7 days

Without holder, sniper, or authority data, medium-term direction is highly uncertain. The token's fate will likely hinge on whether liquidity is added, whether the community/marketing (Twitter, website) sustains attention, and whether authorities are confirmed renounced, none of which can be verified from available data.

Catalysts
  • Potential liquidity injections that would reduce slippage and stabilize price
  • Social/marketing pushes via existing Twitter and website channels
  • Verification (or lack thereof) of mint/freeze authority status, which could sharply swing sentiment
  • Continued decay in trading volume, which would likely压 (suppress) price further

Bullish factors

  • Buyer count exceeds seller count in the 24h window (6,077 vs 4,891)
  • Buy volume share (50.7%) slightly exceeds sell volume share (49.3%)
  • Very low FDV ($92.77K) means small capital inflows could produce large percentage price moves

Bearish factors

  • Clear lower-high, lower-close pattern across all three most recent candles
  • Volume has collapsed over 97% from the initial spike hour to the latest hour
  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($15.02K) amplifies downside price impact from any sustained selling
  • Unknown authority status adds rug-pull uncertainty that could trigger sharp sell-offs if negative news emerges
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely limited dataset: only 3 hourly candles, no holder data, no sniper data, and unknown token authority status. The observed volume figures relative to liquidity also raise data-quality concerns, further reducing predictive reliability.

POLYFLY call history

Full track record →
Sep 12bearish
24hpending
7dpending
30dpending

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The most recent three hourly candles show extreme volatility typical of a freshly-launched or thinly-traded micro-cap. Candle [1] opened at $0.00000541 and spiked to a high of $0.000962 before closing at $0.000568 — an enormous intra-candle range suggesting an initial pump (possibly a launch or liquidity add) followed by partial rejection. Candle [2] opened at $0.000568, pushed marginally higher to $0.000582, then collapsed to a low of $0.0001227, closing at $0.0001694 — a sharp reversal shedding roughly 70% from the open. Candle [3] opened at $0.0001694, made a lower high of $0.000181, dropped to $0.0000617, and closed at $0.0000928, roughly in the middle of its range. The pattern across the three candles is a classic blow-off top followed by a steep multi-candle downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 51%Sell 49%

Short-term price action over the last 3 hours shows a clear downtrend with sequentially lower highs ($0.000962 -> $0.000582 -> $0.000181) and lower closes ($0.000568 -> $0.000169 -> $0.0000928), despite the 24h change showing +110% (likely reflecting the massive initial spike from a very low base rather than sustained strength).

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000617 (candle 3 low)
Major$0.00000541 (candle 1 open/low, pre-spike base)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000181 (candle 3 high)
Major$0.000962 (candle 1 high, blow-off top)

Price is currently trading near $0.0000928, close to the low of the most recent candle ($0.0000617), suggesting it is testing immediate support. A break below this level could expose the pre-spike base near $0.0000054. On the upside, reclaiming $0.000181 would be the first sign of stabilization, with the $0.000962 blow-off high acting as a distant, likely unreachable near-term resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Blow-off top / spike-and-fade on candle 1 (extreme wick from $0.0000054 to $0.000962)
  • Sequential lower highs across all three candles (bearish structure)
  • Sharply decreasing volume after the initial spike, indicating fading momentum
  • High intra-candle volatility typical of a low-liquidity micro-cap pump

Liquidity$15.02K
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$1.40M
Sell$1.36M
Net flow
inflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers6,077
Unique sellers4,891

Total liquidity of just $15.02K is extremely thin relative to a reported 24h buy volume of $1.40M and sell volume of $1.36M — a volume-to-liquidity ratio exceeding 90x, which is a hallmark of a highly illiquid, thinly-pooled Raydium CPMM pair where large trades can move price drastically (as evidenced by the >100% and -62% swings seen in the candle data). Buy pressure (50.7%) marginally exceeds sell pressure (49.3%), and buyer count (6,077) exceeds seller count (4,891), suggesting mild net inflow, but this is a razor-thin edge that could reverse quickly. With liquidity this shallow, even modest-sized orders can produce severe slippage, and the volume figures themselves may be inflated by wash trading or bot activity given the token's tiny liquidity base.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,985,747.76 POLYFLY
FDV$92.77K

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

Update authority, mint authority, and freeze authority status are all listed as unknown in the provided metadata — verification status, mutability, and master edition flags are also unknown. With supply near 1 billion tokens and an FDV of only ~$92.77K, the token is a micro-cap. The inability to confirm whether mint/freeze authorities have been renounced means rug-pull risk from authority abuse (e.g., minting new supply or freezing holder wallets) cannot be ruled out and should be treated as an elevated unknown risk until verified independently on-chain.

Volatility
high

Hourly candles show swings from a low of $0.0000054 to a high of $0.000962 and back down to $0.0000928 within three hours — extreme volatility with >100x intra-candle ranges.

Liquidity
high

Only $15.02K in total liquidity against $1.4M+ in reported 24h volume creates severe slippage risk and makes the market highly susceptible to manipulation by even small actors.

Concentration
high

No holder distribution data is available, but the combination of a fresh-looking price chart, tiny liquidity pool, and micro-cap FDV ($92.77K) is consistent with tokens where a small number of wallets often control a disproportionate share of supply; this cannot be confirmed but should be assumed elevated absent evidence otherwise.

SniperDump
medium

No sniper data was available to quantify sniper concentration or PnL, but the blow-off-top-then-crash candle pattern is consistent with early buyers or snipers dumping into the initial spike.

Authority
medium

Mint authority, freeze authority, update authority, and mutability status are all unknown. Until confirmed renounced, the risk of supply inflation or account freezing cannot be excluded.

Key risks

  • Extremely shallow liquidity ($15.02K) relative to volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
  • Steep, rapid price decline after a blow-off top within the last 3 hours (down from $0.000962 high to $0.0000928)
  • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — rug-pull mechanics cannot be ruled out
  • No holder or sniper data available, eliminating visibility into concentration and early-buyer behavior
  • Rapidly decreasing volume after the spike suggests fading speculative interest

Mitigating factors

  • 24h buy/sell volume is nearly balanced (50.7%/49.3%), not showing one-sided panic selling
  • Buyer count (6,077) exceeds seller count (4,891) in the last 24h, indicating some continued demand
  • Token has social presence (Twitter, website) suggesting some community/marketing effort exists
Suitable for: Suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders comfortable with total loss of capital; not appropriate for conservative or risk-averse investors given the illiquid market, unverified authorities, and extreme volatility.

POLYFLY is a micro-cap Solana token (FDV ~$92.77K) trading on a razor-thin Raydium CPMM pool ($15.02K liquidity) that just experienced a violent blow-off-top-and-crash pattern within the last few hours. With no holder or sniper data available and unknown authority status, this is a highly speculative, opaque asset best suited for very short-term, risk-tolerant traders rather than fundamental investors.

Bull case (low)

Renewed speculative interest or a marketing catalyst reignites buying, and the near-balanced buy/sell volume (50.7%/49.3%) combined with more buyers than sellers (6,077 vs 4,891) tips further in favor of demand, driving a bounce off the current support near $0.0000617-$0.0000928.

  • Slight buyer majority in 24h wallet counts
  • Existing social channels (Twitter, website) could be used to re-drive attention
  • Extremely low FDV ($92.77K) leaves room for outsized percentage moves on modest capital inflows

Base case

Price continues to consolidate in a wide, volatile range near current levels ($0.00006-$0.00018) as the initial spike's energy dissipates, with liquidity remaining thin and price highly reactive to any single large trade in either direction.

  • No major liquidity injections or authority changes occur in the near term
  • Trading volume continues to decay from the initial spike without a fresh catalyst
  • Buy/sell volumes remain roughly balanced absent new information

Bear case (medium)

The blow-off top on candle 1 was driven by early buyers/snipers who dumped into the spike, and continued lower highs and decreasing volume indicate the token is in a persistent downtrend toward its pre-spike base near $0.0000054, exacerbated by the shallow liquidity pool.

  • Three consecutive candles showing lower highs and an unresolved downtrend
  • Volume collapsing >97% from the peak hour to the most recent hour
  • Unknown authority status leaves open the possibility of supply dilution or freeze
  • Extremely low liquidity means further sell pressure could cause outsized price impact

GeneratedSep 12, 12:16 AM
Data freshnessOHLC candles current as of 2026-09-12T00:00:00Z (most recent hourly candle); trading analytics reflect trailing 24h window as of the same timestamp.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (mint, supply, decimals)
  • Raydium CPMM pair pricing and OHLC candle data (hourly)
  • Trading analytics (24h buy/sell volume, buyer/seller counts, price % changes)
  • Sniper analysis endpoint (returned no data)

Limitations

  • No holder data available — holder counts, growth, and whale concentration could not be assessed
  • No sniper data available — sniper concentration and PnL state could not be assessed
  • Authority status (mint/freeze/update) unknown — rug risk cannot be conclusively determined
  • Only 3 hourly candles provided, limiting depth of technical analysis and trend confirmation
  • Reported volume figures ($1.4M+) against only $15.02K liquidity raise questions about data reliability or potential wash trading

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. It is based solely on the limited on-chain and market data provided, which contains significant gaps (no holder data, no sniper data, unknown authority status). The token exhibits extremely high volatility and low liquidity consistent with a very high-risk speculative asset. Users should conduct independent due diligence and should not rely on this analysis as a basis for investment decisions.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,985,747.76 POLYFLY

Key Risks

Extremely shallow liquidity ($15.02K) relative to volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk
Steep, rapid price decline after a blow-off top within the last 3 hours (down from $0.000962 high to $0.0000928)
Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — rug-pull mechanics cannot be ruled out
No holder or sniper data available, eliminating visibility into concentration and early-buyer behavior

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Low risk

No sniper data was available for this token, so sniper concentration, PnL state, and sell-through behavior cannot be assessed.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
low

unknown

Unknown — no sniper/early-buyer dataset provided to gauge whether early entrants are holding, distributing, or exiting.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the short-term price outlook for Polyfly (POLYFLY)?

Given the steep downtrend across the last three candles (lower highs from $0.000962 to $0.000582 to $0.000181) and a >97% volume collapse from the peak hour, short-term momentum favors continued weakness or range-bound consolidation near current support, unless a fresh liquidity or demand catalyst emerges. Short-term outlook is bearish (1-24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000054 to $0.000181.

Is POLYFLY a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 88/100. Suitable only for highly speculative, risk-tolerant traders comfortable with total loss of capital; not appropriate for conservative or risk-averse investors given the illiquid market, unverified authorities, and extreme volatility.

What does sniper activity look like for POLYFLY?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: low.

What are the key risks of holding POLYFLY?

Extremely shallow liquidity ($15.02K) relative to volume, creating high slippage and manipulation risk • Steep, rapid price decline after a blow-off top within the last 3 hours (down from $0.000962 high to $0.0000928) • Unknown mint/freeze/update authority status — rug-pull mechanics cannot be ruled out

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