OUTLIER

Outlier Price Today & AI Analysis

OUTLIERSolanaAnalysis as of Jun 5, 2026

Price

$0.053240

+3.30% 24h · FDV $3,240

Contract

Live
CW5sVPgJKh1p22CzQS7csFCPHZTtq5X9PWB3pbvopump

Chain

Solana

Holders

289

Market cap

$3,240

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Outlier: holders, selling & liquidity

2026-06-05 04:19 UTC

Holder addresses

554

Top 10 supply share

Not available

Reported liquidity

Not available
How concentrated is Outlier ownership?
Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 554 addresses (2026-06-05 04:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.
Are large holders selling Outlier?
This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.
Is Outlier liquidity falling?
Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.
Sources, observations & limitations

Source: inputs saved with the report generated 2026-06-05 04:19 UTC. Original provider retrieval times and historical samples were not recorded. Legacy zero placeholders are treated as unavailable. Holder addresses are not unique people. The provider’s top-10 share is not adjusted here for pools, exchanges, burn addresses or related wallets. Sniper classifications and wallet-level holder history are unavailable. Inspect token on the block explorer.

Recent swap evidence

Swap evidence is unavailable for this report.

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Report snapshot

as of Jun 5, 04:19 AM UTC

FDV

$0

Liquidity

Not available

Holders

554

Snipers

Not available

Risk

Very High
Loading price chart…

AI Executive Summary

Risk

Very High

Sentiment

Bearish

OUTLIER (CW5sVPgJKh1p22CzQS7csFCPHZTtq5X9PWB3pbvopump) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin that experienced a sudden and dramatic price surge of +152% in the past 24 hours, rising to $0.000610. The token has a total formatted supply of 1 (likely a display artifact of 0 decimals on a very large raw supply), $0 reported on-chain liquidity, and no verified contract. The token was dormant for ~30 days with only 24 holders before an explosive single-day spike to 554 holders (+530 in 24h). Heavy sell pressure (70.7%) and massive sniper profits signal a high-risk, speculative micro-cap with significant dump risk.

Key points

  • Explosive 152% 24h price surge from near-zero base
  • Holder count surged from 24 to 554 in a single day (+530, +96%)
  • 20 identified snipers, many with realized PnL of 1000%+, indicating early buyers are actively distributing
  • Severe sell-side dominance: 70.7% sell pressure, 1,780 sells vs 682 buys in 24h
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity despite active trading — extreme slippage and exit risk

AI Price Analysis

bearish

Short term · 1–24 hours

bearish

The most recent hourly candle (04:00 UTC) shows a catastrophic close at $0.0000283 after opening at $0.000573 — a near-total intra-candle collapse of ~95%. The prior candle (03:00 UTC) showed a recovery from $0.0000272 to close at $0.000573. This extreme volatility, combined with 70.7% sell pressure and snipers booking 1000%+ gains, strongly favors continued downside in the short term. The 5m change of +6.3% and 1h change of +66.9% suggest a possible dead-cat bounce is in progress, but sustainability is highly doubtful.

Target low

$0.0000270

Target high

$0.000705

Support

$0.0000272 (hourly candle low, 03:00 UTC), $0.0000283 (hourly candle close, 04:00 UTC)

Resistance

$0.000572 (prior open / recent close), $0.000705 (hourly high, 04:00 UTC)

Medium term · 1–7 days

bearish

The token was completely dormant for 30+ days at 24 holders before this spike. Without sustained community development, new catalysts, or liquidity injection, the medium-term outlook is strongly bearish. Sniper wallets with 1000%+ realized PnL have strong incentive to continue selling. The $0 reported liquidity makes any meaningful price recovery structurally difficult.

Catalysts

  • Viral social media campaign or influencer promotion
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • Unexpected community-driven narrative momentum

Bullish factors

  • 152% 24h price surge demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Holder count grew 96% in 24h, showing rapid community formation
  • 5m price up +6.3% and 1h up +66.9% suggest short-term momentum
  • PumpSwap pair active with $190K+ combined 24h volume

Bearish factors

  • 70.7% sell pressure — sellers vastly outnumber buyers (1,780 sells vs 682 buys)
  • Most recent hourly candle closed down ~95% from its open
  • 20 snipers with average realized PnL well above 100%, actively distributing
  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — extreme exit risk
  • Token dormant for 30+ days before this spike — no organic growth history
  • No social links, unverified contract, mutable metadata — low trust signals

Confidence: low. Only 2 hourly OHLC candles are available, the token has no social links, no verified contract, $0 reported liquidity, and extreme intra-candle volatility. The data is insufficient for reliable price modeling. Confidence is low.

Token Info

Chain
Solana
Contract
CW5sVP...pump
Total Supply
1 (formatted, 0 decimals — likely a display artifact; raw supply is the actual circulating amount)

Key Risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — exit may be impossible at scale
  • All 20 snipers in profit with high sell-through rates — active distribution ongoing
  • 70.7% sell pressure with 3.2x more sellers than buyers in 24h
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug vector exists

Smart money & sniper coverage

Sniper classifications and wallet-level trading histories are not available in this report. Sniper concentration, profit-taking and dump risk have not been assessed.

Deep Analysis

Only 2 hourly candles are available. Candle [2] (03:00 UTC): O=$0.0000283, H=$0.000701, L=$0.0000272, C=$0.000573 — a massive bullish candle with a long lower wick, suggesting a capitulation low followed by strong recovery. Volume was extremely high at $182,850. Candle [1] (04:00 UTC): O=$0.000573, H=$0.000705, L=$0.000443, C=$0.0000283 — a catastrophic bearish engulfing/shooting star candle that opened near the prior close, briefly made a new high ($0.000705), then collapsed ~95% to close at $0.0000283 on $19,305 volume. This is a classic 'pump and dump' candle pattern — a shooting star / bearish engulfing at the top of a spike.

Trend

Short-term

Downtrend

Medium-term

Downtrend

The short-term trend is sharply bearish following the catastrophic close of the most recent candle. The medium-term trend is also bearish given 30+ days of dormancy prior to this spike. The current price of $0.000610 sits between the two candle closes, suggesting the live price may reflect a partial recovery from the $0.0000283 close, but the dominant trend remains down from the $0.000705 peak.

Momentum & Volume

Momentum

Overbought

Volume trend

Decreasing

Buy

29%

Sell

71%

Key Price Levels

Immediate support

$0.0000272 (03:00 UTC candle low)

Major support

$0.0000272 (only available structural low)

Immediate resistance

$0.000572–$0.000573 (prior candle open/close cluster)

Major resistance

$0.000705 (04:00 UTC candle high — all-time high in available data)

With only 2 candles of data, key levels are limited. The $0.0000272–$0.0000283 zone represents the only identifiable support floor. The $0.000572–$0.000573 zone is a critical resistance level (prior close / current open area). The $0.000705 level is the absolute peak and represents maximum resistance.

Notable patterns

  • Shooting star / bearish engulfing on candle [1] — highly bearish reversal signal at the spike high
  • Long lower wick on candle [2] — capitulation low with strong recovery, but subsequently reversed
  • Pump-and-dump price structure: near-zero base → explosive spike → near-total collapse within 2 hours
  • Volume climax on candle [2] ($182K) followed by volume dry-up on candle [1] ($19K) — bearish divergence

Liquidity

Liquidity

Not available

Depth

Not assessed

Slippage risk

Not assessed

Liquidity depth and slippage risk cannot be assessed without a liquidity observation.

Supply & authorities

Total supply

1 (formatted, 0 decimals — likely a display artifact; raw supply is the actual circulating amount)

FDV

$0.00 (reported — likely a calculation error due to 0-decimal supply display)

Mint authority

Not available

Freeze authority

Not available

Mint and freeze authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations. Metadata update authority does not establish either permission.

  • Volatilityhigh

    The token experienced a 152% 24h price spike followed by a ~95% intra-candle collapse within a single hour. Hourly price swings from $0.0000272 to $0.000705 represent a 25x range. Extreme volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

  • LiquidityNot assessed

    A liquidity observation is not available in the saved inputs.

  • ConcentrationNot assessed

    Ownership concentration cannot be assessed without a measured supply distribution.

  • Sniper DumpNot assessed

    Sniper classifications and wallet trading histories are unavailable.

  • AuthorityNot assessed

    Contract or authority checks are not included in the saved provider observations.

Key risks

  • Zero reported on-chain liquidity — exit may be impossible at scale
  • All 20 snipers in profit with high sell-through rates — active distribution ongoing
  • 70.7% sell pressure with 3.2x more sellers than buyers in 24h
  • Mutable metadata with unknown update authority — rug vector exists
  • 30+ days of dormancy before spike — no organic community or development history
  • No social links, no verified contract, no team transparency
  • Catastrophic 95% intra-candle price collapse already observed

Mitigating factors

  • PumpFun launch mechanism provides some standardization and initial liquidity structure
  • Rapid holder growth (554 holders) shows some market interest
  • Price has partially recovered from the $0.0000283 candle close to $0.000610
  • No spam flag from data provider

Suitable for

Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk pump-and-dump: sniper concentration, zero liquidity, mutable metadata, unknown authorities, extreme sell pressure, and a prior 30-day dormancy period. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun memecoin dynamics.

OUTLIER is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin with no verified fundamentals, zero reported liquidity, and a price action profile consistent with a coordinated pump-and-dump. The token was dormant for 30+ days before a single-day 152% spike driven by sniper distribution and momentum trading. The investment case is purely speculative and momentum-driven, with overwhelming evidence of active distribution by early buyers.

Scenario Analysis

Bull Case

Low probability

Viral momentum continuation: If the token gains social media traction (Twitter/X, Telegram) and attracts a larger retail audience, the holder base could continue growing rapidly beyond 554, driving further price appreciation. A successful narrative around the 'Outlier' brand could sustain momentum for days.

  • Viral social media spread or influencer promotion
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • Community formation around the 'Outlier' narrative
  • New liquidity injection into the PumpSwap pool

Base Case

Short-lived pump with gradual decay: The token experiences continued volatility over the next 24–72 hours as remaining momentum traders cycle in and out, before gradually declining back toward the $0.0000272–$0.0001 range as sniper supply is fully distributed and new buyer interest fades.

  • Sniper distribution continues but is not instantaneous
  • Some retail FOMO buying provides temporary support
  • No new catalysts emerge to sustain the narrative
  • Liquidity remains thin, amplifying both up and down moves

Bear Case

High probability

Complete collapse: Sniper wallets continue distributing remaining holdings, liquidity remains near zero, and the holder base fails to grow beyond momentum traders. Price returns to pre-spike levels near $0.0000272–$0.0000283, representing a ~95%+ loss from current price.

  • Continued sniper distribution — all 20 snipers in profit with incentive to sell
  • Zero liquidity making price support impossible
  • No social presence or community to sustain narrative
  • Historical pattern: 30 days dormant suggests no organic development

Analysis details

Generated

Jun 5, 04:19 AM UTC

Saved observation

2026-06-05 04:19 UTC

Model confidence

Low

Data sources

  • On-chain token metadata (Solana)
  • PumpSwap DEX pair data (ApLSY63mkS8hUNDhRQGS8vVxCvmTy5CX3AxpokCWRMod)
  • OHLC candle data (hourly, USD)
  • Trading analytics (24h volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and historical holder series (30-day daily)
  • Sniper analysis (first 1000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Top holder distribution data (unavailable)

Limitations

  • Only 2 hourly OHLC candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Top 20 holder list is unavailable — whale map cannot be properly constructed
  • All sniper 'sniped' amounts and current balances are unknown — sniper concentration % cannot be precisely calculated
  • On-chain liquidity reported as $0.00 — may be a data provider lag or calculation error
  • Total supply display artifact (0 decimals showing '1') makes FDV and supply analysis unreliable
  • Mint and freeze authority status unknown — cannot confirm rug risk from authorities
  • Update authority listed as 'unknown' — cannot assess metadata change risk
  • No social links available — community sentiment and development activity cannot be assessed
  • Historical holder data only available for 30 days, all showing flat 24 holders — token history before May 6 is unknown

How we keep this honest

Every directional call on these pages is recorded before the outcome is known and scored on our public prediction track record. We apply the same standard to others: our audit of 1,581 crypto YouTube predictions found bullish calls did worse than random timing, and our memecoin pump anatomy study measured what chasing a pump actually costs.

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, particularly micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk including total loss of capital. The data presented reflects a snapshot in time and may not represent current market conditions. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How concentrated is Outlier ownership?

Top-10 ownership concentration is not available in this report. The saved holder count is 554 addresses (2026-06-05 04:19 UTC). A holder count alone does not establish how supply is distributed.

Are large holders selling Outlier?

This report cannot establish whether large holders are selling: it does not include wallet-level holder balances over time matched to swaps. A complete buy/sell volume observation is not available in the saved inputs. A large swap alone does not identify a large holder, and a transfer alone does not prove a sale.

Is Outlier liquidity falling?

Liquidity is not available in the saved inputs. At least two timestamped liquidity observations are needed to establish a change; this report does not have them.

What is the short-term price outlook for Outlier (OUTLIER)?

The most recent hourly candle (04:00 UTC) shows a catastrophic close at $0.0000283 after opening at $0.000573 — a near-total intra-candle collapse of ~95%. The prior candle (03:00 UTC) showed a recovery from $0.0000272 to close at $0.000573. This extreme volatility, combined with 70.7% sell pressure and snipers booking 1000%+ gains, strongly favors continued downside in the short term. The 5m change of +6.3% and 1h change of +66.9% suggest a possible dead-cat bounce is in progress, but sustainability is highly doubtful. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000270 to $0.000705.

Is OUTLIER a safe investment on Solana?

The AI assessment rates overall risk as very high with a risk score of 9.2/100. Suitable only for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. This token exhibits nearly every characteristic of a high-risk pump-and-dump: sniper concentration, zero liquidity, mutable metadata, unknown authorities, extreme sell pressure, and a prior 30-day dormancy period. Not suitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with PumpFun memecoin dynamics.

What are the key risks of holding OUTLIER?

Zero reported on-chain liquidity — exit may be impossible at scale • All 20 snipers in profit with high sell-through rates — active distribution ongoing • 70.7% sell pressure with 3.2x more sellers than buyers in 24h

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