emilio

emilio Price Prediction 2026

emilio
Solana
AI Analysis
Analysis as of Jul 5, 2026

ByJW8mYxC63m72t53u3PpmWbuFunw5nHeucFokHzpump

$0.055121

-2.44%

FDV $4,990

LiveContract:ByJW8mYxC63m72t53u3PpmWbuFunw5nHeucFokHzpumpChain:SolanaHolders:256Market cap:$4,990

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Report snapshotas of Jul 5, 04:17 AM
FDV

$0

Liquidity

$37,581

Holders

563

Snipers

0

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

emilio (EMILIO) is a PumpFun-launched Solana memecoin trading at ~$0.000060 with a fully diluted valuation of ~$60.43K and only $37.58K in total liquidity. The token has experienced an extreme 212% 24h price spike but is showing severe immediate reversal signals — down 55–57% in the last 1–5 minutes. Sell pressure dominates massively at 78.3% of 24h volume ($254K sells vs $70.5K buys). The token was dormant for ~30 days at 56 holders before an explosive +507 holder surge in the last 24 hours, suggesting a coordinated pump event. Top holder data is unavailable, authority status is unknown, and the contract is unverified. This is an extremely high-risk speculative asset.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Extreme 24h price pump (+212%) followed by immediate sharp reversal (-55% in 1h)
Dormant for 30 days at 56 holders before sudden +507 holder surge in 24h
Overwhelming sell pressure: 78.3% of 24h volume is sells ($254K vs $70.5K buys)
Critically shallow liquidity at $37.58K vs $60.43K FDV — severe slippage risk
No top holder data, unknown authority status, unverified contract — opacity is a major red flag

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

The token is in freefall after its pump peak. Price dropped -56.95% in the last 5 minutes and -55% in the last hour from a high near $0.000084. With 78.3% sell pressure, 3,918 sell transactions vs 1,356 buys, and only $37.58K liquidity, further downside is highly probable in the near term. The current price of ~$0.000060 is likely to test lower supports.

Target low$0.000003
Target high$0.000085
Support: $0.000033 (recent candle open/close cluster), $0.000007 (candle [1] open, candle [2] close), $0.000003 (candle [3] low)
Resistance: $0.000060 (current price / recent high area), $0.000076 (candle [2] low / intra-candle high), $0.000085 (candle [3] all-time high in dataset)

Medium term

bearish
7–30 days

Given the token's 30-day dormancy prior to this pump, lack of verified contract, unknown authority, no utility description, and the classic pump-and-dump volume/holder pattern, medium-term price recovery is unlikely without a new catalyst. Most pump-and-dump memecoins revert to near-zero after the initial wave.

Catalysts
  • Renewed social media attention or influencer promotion
  • Listing on a centralized exchange (highly unlikely at this FDV)
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally lifting all boats
  • New holder accumulation at depressed prices

Bullish factors

  • 212% 24h price gain demonstrates speculative demand exists
  • Rapid holder growth from 56 to 563 (+507) in 24h shows new interest
  • 1,356 buy transactions in 24h indicates some buyer participation
  • PumpSwap listing provides accessible on-chain trading venue

Bearish factors

  • 78.3% sell pressure ($254K sells vs $70.5K buys) — sellers dominate overwhelmingly
  • Price down -55% in 1h and -57% in 5 minutes — active dump in progress
  • Only $37.58K liquidity vs $60.43K FDV — liquidity is thinner than market cap
  • Token was dormant for 30 days at 56 holders — no organic growth prior to pump
  • No top holder data, unverified contract, unknown authority — extreme opacity
  • No sniper data available — early buyer behavior unknown
  • Total supply of 1 (with 0 decimals) is anomalous and may indicate data issues
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to: missing top holder data, unknown authority status, no sniper data, extreme price volatility (OHLC candles show erratic swings), and the token's very short active trading history. The data is sufficient to identify the bearish trend but precise price targets are speculative given the thin liquidity.

emilio call history

Full track record →
Jul 5bearish
24h+73.5%
7d-83.6%
30d-92.1%

Calls are recorded the moment the analysis is generated and scored automatically against the market price 24h, 7d and 30d later — hits and misses alike, never edited.

Deep Analysis

The 4 available hourly OHLC candles (2026-07-05 01:00–04:00 UTC) reveal extreme volatility and erratic price action. NOTE: The OHLC data appears to have H/L fields inverted in the raw data (L values are larger than H values in candles [1] and [2]), suggesting possible data feed anomalies. Interpreting the candles at face value: Candle [4] (01:00): O=$0.0000338, H=$0.0000456, L=$0.0000047, C=$0.0000074 — bearish close, wide range. Candle [3] (02:00): O=$0.0000076, H=$0.0000848, L=$0.0000034, C=$0.0000338 — bullish recovery with massive wick to $0.0000848 all-time high. Candle [2] (03:00): O=$0.0000338, H=$0.0000338, L=$0.0000763, C=$0.0000076 — sharp bearish candle. Candle [1] (04:00): O=$0.0000076, H=$0.0000338, L=$0.0000577, C=$0.0000338 — partial recovery. Volume is increasing: 26K → 37K → 171K → 72K USD, with the 03:00 candle showing the highest volume coinciding with the sell-off.

Trend

Short-term
downtrend
Medium-term
downtrend

Momentum

Status
overbought

Volume

Trenddecreasing
Buy 22%Sell 78%

Short-term trend is clearly bearish — the token peaked around $0.0000848 in candle [3] and has been declining since. The current price of ~$0.000060 is well below the intraday high. The 30-day historical context shows a flat dormant period followed by a single-day pump, which is a classic pump-and-dump pattern rather than a sustainable uptrend.

Key Price Levels

Support
Immediate$0.000033 (recurring open/close level across multiple candles)
Major$0.000003–$0.000007 (candle lows and pre-pump baseline)
Resistance
Immediate$0.000060 (current price — recently lost support turned resistance)
Major$0.000085 (candle [3] high — all-time high in dataset)

The $0.000033 level has acted as both support and resistance across multiple candles, making it a key pivot. Below that, the $0.000007 level represents the pre-pump price baseline. The $0.000085 level is the dataset ATH and would require a full re-pump to revisit. Current price at $0.000060 sits in no-man's land between these levels with thin liquidity support.

Notable patterns

  • Pump-and-dump price structure: 30 days flat → single-day explosive spike → immediate reversal
  • High-volume bearish candle at 03:00 UTC coinciding with peak sell pressure
  • Erratic OHLC data with possible H/L inversion suggesting data feed anomalies or extreme intra-candle volatility
  • No higher highs forming — each recovery attempt fails at lower levels
  • Volume declining after peak sell-off candle — potential exhaustion but sell pressure remains dominant

Total holders563
24h Δ+507
7d Δ+507
30d Δ+507
Accelerating Growth
Yes

Correlation with price

The +507 holder surge (90% growth) in the last 24 hours is perfectly correlated with the 212% price pump — both occurred simultaneously on 2026-07-05. For the preceding 30 days (2026-06-05 to 2026-07-04), holders were completely flat at exactly 56 with zero net change every single day. This is a highly anomalous pattern: 30 days of zero organic growth followed by an explosive single-day surge. This correlation strongly suggests the holder growth is pump-driven rather than organic community building.

The historical holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern. For the entire 30-day lookback period (June 5 – July 4, 2026), the token had exactly 56 holders with zero net change on every single day — no growth, no decline, perfectly static. Then on July 5, 2026, holders exploded from 56 to 563 (+507, +90%) in a single day, coinciding exactly with the price pump. This is a classic pump-and-dump signature: a dormant token with a small core group of holders suddenly attracts a wave of new buyers during a coordinated price spike. The 'accelerating' flag is technically true but misleading — growth went from 0 to explosive in one day, not gradually accelerating. Acquisition method shows 548 via swap and 15 via transfer, confirming most new holders bought in during the pump. Distribution data shows 0 whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, or octopus — and top10/top100 concentration both show 0%, which is anomalous and likely a data availability issue rather than genuine equal distribution.

Top 10 hold0.00%
Top 100 hold0.00%
Sentiment
Mixed

Notable holders

No top holder data available

Data unavailable — top holders endpoint returned no results

0.00%

Top holder data is entirely unavailable for this token — the top 20 holders endpoint returned no results. The supply concentration metrics show 0% for both top 10 and top 100, which is almost certainly a data availability issue rather than genuine equal distribution (a token with 563 holders cannot realistically have 0% concentration in the top 10). This opacity is itself a red flag. Given the 30-day dormancy at 56 holders, it is highly probable that a small group of early holders controls a significant portion of supply and is distributing into the current pump. Without top holder data, concentration risk cannot be properly quantified, but must be assumed HIGH. The 'very_concentrated' classification is assigned based on the token's history and the absence of verifiable distribution data.

Liquidity$37,580
Depth
Shallow
Slippage risk
high

Volume (24h)

Buy$70,550
Sell$254,020
Net flow
outflow

Traders (24h)

Unique buyers499
Unique sellers1,376

Liquidity is critically shallow at $37.58K against a $60.43K FDV — the liquidity-to-FDV ratio is only ~62%, meaning the market cap is barely backed by available liquidity. Any meaningful sell order will cause severe slippage. The 24h trading volume of ~$324.6K is 8.6x the total liquidity, indicating extreme turnover relative to pool depth. Net flow is strongly negative: $254K in sells vs $70.5K in buys represents a $183.5K net outflow. The seller-to-buyer ratio of 2.76:1 (1,376 sellers vs 499 buyers) confirms sustained distribution. The PumpSwap pair (GmtgkbPeYVxc346kZvQkyufytZScK4SQyCXMZQh4pKnw) is the sole liquidity venue, creating single-point-of-failure risk. Market health is poor — this is a distribution event, not healthy two-sided trading.

Supply & Valuation

Total supply1 (0 decimals — anomalous; likely a data formatting issue or non-standard token structure)
FDV$60,430

Authorities

Mint authority
Active
Freeze authority
Active

The token metadata raises multiple red flags. Total supply is reported as '1' with 0 decimals, which is highly anomalous for a memecoin — this may indicate a data formatting issue, a non-standard token structure, or that the actual supply is expressed differently on-chain. The update authority is listed as 'unknown' and the contract is mutable, meaning token metadata can be changed by the creator. Mint and freeze authority status cannot be determined from available data. The contract is unverified and flagged as not a verified contract. The FDV of $60.43K is extremely small. The combination of unknown authorities, mutable metadata, unverified contract, and anomalous supply figures creates significant rug risk that cannot be properly assessed without on-chain authority verification. Investors should treat authority risk as HIGH until proven otherwise.

Volatility
high

Extreme intraday volatility: +212% in 24h followed by -55% in 1h and -57% in 5 minutes. OHLC candles show price swings of 10-25x within single hours. This level of volatility makes position sizing and risk management nearly impossible.

Liquidity
high

Total liquidity of only $37.58K against $60.43K FDV. The 24h volume of ~$324K is 8.6x the liquidity pool. Any sell order of meaningful size will cause severe slippage. Single liquidity venue on PumpSwap.

Concentration
high

Top holder data is entirely unavailable, preventing proper concentration analysis. The 30-day dormancy at exactly 56 holders strongly implies a small coordinated group controls significant supply. The sudden +507 holder surge suggests these early holders are now distributing to new retail buyers.

SniperDump
high

No sniper data available, but the trading pattern (78.3% sell pressure, 3,918 sells vs 1,356 buys, $254K sells vs $70.5K buys) is consistent with early holders/snipers dumping into retail demand. The 30-day dormancy followed by a single-day pump is a classic coordinated dump setup.

Authority
high

Update authority is 'unknown', contract is mutable, mint and freeze authority status cannot be verified, and the contract is unverified. Mutable metadata means the creator can change token properties. This represents maximum authority risk until proven otherwise.

Key risks

  • Active price dump in progress: -55% in 1h, -57% in 5 minutes at time of analysis
  • 78.3% sell pressure with $183.5K net outflow in 24h
  • Critically shallow liquidity ($37.58K) — high slippage on any exit
  • 30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern
  • No top holder data — concentration risk cannot be assessed
  • Unknown/unverified authority status — rug pull risk cannot be ruled out
  • Mutable contract metadata — creator can modify token properties
  • Anomalous total supply of '1' with 0 decimals — possible data or structural issue
  • No utility, no verified contract, no meaningful description
  • Single liquidity venue on PumpSwap — no exchange diversification

Mitigating factors

  • Token is not flagged as possible spam by the data provider
  • PumpSwap listing provides some on-chain transparency
  • Social links (Twitter, website, Moralis) exist — some minimal public presence
  • 563 holders provides some distribution breadth (though quality is unknown)
  • No sniper data means sniper dump risk cannot be confirmed (though pattern is consistent with it)
Suitable for: This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand pump-and-dump mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep Solana DeFi experience. Given the active dump in progress at time of analysis, even experienced traders face extreme risk of loss.

emilio (EMILIO) presents a textbook pump-and-dump risk profile. The token was dormant for 30 days at 56 holders with zero price movement, then experienced a coordinated single-day pump of +212% accompanied by a sudden +507 holder surge. At the time of analysis, the token is actively dumping (-55% in 1h, -57% in 5 minutes) with 78.3% sell pressure. The investment thesis is overwhelmingly bearish. There is no identifiable utility, no verified contract, unknown authority status, and critically shallow liquidity. The only bullish scenario requires a new wave of speculative buyers overwhelming the current sellers — an unlikely outcome given the data.

Bull case (low)

A second wave of social media attention or influencer promotion drives new retail buyers into the token, temporarily reversing the dump and pushing price back toward the $0.000085 ATH or beyond. Broader Solana memecoin market momentum could amplify this.

  • Viral social media moment or influencer call
  • Broader Solana memecoin market rally
  • New exchange listing or partnership announcement
  • Coordinated re-pump by early holders after shaking out weak hands

Base case

The token stabilizes at a significantly lower price than the pump peak (likely $0.000007–$0.000020 range) after the current sell-off exhausts itself. A small residual community of ~100–200 holders remains, with occasional low-volume trading. The token does not recover to pump highs without a new catalyst.

  • Sell pressure gradually exhausts over 24–72 hours
  • A floor forms around the pre-pump price baseline ($0.000007–$0.000008)
  • No new major catalysts emerge
  • Liquidity remains in the PumpSwap pool at reduced levels
  • The token does not get rugged (authority risk remains unresolved)

Bear case (high)

The current dump continues to completion, with price reverting to pre-pump levels of $0.000007–$0.000008 or lower. Early holders fully distribute their supply to the 507 new buyers who entered during the pump, leaving them with near-worthless tokens. Liquidity could be withdrawn entirely, making exit impossible.

  • Continued 78.3% sell pressure overwhelming buyers
  • Early holders completing distribution of accumulated supply
  • Liquidity withdrawal from PumpSwap pool
  • No new catalysts to attract fresh buyers
  • Token returning to 30-day dormancy pattern after pump exhaustion

GeneratedJul 5, 04:17 AM
Data freshnessPrice and trading data: real-time/near-real-time. OHLC: most recent candle 2026-07-05T04:00 UTC. Historical holders: daily snapshots through 2026-07-04. Top holders and sniper data: unavailable.
Model confidence
low

Data sources

  • Moralis Token Metadata API
  • Moralis Price API (USD and native SOL)
  • Moralis OHLC Candles API (hourly)
  • Moralis Trading Analytics API
  • Moralis Holder Metrics API
  • Moralis Historical Holders API (30-day daily)
  • Moralis Top Holders API (returned no data)
  • Moralis Sniper Analysis API (returned no data)
  • PumpSwap on-chain pair data (GmtgkbPeYVxc346kZvQkyufytZScK4SQyCXMZQh4pKnw)

Limitations

  • Top 20 holder data is entirely unavailable — concentration risk cannot be properly quantified
  • Sniper analysis data is unavailable — early buyer behavior and smart money signals cannot be assessed
  • Update authority status is 'unknown' — rug risk from authorities cannot be definitively assessed
  • Total supply of '1' with 0 decimals is anomalous and may indicate data formatting issues
  • OHLC candle H/L fields appear potentially inverted in raw data — technical analysis may be affected
  • Only 4 hourly candles available — insufficient for robust technical analysis
  • Token has only been actively trading for ~1 day — very limited price history
  • Supply concentration shows 0% for top 10 and top 100 — likely a data availability issue, not genuine equal distribution
  • 6h and 24h price change showing 0% in analytics conflicts with 24h change of +212% in price data — possible data inconsistency

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments, especially micro-cap memecoins, carry extreme risk of total loss. The data analyzed suggests very high risk of a pump-and-dump scheme. Never invest more than you can afford to lose completely. This analysis is based solely on on-chain and market data available at the time of analysis and may not reflect subsequent developments.

Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply1 (0 decimals — anomalous; likely a data formatting issue or non-standard token structure)

Key Risks

Active price dump in progress: -55% in 1h, -57% in 5 minutes at time of analysis
78.3% sell pressure with $183.5K net outflow in 24h
Critically shallow liquidity ($37.58K) — high slippage on any exit
30-day dormancy followed by single-day pump — classic pump-and-dump pattern

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

No sniper data is available for this token. Smart money signals cannot be derived from sniper analysis. However, the broader trading data tells a concerning story: 78.3% of 24h volume is sells, with 1,376 unique sellers vs only 499 unique buyers. The 3:1 sell-to-buy transaction ratio (3,918 vs 1,356) and the token's 30-day dormancy before a sudden pump strongly suggest coordinated distribution by early holders who accumulated during the dormant period. The +507 holder surge in 24h may partly reflect new retail buyers entering during the pump who are now holding losses.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration0.00%
PnL stateUnknown
Sell-through rateUnknown
Profit-taking risk
high

No sniper data available — endpoint returned no results

Unknown from sniper data. Inferred from trading analytics: early holders who accumulated during the 30-day dormant period at ~56 holders are likely distributing into the pump, given the overwhelming sell pressure. New buyers from the last 24h are likely underwater given the -55% 1h price decline.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for emilio (emilio)?

The token is in freefall after its pump peak. Price dropped -56.95% in the last 5 minutes and -55% in the last hour from a high near $0.000084. With 78.3% sell pressure, 3,918 sell transactions vs 1,356 buys, and only $37.58K liquidity, further downside is highly probable in the near term. The current price of ~$0.000060 is likely to test lower supports. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.000003 to $0.000085.

Is emilio a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.2/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced DeFi traders who fully understand pump-and-dump mechanics, can afford to lose 100% of their investment, and are actively monitoring positions in real-time. It is entirely unsuitable for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep Solana DeFi experience. Given the active dump in progress at time of analysis, even experienced traders face extreme risk of loss.

How are emilio holders trending?

emilio currently has 563 holders and is growing (24h: 507, 7d: 507, 30d: 507). The historical holder data reveals a deeply concerning pattern. For the entire 30-day lookback period (June 5 – July 4, 2026), the token had exactly 56 holders with zero net change on every single day — no growth, no decline, perfectly static. Then on July 5, 2026, holders exploded from 56 to 563 (+507, +90%) in a single day, coinciding exactly with the price pump. This is a classic pump-and-dump signature: a dormant token with a small core group of holders suddenly attracts a wave of new buyers during a coordinated price spike. The 'accelerating' flag is technically true but misleading — growth went from 0 to explosive in one day, not gradually accelerating. Acquisition method shows 548 via swap and 15 via transfer, confirming most new holders bought in during the pump. Distribution data shows 0 whales, sharks, dolphins, fish, or octopus — and top10/top100 concentration both show 0%, which is anomalous and likely a data availability issue rather than genuine equal distribution.

What does sniper activity look like for emilio?

Snipers hold roughly 0.00% of supply with PnL state "unknown" and sell-through rate "unknown". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding emilio?

Active price dump in progress: -55% in 1h, -57% in 5 minutes at time of analysis • 78.3% sell pressure with $183.5K net outflow in 24h • Critically shallow liquidity ($37.58K) — high slippage on any exit

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