TCG

Pokémon Price Prediction 2026

TCG
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of May 3, 2026

CBLpK9s2RzRdpD4M1xrsm8nWQQqCo59kDRVyFtQmpump

$0.051729

-1.85%

FDV $1,728

LiveContract:CBLpK9s2RzRdpD4M1xrsm8nWQQqCo59kDRVyFtQmpumpChain:SolanaHolders:171Market cap:$1,728

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Report snapshotas of May 3, 07:47 AM
FDV

$13,584

Liquidity

$8,989

Holders

312

Snipers

43

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

Pokémon (TCG) is a meme/brand-name token on Solana launched via PumpSwap with mint address CBLpK9s2RzRdpD4M1xrsm8nWQQqCo59kDRVyFtQmpump. With a fully diluted valuation of only ~$13.6K and total liquidity of ~$8.99K, this is an extremely micro-cap token. The token has experienced a severe 56.4% price decline in the past 24 hours, with 72% sell pressure dominating trading activity. Holder count surged from 41 to 368 on May 1st before dropping back to 312, suggesting a pump-and-dump dynamic. The update authority has NOT been renounced (held by TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM), and the contract is unverified. The top holder (the PumpSwap liquidity pool) controls 33.56% of supply, and the top 10 wallets collectively hold 60.02%.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extremely low FDV (~$13.6K) and liquidity (~$8.99K) — ultra micro-cap with high manipulation risk
Severe 24h price decline of -56.4% with 72% sell pressure indicating active distribution
Holder base exploded from 41 to 368 in a single day (May 1) then dropped to 312 — classic pump-and-dump pattern
Top 10 holders control 60.02% of supply; top 100 control 97.97% — extreme concentration
Update authority not renounced; contract unverified — elevated rug risk

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price is in a clear downtrend from a high of ~$0.0000317 (candle 24) to the current ~$0.0000136, a decline of ~57% over 24 hours. Sell pressure at 72% and 420 sells vs 281 buys confirm continued distribution. A minor 5m bounce of +3.6% and 1h bounce of +1.6% may represent a dead-cat bounce. The path of least resistance remains downward given the overwhelming sell pressure and declining holder count.

Target low$0.0000100
Target high$0.0000175
Support: $0.0000136 (current price / recent low), $0.0000127 (candle 4 low), $0.0000100 (psychological round number)
Resistance: $0.0000175 (candle 6 close), $0.0000225 (candle 7 close / candle 13 close area), $0.0000251 (candle 8 high — 24h peak)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

The token was dormant with only 41 holders for the entire month of April before a sudden spike on May 1. This pattern is consistent with a coordinated pump. With 97.97% of supply held by the top 100 wallets, ongoing distribution by early holders is likely. Unless a significant catalyst emerges (e.g., viral social media traction, exchange listing), the token is likely to continue declining toward negligible value.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media campaign leveraging the Pokémon brand name
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting all micro-caps
  • New exchange or DEX listing increasing liquidity and visibility
  • Coordinated community buyback effort

Bullish factors

  • Minor short-term bounce signals (+3.6% in 5m, +1.6% in 1h) suggest possible temporary relief rally
  • Pokémon brand name has broad cultural recognition that could attract speculative interest
  • Some snipers remain in profit (39.3%, 37.5%, 17.4% realized PnL), suggesting not all early money has exited
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing some manipulation vectors

Bearish factors

  • Price down -56.4% in 24 hours with 72% sell pressure (420 sells vs 281 buys)
  • Holder count dropped -54 (-17%) in 24 hours — active exit
  • Top 10 holders control 60.02%; top 100 control 97.97% — extreme concentration risk
  • Total liquidity only $8.99K — any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage
  • Update authority not renounced — potential rug vector
  • Token was dormant for entire April (41 holders, zero change) before sudden pump — highly suspicious
  • Multiple snipers showing large realized losses (-70.8%, -69.2%, -53.3%) suggesting they are still holding and may dump
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the extremely small market cap and liquidity, making price highly susceptible to single-wallet manipulation. Sniper data is largely incomplete (amounts unknown), and the token's history is only ~2 days old with meaningful trading activity. The meme coin space is inherently unpredictable.

Deep Analysis

The 24-hour OHLC series (candles 24→1, oldest to newest) shows a clear bearish trend. The token opened around $0.0000317 (candle 24) and has declined to $0.0000136 (candle 1), a ~57% drop. The highest point was candle 24's open/high at $0.0000317. Candle 8 (00:00 UTC May 3) printed a high of $0.0000251, representing a lower high after the initial peak — confirming a downtrend of lower highs and lower lows. Candles 5–7 show a sharp sell-off from $0.0000226 to $0.0000130 with high volume (955–1827 USD/hr). The most recent candles (1–2) show very low volume (205–249 USD) and tight ranges, suggesting price exhaustion but no clear reversal signal.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
oversold

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 28%Sell 72%

Both short-term and medium-term trends are firmly bearish. The token has printed a series of lower highs and lower lows over the past 24 hours, declining from $0.0000317 to $0.0000136. No bullish reversal pattern has been confirmed. The slight uptick in the last 5m/1h is insufficient to call a trend change.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.0000136 (current price, recent candle low)
Major$0.0000127 (candle 4 intraday low — $0.000012707)
Resistance
Immediate$0.0000175 (candle 6 close — $0.000014949, candle 7 close area)
Major$0.0000251 (candle 8 high — $0.0000251178, 24h peak)

The $0.0000136 level is the current price and recent low, acting as immediate support. A break below $0.0000127 (candle 4 low) would signal further downside with little structural support. On the upside, $0.0000175 is the first meaningful resistance from the candle 6–7 close zone. The $0.0000251 level (candle 8 high) represents the 24h peak and major resistance that would require a significant catalyst to reclaim.

Notable patterns

  • Bearish cascade: series of lower highs and lower lows across all 24 candles
  • High-volume distribution candles at 14:00–20:00 UTC May 2 (candles 12, 14, 18 each >2,000 USD volume) followed by price collapse
  • Dead-cat bounce candidate: candles 8–9 showed a brief recovery to $0.0000251 before resuming downtrend
  • Volume exhaustion: last 2 candles show dramatically reduced volume (205–249 USD) suggesting selling pressure is tapering
  • Bearish engulfing pattern visible in candle 7→8 sequence where price briefly recovered then was overwhelmed by sellers in candle 7 (open $0.0000226, close $0.0000175 on 1,827 USD volume)

Total holders312
24h Δ-17
7d Δ+87
30d Δ+87
Accelerating Growth
No

Correlation with price

Strong positive correlation: the holder spike from 41→368 (+327, +89%) on May 1 coincided with the price pump to ~$0.0000317. The subsequent holder decline from 368→305 (-63, -21%) on May 2 and further to 312 (-54, -17% in 24h) directly tracks the price collapse of -56.4%. This confirms that the holder surge was driven by speculative FOMO buyers who are now exiting.

The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: the token sat dormant at exactly 41 holders from April 3 through April 30 (27 consecutive days of zero change), then exploded to 368 holders on May 1 (+327, +89%) before declining to 305 on May 2 (-63, -21%) and further to 312 currently (with a net -54 in the past 24 hours per the metrics). The 7d and 30d growth figures of +87% are entirely attributable to this single-day pump event. Growth is NOT accelerating — it is actively decelerating and reversing. The distribution breakdown shows 99 whales, 19 sharks, 45 dolphins, 22 fish, and 12 octopus holders, suggesting the holder base skews heavily toward larger holders despite the relatively small total count of 312.

Top 10 hold60.02%
Top 100 hold97.97%
Sentiment
Distributing

Notable holders

69jiwmRZWa3Msg5TSPM3goD9vTSv7rrV3oE8oXjbbrQe

DEX liquidity pool (PumpSwap pair address matches the trading pair 69jiwmRZWa3Msg5TSPM3goD9vTSv7rrV3oE8oXjbbrQe)

33.56%

5V4Tq1N3CBL9jWXvapYw9awNfEn7mYREsbrFWCwqRBrw

Individual whale — large holder, likely early buyer or team-affiliated wallet

4.03%

Eh8XUuJt9G6F987YZBLarkSE2wx3ycXEhnJiqNLwU7q5

Individual whale — significant position, acquisition method unknown

3.84%

4EDbxxhPpHJXbjtapC62KCausYQ2NhHrXPnEZkFeWTDn

Individual whale — top 4 holder with 3.71% of supply

3.71%

GJyPtgukRWQNkjLrox9jDQKH2rmRKsNYc2F4oMfsFsat

Individual whale — top 5 holder with 3.12% of supply

3.12%

Supply concentration is extreme: the top 10 wallets hold 60.02% and the top 100 hold 97.97%, leaving only ~2% for the remaining 212+ holders. The largest single holder at 33.56% is the PumpSwap liquidity pool (address matches the trading pair), which is expected. However, the next 9 non-LP holders collectively control ~26.46% of supply, with individual positions ranging from 1.78% to 4.03%. Given the 72% sell pressure and -17% holder decline in 24h, the dominant sentiment among whales is distributing. The 99 'whale' category holders (per distribution metrics) controlling the vast majority of supply represents a severe concentration risk.

Liquidity$8,990
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$6,230
Sell$15,990
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers103
Unique sellers212

Market health is critically poor. Total liquidity of $8.99K is dangerously shallow — any trade above a few hundred dollars will cause significant slippage. The 24h sell volume ($15.99K) is 2.57x the buy volume ($6.23K), confirming strong net outflow. Unique sellers (212) outnumber unique buyers (103) by more than 2:1. The FDV of $13.22K is barely above the liquidity pool value of $8.99K, meaning the liquidity pool represents ~68% of the entire market cap — a sign of an extremely illiquid and fragile market. The pair trades on PumpSwap (69jiwmRZWa3Msg5TSPM3goD9vTSv7rrV3oE8oXjbbrQe), which is a permissionless AMM. Any large holder exiting would drain the pool significantly and cause catastrophic price impact.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply999,666,525.75
FDV$13,584.16

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token has a total supply of ~999.67M tokens with an FDV of ~$13,584. The update authority is held by TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM — this is NOT a burn address (not 11111... or a known renounced address), meaning the metadata can potentially be updated. However, the token is marked as mutable=false, which reduces some metadata manipulation risk. Mint authority and freeze authority status are not explicitly provided in the metadata — classified as 'unknown'. The token was launched via PumpFun (indicated by the 'pump' suffix in the mint address), which typically burns mint authority upon graduation, but this cannot be confirmed from the data provided. The unverified contract status adds additional risk. The use of the 'Pokémon' brand name without authorization from Nintendo/The Pokémon Company represents a legal risk vector that could result in platform delistings.

Volatility
high

Price declined -56.4% in 24 hours from a high of ~$0.0000317 to ~$0.0000136. The token has demonstrated extreme intraday volatility with swings of 50%+ within single hours (e.g., candle 17: low $0.0000156, high $0.0000249). This level of volatility is consistent with micro-cap meme tokens subject to pump-and-dump dynamics.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity is only $8.99K on a single PumpSwap pool. The FDV ($13.22K) barely exceeds the liquidity pool value, meaning the market is extremely thin. Any sell order above ~$500 would cause severe slippage. Exit liquidity for larger holders is essentially non-existent.

Concentration
high

Top 10 holders control 60.02% of supply; top 100 control 97.97%. Excluding the LP pool (33.56%), the next 9 wallets hold ~26.46% collectively. This extreme concentration means a handful of wallets can single-handedly crash the price. The 99 'whale' category holders dominate the distribution.

SniperDump
medium

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. The sell-through rate is high — most snipers have already sold significant portions. However, snipers with negative PnL (e.g., -70.8%, -69.2%, -53.3%) may still hold positions and could dump at any recovery. The largest sniper sell was $4,957 (AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51, -33.8% PnL), suggesting continued exit pressure.

Authority
medium

Update authority is held by a non-renounced wallet (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM). Mint and freeze authority status are unknown. The contract is unverified. While mutable=false reduces some risk, the authority situation is not fully transparent. The Pokémon brand name usage also creates legal/platform risk.

Key risks

  • Extreme price decline (-56.4% in 24h) with no clear bottom established
  • Total liquidity of only $8.99K — catastrophic slippage risk for any meaningful position
  • Top 10 holders control 60.02% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • Token was dormant for 27 days before a sudden pump — highly suspicious launch pattern
  • Update authority not renounced — metadata manipulation possible
  • Unverified contract with unauthorized use of Pokémon IP — legal/delisting risk
  • Multiple snipers still holding at significant losses — potential future dump pressure
  • Holder count declining rapidly (-17% in 24h) — active exit by participants

Mitigating factors

  • Token marked as mutable=false, reducing some metadata manipulation risk
  • PumpFun launch mechanism typically burns mint authority upon graduation
  • Some snipers have already exited profitably, reducing future sniper dump pressure
  • The Pokémon brand has broad cultural recognition that could attract new speculative buyers
  • Minor short-term price stabilization signals (5m +3.6%, 1h +1.6%) suggest temporary selling exhaustion
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap meme token dynamics on Solana. Position sizes should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only).

TCG (Pokémon) is an ultra-micro-cap meme token on Solana that appears to have undergone a classic pump-and-dump cycle. The token sat dormant for 27 days with 41 holders before exploding to 368 holders on May 1, followed by a -56.4% price collapse within 24 hours. With $8.99K in liquidity, 60% supply concentration in the top 10 wallets, and overwhelming sell pressure (72%), the risk/reward profile is extremely unfavorable. The only speculative case rests on the Pokémon brand name attracting new buyers, but this is offset by severe structural weaknesses.

Bull case (low)

A viral social media campaign or broader Solana meme coin rally attracts new buyers to the Pokémon brand name, causing a short-term price recovery of 2–5x from current levels. Early snipers who are still in profit provide a floor by holding, and new retail FOMO drives volume.

  • Viral Pokémon/TCG cultural moment driving speculative interest
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally lifting micro-caps
  • Coordinated community buyback or influencer promotion
  • Oversold conditions attracting contrarian buyers

Base case

The token stabilizes at current depressed levels (~$0.0000100–$0.0000136) with minimal trading activity, gradually losing remaining holders as interest fades. The token becomes effectively illiquid and dormant, similar to its April state, but at a much lower price.

  • Selling pressure gradually exhausts as most motivated sellers have already exited
  • No new significant catalyst emerges to drive fresh buying interest
  • Remaining holders are long-term bagholders unwilling to sell at current losses
  • Liquidity pool remains intact but thin, preventing complete price discovery collapse

Bear case (high)

Continued distribution by top holders and remaining snipers drains the $8.99K liquidity pool, causing price to collapse toward zero. The unauthorized Pokémon IP usage leads to platform delistings. Holder count continues declining as participants exit.

  • Top 10 holders (60.02% of supply) continuing to distribute
  • Remaining loss-making snipers dumping on any price recovery
  • Liquidity pool drainage making exit impossible for remaining holders
  • Platform action against unauthorized Pokémon IP usage
  • No fundamental utility or development activity evident

GeneratedMay 3, 07:47 AM
Data freshnessData reflects on-chain state as of approximately 2026-05-03T07:00:00.000Z. OHLC data covers the 24-hour period from 2026-05-02T08:00:00.000Z to 2026-05-03T07:00:00.000Z.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • On-chain Solana token metadata (mint, authority, supply, decimals)
  • PumpSwap DEX OHLC candle data (24 hourly candles)
  • Trading analytics (volume, buy/sell pressure, unique wallets)
  • Holder metrics and distribution data
  • Historical holder time series (30 days daily)
  • Top 20 holder wallet data with balances and percentages
  • Sniper analysis (first 1,000 blocks, 20 snipers)
  • Price feed (USD and SOL-denominated)

Limitations

  • Sniper USD amounts sniped are unknown — sniper concentration percentage is estimated and imprecise
  • Mint authority and freeze authority status not explicitly provided — classified as unknown
  • Token is only ~2 days old with meaningful trading activity, limiting historical pattern analysis
  • No order book data available — slippage estimates are approximations based on liquidity pool size
  • Social sentiment data not available beyond the presence of Twitter/website links
  • The update authority wallet (TSLvdd1pWpHVjahSpsvCXUbgwsL3JAcvokwaKt1eokM) has not been analyzed for historical behavior
  • Holder acquisition breakdown (swap=298, transfer=14) does not identify specific whale wallet origins

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does NOT constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap meme tokens, carry extreme risk of total loss. The analyst has no position in TCG. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions. Past price performance is not indicative of future results.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,666,525.75

Key Risks

Extreme price decline (-56.4% in 24h) with no clear bottom established
Total liquidity of only $8.99K — catastrophic slippage risk for any meaningful position
Top 10 holders control 60.02% of supply — extreme dump risk
Token was dormant for 27 days before a sudden pump — highly suspicious launch pattern

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
Medium risk

20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Sniper PnL is mixed: 9 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +1.1% to +39.3%) while 8 show negative realized PnL (ranging from -24.2% to -70.8%), and 3 show 0% (likely still holding or minimal activity). The largest realized sell amounts came from sniper AgmLJBMDCqWynYnQiPCuj9ewsNNsBJXyzoUhD9LJzN51 ($4,957 sold, -33.8% PnL) and 2tgUbS9UMoQD6GkDZBiqKYCURnGrSb6ocYwRABrSJUvY ($1,758 sold, -53.3% PnL), suggesting these snipers bought in at higher prices and are taking losses. The high sell-through rate indicates most snipers have already exited or are actively exiting. Exact sniped USD amounts are unknown, limiting precision.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.50%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateHigh
Profit-taking risk
medium

20 snipers identified in first 1,000 blocks; exact token amounts sniped are unknown. Estimated concentration is low given most snipers show sold balances and unknown/zero remaining balances. Only sniper 8zaoxGit3rCtjajFmH1te7BSEWRM7TafdsvsFnmPmKhZ ($20 balance) and sniper 7rbxsXpUaiymHMjXkTPRZ5qo7CY3Wz2TJtKQtyj7G8Yd ($9 balance) show remaining holdings.

Predominantly negative — the majority of large-volume sniper exits are at a loss, indicating early buyers who entered at or near the peak are underwater. A minority of snipers (those who sold quickly at +17% to +39%) captured profits, but the bulk of sniper capital appears to have been deployed at elevated prices during the pump phase.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for Pokémon (TCG)?

Price is in a clear downtrend from a high of ~$0.0000317 (candle 24) to the current ~$0.0000136, a decline of ~57% over 24 hours. Sell pressure at 72% and 420 sells vs 281 buys confirm continued distribution. A minor 5m bounce of +3.6% and 1h bounce of +1.6% may represent a dead-cat bounce. The path of least resistance remains downward given the overwhelming sell pressure and declining holder count. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000100 to $0.0000175.

Is TCG a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with micro-cap meme token dynamics on Solana. Position sizes should be minimal (treat as lottery ticket only).

How are TCG holders trending?

Pokémon currently has 312 holders and is declining (24h: -17, 7d: 87, 30d: 87). The historical holder data reveals a stark pattern: the token sat dormant at exactly 41 holders from April 3 through April 30 (27 consecutive days of zero change), then exploded to 368 holders on May 1 (+327, +89%) before declining to 305 on May 2 (-63, -21%) and further to 312 currently (with a net -54 in the past 24 hours per the metrics). The 7d and 30d growth figures of +87% are entirely attributable to this single-day pump event. Growth is NOT accelerating — it is actively decelerating and reversing. The distribution breakdown shows 99 whales, 19 sharks, 45 dolphins, 22 fish, and 12 octopus holders, suggesting the holder base skews heavily toward larger holders despite the relatively small total count of 312.

What does sniper activity look like for TCG?

Snipers hold roughly 2.50% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "high". Profit-taking risk: medium.

What are the key risks of holding TCG?

Extreme price decline (-56.4% in 24h) with no clear bottom established • Total liquidity of only $8.99K — catastrophic slippage risk for any meaningful position • Top 10 holders control 60.02% of supply — extreme dump risk

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