memegotchi

your onchain pet Prediction

memegotchi
Solana
AI Analysis
May 2, 09:19 PM

BaCSr6omaLf113LfDDv9Wgb2dfGmJzKWvQhJB2QNpump

$0.0000029898

-91.91%

FDV $2,990

FDV

$2,990

Liquidity

$0

Holders

111

Snipers

38

Risk

Very High

AI Executive Summary

memegotchi (MEMEGOTCHI) is an ultra-low-cap Solana meme token launched on PumpSwap with a Tamagotchi-style on-chain game concept. The token launched very recently (within the last 24 hours based on holder data), experienced a violent pump-and-dump cycle — peaking near $0.0000744 before crashing ~91.9% to ~$0.00000299. With only 111 holders, $0 reported liquidity, a fully diluted valuation of ~$2,990, and the top holder controlling 70.58% of supply, this is an extremely high-risk micro-cap token in active price decline.

Risk: Very High
Sentiment: Bearish
Novel Tamagotchi-style on-chain game mechanic where meme tokens must be 'fed' or they die
Launched on PumpSwap — a permissionless launchpad with no vetting
Experienced a 25x pump within its first hours before collapsing 91.9%
Extremely concentrated supply: top holder holds 70.58%, top 10 hold 96.04%
Only 111 total holders with $0 reported liquidity depth

Price Prediction

bearish

Short term

bearish
1–24 hours

Price has collapsed from an intraday high of ~$0.0000744 to ~$0.00000299, a decline of ~96% from peak. Sell pressure dominates at 58.4% of 24h volume ($78.51K sells vs $56K buys). The last 3 hourly candles show a consistent staircase of lower opens and lower closes with no meaningful bounce. With $0 reported liquidity and only 692 unique buyers vs 1,217 sellers, further downside is the path of least resistance.

Target low$0.0000010
Target high$0.0000040
Support: $0.00000255 (candle [5] low), $0.00000100 (psychological floor)
Resistance: $0.00000326 (candle [3] open / candle [4] low), $0.00000467 (candle [4] open), $0.00000744 (candle [5] all-time high)

Medium term

bearish
1–7 days

Without a new catalyst, renewed buying interest, or meaningful liquidity injection, the token is likely to continue drifting lower or go to near-zero. The game concept is unproven and the contract is unverified. Holder count dropped 10 in the last hour (-9%), suggesting active exit. A recovery above $0.000005 would require significant new demand.

Catalysts
  • Viral social media traction around the Tamagotchi game mechanic
  • Influencer promotion or listing on a tracked aggregator
  • Liquidity injection by the project team
  • Broader Solana meme coin market rally

Bullish factors

  • Unique and novel on-chain game concept (Tamagotchi mechanic) could attract niche community
  • 24h buyer count of 692 unique wallets shows some genuine interest
  • Token is mutable=false, reducing certain rug vectors
  • Social links present (Twitter, website, Moralis)

Bearish factors

  • Price down -91.9% in 24 hours with no sign of reversal
  • Sell pressure at 58.4% — sellers outnumber buyers 1,217 vs 692
  • $0 reported liquidity depth on PumpSwap pair
  • Top holder controls 70.58% of supply — extreme dump risk
  • Holder count fell 10 in the last hour (-9%)
  • Unverified contract, update authority unknown
  • FDV of only ~$2,990 — effectively a micro-cap with no institutional interest
Confidence: low. Confidence is low due to the token's extreme youth (launched within ~24 hours), near-zero liquidity, unverified contract, and highly speculative meme-coin nature. Price action is driven entirely by sentiment and sniper/early-buyer exits rather than fundamentals.

Deep Analysis

Technical Analysis
Holder Trends
Whale Map
Risk Assessment
Investment Thesis

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Token Info

ChainSolana
Contract
Total Supply999,948,435.43

Key Risks

$0 reported liquidity — impossible to exit large positions without catastrophic slippage
Top holder (LP) controls 70.58%; second holder controls 13.61% — extreme concentration
-91.9% price decline in 24 hours with continued selling pressure
Unverified contract and unknown update authority

Smart Money & Sniper Analysis

low confidence
High risk

20 snipers entered in the first 1,000 blocks. PnL outcomes are mixed: 8 snipers show positive realized PnL (ranging from +1.4% to +102.5%), 6 show negative PnL (ranging from -4.7% to -53.8%), and 6 show 0% (either held or broke even). The largest seller among snipers realized $347 at +26.1%. Several snipers still hold balances ($36, $13 remaining), suggesting not all have fully exited. The sell-through rate is moderate — most active snipers have sold, but a few remain. The overall sniper activity contributed to the initial pump and subsequent dump.

AI-generated insight. Not financial advice.

Sniper details

Sniper concentration2.00%
PnL stateMixed
Sell-through rateModerate
Profit-taking risk
high

Sniper dollar amounts are unknown; however, 20 snipers were identified in the first 1,000 blocks. Of those with known PnL, the highest realized gain is 102.5% (LhLcjgTLQPk8ydVVBFMGuVKcJjYzyywuQqiAKP1jkZU) and the worst loss is -53.8% (7JCe3GHwkEr3feHgtLXnmuJ1yB3A7coSeyynxTBgdG8k). Several snipers have already sold significant portions ($347, $210, $130, $116, $109, $107).

Mixed-to-negative. Early buyers who sold quickly captured gains (up to +102.5%), but those who held or bought late are sitting on losses of up to -53.8%. The rapid price collapse suggests most smart money has already exited.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the price prediction for your onchain pet (memegotchi)?

Price has collapsed from an intraday high of ~$0.0000744 to ~$0.00000299, a decline of ~96% from peak. Sell pressure dominates at 58.4% of 24h volume ($78.51K sells vs $56K buys). The last 3 hourly candles show a consistent staircase of lower opens and lower closes with no meaningful bounce. With $0 reported liquidity and only 692 unique buyers vs 1,217 sellers, further downside is the path of least resistance. Short-term outlook is bearish (1–24 hours), with a target range of $0.0000010 to $0.0000040.

Is memegotchi a safe investment on Solana?

Overall risk is rated very_high with a risk score of 9.4/100. This token is suitable ONLY for highly experienced, risk-tolerant speculators who can afford to lose 100% of their investment. It is entirely inappropriate for retail investors, long-term holders, or anyone without deep familiarity with Solana micro-cap meme token dynamics. Position sizing should be minimal (treat as a lottery ticket, not an investment).

How are memegotchi holders trending?

your onchain pet currently has 111 holders and is growing (24h: 110, 7d: 110, 30d: 110). The historical holder data shows the token had exactly 1 holder for the entire 30-day lookback period prior to the last 24 hours, confirming this is a brand-new token that launched within the past day. The explosive +110 holder gain in 24h reflects the initial trading frenzy during the pump. The -10 holder drop in the last hour (-9%) is a significant red flag, indicating active exits as the price continues to fall. With only 111 total holders and a rapidly declining price, holder count is likely to continue shrinking unless new buyers emerge.

What does sniper activity look like for memegotchi?

Snipers hold roughly 2.00% of supply with PnL state "mixed" and sell-through rate "moderate". Profit-taking risk: high.

What are the key risks of holding memegotchi?

$0 reported liquidity — impossible to exit large positions without catastrophic slippage • Top holder (LP) controls 70.58%; second holder controls 13.61% — extreme concentration • -91.9% price decline in 24 hours with continued selling pressure

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